Preliminary Results of Clinical Evaluation of the Free/Total Prostate-Specific Antigen Ratio in a Multicentric Study

A meta-analysis of the performance characteristics of the free prostate-specific antigen test

OBJECTIVES

To conduct a meta-analysis of the diagnostic performance of the percent free prostate-specific antigen (%fPSA) test in determining prostate cancer status and to assess its value in helping to decide whether to biopsy the prostate.

METHODS

Articles identified through a MEDLINE search were included if they presented adequate original primary data to calculate a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in subjects possessing histopathologically verified diagnoses. Articles containing subjects with concurrent, non-prostate-related genitourinary conditions were excluded. Percent free PSA sensitivity, specificity, ROC curves, and positive likelihood ratios were calculated for all PSA ranges and for the reflex range of PSA between 4 and 10 ng/mL.

RESULTS

Among the 41 studies, containing 19,643 subjects, area under the curve for %fPSA was 0.70 for all PSA levels, decreasing to 0.68 in the reflex range. A test cutoff of 20% would lead to 92% sensitivity and 23% specificity. Positive likelihood ratios ranged from 1.0 to 4.0, exceeding 2.0 at %fPSA of 15% or less. Within the reflex range, however, likelihood ratios exceeded 2.0 only at %fPSA of 7% or less.

CONCLUSIONS

Percent free PSA can be a useful adjunct to PSA for primary prostate cancer screening only under certain defined situations. In the "gray zone," or reflex range, of PSA testing, %fPSA improves clinical information only when levels reach extreme values.

Case-control and two-gate designs in diagnostic accuracy studies

BACKGROUND

In some diagnostic accuracy studies, the test results of a series of patients with an established diagnosis are compared with those of a control group. Such case-control designs are intuitively appealing, but they have also been criticized for leading to inflated estimates of accuracy.

METHODS

We discuss similarities and differences between diagnostic and etiologic case-control studies, as well as the mechanisms that can lead to variation in estimates of diagnostic accuracy in studies with separate sampling schemes ("gates") for diseased (cases) and nondiseased individuals (controls).

RESULTS

Diagnostic accuracy studies are cross-sectional and descriptive in nature. Etiologic case-control studies aim to quantify the effect of potential causal exposures on disease occurrence, which inherently involves a time window between exposure and disease occurrence. Researchers and readers should be aware of spectrum effects in diagnostic case-control studies as a result of the restricted sampling of cases and/or controls, which can lead to changes in estimates of diagnostic accuracy. These spectrum effects may be advantageous in the early investigation of a new diagnostic test, but for an overall evaluation of the clinical performance of a test, case-control studies should closely mimic cross-sectional diagnostic studies.

CONCLUSIONS

As the accuracy of a test is likely to vary across subgroups of patients, researchers and clinicians might carefully consider the potential for spectrum effects in all designs and analyses, particularly in diagnostic accuracy studies with differential sampling schemes for diseased (cases) and nondiseased individuals (controls).

Using multiple cutpoints for the free-to-total prostate specific antigen ratio improves the accuracy of prostate cancer detection

BACKGROUND

Using a single cutpoint for the free-to-total (F/T) prostate specific antigen (PSA) ratio loses important diagnostic information. We evaluated the performance of multiple F/T PSA cutpoints in detecting prostate cancer in men with nonspecific PSA values.

METHODS

We extracted sensitivity and specificity data from 12 studies reporting on >or=30 cancer patients with PSA values between 2.0 and 10.0 ng/mL. We calculated stratum-specific likelihood ratios (LR) and areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.

RESULTS

Multiple cutpoints for the F/T PSA ratio significantly increased the area under the ROC (0.70) compared with the single investigator-selected cutpoint (0.62), P < 0.004. The LR for the most positive cutpoint stratum (2.62) was significantly higher than the LR for a positive test from the single cutpoint (1.36), P < 0.004.

CONCLUSIONS

Using multiple cutpoints increased the discriminating power of the F/T PSA ratio and led to greater probability revisions in the most positive test-result strata.

Using the free-to-total prostate-specific antigen ratio to detect prostate cancer in men with nonspecific elevations of prostate-specific antigen levels

BACKGROUND

Prostate-specific antigen (PSA) levels between 4.0 to 10.0 ng/ml have poor specificity in prostate cancer screening, leading to unnecessary biopsies.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the free-to-total PSA ratio (F/T PSA) improved the diagnostic accuracy of these nonspecific PSA levels.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

MEDLINE searchedwas from 1986 to 1997. Additional studies were identified from article bibliographies and by searching urology journals. Two investigators independently identified English-language studies providing F/T PSA ratio test-operating characteristics data on > or = 10 cancer patients with PSA values between 2.0 and 10.0 ng/ml. Twenty-one of 90 retrieved studies met selection criteria. Two investigators independently extracted data on methodology and diagnostic performance. Investigator-selected cut points for the optimal F/T PSA ratio had a median likelihood ratio of 1.76 (interquartile range, 1.40 to 2.11) for a positive test and 0.27 (0.20 to 0.40) for a negative test. Assuming a 25% pretest probability of cancer, the posttest probabilities were 37% following a positive test and 8% following a negative test. The summary receiver operating characteristic curve showed that maintaining test sensitivity above 90% was associated with false positive rates of 60% to 90%. Methodologic problems limited the validity and generalizability of the literature.

CONCLUSIONS

A negative test reduced the posttest probability of cancer to approximately 10%. However, patients may find that this probability is not low enough to avoid undergoing prostate biopsy. The optimal F/T PSA ratio cut point and precise estimates for test specificity still need to be determined.