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Gichuhi HW, Magumba M, Kumar M, Mayega RW. A machine learning approach to explore individual risk factors for tuberculosis treatment non-adherence in Mukono district. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 3:e0001466. [PMID: 37399173 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0001466] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2022] [Accepted: 06/05/2023] [Indexed: 07/05/2023]
Abstract
Despite the availability and implementation of well-known efficacious interventions for tuberculosis treatment by the Ministry of Health, Uganda (MoH), treatment non-adherence persists. Moreover, identifying a specific tuberculosis patient at risk of treatment non-adherence is still a challenge. Thus, this retrospective study, based on a record review of 838 tuberculosis patients enrolled in six health facilities, presents, and discusses a machine learning approach to explore the individual risk factors predictive of tuberculosis treatment non-adherence in the Mukono district, Uganda. Five classification machine learning algorithms, logistic regression (LR), artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM), random forest (RF), and AdaBoost were trained, and evaluated by computing their accuracy, F1 score, precision, recall, and the area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) through the aid of a confusion matrix. Of the five developed and evaluated algorithms, SVM (91.28%) had the highest accuracy (AdaBoost, 91.05% performed better than SVM when AUC is considered as evaluation parameter). Looking at all five evaluation parameters globally, AdaBoost is quite on par with SVM. Individual risk factors predictive of non-adherence included tuberculosis type, GeneXpert results, sub-country, antiretroviral status, contacts below 5 years, health facility ownership, sputum test results at 2 months, treatment supporter, cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (CPT) dapsone status, risk group, patient age, gender, middle and upper arm circumference, referral, positive sputum test at 5 and 6 months. Therefore, machine learning techniques, specifically classification types, can identify patient factors predictive of treatment non-adherence and accurately differentiate between adherent and non-adherent patients. Thus, tuberculosis program management should consider adopting the classification machine learning techniques evaluated in this study as a screening tool for identifying and targeting suited interventions to these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Haron W Gichuhi
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Mark Magumba
- Department of Information Systems, Makerere University College of Computing, and Information Science, Kampala, Uganda
| | - Manish Kumar
- Public Health Leadership Program, Gilling's School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, United States of America
| | - Roy William Mayega
- Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala, Uganda
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MOHAMMADBEIGI ABOLFAZL, HOSSEINALI-POUR SEYEDABBAS, ALIGOL MOHAMMAD, MOHAMMADI MAHDI, DERAKHSHANI MARYAM, SOLEYMANI-MONFARED MARJAN. Smear grading at initial treatment association with treatment outcomes among new smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients: A retrospective study. JOURNAL OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE AND HYGIENE 2022; 63:E573-E578. [PMID: 36890996 PMCID: PMC9986979 DOI: 10.15167/2421-4248/jpmh2022.63.4.2457] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/05/2022] [Accepted: 10/31/2022] [Indexed: 03/10/2023]
Abstract
Introduction Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the most challenging diseases in diagnosis, treatment and control. We aimed to assess the association of the initial grading of Mycobacterium Sputum Smear (MSS) on the outcomes of TB treatment. Materials and methods In a retrospective study, data of 418 positive pulmonary smear patients were retrieved from the TB registration system in Iran during 2014 to 2021. Patients' data included demographic, laboratory and clinical information and were recorded in our checklist. The grading of Mycobacterium Sputum Smear (MSS) at the initial treatment was assessed based on World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines. Chi-square test was used to assess the relationship between tuberculosis treatment outcomes and Mycobacterium grade at initial treatment in SPSS. Results The mean age of cases was 51.19 ± 22.29 years old and varied between 14 and 95 years. Laboratory results showed that the rate of 1-9, 1+,2+ and 3+ Mycobacterium tuberculosis was 17.7%, 44.3%, 19.4% and 18.7%, respectively. The rate of cure, death and treatment failure in patients was 87.1%, 6.9%, and 1.2%, respectively. The highest mortality rate (11.5%) occurred in patients with 3+ and the lower rate of cure was 79.5% in this group. Moreover, by increasing the Mycobacterium grade the rate of transferred out and lost to follow up from treatment increased (p = 0.024). Conclusion High smear grading of sputum is inversely associated with lower curing and on-time treatment. Moreover, by increasing the Mycobacterium grade at initial treatment, treatment failure and lost to follow up increased Therefore, improvement the health system and patient-diagnosis and screening programs is necessary to on-time diagnosis and facilitate the treatment process.
