Assessing Trends in Functional and Structural Characteristics: A Survey of Statistical Methods With an Example From Ophthalmology

Detection of Glaucoma Deterioration in the Macular Region with Optical Coherence Tomography: Challenges and Solutions

PURPOSE

Macular imaging with optical coherence tomography (OCT) measures the most critical retinal ganglion cells (RGCs) in the human eye. The goal of this perspective is to review the challenges to detection of glaucoma progression with macular OCT imaging and propose ways to enhance its performance.

DESIGN

Perspective with review of relevant literature.

METHODS

Review of challenges and issues related to detection of change on macular OCT images in glaucoma eyes. The primary outcome measures were confounding factors affecting the detection of change on macular OCT images.

RESULTS

The main challenges to detection of structural progression in the macula consist of the magnitude of and the variable amount of test-retest variability among patients, the confounding effect of aging, lack of a reliable and easy-to-measure functional outcome or external standard, the confounding effects of concurrent macular conditions including myopia, and the measurement floor of macular structural outcomes. Potential solutions to these challenges include controlling head tilt or torsion during imaging, estimating within-eye variability for individual patients, improved data visualization, the use of artificial intelligence methods, and the implementation of statistical approaches suitable for multidimensional longitudinal data.

CONCLUSIONS

Macular OCT imaging is a crucial structural imaging modality for assessing central RGCs. Addressing the current shortcomings in acquisition and analysis of macular volume scans can enhance its utility for measuring the health of central RGCs and therefore assist clinicians with timely institution of appropriate treatment.

Focus on Data: Statistical Design of Experiments and Sample Size Selection Using Power Analysis

Purpose

To provide information to visual scientists on how to optimally design experiments and how to select an appropriate sample size, which is often referred to as a power analysis.

Methods

Statistical guidelines are provided outlining good principles of experimental design, including replication, randomization, blocking or grouping of subjects, multifactorial design, and sequential approach to experimentation. In addition, principles of power analysis for calculating required sample size are outlined for different experimental designs and examples are given for calculating power and factors influencing it.

Results

The interaction between power, sample size and standardized effect size are shown. The following results are also provided: sample size increases with power, sample size increases with decreasing detectable difference, sample size increases proportionally to the variance, and two-sided tests, without preference as to whether the mean increases or decreases, require a larger sample size than one-sided tests.

Conclusions

This review outlines principles for good experimental design and methods for power analysis for typical sample size calculations that visual scientists encounter when designing experiments of normal and non-Gaussian sample distributions.

Association of Optical Coherence Tomography With Longitudinal Neurodegeneration in Veterans With Chronic Mild Traumatic Brain Injury

IMPORTANCE

Mild traumatic brain injury (TBI) may predispose individuals to progressive neurodegeneration.

OBJECTIVE

To identify evidence of neurodegeneration through longitudinal evaluation of changes in retinal layer thickness using optical coherence tomography in veterans with a history of mild TBI.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This longitudinal cohort study evaluated veterans who were receiving services at the Minneapolis Veterans Affairs Health Care System. Symptomatic or mild TBI was diagnosed according to the Mayo TBI Severity Classification System. Participants in the age-matched control group had no history of TBI. Participants with any history or evidence of retinal or optic nerve disease that could affect retinal thickness were excluded. Data analysis was performed from July 2019 to February 2020.

EXPOSURES

The presence and severity of mild TBI were determined through consensus review of self-report responses during the Minnesota Blast Exposure Screening Tool semistructured interview.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Change over time of retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness.

