Relations of Changes in Serum Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels before and after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy and after Surgery to Histologic Response and Outcomes in Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

Construction and Evaluation of Nomogram for Hematological Indicators to Predict Pathological Response after Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer

OBJECTIVE

A retrospective study was conducted by developing prediction models to evaluate the association between hematological indexes, their changes during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (NCRT), and tumor pathological response in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS

The clinical data of 202 patients who received NCRT and radical surgery in Sichuan Cancer Hospital were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and logistic multivariate regression analyses were used to identify hematological indexes with predictive significance. The independent risk factors were imported into the R software, and a nomogram prediction model was developed. The bootstrap method and ROC curve were used to evaluate the discriminative degree of the model.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis demonstrated age, tumor diameter, preoperative T, distance from tumor to the anal verge, CEA before NCRT, preoperative CEA, lymphocyte changes, platelet changes, and pathology of rectal cancer after NCRT were associated. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that age, tumor distance from the anus, preoperative CEA, lymphocyte changes, and platelet changes were independent risk factors. The independent risk factors were imported into the R software to construct a nomogram model. The area under the ROC was 0.76, and the slope of the calibration curve of the nomogram was close to 1.

CONCLUSION

A low preoperative CEA level, a young age, a high tumor from the anal verge, the maintenance of circulating lymphocyte level, and a decreased platelet level after NCRT are important factors for favorable outcomes after NCRT. Developing a nomogram prediction model with good discrimination and consistency can provide some guidance for predicting pathological responses after NCRT.

Develop and validate a radiomics space-time model to predict the pathological complete response in patients undergoing neoadjuvant treatment of rectal cancer: an artificial intelligence model study based on machine learning

OBJECTIVE

In this study, we aimed to investigate the predictive efficacy of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics features at different time points of neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer in patients with pathological complete response (pCR). Furthermore, we aimed to develop and validate a radiomics space-time model (RSTM) using machine learning for artificial intelligence interventions in predicting pCR in patients.

METHODS

Clinical and imaging data of 83 rectal cancer patients were retrospectively analyzed, and the patients were classified as pCR and non-pCR patients according to their postoperative pathological results. All patients received one MRI examination before and after neoadjuvant therapy to extract radiomics features, including pre-treatment, post-treatment, and delta features. Delta features were defined by the ratio of the difference between the pre- and the post-treatment features to the pre-treatment feature. After feature dimensionality reduction based on the above three feature types, the RSTM was constructed using machine learning methods, and its performance was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

The AUC values of the individual basic models constructed by pre-treatment, post-treatment, and delta features were 0.771, 0.681, and 0.871, respectively. Their sensitivity values were 0.727, 0.864, and 0.909, respectively, and their specificity values were 0.803, 0.492, and 0.656, respectively. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity values of the combined basic model constructed by combining pre-treatment, post-treatment, and delta features were 0.901, 0.909, and 0.803, respectively. The AUC, sensitivity, and specificity values of the RSTM constructed using the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) classifier on the basis of the combined basic model were 0.944, 0.871, and 0.983, respectively. The Delong test showed that the performance of RSTM was significantly different from that of pre-treatment, post-treatment, and delta models (P < 0.05) but not significantly different from the combined basic model of the three (P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The RSTM constructed using the KNN classifier based on the combined features of before and after neoadjuvant therapy and delta features had the best predictive efficacy for pCR of neoadjuvant therapy. It may emerge as a new clinical tool to assist with individualized management of rectal cancer patients.

Prognostic impact of carcinoembryonic antigen in 1822 surgically treated esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: multi-institutional study of the Japan Esophageal Society

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have evaluated the clinicopathological significance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) of esophageal cancer in relatively small numbers of patients. Therefore, this study aimed to clarify the prognostic significance of CEA in 1822 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC).

METHODS

Based on the Japanese Esophageal Society nationwide multi-institutional retrospective study, a total of 1,748 surgically treated ESCC from 15 hospitals were enrolled to evaluate prognostic impact of preoperative CEA values. Among them, 605 patients were categorized to up-front surgery group, and 1,217 patients were categorized to neoadjuvant therapy group. The CEA threshold for positivity was 3.7 ng/ml. The clinicopathological and prognostic impact of CEA was evaluated by univariate and multivariate analysis in each treatment modality groups.

RESULTS

In total, the CEA positive rate was 25.8% (470/1822). CEA-positive status was significantly associated with distant metastasis (P = 0.004) but not associated with other factors. CEA-positive status was associated with poor overall survival (P < 0.001) in univariate analysis as well as multivariate analysis (P = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

CEA was an independent prognostic determinant of overall survival in esophageal SCC. Based on the subgroup analysis, regardless of the treatment modality, patients with high pretreatment CEA showed poor overall survival.

