Comparisons of Risk Factors for Intracerebral Hemorrhage versus Ischemic Stroke in Chinese Patients

Predictive value of 8-year blood pressure measures in intracerebral haemorrhage risk over 5 years

AIMS

The relationships between long-term blood pressure (BP) measures and intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), as well as their predictive ability on ICH, are unclear. In this study, we aim to investigate the independent associations of multiple BP measures with subsequent 5-year ICH risk, as well as the incremental value of these measures over a single-point BP measurement in ICH risk prediction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 12 398 participants from the China Kadoorie Biobank (CKB) who completed three surveys every 4-5 years. The following long-term BP measures were calculated: mean, minimum, maximum, standard deviation, coefficient of variation, average real variability, and cumulative BP exposure (cumBP). Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations between these measures and ICH. The potential incremental value of these measures in ICH risk prediction was assessed using Harrell's C statistics, continuous net reclassification improvement (cNRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (rIDI). The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of incident ICH associated with per standard deviation increase in cumulative systolic BP and cumulative diastolic BP were 1.62 (1.25-2.10) and 1.59 (1.23-2.07), respectively. When cumBP was added to the conventional 5-year ICH risk prediction model, the C-statistic change was 0.009 (-0.001, 0.019), the cNRI was 0.267 (0.070-0.464), and the rIDI was 18.2% (5.8-30.7%). Further subgroup analyses revealed a consistent increase in cNRI and rIDI in men, rural residents, and participants without diabetes. Other long-term BP measures showed no statistically significant associations with incident ICH and generally did not improve model performance.

CONCLUSION

The nearly 10-year cumBP was positively associated with an increased 5-year risk of ICH and could significantly improve risk reclassification for the ICH risk prediction model that included single-point BP measurement.

Age-dependent seasonality in the incidence of stroke: A 21-year population-based study

INTRODUCTION

Seasonality in the incidence of stroke has been examined in numerous studies, yet data on whether it differs with age are limited. To fill this gap, we utilized a largescale dataset from Israel.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrieved data of all hospitalizations for ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack (TIA) and intra cerebral hemorrhage (ICH) from 2000 to 2020. We maintained separate datasets for IS/TIA and ICH, divided into five age groups: 18-49, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79, and 80+. We modeled the monthly incidence using a generalized additive model. The seasonal effect was defined by the rate ratio (RR) of each month compared to the annual mean.

RESULTS

The analysis included 317,586 and 23,789 events of IS/TIA and ICH respectively. We found an interaction between age and seasonality, accounting for a phase shift with age in the seasonal pattern of IS/TIA incidence. For cases under 70 years, the peak was during summertime and the RRs increased with decreasing age, reaching 1.11 (95% CI 1.09-1.13) at the youngest age group. In contrast, among the elderly, a winter peak was observed and the RRs increased with age to 1.07 (95% CI 1.06-1.08) at the oldest age group. For ICH, a winter/autumn peak was identified and the RRs increased with age to 1.20 (95% CI 1.16-1.24).

CONCLUSIONS

Our finding of age-dependent seasonal patterns in the occurrence of stroke, suggests closer monitoring of cardiovascular risk factors during wintertime among elderly individuals. The mechanism governing the seasonal phase shift with age in IS/TIA incidence, requires further investigation.

Development and validation of a clinical nomogram for differentiating hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke prehospital

OBJECTIVES

The early detection and identification of stroke are essential to the prognosis of patients with suspected stroke symptoms out-of-hospital. We aimed to develop a risk prediction model based on the FAST score to identify the different types of strokes early for emergency medical services (EMS).

METHODS

This retrospective observational study enrolled 394 stroke patients at a single center from January 2020 to December 2021. Demographic data, clinical characteristics, and stroke risk factors with patients were collected from the EMS record database. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent risk predictors. The nomogram was developed based on the independent predictors, in which the discriminative value and calibration of the nomogram were verified by the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration plots.