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Affiliation(s)
- ABOLFAZL MOHAMMADBEIGI
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Faculty of Health, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
| | - SEYED ABBAS HOSSEINALI-POUR
- Disease Prevention and Control Unit, Qom Health Vice chancellor, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
| | - MOHAMMAD ALIGOL
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Health, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
| | - MAHDI MOHAMMADI
- Disease Prevention and Control Unit, Qom Health Vice chancellor, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
| | - MARYAM DERAKHSHANI
- Department of Anesthesiology, Shahid-Beheshti Hospital, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran
- Correspondence: Maryam Derakhshani, Assistant Professor, Department of Anesthesiology, Shahid-Beheshti Hospital, Qom University of Medical Sciences, Qom, Iran. E-mail:
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Maja TF, Maposa D. An Investigation of Risk Factors Associated with Tuberculosis Transmission in South Africa Using Logistic Regression Model. Infect Dis Rep 2022; 14:609-620. [PMID: 36005268 PMCID: PMC9408379 DOI: 10.3390/idr14040066] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/24/2022] [Revised: 07/31/2022] [Accepted: 08/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/30/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: South Africa has a high burden of tuberculosis (TB) disease and is currently not meeting the national and international reduction outcome targets. The TB prevalence rate of South Africa in 2015 was estimated at approximately 690 per 100,000 population per year, with an incidence rate of about 834 per 100,000 population. This study examines risk factors associated with development of TB in South Africa. Materials and Methods: This study utilised readily available open access secondary data of 2019 South African Health and Demographic Survey from Statistics South Africa (StatsSA) website, which was collected from self-reported information relating to TB in the household questionnaire. The factors analysed were of demographic, socio-economic and health nature. Bivariate and binary logistics analyses were carried out from which appropriate inferences were drawn on the association of TB with demographic, socio-economic and health factors. Results: In multivariate analysis the study revealed that age, personal weight, smoke, alcohol, asthma, province of residence, race and usually coughing were significantly associated with an increased risk of having TB. Conclusions and Recommendations: The results strongly suggest that young and older people coming from black and coloured ethic groups, who are asthmatic and cough frequently, and/or smoking and consuming alcohol are at high risk of developing TB. In addition, those who are overweight appear to have an increased risk of TB transmission, with the Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Northern Cape, Free State, North West and Gauteng being the hardest hit provinces. Hence, the study recommends that these factors must be taken into account in the planning and development of TB policies in order to work successfully towards the achievement of sustainable development goal of reducing TB by 80% before 2030.
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Silva SYBE, Medeiros ERD, Silva SBD, Andrade RPDS, Beraldo AA, Pinto ÉSG. Facilities and difficulties in implementation of the tuberculosis control program in Primary Health Care. ABCS HEALTH SCIENCES 2021. [DOI: 10.7322/abcshs.2019132.1396] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction: The Brazilian National Tuberculosis Control Program was created to recommend and direct clinical actions, organizational setting, information systems and surveillance of tuberculosis. The process of implementation of control actions in Primary Care took place in several formats and with different outcomes, due to the influences of local organizational configuration. Objective: To identify the facilities and difficulties reported by nurses in the implementation of the Tuberculosis Control Program in Primary Health Care. Methods: A descriptive cross-sectional study with a quantitative approach, conducted in the city of Natal, Brazil. Data collected from November from 2017 to February 2018, with 80 nurses from Primary Health Care, through a structured questionnaire. Data were categorized according to similarity criteria and analyzed using descriptive statistics. Results: The availability of nurses to work in the program (47.5%) and the presence of materials (31.2%) were the most frequently mentioned facilities. The most frequently mentioned difficulties were: adherence to treatment (21.2%) and the performance of complementary tests (15.0%). Conclusion: The findings of the study may contribute to reflection and planning of actions by health teams, as well as a tool for local managers to organize their services, in order to ensure the person with tuberculosis comprehensive care.
