Predictors of hospital admission two months after emergency department evaluation of COPD exacerbation

Readmission rate for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The readmission rate following hospitalization for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations is extremely high and has become a common and challenging clinical problem. This study aimed to systematically summarize COPD readmission rates for acute exacerbations and their underlying risk factors.

METHODS

A comprehensive search was performed using PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science, published from database inception to April 2, 2022. Methodological quality was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). We used a random-effects model or a fixed-effects model to estimate the pooled COPD readmission rate for acute exacerbations and underlying risk factors.

RESULTS

A total of 46 studies were included, of which 24, 7, 17, 7, and 20 summarized the COPD readmission rates for acute exacerbations within 30, 60, 90, 180, and 365 days, respectively. The pooled 30-, 60-, 90-, 180-, and 365-day readmission rates were 11%, 17%, 17%, 30%, and 37%, respectively. The study design type, age stage, WHO region, and length of stay (LOS) were initially considered to be sources of heterogeneity. We also identified potential risk factors for COPD readmission, including male sex, number of hospitalizations in the previous year, LOS, and comorbidities such as heart failure, tumor or cancer, and diabetes, whereas obesity was a protective factor.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with COPD had a high readmission rate for acute exacerbations, and potential risk factors were identified. Therefore, we should propose clinical interventions and adjust or targeted the control of avoidable risk factors to prevent and reduce the negative impact of COPD readmission.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO, identifier CRD42022333581.

Predictors of short-term COPD readmission

COPD readmissions have a great impact on patients' quality of life and mortality. Our goal was to identify factors related to 60-day readmission. We conducted a prospective observational cohort study with a nested case-control study, with 60 days of follow-up after the index admission. Patients readmitted were matched, by age, baseline forced expiratory volume in 1 s and month at admission, with patients admitted in the same period but not readmitted at 2 months. Data were collected on sociodemographic and clinical characteristics and health-related quality of life data at the index admission and events from discharge to readmission within 60 days. Conditional logistic (60-day readmission) and Cox (days to readmission) regression models were constructed. Both multivariable analyses identified the following as predictors: any admission in the preceding 2 months (OR: 2.366; HR: 1.918), hematocrit at ED arrival ≤ 35% (OR: 2.949; HR: 1.570), pre-existing cardiovascular disease (valvular disease or myocardial infarction) (OR: 1.878; HR: 1.490); NIMV at discharge (OR: 0.547; HR: 0.70); no appointment with a specialist after discharge (OR: 5.785; HR: 3.373) and patient-reported need for help at home (OR: 2.978; HR: 2.061). The AUC for the logistic model was 0.845 and the c-index for the Cox model was 0.707. EuroQol EQ-5D score before the admission was correlated with a lower risk of readmission (OR: 0.383; HR: 0.670). As conclusions, we have identified factors related to 60-day readmission and summarized the findings in easy-to-use scoring scales that could be incorporated into the daily clinical routine and may help establish preventive measures to reduce future readmissions.Registration: Clinical Trial Registration NCT03227211.

Emergency department consultations for respiratory symptoms revisited: exploratory investigation of longitudinal trends in patients' perspective on care, health care utilization, and general and mental health, from a multicenter study in Berlin, Germany

BACKGROUND

Only few studies of emergency department (ED) consulters include a longitudinal investigation. The EMACROSS study had surveyed 472 respiratory patients in eight inner-city EDs in Berlin in 2017/2018 for demographic, medical and consultation-related characteristics. This paper presents the results of a follow-up survey at a median of 95 days post-discharge. We aimed to explore the post hoc assessment of ED care and identify potential longitudinal trends.

METHODS

The follow-up survey included items on satisfaction with care received, benefit from the ED visit, potential alternative care, health care utilization, mental and general health, and general life satisfaction. Univariable between-subject and within-subject statistical comparisons were conducted. Logistic regression was performed for multivariable investigations of determinants of dropout and of retrospectively rating the ED visit as beneficial.