Abscopal Effects in Metastatic Cancer: Is a Predictive Approach Possible to Improve Individual Outcomes?

Patients with metastatic cancers often require radiotherapy (RT) as a palliative therapy for cancer pain. RT can, however, also induce systemic antitumor effects outside of the irradiated field (abscopal effects) in various cancer entities. The occurrence of the abscopal effect is associated with a specific immunological activation in response to RT-induced cell death, which is mainly seen under concomitant immune checkpoint blockade. Even if the number of reported apscopal effects has increased since the introduction of immune checkpoint inhibition, its occurrence is still considered rare and unpredictable. The cases reported so far may nevertheless allow for identifying first biomarkers and clinical patterns. We here review biomarkers that may be helpful to predict the occurrence of abscopal effects and hence to optimize therapy for patients with metastatic cancers.

Prognostic significance of carcinoembryonic antigen combined with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer

AIM

The clinical significance of carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) combined with carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) in patients with rectal cancer is not well established. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of these combined tumour markers in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

METHOD

A total of 687 consecutive patients with LARC who underwent nCRT and radical surgery were analysed. Tumour characteristics, recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared according to the number of elevated tumour markers measured before and after nCRT. In addition, the prognostic significance of perioperative changes in the combined tumour markers was further evaluated.

RESULT

The RFS and OS rates decreased in a stepwise manner in association with the number of elevated pre- and post-nCRT tumour markers (all p < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that only the number of elevated post-nCRT tumour markers was an independent prognostic factor (both p < 0.05). For 311 patients with elevated pre-nCRT tumour markers, normalization of the tumour markers after nCRT was an independent prognostic protective factor (both p < 0.05), and patients with both markers elevated post-nCRT had a 2.5- and 3.7-fold increased risk of recurrence and death, respectively (p < 0.05). Furthermore, normalization of post-nCRT tumour markers after surgery was also closely related to an improved prognosis.

CONCLUSION

This combination of post-nCRT tumour markers can accurately predict the long-term survival of patients with LARC treated with nCRT and curative resection, and normalization of the combined tumour markers after either nCRT or surgery was associated with better survival.

Prognostic Impact of Carcinoembryonic Antigen Levels in Rectal Cancer Patients Who Had Received Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

PURPOSE

Carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is a useful marker for rectal cancer. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic impact of CEA level according to neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in rectal cancer patients who underwent radical surgery.

METHODS

A total of 245 patients with rectal cancer who underwent radical surgery were retrospectively evaluated. Serum CEA level was measured preoperatively and postoperatively. We compared survival outcomes based on CEA level before and after surgery according to nCRT.

RESULTS

Of the 245 patients, elevation of CEA level was observed preoperatively in 79 and postoperatively in 30, respectively. Eighty-seven (35.5%) patients received nCRT, and elevated CEA level was a significant prognostic factor both before and after surgery. In patients who had not received nCRT, an elevated CEA level was a significant prognostic factor before surgery but was not significant after surgery. In a multivariate analysis for prognostic factors, elevation of preoperative CEA level was an independent prognostic factor of disease-free survival (DFS) regardless of nCRT. Postoperative CEA level was an independent prognostic factor of DFS in patients who had received nCRT but was not a factor in patients who had not received nCRT.

CONCLUSION

Serum CEA level was an independent prognostic factor both preoperatively and postoperatively in rectal cancer patients who had received nCRT.

The carcinoembryonic antigen ratio is a potential predictor of survival in recurrent colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) "value" itself is often useless in patients with a normal CEA level at initial presentation and those with tumor-irrelevant elevated CEA. Although the unified marker using CEA has been desirable for recurrent tumor staging as well as for primary tumor staging, little is known concerning its relationship with the survival of patients with recurrent colorectal cancer in particular.

METHODS

This retrospective historical study included patients who experienced disease relapse after curative surgery for stage I-III colorectal cancer between 2006 and 2018. A total of 129 patients with recurrent disease after curative surgery for colorectal cancer were included. We focused on the CEA "ratio" (CEA-R: the ratio of the CEA level at the time of recurrence to that measured 3 months before recurrence) and aimed to evaluate the correlation between CEA-R and survival in recurrent colorectal cancer.

RESULTS

Patients with a high CEA-R (≥ 2) exhibited significantly worse 2 year survival than those with a low CEA-R (< 2) (88.1% vs. 44.9%, P < 0.001), irrespective of the CEA value before primary resection. Multivariate analyses demonstrated that the CEA-R (HR; 3.270, 95% CI 1.646-6.497, P = 0.001) was a significant prognostic factor.