RESULTS

A total of 31.90% (88/276) of patients were diagnosed with hemorrhagic stroke in the training set, while 36.40% (43/118) in the validation set. The nomogram was developed based on the multivariate analysis, including age, systolic blood pressure, hypertension, vomiting, arm weakness, and slurred speech. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC with nomogram was 0.796 (95% CI: 0.740-0.852, P < 0.001) and 0.808 (95% CI:0.728-0.887, P < 0.001) in the training set and validation set, respectively. In addition, the AUC with the nomogram was superior to the FAST score in both two sets. The calibration curve showed a good agreement with the nomogram and the decision curves analysis also demonstrated that the nomogram had a wider range of threshold probabilities than the FAST score in the prediction risk of hemorrhagic stroke.

CONCLUSIONS

This novel noninvasive clinical nomogram shows a good performance in differentiating hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke for EMS staff prehospital. Moreover, all of the variables of nomogram are acquired in clinical practice easily and inexpensively out-of-hospital.

Stroke and the risk of gastrointestinal disorders: A Mendelian randomization study

Background

The issue of whether a stroke is causally related to gastrointestinal disorders was still not satisfactorily understood. Therefore, we investigated if there is a connection between stroke and the most prevalent gastrointestinal disorders, including peptic ulcer disease (PUD), gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD), irritable bowel syndrome (IBS), and inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

Methods

We applied two-sample Mendelian randomization to investigate relationships with gastrointestinal disorders. We obtained genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary data of any stroke, ischemic stroke, and its subtypes from the MEGASTROKE consortium. From the International Stroke Genetics Consortium (ISGC) meta-analysis, we acquired GWAS summary information on intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH), including all ICH, deep ICH, and lobar ICH. Several sensitivity studies were performed to identify heterogeneity and pleiotropy, while inverse-variance weighted (IVW) was utilized as the most dominant estimate.

Results

No evidence for an effect of genetic predisposition to ischemic stroke and its subtypes on gastrointestinal disorders were found in IVW. The complications of deep ICH are a higher risk for PUD and GERD. Meanwhile, lobar ICH has a higher risk of complications for PUD.

Conclusion

This study provides proof of the presence of a brain-gut axis. Among the complications of ICH, PUD and GERD were more common and associated with the site of hemorrhage.

Incidence, subtypes, sex differences and trends of stroke in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Chinese populations have been reported higher incidence of all strokes and intracerebral hemorrhage. However, few large-scale studies have evaluated changes of stroke epidemiology in the 21st century.

METHODS

We explored the rates of incidence of all first-ever strokes, subtypes, and 1-month case fatality by using data from the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database since 2004. Also, we investigated sex differences in stroke. Time-trend analysis was performed for incidence and case fatality rates of all strokes and subtypes in both sexes.

RESULTS

The age-adjusted incidence of all strokes per 100,000 person-years decreased by 16%, from 251 (95% confidence interval [CI] 249-253) in 2004 to 210 (95% CI 209-212) in 2011 (p<0.001); it was always higher in Chinese men than in women. Among pathological subtypes, the incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage markedly decreased by 26% over the years (p<0.001), while that of ischemic stroke slightly decreased by 8%. However, when stratified by sex, the incidence of ischemic stroke decreased significantly in only women, not in men (men: p = 0.399, women: p = 0.004). Regarding the incidence of subarachnoid hemorrhage, it remained unchanged. Furthermore, the rate of 1-month case fatality decreased significantly for all strokes in both sexes (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In Taiwan, the incidence rate of first-ever stroke decreased in both Chinese men and women in the early 21st century. Men had a higher incidence rate than women. Furthermore, a marked decrease was noted in the incidence of intracerebral hemorrhage, while a slight decrease was noted in that of ischemic stroke; however, the decreased incidence of ischemic stroke was significant in only women.

Androgen receptor contributes to microglial/macrophage activation in rats with intracranial hemorrhage by mediating the JMJD3/Botch/Notch1 axis

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is a leading medical problem and has no effective treatment approach up until now. The transcription factor androgen receptor (AR) has been indicated in the cerebrovascular function recently. However, its participation in ICH remains unclear. The present study aims to expound the regulation of AR in microglia/macrophage phenotypes and the secondary brain injury in a rat model with ICH, and to discuss the involved pathway. Following the induction of ICH in rats, we found that ICH led to increased mNSS score, enhanced microglial activity, and promoted levels of inflammatory factors and apoptosis of brain cells. Using microarray analysis, AR was found to be significantly overexpressed in ICH rat brain tissues. AR repressed the transcription of Jumonji d3 (JMJD3, histone 3 demethylase). JMJD3 inhibited the methylation of Botch and promoted the activity of Notch1. JMJD3 hampered microglial activity and ameliorated secondary brain injury in rats, whereas upregulation of AR or downregulation of Botch reversed the protective effects of JMJD3. In conclusion, we found that AR promoted microglial activation and secondary brain injury via transcriptionally repressing JMJD3 and mediating the subsequent Botch/Notch1 pathway, which may provide novel insights into therapeutic options for the treatment of ICH.