RESULTS

Follow-up data was available for 329 patients. Participants of lower education status, migrants, and tourists were more likely to drop out. Having a general practitioner (GP), multimorbidity, and higher general life satisfaction were determinants of response. Retrospective satisfaction ratings were high with no marked longitudinal changes and waiting times as the most frequent reason for dissatisfaction. Retrospective assessment of the visit as beneficial was positively associated with male sex, diagnoses of pneumonia and respiratory failure, and self-referral. Concerning primary care as a viable alternative, judgment at the time of the ED visit and at follow-up did not differ significantly. Health care utilization post-discharge increased for GPs and pulmonologists. Self-reported general health and PHQ-4 anxiety scores were significantly improved at follow-up, while general life satisfaction for the overall sample was unchanged.

CONCLUSIONS

Most patients retrospectively assess the ED visit as satisfactory and beneficial. Possible sex differences in perception of care and its outcomes should be further investigated. Conceivable efforts at diversion of ED utilizers to primary care should consider patients' views regarding acceptable alternatives, which appear relatively independent of situational factors. Representativeness of results is restricted by the study focus on respiratory symptoms, the limited sample size, and the attrition rate.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

German Clinical Trials Register ( DRKS00011930 ); date: 2017/04/25.

Evaluation of Hospital Admission Status for Emergency Department Patients Seen for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbation: A Retrospective Observational Study

Background: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a common and preventable condition. The disease accounts for a large economic burden in the US health care system. Better control and prevention of COPD exacerbations can help prevent presentations to already-crowded emergency departments (EDs) and hospitals. The objective of our study was to identify variables associated with hospital admission status in ED patients presenting with COPD exacerbation. Methods: We conducted a retrospective observational study of patients seen at 1 of 3 US EDs from 2012 to 2014 with a primary diagnosis related to COPD exacerbation. Hospital admission status was modeled using patient characteristic data via adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression. Study results are presented as adjusted odds ratios with 95% CIs. Planned post hoc model dependency and external data sensitivity analyses were conducted. Results: The study sample included 1,165 unique patients with COPD with an ED encounter related to exacerbation at 1 of the 3 reviewed hospitals. Approximately half of these patients had a hospital admission. Variables inversely associated with an admission included oxygen saturation and number of prior ED encounters for COPD exacerbation. Variables positively associated with admission were initial ED heart rate, patient age, and documented comorbidities of anxiety and/or depression. These mental health comorbidities had the strongest association with admission status. Conclusion: Understanding the characteristics of admitted patients may help direct resources and outpatient services to prevent encounters. Of note, the study revealed mental health variables as being strongly associated with admission status.

Resting Borg score as a predictor of safe discharge of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease from the emergency department observation unit

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations (eCOPD) can be life-threatening and costly. Emergency department (ED) observation units (ED-Obs) offer short-term care to safely reduce preventable hospitalizations. Accurately identifying eCOPD patients who can be discharged safely will improve outcomes.

OBJECTIVES

The objective were to: I) evaluate utility of conventional clinical variables as predictors of safe discharge and II) assess utility of serial resting Borg score and novel Dyspnea Assessment Score (DAS) for identifying eCOPD patients who can be safely discharged from ED-Obs.

METHODS

This study was carried out in a 680-bed tertiary, academic hospital with >700 annual eCOPD ED encounters and a 16-bed ED-Obs. A two-phase study of eCOPD patients admitted to ED-Obs was performed. Objective I was a retrospective study including all eCOPD admits from April 2016 to May 2017. Predictor variables (demographics, COPD severity, comorbid conditions, exacerbation severity, clinical care in ED) and outcome variables (ED-Obs disposition, ED revisits) were obtained through electronic medical records. Safe discharge was defined as home disposition from ED-Obs without 7-day revisit. A stepwise regression was performed for predictors of safe discharge. Objective II was a prospective observation study for change in every 4-hour serial resting Borg score and DAS as identifiers of safe discharge. Comparative and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were performed. A p-value of <0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

