Long-Term Outcomes in Adult Patients With Pulmonary Hypertension After Percutaneous Closure of Atrial Septal Defects

Development and Validation of a Nomogram of Persistent Pulmonary Hypertension in Adult Pretricuspid Shunts After Correction

BACKGROUND

Pretricuspid shunts have been associated with poorer survival rates in patients with Eisenmenger syndrome compared with postricuspid shunts and complex lesions. However, the risk stratification for persistent pulmonary hypertension (PH) in this population remains uncertain.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We retrospectively enrolled 103 patients with pretricuspid shunts with high total pulmonary resistance >4.5 Wood units (estimated pulmonary vascular resistance ≥3 Wood units). During a mean±SD follow-up of 20.95±24.84 months, 32 patients developed postoperative persistent PH after shunt correction. We identified 3 significant predictors of postoperative persistent PH, including mean pulmonary artery pressure after inhaled oxygen ≥40.5 mm Hg (odds ratio [OR], 7.78 [95% CI, 2.02-30.03]; P<0.01), total pulmonary resistance after inhaled oxygen ≥6.5 Wood units (estimated pulmonary vascular resistance ≥5 Wood units; OR, 12.23 [95% CI, 2.12-70.46]; P<0.01), and artery oxygen saturation at rest <95% (OR, 3.34 [95% CI, 1.07-10.44]; P=0.04). We established the prediction model with the C-statistics of 0.85 (95% CI, 0.77-0.93; P<0.01), and the C-statistic was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.80-0.86) after bootstrapping 10 000 times with a good performance of the nomogram calibration curve for predicting persistent PH.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study presents a multivariable risk stratification model for persistent PH after shunt correction in adults with pretricuspid shunts. This model, based on 3 hemodynamic predictors after inhaled oxygen, may assist in identifying individuals at higher risk of persistent PH after shunt correction.

Machine learning for clustering and postclosure outcome of adult CHD-PAH patients with borderline hemodynamics

BACKGROUND

Patients with uncorrected isolated simple shunts associated pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) had increased mortality. Treatment strategies for borderline hemodynamics remain controversial. This study aims to investigate preclosure characteristics and its association with postclosure outcome in this group of patients.

METHODS

Adults with uncorrected isolated simple shunts associated PAH were included. Peak tricuspid regurgitation velocity<2.8 m/sec with normalized cardiac structures was defined as the favorable study outcome. We applied unsupervised and supervised machine learning for clustering analysis and model constructions.

RESULTS

Finally, 246 patients were included. During a median follow-up of 414days, 58.49% (62/106) of patients with pretricuspid shunts achieved favorable outcome while 32.22% (46/127) of patients with post-tricuspid shunts. In unsupervised learning, two clusters were identified in both types of shunts. Generally, the oxygen saturation, pulmonary blood flow, cardiac index, dimensions of the right and left atrium, were the major features that characterized the identified clusters. Specifically, mean right atrial pressure, right ventricular dimension, and right ventricular outflow tract helped differentiate clusters in pretricuspid shunts while age, aorta dimension, and systemic vascular resistance helped differentiate clusters for post-tricuspid shunts. Notably, cluster 1 had better postclosure outcome than cluster 2 (70.83% vs 32.55%, p < .001 for pretricuspid and 48.10% vs 16.67%, p < .001 for post-tricuspid). However, models constructed from supervised learning methods did not achieve good accuracy for predicting the postclosure outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

There were two main clusters in patients with borderline hemodynamics, in which one cluster had better postclosure outcome than the other.

Normalization of Four Different Types of Pulmonary Hypertension After Atrial Septal Defect Closure

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is an established risk factor in patients with atrial septal defect (ASD), and its persistence after ASD closure is associated with increased mortality. Therefore, predictors for PH normalization after defect closure are needed. Multiple hemodynamic types of PH exist, but little is known about their prevalence and prognostic value for PH normalization after ASD closure. We carried out a retrospective study on 97 patients (76% female, median age at ASD closure 58 years) with four types of PH determined predominantly by right heart catheterization: hyperkinetic, pulmonary arterial hypertension, isolated post-capillary, and combined pre- and post-capillary. We investigated the frequency of the PH types and their prognostic significance for PH normalization after ASD closure. Frequency of PH types before ASD closure in our study was: hyperkinetic 55%, pulmonary arterial hypertension 10%, isolated post-capillary PH 24%, and combined PH 11%. Hyperkinetic PH type was positively associated with PH normalization after ASD closure (78% patients normalized), remaining a significant independent predictor when adjusted for age at closure, sex, heart failure, and NYHA. Hyperkinetic PH patients also had significantly better survival prognosis versus patients with other PH types (p = 0.04). Combined PH was negatively associated with PH normalization, with no patients normalizing. Pulmonary arterial hypertension and isolated post-capillary PH had intermediate rates of normalization (60 and 52%, respectively). In summary, all four hemodynamic types of PH are found in adult patients with ASD, and they can be used to stratify patients by their likelihood of PH normalization and survival after ASD closure.

Long-Term Survival of Adult Patients With Atrial Septal Defect With Regards to Defect Closure and Pulmonary Hypertension

Background

Atrial septal defect (ASD) is the most common congenital heart disease (CHD) in adults and pulmonary hypertension (PH) is an established risk factor. A decision whether to perform ASD closure, especially in elderly patients with PH, is a complex dilemma. The aim of our study was to compare long-term survival in patients with closed and open ASD.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was performed on 427 patients with ASD (median age at diagnosis 38 years, IQR 18-56) out of which 186 patients (44%) manifested PH. ASD closure in patients with PH was only considered in patients without Eisenmenger syndrome with pulmonary vascular resistance < 5 WU. Median follow-up duration was 18 years (IQR 9-31 years). Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazards survival analyses were performed to evaluate 12 potential predictors of survival.

Results

Defect closure was associated with improved long-term survival in ASD patients both with (P < 0.001) and without PH (P = 0.01) and this association was present also in patients over 40 years. The 20-year survival since diagnosis was significantly higher in patients with PH and closed ASD compared to those with PH and open ASD (65% vs. 41%). ASD closure was a significant independent predictor of long-term survival (P = 0.003) after accounting for age at diagnosis, PH, NYHA class, Eisenmenger syndrome, and mitral regurgitation. Significant negative independent predictors of survival were older age at diagnosis (P < 0.001), Eisenmenger syndrome (P < 0.001), and PH (P = 0.03).

Conclusion

ASD closure appears to be associated with improved long-term survival independently of age, PH, and other clinical variables.