An 8-gene DNA methylation signature predicts the recurrence risk of cervical cancer

MRI radiomics and nutritional-inflammatory biomarkers: a powerful combination for predicting progression-free survival in cervical cancer patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop and validate a predictive model that integrates clinical features, MRI radiomics, and nutritional-inflammatory biomarkers to forecast progression-free survival (PFS) in cervical cancer (CC) patients undergoing concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT). The goal is to identify high-risk patients and guide personalized treatment.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 188 patients from two centers, divided into training (132) and validation (56) sets. Clinical data, systemic inflammatory markers, and immune-nutritional indices were collected. Radiomic features from three MRI sequences were extracted and selected for predictive value. We developed and evaluated five models incorporating clinical features, nutritional-inflammatory indicators, and radiomics using C-index. The best-performing model was used to create a nomogram, which was validated through ROC curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Model 5, which integrates clinical features, Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index (SII), Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI), and MRI radiomics, showed the highest performance. It achieved a C-index of 0.833 (95% CI: 0.792-0.874) in the training set and 0.789 (95% CI: 0.679-0.899) in the validation set. The nomogram derived from Model 5 effectively stratified patients into risk groups, with AUCs of 0.833, 0.941, and 0.973 for 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year PFS in the training set, and 0.812, 0.940, and 0.944 in the validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

The integrated model combining clinical features, nutritional-inflammatory biomarkers, and radiomics offers a robust tool for predicting PFS in CC patients undergoing CCRT. The nomogram provides precise predictions, supporting its application in personalized patient management.

Comprehensive assessment of postoperative recurrence and survival in patients with cervical cancer

BACKGROUND

The prediction of postoperative recurrence and survival in cervical cancer patients has been a major clinical challenge. The combination of clinical parameters, inflammatory markers, intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion-weighted imaging (IVIM-DWI), and MRI-derived radiomics is expected to support the prediction of recurrence-free survival (RFS), disease-free survival (DFS), tumor-specific survival (CSS), and overall survival (OS) of cervical cancer patients after surgery.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis of 181 cervical cancer patients with continuous follow-up was completed. The parameters of IVIM-DWI and radiomics were measured, analyzed, and screened. The LASSO regularization was used to calculate the radiomics score (Rad-score). Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to construct nomogram models for predicting postoperative RFS, DFS, CSS, and OS in cervical cancer patients, with internal and external validation.

RESULTS

Clinical stage, parametrial infiltration, internal irradiation, D-value, and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for RFS; Squamous cell carcinoma antigen, internal irradiation, D-value, f-value and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for DFS; Maximum tumor diameter, lymph node metastasis, platelets, D-value and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for CSS; Lymph node metastasis, systemic inflammation response index, D-value and Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for OS. The AUCs of each model predicting RFS, DFS, CSS, and OS at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.985, 0.929, 0.910 and 0.833, 0.818, 0.816 and 0.832, 0.863, 0.891 and 0.804, 0.812, 0.870, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Nomograms based on clinical and imaging parameters showed high clinical value in predicting postoperative RFS, DFS, CSS, and OS of cervical cancer patients and can be used as prognostic markers.

Promising predictive molecular biomarkers for cervical cancer (Review)

Cervical cancer (CC) constitutes a serious public health problem. Vaccination and screening programs have notably reduced the incidence of CC worldwide by >80%; however, the mortality rate in low‑income countries remains high. The staging of CC is a determining factor in therapeutic strategies: The clinical management of early stages of CC includes surgery and/or radiotherapy, whereas radiotherapy and/or concurrent chemotherapy are the recommended therapeutic strategies for locally advanced CC. The histopathological characteristics of tumors can effectively serve as prognostic markers of radiotherapy response; however, the efficacy rate of radiotherapy may significantly differ among cancer patients. Failure of radiotherapy is commonly associated with a higher risk of recurrence, persistence and metastasis; therefore, radioresistance remains the most important and unresolved clinical problem. This condition highlights the importance of precision medicine in searching for possible predictive biomarkers to timely identify patients at risk of treatment response failure and provide tailored therapeutic strategies according to genetic and epigenetic characteristics. The present review aimed to summarize the evidence that supports the role of several proteins, methylation markers and non‑coding RNAs as potential predictive biomarkers for CC.

A robust panel based on genomic methylation sites for recurrence-free survival in early hepatocellular carcinoma

Purpose

Altered gene methylation precedes altered gene expression and the onset of disease. This study aimed to develop a potential model for predicting recurrence of early to mid-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using methylation loci.

Methods

We used data from early to mid-stage HCC patients (TNM I-II) in the TCGA-LIHC dataset and lasso-cox regression model to identify an 18-DNA methylation site panel from which to calculate the riskScore of patients. The correlation of high/low riskScore with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and immune microenvironment in HCC patients was analyzed by bioinformatics. It was also validated in the GSE56588 dataset and the final dynamic nomogram was constructed.