In Objective I, 171 patients with age, FEV₁ %, and body mass index of 59.8 (±9.5) years, 35 (±24)%, and 28.8 (±8) m² /kg were included. After ED-Obs treatment 78 (45.6%) were hospitalized and 93 (54.4%) were discharged home, of whom 11 (6.4%) had 7-day ED revisit. Safe discharge occurred in 82 (48%). None of the predictor variables correlated with safe discharge. In Objective II, of 38 patients included, 20 (52.6%) had safe discharge. Among others, 16 (42%) were hospitalized and two (5.2%) had 7-day ED revisit. The admission Borg scores and DASs were similar in both groups. The predisposition Borg score was significantly lower in patients with safe discharge (2.75 vs. 5.28, p < 0.001) and had the highest area under curve on ROC (0.77) for safe discharge. DAS was not significantly different between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine clinical variables do not identify eCOPD patients who can be safely discharged from ED-Obs. Change in resting Borg score during the course of ED-Obs treatment safely identifies patients for discharge. Prospective, external validation is needed to incorporate serial Borg scores in ED-Obs disposition decision for improved safety.

Mapping of modifiable barriers and facilitators with interdisciplinary chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) guidelines concordance within hospitals to the Theoretical Domains Framework: a mixed methods systematic review protocol

INTRODUCTION

Multifarious chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) guidelines have been published by local, national and global respiratory societies. These guidelines subsume holistic evidence based on recommendations to diagnose, treat, prevent and manage acute exacerbation with COPD. Despite the existing comprehensive recommendations, readmission rates and hospitalisations have increased in the last decade. Evidence to date has reported suboptimal clinical guidelines concordance. Acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) is a common hospital presentation due to varied causes such as infective exacerbations, worsening disease condition, medication non-adherence, lack of education and incomprehensive discharge planning. AECOPD directly and indirectly causes economic burden, disrupts health-related quality of life (HRQol), hasten lung function decline and increases overall morbidity and mortality. COPD being a multimodal chronic disease, consistent interdisciplinary interventions from the time of admission to discharge may reduce readmissions and enhance HRQol among these patients and their families.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This protocol adheres to the Joanna Briggs Institute methodology for mixed methods systematic reviews and the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews reporting guidelines. Qualitative, quantitative and mixed methods studies will append this study to explore determinants of COPD guidelines concordance. Comprehensive three-tier search strategies will be used to search nine databases (COCHRANE, EBSCO HOST, MEDLINE, SCIENCE DIRECT, JBI, SCOPUS, WEB OF SCIENCE, WILEY and DARE) in May 2020. Two independent reviewers will screen abstracts and full-text articles in consonance with inclusion criteria. The convergent integrative method narrative review will contribute a deeper understanding of any discrepancies found in the existing evidence. Quality of the studies will be reported and Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF) will be used as a priori to synthesis data. Identified barriers, facilitators and corresponding clinical behavioural change solutions will be categorised using TDF indicators to provide future research and implementation recommendations.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval is not required and results dissemination will occur through peer-reviewed publication.

Risk factors and associated outcomes of hospital readmission in COPD: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of unplanned readmission. There is need to identify risk factors for, and strategies to prevent readmission in patients with COPD.

AIM

To systematically review and summarise the prevalence, risk factors and outcomes associated with rehospitalisation due to COPD exacerbation.

METHOD

The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines were followed. Five databases were searched for relevant studies.

