Potential for Collider Bias in Studies Examining the Association of Central Corneal Thickness With Glaucoma

Relationship between Intraocular Pressure Fluctuation and Visual Field Progression Rates in the United Kingdom Glaucoma Treatment Study

PURPOSE

To investigate whether intraocular pressure (IOP) fluctuation is associated independently with the rate of visual field (VF) progression in the United Kingdom Glaucoma Treatment Study.

DESIGN

Randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled multicenter trial.

PARTICIPANTS

Participants with ≥5 VFs (213 placebo, 217 treatment).

METHODS

Associations between IOP metrics and VF progression rates (mean deviation [MD] and five fastest locations) were assessed with linear mixed models. Fluctuation variables were mean Pascal ocular pulse amplitude (OPA), standard deviation (SD) of diurnal Goldmann IOP (diurnal fluctuation), and SD of Goldmann IOP at all visits (long-term fluctuation). Fluctuation values were normalized for mean IOP to make them independent from the mean IOP. Correlated nonfluctuation IOP metrics (baseline, peak, mean, supine, and peak phasing IOP) were combined with principal component analysis, and principal component 1 (PC1) was included as a covariate. Interactions between covariates and time from baseline modeled the effect of the variables on VF rates. Analyses were conducted separately in the two treatment arms.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Associations between IOP fluctuation metrics and rates of MD and the five fastest test locations.

RESULTS

In the placebo arm, only PC1 was associated significantly with the MD rate (estimate, -0.19 dB/year [standard error (SE), 0.04 dB/year]; P < 0.001), whereas normalized IOP fluctuation metrics were not. No variable was associated significantly with MD rates in the treatment arm. For the fastest five locations in the placebo group, PC1 (estimate, -0.58 dB/year [SE, 0.16 dB/year]; P < 0.001), central corneal thickness (estimate, 0.26 dB/year [SE, 0.10 dB/year] for 10 μm thicker; P = 0.01) and normalized OPA (estimate, -3.50 dB/year [SE, 1.04 dB/year]; P = 0.001) were associated with rates of progression; normalized diurnal and long-term IOP fluctuations were not. In the treatment group, only PC1 (estimate, -0.27 dB/year [SE, 0.12 dB/year]; P = 0.028) was associated with the rates of progression.

CONCLUSIONS

No evidence supports that either diurnal or long-term IOP fluctuation, as measured in clinical practice, are independent factors for glaucoma progression; other aspects of IOP, including mean IOP and peak IOP, may be more informative. Ocular pulse amplitude may be an independent factor for faster glaucoma progression.

FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S)

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Causal relationship between central corneal thickness and open-angle glaucoma: Evidence from Mendelian randomization

Glaucoma is the leading cause of irreversible blindness worldwide. Previous observational studies have suggested a relationship between central corneal thickness (CCT) and glaucoma; however, the results are inconsistent. This study aimed to investigate whether CCT is associated with a risk for developing open-angle glaucoma (OAG). We employed two-sample Mendelian randomization to assess the relationship between CCT and OAG, namely, primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) and suspected glaucoma. Genetic instruments composed of variants associated with CCT at genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8) were obtained from published genome-wide association studies from Iglesias et al. for discovery and Bonnemaijer et al. for replication. Summary-level statistics for these instruments for the OAG were obtained from the FinnGen Project (Release 10). Inverse-variance-weighted regression of genetic susceptibility predicted that increased CCT was positively associated with an increased risk for POAG (odds ratio [OR], 1.005; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.002-1.008; P = 0.001) and suspected glaucoma (OR, 1.006; 95% CI, 1.003-1.009; P < 0.001). In the replication sample of CCT, increased CCT was also positively associated with an increased risk for POAG (OR, 1.004; 95% CI, 1.000-1.008; P = 0.029) and suspected glaucoma (OR, 1.005; 95% CI, 1.001-1.008; P = 0.013). We found genetic evidence supporting a potential causal association between increased CCT and the risk of POAG and suspected glaucoma in the European population. This findings indicates the clinical significance of CCT in the diagnosis and treatment of glaucoma. Further studies are needed to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of this causal relationship.