Results

The results showed that riskScore was significantly correlated with RFS in HCC patients. The differential mutated genes between the two groups of HCC patients with high/low riskScore were mainly enriched in the TP53 signaling pathway. The immune microenvironment was better in HCC patients in the low-riskScore group compared to the high-riskScore group. This was validated in the GSE56588 dataset. Based on the subgroup stratification analysis of the relationship between high/low riskScore and RFS, as well as univariate and multivariate cox analyses, the riskScore was found to be independent of clinical indicators. We found that riskScore, vascular invasion and cirrhosis status could effectively differentiate RFS in HCC patients, and we also constructed prediction model based on these three factors. The model we constructed were validated in the TCGA-LIHC database and a web calculator was built for clinical use.

Conclusion

The methylation riskScore is a predictor of RFS independent of clinical factors and can be used as a marker to predict recurrence in HCC patients.

Gynecological cancer prognosis using machine learning techniques: A systematic review of last three decades (1990–2022)

OBJECTIVE

Many Computer Aided Prognostic (CAP) systems based on machine learning techniques have been proposed in the field of oncology. The objective of this systematic review was to assess and critically appraise the methodologies and approaches used in predicting the prognosis of gynecological cancers using CAPs.

METHODS

Electronic databases were used to systematically search for studies utilizing machine learning methods in gynecological cancers. Study risk of bias (ROB) and applicability were assessed using the PROBAST tool. 139 studies met the inclusion criteria, of which 71 predicted outcomes for ovarian cancer patients, 41 predicted outcomes for cervical cancer patients, 28 predicted outcomes for uterine cancer patients, and 2 predicted outcomes for gynecological malignancies broadly.

RESULTS

Random forest (22.30 %) and support vector machine (21.58 %) classifiers were used most commonly. Use of clinicopathological, genomic and radiomic data as predictors was observed in 48.20 %, 51.08 % and 17.27 % of studies, respectively, with some studies using multiple modalities. 21.58 % of studies were externally validated. Twenty-three individual studies compared ML and non-ML methods. Study quality was highly variable and methodologies, statistical reporting and outcome measures were inconsistent, preventing generalized commentary or meta-analysis of performance outcomes.

CONCLUSION

There is significant variability in model development when prognosticating gynecological malignancies with respect to variable selection, machine learning (ML) methods and endpoint selection. This heterogeneity prevents meta-analysis and conclusions regarding the superiority of ML methods. Furthermore, PROBAST-mediated ROB and applicability analysis demonstrates concern for the translatability of existing models. This review identifies ways that this can be improved upon in future works to develop robust, clinically translatable models within this promising field.

Nomograms Combining Clinical and Imaging Parameters to Predict Recurrence and Disease-free Survival After Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy in Patients With Locally Advanced Cervical Cancer

PURPOSES

To investigate the value of nomograms based on clinical prognostic factors (CPF), intravoxel incoherent motion diffusion weighted imaging (IVIM-DWI) and MRI-derived radiomics in predicting recurrence and disease-free survival (DFS) after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) for locally advanced cervical cancer (LACC).

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of data from 115 patients with ⅠB-ⅣA cervical cancer who underwent CCRT and had been followed up consistently. All patients were randomized 2:1 into training and validation groups. Pre-treatment IVIM-DWI parameters (ADC-value, D-value, D*-value and f-value) and pre- and post-treatment three-dimensional radiomics parameters (from axial T₂WI) of primary lesions were measured. The LASSO algorithm and Logistic regression analysis were used to filter texture features and calculate radiomics score (Rad-score). Multivariate Logistic and Cox regression analysis was used to construct nomograms to predict recurrence and DFS for patients with LACC after CCRT respectively, with internal and external validation.

RESULTS

External beam radiotherapy dose, f-value, pre-treatment and post-treatment Rad-score were independent prognostic factors for recurrence and DFS in patients with cervical cancer, forming Model1 and Model2, with OR values of 0.480, 1.318, 3.071, 3.200 and HR values of 0.322, 3.372, 5.138, 7.204. The area under the curve (AUC) of Model1 for predicting recurrence of cervical cancer was 0.977, with internal and external validation C-indexes of 0.977 and 0.962. The AUC for Model2 predicting disease-free survival (DFS) at 1, 3, and 5 years was 0.895, 0.888 and 0.916 respectively, with internal and external C-indexes of 0.860 and 0.892. The decision curves analysis and clinical impact curves further indicate the high predictive efficiency and stability of nomograms.

CONCLUSION

The nomograms based on clinical, IVIM-DWI and radiomics parameters have high clinical value in predicting recurrence and DFS of patients with LACC after CCRT and can provide a reference for prognostic assessment and individualized treatment of cervical cancer patients.