RESULTS

Fifty-seven studies from 30 countries met the inclusion criteria. The prevalence of COPD-related readmission varied from 2.6 to 82.2% at 30 days, 11.8-44.8% at 31-90 days, 17.9-63.0% at 6 months, and 25.0-87.0% at 12 months post-discharge. There were differences in the reported factors associated with readmissions, which may reflect variations in the local context, such as the availability of community-based services to care for exacerbations of COPD. Hospitalisation in the previous year prior to index admission was the key predictor of COPD-related readmission. Comorbidities (in particular asthma), living in a deprived area and living in or discharge to a nursing home were also associated with readmission. Relative to those without readmissions, readmitted patients had higher in-hospital mortality rates, shorter long-term survival, poorer quality of life, longer hospital stay, increased recurrence of subsequent readmissions, and accounted for greater healthcare costs.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalisation in the previous year was the principal risk factor for COPD-related readmissions. Variation in the prevalence and the reported factors associated with COPD-related readmission indicate that risk factors cannot be generalised, and interventions should be tailored to the local healthcare environment.

Economic Burden of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD): A Systematic Literature Review

Background and Objectives

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) affects over 250 million people globally, carrying a notable economic burden. This systematic literature review aimed to highlight the economic burden associated with moderate-to-very severe COPD and to investigate key drivers of healthcare resource utilization (HRU), direct costs and indirect costs for this patient population.

Materials and Methods

Relevant publications published between January 1, 2006 and November 14, 2016 were captured from the Embase, MEDLINE and MEDLINE In-Process databases. Supplemental searches from relevant 2015-2016 conferences were also performed. Titles and abstracts were reviewed by two independent researchers against pre-defined inclusion and exclusion criteria. Studies were grouped by the type of economic outcome presented (HRU or costs). Where possible, data were also grouped according to COPD severity and/or patient exacerbation history.

Results

In total, 73 primary publications were included in this review: 66 reported HRU, 22 reported direct costs and one reported indirect costs. Most of the studies (94%) reported on data from either Europe or North America. Trends were noted across multiple studies for higher direct costs (including mean costs per patient per year and mean costs per exacerbation) being associated with increasingly severe COPD and/or a history of more frequent or severe exacerbations. Similar trends were noted according to COPD severity and/or exacerbation history for rate of hospitalization and primary care visits. Multivariate analyses were reported by 29 studies and demonstrated the statistical significance of these associations. Several other drivers of increased costs and HRU were highlighted for patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD, including comorbidities, and treatment history.

Conclusion

Moderate-to-very severe COPD represents a considerable economic burden for healthcare providers despite the availability of efficacious treatments and comprehensive guidelines on their use. Further research is warranted to ensure cost-efficient COPD management, to improve treatments and ease budgetary pressures.

Symptoms Reported by Frail Elderly Adults Independently Predict 30-Day Hospital Readmission or Emergency Department Care

OBJECTIVES

To assess the degree to which self-reported symptoms predict unplanned readmission or emergency department (ED) care within 30 days of high-risk, elderly adults enrolled in a posthospitalization care transition program (CTP).

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Posthospitalization CTP at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, from January 1, 2013, through March 3, 2015.

PARTICIPANTS

Frail, elderly adults (N = 230; mean age 83.5 ± 8.3, 46.5% male).

MEASUREMENTS

Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and self-reported symptoms, measured using the Edmonton Symptom Assessment System (ESAS), were ascertained upon CTP enrollment.

RESULTS

Mean CCI was 3.9 ± 2.3. Of 51 participants returning to the hospital within 30 days of discharge, 13 had ED visits, and 38 were readmitted. Age, sex, and CCI were not significantly different between returning and nonreturning participants, but returning participants were significantly more likely to report shortness of breath (P = .004), anxiety (P = .02), depression (P = .02), and drowsiness (P = .01). Overall ESAS score was also a significant predictor of hospital return (P = .01).

CONCLUSION

Four self-reported symptoms and overall ESAS score, but not CCI, ascertained after hospital discharge were strong predictors of hospital return within 30 days. Including symptoms in risk stratification of high-risk elderly adults may help target interventions and reduce readmissions.

