Would You Be Surprised if This Patient Died in the Next 12 Months? Using the Surprise Question to Increase Palliative Care Consults From the Emergency Department

Palliative care screening tools in Japan: cross-sectional utility study

OBJECTIVES

In Japan's ageing society, the utility of US-based and UK-based palliative care screening tools in the inpatient setting is unknown. The purpose of this study is to identify the unmet palliative care needs of patients who are admitted to an acute care hospital using the US-based and UK-based screening tools.

METHODS

This single-centre, cross-sectional study included patients who were admitted to an acute care hospital in Tokyo, Japan, from November 2019 to January 2020. We used the Supportive and Palliative Care Indicator Tool and Palliative Care Screening Tool in the Emergency Department among admitted patients.

RESULTS

126 patients (51.6%) were screened positive in total. Among these patients, the main comorbid conditions were dementia/frailty (85.7%) and neurological disease (50.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

One out of every two internal medicine inpatients at acute care hospitals may have palliative care needs. Given the lack of adequate palliative care workforce in Japan, a modified screening tool to capture the most high-risk patients may be necessary.

The Prognostic Value of the Modified Surprise Question in Critically Ill Emergency Department Patients

Objective: The initiation of palliative care (PC) in the emergency department (ED) is effective in improving the quality of life for seriously ill patients. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of the modified surprise question (mSQ), "Would you be surprised if this patient died in the next 30 days?" as a trigger for initiating PC in critically ill ED patients. Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study over a 6-month period in an ED, during which 22 emergency residents answered the mSQ for critically ill ED patients (Korean Triage and Acuity Scale 1 or 2). The primary outcome was the accuracy of the positive mSQ (negative response to the mSQ) in predicting 30-day mortality, and logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the prognostic factors. Results: A total of 300 patients were enrolled, and the positive mSQ group included 118 (39.3%) patients. The 30-day mortality rate of the cohort was 10.0%. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the positive mSQ were 83.3%, 65.6%, 21.2%, and 97.3%, respectively, with a c-statistic of 0.74 and a positive likelihood ratio of 2.42. In a multivariable analysis controlling for clinically relevant variables, the odds ratio for 30-day mortality of the positive mSQ was 4.76 (95% confidence interval, 1.61-14.09; P = .005). Conclusions: The mSQ may be valuable for identifying critically ill ED patients with an increased risk of 30-day mortality. Therefore, it may be utilized as a trigger for PC consultation in the ED.

Nurse-led supportive Coordinated Transitional Care (CTraC) program improves care for veterans with serious illness

BACKGROUND

The Coordinated Transitional Care (CTraC) program is a telephone-based, nurse-driven program shown to decrease readmissions. The aim of this project was to implement and evaluate an adapted version of CTraC, Supportive CTraC, to improve the quality of transitional and end-of-life care for veterans with serious illness.

METHODS

We used the Replicating Effective Programs framework to guide adaptation and implementation. An RN nurse case manager (NCM) with experience in geriatrics and palliative care worked closely with inpatient and outpatient care teams to coordinate care. Eligible patients had a life-limiting diagnosis with substantial functional impairment and were not enrolled in hospice. The NCM identified veterans at VA Boston Healthcare System during an acute admission and delivered a protocolized intervention to define care needs and preferences, align care with patient values, optimize discharge plans, and provide ongoing, intensive phone-based case management. To evaluate efficacy, we matched each Supportive CTraC enrollee 1:1 to a contemporary comparison subject by age, risk of death or hospitalization, and discharge diagnosis. We used Kaplan-Meier plots and Cox-Proportional Hazards models to evaluate outcomes. Outcomes included palliative and hospice care use, acute care use, Massachusetts Medical Orders for Life Sustaining Treatment documentation, and survival.

