Estimation of colon cancer grade and metastatic lymph node involvement using DWI/ADC sequences

Three-dimensional pseudo-continuous arterial spin-labelled perfusion imaging for diagnosing upper cervical lymph node metastasis in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma: a whole-node histogram analysis

AIM

To evaluate whole-node histogram parameters of blood flow (BF) maps derived from three-dimensional pseudo-continuous arterial spin-labelled (3D pCASL) imaging in discriminating metastatic from benign upper cervical lymph nodes (UCLNs) for nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Eighty NPC patients with a total of 170 histologically confirmed UCLNs (67 benign and 103 metastatic) were included retrospectively. Pre-treatment 3D pCASL imaging was performed and whole-node histogram analysis was then applied. Histogram parameters and morphological features, such as minimum axis diameter (MinAD), maximum axis diameter (MaxAD), and location of UCLNs, were assessed and compared between benign and metastatic lesions. Predictors were identified and further applied to establish a combined model by multivariate logistic regression in predicting the probability of metastatic UCLNs. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the diagnostic performance.

RESULTS

Metastatic UCLNs had larger MinAD and MinAD/MaxAD ratio, greater energy and entropy values, and higher incidence of level II (upper jugular group), but lower BF10th value than benign nodes (all p<0.05). MinAD, BF10th, energy, and entropy were validated as independent predictors in diagnosing metastatic UCLNs. The combined model yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.932, accuracy of 84.42 %, sensitivity of 80.6 %, and specificity of 90.29 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Whole-node histogram analysis on BF maps is a feasible tool to differentiate metastatic from benign UCLNs in NPC patients, and the combined model can further improve the diagnostic efficacy.

Estimating Treatment Effect of Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Elderly Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer Using Bayesian Networks

PURPOSE

While adjuvant therapy with capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) has been proven to be effective in stage III colon cancer, capecitabine monotherapy (CapMono) might be equally effective in elderly patients. Unfortunately, the elderly are under-represented in clinical trials and patients included may not be representative of the routine care population. Observational data might alleviate this problem but is sensitive to biases such as confounding by indication. Here, we build causal models using Bayesian Networks (BNs), identify confounders, and estimate the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy using survival analyses.

METHODS

Patients 70 years and older were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (N = 982). We developed several BNs using constraint-based, score-based, and hybrid algorithms while precluding noncausal relations. In addition, we created models using a limited set of recurrence and survival nodes. Potential confounders were identified through the resulting graphs. Several Cox models were fitted correcting for confounders and for propensity scores.

RESULTS

When comparing adjuvant treatment with surgery only, pathological lymph node classification, physical status, and age were identified as potential confounders. Adjuvant treatment was significantly associated with survival in all Cox models, with hazard ratios between 0.39 and 0.45; CIs overlapped. BNs investigating CAPOX versus CapMono did not find any association between the treatment choice and survival and thus no confounders. Analyses using Cox models did not identify significant association either.

CONCLUSION

We were able to successfully leverage BN structure learning algorithms in conjunction with clinical knowledge to create causal models. While confounders differed depending on the algorithm and included nodes, results were not contradictory. We found a strong effect of adjuvant therapy on survival in our cohort. Additional oxaliplatin did not have a marked effect and should be avoided in elderly patients.