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Abstract
In order to comprehensively grasp the dynamics of karst collapse, promote the comprehensive prevention and control level of karst collapse, and prevent secondary disasters caused by lava collapse, this study presents a method of karst collapse early warning based on the BP neural network. This method does not need to set the sliding surface in the finite element calculation model. The stress of the sliding surface is fitted according to the spatial stress relationship of the deep karst layer through the improved BP neural network PID control algorithm and BP neural network algorithm, which avoids the modeling and mesh generation of the complex sliding block and has good accuracy and ease of use. According to the basic theory of the BP neural network, the calculation formulas of multilayer feedforward and error back propagation processes are derived, and the two-dimensional and three-dimensional finite element models of gravity dams without and with sliding blocks are established, respectively. Finally, according to the common formulas of viscoelastic artificial boundary and equivalent load, the two-dimensional and three-dimensional input programs of the karst fluid state are compiled, and a neural network early warning model is obtained. The experimental results show that the process karst state simulated by the algorithm is very close to the actual situation, and the minimum value of antisliding coefficient and its occurrence time can be accurately predicted, with an error range of less than 3%. Conclusion. BP neural network prediction can effectively predict karst collapse, with higher prediction accuracy, and can effectively simulate the actual collapse risk.
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