Red blood cell distribution width and serum CA-125 level as prognostic markers in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

A Prediction Model for In-Hospital Mortality of Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients Based on Red Cell Distribution Width-to-Platelet Ratio

Purpose

To explore the association between red cell distribution width (RDW)-to-platelet ratio (RPR) and in-hospital mortality of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) patients and establish a prediction model based on RPR and other predictors.

Material and Methods

This cohort study included 1922 AECOPD patients aged ≥18 years in the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC)-III and MIMIC-IV as well as 1738 AECOPD patients from eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). Possible confounding factors were screened out by univariate logistic regression, and multivariable logistic regression was applied to evaluate the association between RPR and in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients. The area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) curve were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of the model. The median follow-up time was 3.14 (1.87, 6.25) day.

Results

At the end of follow-up, there were 1660 patients survived and 262 subjects died. After adjusting for confounders, we found that Log (RPR×1000) was linked with elevated risk of in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients [odds ratio (OR)=1.36, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01-1.84]. The prediction model was constructed using predictors including Log (RPR×1000), age, malignant cancer, atrial fibrillation, ventilation, renal failure, diastolic blood pressure (DBP), temperature, Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score, white blood cell (WBC), creatinine, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), hemoglobin, infectious diseases and anion gap. The AUC of the prediction model was 0.785 (95% CI: 0.751-0.820) in the training set, 0.721 (95% CI: 0.662-0.780) in the testing set, and 0.795 (95% CI: 0.762-0.827) in the validation set.

Conclusion

RPR was associated with the in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients. The prediction model for the in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients based on RPR and other predictors presented good predictive performance, which might help the clinicians to quickly identify AECOPD patients at high risk of in-hospital mortality.

The Emerging Clinical Significance of the Red Cell Distribution Width as a Biomarker in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: A Systematic Review

There is an intense focus on the identification of novel biomarkers of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) to enhance clinical decisions in patients with stable disease and acute exacerbations (AECOPD). Though several local (airway) and circulatory inflammatory biomarkers have been proposed, emerging evidence also suggests a potential role for routine haematological parameters, e.g., the red cell distribution width (RDW). We conducted a systematic literature search in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus, from inception to April 2022, for articles investigating the diagnostic and prognostic role of the RDW in stable COPD and AECOPD. The risk of bias was assessed using the Joanna Briggs Institute Critical Appraisal Checklist. Significant associations between the RDW and the presence and severity of disease, outcomes (mortality, hospital readmission), and other relevant clinical parameters (right heart failure, pulmonary arterial hypertension) were reported in 13 out of 16 studies in stable COPD (low risk of bias in 11 studies), and 17 out of 21 studies of AECOPD (low risk of bias in 11 studies). Pending further research, our systematic review suggests that the RDW might be useful, singly or in combination with other parameters, for the diagnosis and risk stratification of patients with stable COPD and AECOPD (PROSPERO registration number: CRD42022348304).

Can red blood cell distribution width (RDW) level predict the severity of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD)?

BACKGROUND

Elevated red blood cell distribution width (RDW) levels were associated with mortality in patients with stable chronic obstructive lung pulmonary diseases (COPD). There are limited data about RDW levels in acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD).

AIM/OBJECTIVE

The association of the RDW levels with the severity of AECOPD was evaluated according to admission location, (outpatient-clinic, ward and intensive care unit (ICU)).

METHODS

Cross sectional retrospective study was designed in tertiary care hospital for chest diseases in 2015. Previously COPD diagnosed patients admitted to hospital outpatient-clinic, ward and ICU due to AECOPD were included in the study. Patients demographics, RDW, biomarkers (CRP, RDW, Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to mean platelet volume (PLT-MPV)) C-CRP, biochemistry values were recorded from hospital electronic system. RDW values were subdivided below 0.11% (low), above and equal 0.15% (high) and between 0.11%-0.15% (normal). Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to mean platelet volume (PLT-MPV) were also calculated. Biomarker values were compared according to where AECOPD was treated.

RESULTS

2771 COPD patients (33% female) and 1429 outpatients-clinic, 1156 ward and 186 ICU were enrolled in the study. The median RDW values in outpatients-clinic, ward and ICU were 0.16 (0.09-0.26), 0.07 (0.01-0.14) and 0.01 (0.00-0.07) respectively (P < .001). In outpatient to ward and ICU, low RDW values were significantly increased (31%, 66%, 83%, respectively) and high RDW values significantly decreased (54%, 24%, 10%) (P < .001). According to attack severity, low RDW values were determined.

CONCLUSION

Patients with AECOPD, lower RDW values should be considered carefully. Lower RDW can be used for decision of COPD exacerbation severity and follow up treatment response.