RESULTS

A total of 139 veterans (117 men [84%]; mean [SD] age, 49.9 [11.1] years) were included in the study, 69 in the TBI group and 70 in the control group. Veterans with mild TBI showed significantly greater RNFL thinning compared with controls (mean [SE] RNFL slope, -1.47 [0.24] μm/y vs -0.31 [0.32] μm/y; F1,122 = 8.42; P = .004; Cohen d = 0.52). Functionally, veterans with mild TBI showed greater declines in visual field mean deviation (mean [SE] slope, -0.09 [0.14] dB/y vs 0.46 [0.23] dB/y; F1,122 = 4.08; P = .046; Cohen d = 0.36) and pattern standard deviation (mean [SE] slope, 0.09 [0.06] dB/y vs -0.10 [0.07] dB/y; F1,122 = 4.78; P = .03; Cohen d = 0.39) and high spatial frequency (12 cycles/degree) contrast sensitivity compared with controls. Cognitively, there was a significantly greater decrease in the number of errors over time during the Groton Maze Learning Test (GMLT) in controls compared with veterans with mild TBI (mean [SE] slope, -9.30 [1.48] errors/y vs -5.23 [1.24] errors/y; F1,127 = 4.43; P = .04; Cohen d = 0.37). RNFL tissue loss was significantly correlated with both worsening performance on the GMLT over time (Spearman ρ = -0.20; P = .03) and mild TBI severity (Spearman ρ = -0.25; P = .006). The more severe the mild TBI (larger Minnesota Blast Exposure Screening Tool severity score), the faster the reduction in RNFL thickness (ie, the more negative the slope) across time.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This cohort study found longitudinal evidence for significant, progressive neural degeneration over time in veterans with mild TBI, as indicated by greater RNFL tissue loss in patients with mild TBI vs controls, as well as measures of function. These results suggest that these longitudinal measures may be useful biomarkers of neurodegeneration. Changes in this biomarker may provide early detection of subsequent cognitive and functional deficits that may impact veterans' independence and need for care.

Macular imaging with optical coherence tomography in glaucoma

With the advent of spectral-domain optical coherence tomography, imaging of the posterior segment of the eye can be carried out rapidly at multiple anatomical locations, including the optic nerve head, circumpapillary retinal nerve fiber layer, and macula. There is now ample evidence to support the role of spectral-domain optical coherence tomography imaging of the macula for detection of early glaucoma. Macular spectral-domain optical coherence tomography measurements demonstrate high reproducibility, and evidence on its utility for detection of glaucoma progression is accumulating. We present a comprehensive review of macular spectral-domain optical coherence tomography imaging emerging as an essential diagnostic tool in glaucoma.

Comparison of Short- And Long-Term Variability in Standard Perimetry and Spectral Domain Optical Coherence Tomography in Glaucoma

PURPOSE

To assess short- and long-term variability on standard automated perimetry (SAP) and spectral domain optical coherence tomography (SD-OCT) in glaucoma.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort.

METHODS

Ordinary least squares linear regression of SAP mean deviation (MD) and SD-OCT global retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness were fitted over time for sequential tests conducted within 5 weeks (short-term testing) and annually (long-term testing). Residuals were obtained by subtracting the predicted and observed values, and each patient's standard deviation (SD) of the residuals was used as a measure of variability. Wilcoxon signed-rank test was performed to test the hypothesis of equality between short- and long-term variability.

RESULTS

A total of 43 eyes of 43 glaucoma subjects were included. Subjects had a mean 4.5 ± 0.8 SAP and OCT tests for short-term variability assessment. For long-term variability, the same number of tests were performed and results annually collected over an average of 4.0 ± 0.8 years. The average SD of the residuals was significantly higher in the long-term than in the short-term period for both tests: 1.05 ± 0.70 dB vs. 0.61 ± 0.34 dB, respectively (P < 0.001) for SAP MD and 1.95 ± 1.86 μm vs. 0.81 ± 0.56 μm, respectively (P < 0.001) for SD-OCT RNFL thickness.

CONCLUSIONS

Long-term variability was higher than short-term variability on SD-OCT and SAP. Because current event-based algorithms for detection of glaucoma progression on SAP and SD-OCT have relied on short-term variability data to establish their normative databases, these algorithms may be underestimating the variability in the long-term and thus may overestimate progression over time.