Risk Factors for the Recurrence of CVD Incidents in Post-Stroke Patients over a 5-Year Follow-Up Period Based on the ICF Classification

Background and Objectives: Stroke is a strong risk factor for recurrent cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidents. The risk of post-stroke CVD incidents can be reduced by eliminating the most relevant risk factors. The aim of the study was to compare the incidence of recurrent CVD events and to determine the quantitative and qualitative differences in CVD risk factors over the 5-year follow-up period in patients with ischemic stroke (IS) and haemorrhagic stroke (ICH) with the use of ICF classification categories to present these differences. Materials and Methods: The study was retrospective. The study groups included 55 post-IS patients and 47 post-ICH patients. The results were translated into the categories from the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health (ICF) classification. Results: As compared to post-ICH patients, post-IS patients were significantly more frequently observed to have recurrent CVD incidents (p < 0.001), including fatal CVD incidents (p = 0.003). More risk factors in total were identified in both post-IS patients (p = 0.031) and post-ICH patients (p = 0.002) who had a recurrent CVD incident. Post-IS patients were more often found to have arterial blood pressure higher than 140/90 mmHg (p = 0.045). On the other hand, post-ICH patients were more frequently observed to have carotid artery stenosis in the range of 50–69% (p = 0.028) and an eGFR of <15 mL/min/1.73 m² (p = 0.001). Conclusions: The type of primary stroke determines the type and incidence of risk factors as well as the recurrence rate of CVD incidents over a 5-year follow-up period. Patients after IS have a higher risk of recurrence of CVD events, including fatal ones in the 5-year follow-up compared to patients after ICH. In addition, post-IS patients who have a recurrent CVD event over a 5-year follow-up have more risk factors for a CVD event than ICH. The ICF classification can be useful for assessing and analysing risk factors for recurrent CVD incidents, which can help to improve the effectiveness of secondary prevention.

Post-stroke Aphasia as a Prognostic Factor for Cognitive and Functional Changes in Patients With Stroke: Ischemic Versus Hemorrhagic

Objective

To investigate the comprehensive outcomes in aphasic patients, including their cognitive and functional status after ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. It also aimed to clarify whether aphasia is a prognostic factor for cognitive and functional improvements in stroke patients.

Methods

Sixty-seven ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke patients in the subacute stage who had been diagnosed with aphasia using the Korean version of Frenchay Aphasia Screening Test (K-FAST) were included in the study. Forty-six stroke patients without aphasia were used as controls. All patients were examined with the Korean version of the Western Aphasia Battery (K-WAB). Cognitive and functional assessments of the patients including the Korean version of Mini-Mental State Examination (K-MMSE), and the Korean version of Modified Barthel Index (K-MBI) were performed during admission and 4 weeks after the initial assessments.

Results

The initial and follow-up total K-MMSE and K-MBI scores were significantly lower in aphasic patients than in non-aphasic controls. The K-WAB scores highly correlated with the total K-MMSE scores at the follow-up stage in all aphasic stroke patients. The K-WAB scores moderately correlated with the follow-up scores of the K-MBI in ischemic stroke patients but not in hemorrhagic stroke patients.

Conclusion

Aphasia influences the cognitive and functional status of stroke patients and has a greater impact on cognitive improvement. Aphasia severity can be one of the prognostic factors for cognitive status in aphasic patients with stroke.

Prediabetes is associated with poor functional outcome in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

INTRODUCTION

The association between prediabetes and functional outcome in cerebrovascular diseases is controversial. No study has explored the relationship between prediabetes and functional outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage patients. Our study aimed to explore the association between prediabetes and functional outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage patients 1 month poststroke.