Risk Factors of Poor Outcomes after Admission for a COPD Exacerbation: Multivariate Logistic Predictive Models

The aim of this study was to identify a multivariate model to predict poor outcomes after admission for exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).  We performed a multicenter, observational, prospective study. Patients admitted to hospital for COPD were followed up for 3 months. Relevant clinical variables at admission were selected. For each variable, the best cut-offs for the risk of poor outcome were identified using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Finally, a stepwise logistic regression model was performed. A total of 106 patients with a mean age of 71.1 (9.8) years were included. The mean maximum expiratory volume in the first second (FEV₁)(%) was 45.2%, and the mean COPD assessment test (CAT) score at admission was 24.8 (7.1). At 3 months, 39 (36.8%) patients demonstrated poor outcomes: death (2.8%), readmission (20.8%) or new exacerbation (13.2%). Variables included in the logistic model were: previous hospital admission, FEV₁ < 45%, Charlson ≥ 3, hemoglobin (Hb)<13 g/L, PCO2 ≥ 46 mmHg, fibrinogen ≥ 554 g/L, C-reactive protein (CRP)≥45 mg/L, leukocyte count < 9810 × 10⁹/L, purulent sputum, long-term oxygen therapy (LTOT) and CAT ≥ 31 at admission. The final model showed that Hb < 13 g/L (OR = 2.46, 95%CI 1.09-6.36), CRP ≥ 45 mg/L (OR = 2.91, 95%CI: 1.11-7.49) and LTOT (3.07, 95%CI: 1.07-8.82) increased the probability of poor outcome up to 82.4%. Adding a CAT ≥ 31 at admission increased the probability to 91.6% (AUC = 0.75; p = 0.001). Up to 36.8% of COPD patients had a poor outcome within 3 months after hospital discharge, with low hemoglobin and high CRP levels being the risk factors for poor outcome. A high CAT at admission increased the predictive value of the model.

Predictors of Hospitalized Exacerbations and Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) carry significant consequences for patients and are responsible for considerable health-care costs-particularly if hospitalization is required. Despite the importance of hospitalized exacerbations, relatively little is known about their determinants. This study aimed to analyze predictors of hospitalized exacerbations and mortality in COPD patients.

METHODS

This was a retrospective population-based cohort study. We selected 900 patients with confirmed COPD aged ≥35 years by simple random sampling among all COPD patients in Cantabria (northern Spain) on December 31, 2011. We defined moderate exacerbations as events that led a care provider to prescribe antibiotics or corticosteroids and severe exacerbations as exacerbations requiring hospital admission. We observed exacerbation frequency over the previous year (2011) and following year (2012). We categorized patients according to COPD severity based on forced expiratory volume in 1 second (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease [GOLD] grades 1-4). We estimated the odds ratios (ORs) by logistic regression, adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, COPD severity, and frequent exacerbator phenotype the previous year.

RESULTS

Of the patients, 16.4% had ≥1 severe exacerbations, varying from 9.3% in mild GOLD grade 1 to 44% in very severe COPD patients. A history of at least two prior severe exacerbations was positively associated with new severe exacerbations (adjusted OR, 6.73; 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.53-12.83) and mortality (adjusted OR, 7.63; 95%CI, 3.41-17.05). Older age and several comorbidities, such as heart failure and diabetes, were similarly associated.

CONCLUSIONS

Hospitalized exacerbations occurred with all grades of airflow limitation. A history of severe exacerbations was associated with new hospitalized exacerbations and mortality.

Heterogeneity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbations: a two-axes classification proposal

Exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are clinically relevant events with therapeutic and prognostic implications. Yet, they are heterogeneous and can need different therapeutic strategies. In this Viewpoint, we propose an admittedly crude approach to a COPD exacerbation classification that might eventually help to define the most appropriate pharmacological treatment and clinical treatment setting for these patients. Our suggestion is to combine a pathobiological axis (biomarkers) to guide treatment decisions (use of antibiotics, steroids, or both) with a clinical axis (severity score) to decide the organisational context in which to optimally treat the patient. Needless to say, this proposal needs to be researched and eventually validated, refined, or disproved, but we hope that this process will contribute to the improvement of personalised treatment for patients with COPD exacerbations.