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Dinarvand M, Spain MP, Vafaee F. Pharmacodynamic Functions of Synthetic Derivatives for Treatment of Methicillin-Resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Front Microbiol 2020; 11:551189. [PMID: 33329419 PMCID: PMC7729195 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2020.551189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2020] [Accepted: 11/05/2020] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Drug resistant bacteria have emerged, so robust methods are needed to evaluate combined activities of known antibiotics as well as new synthetic compounds as novel antimicrobial agents to treatment efficacy in severe bacterial infections. Marine natural products (MNPs) have become new strong leads in the drug discovery endeavor and an effective alternative to control infections. Herein, we report the bioassay guided fractionation of marine extracts from the sponges Lendenfeldia, Ircinia, and Dysidea that led us to identify novel compounds with antimicrobial properties. Chemical synthesis of predicted compounds and their analogs has confirmed that the proposed structures may encode novel chemical structures with promising antimicrobial activity against the medically important pathogens. Several of the synthetic analogs exhibited potent and broad spectrum in vitro antibacterial activity, especially against the Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) (MICs to 12.5 μM), Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MICs to 0.02 μM), uropathogenic Escherichia coli (MIC o 6.2 μM), and Pseudomonas aeruginosa (MIC to 3.1 μM). Checkerboard assay (CA) and time-kill studies (TKS) experiments analyzed with the a pharmacodynamic model, have potentials for in vitro evaluation of new and existing antimicrobials. In this study, CA and TKS were used to identify the potential benefits of an antibiotic combination (i.e., synthetic compounds, vancomycin, and rifampicin) for the treatment of MRSA and M. tuberculosis infections. CA experiments indicated that the association of compounds 1a and 2a with vancomycin and compound 3 with rifampicin combination have a synergistic effect against a MRSA and M. tuberculosis infections, respectively. Furthermore, the analysis of TKS uncovered bactericidal and time-dependent properties of the synthetic compounds that may be due to variations in hydrophobicity and mechanisms of action of the molecules tested. The results of cross-referencing antimicrobial activity, and toxicity, CA, and Time-Kill experiments establish that these synthetic compounds are promising potential leads, with a favorable therapeutic index for antimicrobial drug development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mojdeh Dinarvand
- School of Chemistry, Faculty of Science, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Immunology, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
- School of Biotechnology and Biomolecular Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Malcolm P. Spain
- School of Chemistry, Faculty of Science, The University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Fatemeh Vafaee
- School of Biotechnology and Biomolecular Sciences, Faculty of Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
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Dorji T, Wangdi K. Treatment outcome of tuberculosis patient of Samtse General Hospital, Bhutan. Nepal J Epidemiol 2020; 10:888-896. [PMID: 33042592 PMCID: PMC7538015 DOI: 10.3126/nje.v10i3.28397] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/09/2020] [Revised: 09/04/2020] [Accepted: 09/07/2020] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the major public health problems in Bhutan. Evaluation of treatment outcomes of TB and identification of the risk factors are important components for the success of National TB control program. Therefore, this study was undertaken to assess the TB treatment outcome and factors associated with it in Samtse General Hospital. Methods This was a retrospective, cross sectional study using the TB data from Samtse General Hospital from 2008-2019. A univariate and multiple logistic regression was used to check for associations between the outcome and other independent variables. Results The study included a total of 634 TB patients. Of this, 44.0% (279) were smear positive TB (PTB+), 36.1% (229) were extra pulmonary TB (EPTB) and 19.9% (126) were smear negative TB (PTB-). During the study period, 56.2% (356) of them completed treatment, 33.3% (211) were declared cured, 0.2% (1) had defaulted, 5.1% (32) died and 5.4% (34) had treatment failure. The mean treatment success rate (TSR) was 89.4% (567). The TSR was highest for EPTB with 96.9% (222/229), followed by PTB- at 88.1% (111/126) and lowest for PTB+ with 83.9% (234/279). Successful treatment outcome was observed in EPTB patients (AOR: 7.3; 95% CI: 2.46-21.36), patients in age 15-28 years (AOR: 3.4; 95% CI: 1.59-7.46) and 29-42 years (AOR: 9.1; 95% CI: 2.44-33.61). Conclusion The treatment outcome of TB in Samtse General Hospital is satisfactory and at par with the national level. Since, smear positive TB and elderly patients are prone to develop poor treatment outcome, they need to be monitored and followed up adequately.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Kinley Wangdi
- Department of Global Health, Research School of Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia
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Gebretsadik D, Ahmed N, Kebede E, Mohammed M, Belete MA. Prevalence of Tuberculosis by Automated GeneXpert Rifampicin Assay and Associated Risk Factors Among Presumptive Pulmonary Tuberculosis Patients at Ataye District Hospital, North East Ethiopia. Infect Drug Resist 2020; 13:1507-1516. [PMID: 32547120 PMCID: PMC7247715 DOI: 10.2147/idr.s248059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2020] [Accepted: 04/29/2020] [Indexed: 01/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Tuberculosis is a communicable disease that is a major cause of ill health, one of the top 10 causes of death worldwide, and the leading cause of death from a single infectious agent, even ranking above human immuno-deficiency virus (HIV/AIDS). Objective To assess the prevalence and associated risk factor of Mycobacterium tuberculosis among pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) suspects attending at Ataye District Hospital from October 1, 2018, to February 30, 2019. Methodology A facility-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 423 presumptive tuberculosis patients at Ataye District Hospital. Sputum was processed by