METHODS

One hundred and fifty intracerebral hemorrhage patients were consecutively recruited within the first 24 hr after admission and were followed up for 1 month. Patients were divided into a diabetes mellitus group, a prediabetes group, and a nondiabetic group by fasting glucose levels, 2-hr postprandial blood glucose levels, and glycosylated hemoglobin levels. Patients with modified Rankin Scale scores >2 at 1 month were defined as having a poor functional outcome.

RESULTS

The prediabetes group had a higher risk of poor functional outcome than the nondiabetic group in intracerebral hemorrhage patients (37.9% vs. 9.8%, χ²  = 11.521, p = .001). According to the logistic regression analyses, prediabetes was associated with a poor functional outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage patients after adjusting for confounding factors (odds ratio = 6.167, 95% confidence interval = 1.403-27.102, p = .016).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings show that prediabetes is associated with a poor functional outcome in intracerebral hemorrhage patients 1 month poststroke.

The Role of Urocortins in Intracerebral Hemorrhage

Intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) causes an accumulation of blood in the brain parenchyma that disrupts the normal neurological function of the brain. Despite extensive clinical trials, no medical or surgical therapy has shown to be effective in managing ICH, resulting in a poor prognosis for the patients. Urocortin (UCN) is a 40-amino-acid endogenous neuropeptide that belongs to the corticotropin-releasing hormone (CRH) family. The effect of UCN is activated by binding to two G-protein coupled receptors, CRH-R1 and CRH-R2, which are expressed in brain neurons and glial cells in various brain regions. Current research has shown that UCN exerts neuroprotective effects in ICH models via anti-inflammatory effects, which generally reduced brain edema and reduced blood-brain barrier disruption. These effects gradually help in the improvement of the neurological outcome, and thus, UCN may be a potential therapeutic target in the treatment of ICH. This review summarizes the data published to date on the role of UCN in ICH and the possible protective mechanisms underlined.

Age-specific association between blood pressure and vascular and non-vascular chronic diseases in 0·5 million adults in China: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The age-specific association between blood pressure and vascular disease has been studied mostly in high-income countries, and before the widespread use of brain imaging for diagnosis of the main stroke types (ischaemic stroke and intracerebral haemorrhage). We aimed to investigate this relationship among adults in China.

METHODS

512 891 adults (59% women) aged 30-79 years were recruited into a prospective study from ten areas of China between June 25, 2004, and July 15, 2008. Participants attended assessment centres where they were interviewed about demographic and lifestyle characteristics, and their blood pressure, height, and weight were measured. Incident disease was identified through linkage to local mortality records, chronic disease registries, and claims to the national health insurance system. We used Cox regression analysis to produce adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) relating systolic blood pressure to disease incidence. HRs were corrected for regression dilution to estimate associations with long-term average (usual) systolic blood pressure.

FINDINGS

During a median follow-up of 9 years (IQR 8-10), there were 88 105 incident vascular and non-vascular chronic disease events (about 90% of strokes events were diagnosed using brain imaging). At ages 40-79 years (mean age at event 64 years [SD 9]), usual systolic blood pressure was continuously and positively associated with incident major vascular disease throughout the range 120-180 mm Hg: each 10 mm Hg higher usual systolic blood pressure was associated with an approximately 30% higher risk of ischaemic heart disease (HR 1·31 [95% CI 1·28-1·34]) and ischaemic stroke (1·30 [1·29-1·31]), but the association with intracerebral haemorrhage was about twice as steep (1·68 [1·65-1·71]). HRs for vascular disease were twice as steep at ages 40-49 years than at ages 70-79 years. Usual systolic blood pressure was also positively associated with incident chronic kidney disease (1·40 [1·35-1·44]) and diabetes (1·14 [1·12-1·15]). About half of all vascular deaths in China were attributable to elevated blood pressure (ie, systolic blood pressure >120 mm Hg), accounting for approximately 1 million deaths (<80 years of age) annually.

INTERPRETATION

Among adults in China, systolic blood pressure was continuously related to major vascular disease with no evidence of a threshold down to 120 mm Hg. Unlike previous studies in high-income countries, blood pressure was more strongly associated with intracerebral haemorrhage than with ischaemic stroke. Even small reductions in mean blood pressure at a population level could be expected to have a major impact on vascular morbidity and mortality.

FUNDING

UK Wellcome Trust, UK Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation, Cancer Research UK, Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, and the National Science Foundation of China.