CONCLUSION

The CEA-R is a potential marker stratifying the survival of patients with disease relapse who exhibit aggressive biology at recurrent disease foci. As a novel marker, the CEA-R would serve as a clinical guide for tailoring treatment strategies at the time of disease relapse in patients with colorectal cancer.

Restaging Patients with Rectal Cancer Following Neoadjuvant Chemoradiation: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

In the USA, most patients with clinical stage II/III rectal cancer receive neoadjuvant chemoradiation (chemo/XRT) over 5-6 weeks followed by a 6-10-week break before proctectomy. As chemotherapy is delivered at radio-sensitizing doses, there is essentially a 3-month window during which potential systemic disease is untreated. Evidence regarding the utility of restaging patients prior to proctectomy is limited.

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies evaluating the utility of restaging patients with rectal cancer after completion of long-course chemo/XRT, and reporting associated changes in management. Studies that were non-English, included <50 patients, or examining the diagnostic accuracy of imaging modalities were excluded. Study quality was evaluated using the modified Newcastle Ottawa Scale.

RESULTS

Eight studies were identified including a total of 1251 patients restaged between completion of chemo/XRT and proctectomy. All studies were retrospective. Restaging identified new metastatic disease in 72 (6.0%) patients, with 4 studies reporting specific sites: liver (n = 28), lung (n = 8), adrenal (n = 1), bone (n = 1), and multiple sites (n = 7). Overall progression (distant or local) was detected in 88 (7.0%) patients and resulted in a change in management in 77 (87.5%) of these patients. Tumor-related prognostic characteristics were inconsistently reported among studies, precluding meta-analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Although restaging between completion of neoadjuvant chemo/XRT and proctectomy detects disease progression in only a small percentage of patients, findings alter the treatment plan in the vast majority of these patients. Multi-institutional collaboration with analysis of well-defined prognostic variables may better identify patients most likely to benefit from restaging.

Developing a prediction model based on MRI for pathological complete response after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to build an appropriate diagnostic model for predicting pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), by combining magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) parameters with clinical factors.

METHODS

Eighty-four patients with LARC who underwent MR examination before and after nCRT were enrolled in this study. MRI parameters including cylindrical approximated tumor volume (CATV) and relative signal intensity of tumor (rT2wSI) were measured; corresponding reduction rates (RR) were calculated; and MR tumor regression grade (mrTRG) and other conventional MRI parameters were assessed. Logistic regression with lasso regularization was performed and the appropriate prediction model for pCR was built up. An external cohort of thirty-six patients was used as the validation group for testing the model. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

In the development and the validation group, 17 patients (20.2%) and 11 patients (30.6%), respectively, achieved pCR. Two CATV-related parameters (CATVpost, which is the CATV measured after nCRT and CATVRR), one rT2wSI-related parameter (rT2wSIRR), and mrTRG were the most important parameters for predicting pCR and were retained in the diagnostic model. In the development group, the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) for predicting pCR is 0.88 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.78-0.97, p < 0.001], with a sensitivity of 82.4% and a specificity of 83.6%. In the validation group, the AUC is 0.84 (95% CI 0.70-0.98, p = 0.001), with a sensitivity of 81.8% and a specificity of 76.0%.

CONCLUSION

A diagnostic model including CATVpost, CATVRR, rT2wSIRR, and mrTRG was useful for predicting pCR after nCRT in patients with LARC and may be used as an effective organ-preservation strategy.

Prognostic Role of Carcinoembryonic Antigen Level after Preoperative Chemoradiotherapy in Patients with Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The prognostic role of post-chemoradiotherapy (CRT) carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) level is not clear. We evaluated the prognostic significance of post-CRT CEA level in patients with rectal cancer after preoperative CRT.

METHODS

We reviewed 659 consecutive patients who underwent preoperative CRT and total mesorectal excision for non-metastatic rectal cancer. Patients were categorized into two groups according to post-CRT serum CEA level: low CEA (< 5 ng/mL) and high CEA (≥ 5 ng/mL).

RESULTS

Median post-CRT CEA level was 1.7 ng/mL (range, 0.1-207.0). A high post-CRT level was significantly associated with ypStage, ypT category, tumor regression grade, and pre-CRT CEA level. The 5-year overall survival rate of the 659 patients was 87.8% with a median follow-up period of 57.0 months (range, 1.4-176.4). When the post-CRT CEA groups were divided into groups according to pre-CRT CEA level, the 5-year overall survival rates were significantly different (P < 0.001 and P = 0.001, respectively). Post-CRT CEA level was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival. Multivariate analysis revealed that operation method, differentiation, perineural invasion, postoperative chemotherapy, tumor regression grade, and post-CRT CEA level were independent prognostic factors for overall survival.

CONCLUSION

The level of serum CEA after preoperative CRT was an independent prognostic factor for overall survival in patients with rectal cancer.