MTB/RIF Xpert assay. Data were entered into EpiData 3.1 software and exported to SPSS version 20.0 (SPSS, Chicago, IL, USA) for analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to examine the relationship between the dependent and independent variables. Variables that show significance at P-value of 0.3 during univariate analysis were selected for multivariable analysis. A P-value of less than or equal to 0.05 was used to indicate statistical significance. Results Out of the total study participants, about 60% were male, and 39% were aged between 18 and 24 years. Of the total 423 PTB suspected patients, 38 (8.98%) of them were identified as having PTB by GeneXpert and 2/38 (5.3%) were resistant to rifampicin and 3/38 (7.89%) patients were co-infected with HIV. Participant age between 18 and 24 years and between 25 and 34 years, weight loss, chest pain, having contact history with confirmed PTB cases, utilization of congested transportation, and a history of imprisonment were significantly associated with the prevalence of PTB. Conclusion A considerable prevalence of PTB in the area was observed and the magnitude of MDR-TB was low. PTB is still a public health problem in Ethiopia and there is a need for collaborative prevention and control activities in the study area.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel Gebretsadik
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Nuru Ahmed
- Ataye District Hospital, Ataye, Ethiopia
| | - Edosa Kebede
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Miftah Mohammed
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
| | - Melaku Ashagrie Belete
- Department of Medical Laboratory Science, College of Medicine and Health Sciences, Wollo University, Dessie, Ethiopia
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Manyazewal T, Woldeamanuel Y, Holland DP, Fekadu A, Blumberg HM, Marconi VC. Electronic pillbox-enabled self-administered therapy versus standard directly observed therapy for tuberculosis medication adherence and treatment outcomes in Ethiopia (SELFTB): protocol for a multicenter randomized controlled trial. Trials 2020; 21:383. [PMID: 32370774 PMCID: PMC7201596 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-020-04324-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 24] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2020] [Accepted: 04/10/2020] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To address the multifaceted challenges associated with tuberculosis (TB) in-person directly observed therapy (DOT), the World Health Organization recently recommended that countries maximize the use of digital adherence technologies. Sub-Saharan Africa needs to investigate the effectiveness of such technologies in local contexts and proactively contribute to global decisions around patient-centered TB care. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of pillbox-enabled self-administered therapy (SAT) compared to standard DOT on adherence to TB medication and treatment outcomes in Ethiopia. It also aims to assess the usability, acceptability, and cost-effectiveness of the intervention from the patient and provider perspectives. METHODS This is a multicenter, randomized, controlled, open-label, superiority, effectiveness-implementation hybrid, mixed-methods, two-arm trial. The study is designed to enroll 144 outpatients with new or previously treated, bacteriologically confirmed, drug-sensitive pulmonary TB who are eligible to start the standard 6-month first-line anti-TB regimen. Participants in the intervention arm (n = 72) will receive 15 days of HRZE-isoniazid, rifampicin, pyrazinamide, and ethambutol-fixed-dose combination therapy in the evriMED500 medication event reminder monitor device for self-administration. When returned, providers will count any remaining tablets in the device, download the pill-taking data, and refill based on preset criteria. Participants can consult the provider in cases of illness or adverse events outside of scheduled visits. Providers will handle participants in the control arm (n = 72) according to the standard in-person DOT. Both arms will be followed up throughout the 2-month intensive phase. The primary outcomes will be medication adherence and sputum conversion. Adherence to medication will be calculated as the proportion of patients who missed doses in the intervention (pill count) versus DOT (direct observation) arms, confirmed further by IsoScreen urine isoniazid test and a self-report of adherence on eight-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale. Sputum conversion is defined as the proportion of patients with smear conversion following the intensive phase in intervention versus DOT arms, confirmed further by pre-post intensive phase BACTEC MGIT TB liquid culture. Pre-post treatment MGIT drug susceptibility testing will determine whether resistance to anti-TB drugs could have impacted culture conversion. Secondary outcomes will include other clinical outcomes (treatment not completed, death, or loss to follow-up), cost-effectiveness-individual and societal costs with quality-adjusted life years-and acceptability and usability of the intervention by patients and providers. DISCUSSION This study will be the first in Ethiopia, and of the first three in sub-Saharan Africa, to determine whether electronic pillbox-enabled SAT improves adherence to TB medication and treatment outcomes, all without affecting the inherent dignity and economic wellbeing of patients with TB. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04216420. Registered on 2 January 2020.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tsegahun Manyazewal
- Addis Ababa University, College of Health Sciences, Center for Innovative Drug Development and Therapeutic Trials for Africa, P.O. Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Yimtubezinash Woldeamanuel
- Addis Ababa University, College of Health Sciences, Center for Innovative Drug Development and Therapeutic Trials for Africa, P.O. Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - David P. Holland
- Emory University School of Medicine and Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Abebaw Fekadu
- Addis Ababa University, College of Health Sciences, Center for Innovative Drug Development and Therapeutic Trials for Africa, P.O. Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Henry M. Blumberg
- Emory University School of Medicine and Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Vincent C. Marconi
- Emory University School of Medicine and Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
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