RESULTS

The NCM enrolled 104 veterans with high protocol fidelity. Over 1.5 years of follow-up, Supportive CTraC enrollees were 61% more likely to enroll in hospice than the comparison group (n = 57 vs. 39; HR = 1.61; 95% CI = 1.07-2.43). While overall acute care use was similar between groups, Supportive CTraC patients had fewer ICU admissions (n = 36 vs. 53; p = 0.005), were more likely to die in hospice (53 vs. 34; p = 0.008), and twice as likely to die at home with hospice (32.0 vs. 15.5; p = 0.02). There was no difference in survival between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

A nurse-driven transitional care program for veterans with serious illness is feasible and effective at improving end-of-life outcomes.

Nursing Home Staff Perceptions of End-of-Life Care for Residents With Advanced Dementia: A Multisite Qualitative Study

Nursing homes (NHs) are an important site of death for residents with advanced dementia. Few studies have explored the experiences of NH staff about providing end-of-life care for residents with advanced dementia. This study aimed to describe NH staff perceptions on where end-of-life care should be delivered, the role of Medicare hospice care, and their experiences providing end-of-life care to residents with advanced dementia. Data from the Assessment of Disparities and Variation for Alzheimer's disease Nursing home Care at End of life study were used to explore the study objectives. Semistructured interviews with 158 NH staff working in 13 NHs across the United States were analyzed. Most NH staff endorsed the NH as a better site of death for residents with advanced dementia compared with a hospital. They expressed mixed perceptions about hospice care. However, regardless of their role, the staff expressed experiencing difficult emotions while providing end-of-life care to residents with dementia because of the close attachments they had formed with them and bearing witness to their decline. The findings show that most NH staff have strong emotional attachments to their dying residents with dementia and prefer to care for them at the NH rather than transfer them to the hospital.

SURvival PRediction In SEverely Ill Patients Study-The Prediction of Survival in Critically Ill Patients by ICU Physicians

The surprise question, "Would I be surprised if this patient died in the next 12 months?" is a tool to identify patients at high risk of death in the next year. Especially in the situation of an ICU admission, it is important to recognize patients who could and could not have the benefits of an intensive treatment in the ICU department.

Design and Setting

A single-center, prospective, observational cohort study was conducted between April 2013 and April 2018, in ICU Gelre hospitals, location Apeldoorn.

Patients

A total of 3,140 patients were included (57% male) with a mean age of 63.5 years. Seven-hundred thirteen patients (23%) died within 1 year.

Interventions

The physician answered three different surprise question's with either "yes" or "no": "I expect that the patient is going to survive the ICU admission" (surprise question 1), "I expect that the patient is going to survive the hospital stay" (surprise question 2), and "I expect that the patient is going to survive one year after ICU admission" (surprise question 3). We tested positive and negative predicted values of the surprise questions, the mean accuracy of the surprise questions, and kappa statistics.

Measurements and Main Results

The positive and negative predictive values of the surprise questions for ICU admission, hospital admission, and 1-year survival were, respectively, 64%/94%, 59%/92%, and 60%/86%. Accordingly, the mean accuracy and kappa statistics were 93% (95% CI, 92-94%), κ equals to 0.43, 89% (95% CI, 88-90%), κ equals to 0.40, and 81% (95% CI, 80-82%), κ equals to 0.43.

Conclusions

The frequently overlooked simple and cheap surprise question is probably an useful tool to evaluate the prognosis of acutely admitted critically ill patients.

Research Roundup

Synopses of a selection of recently published research articles of relevance to palliative care.

Harmonising palliative care: a national survey to evaluate the knowledge and attitude of emergency physicians towards palliative care in Kuwait

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Although the challenges of integrating palliative care practices across care settings are real and well recognised, to date little is known about palliative care practices of emergency physicians (EPs) in Kuwait. Therefore, this study aims to explore the attitude and knowledge of EPs in providing palliative care in all general hospitals in Kuwait.

METHOD

A cross-sectional survey was performed in the emergency rooms of all general hospitals in Kuwait using the Palliative Care Attitude and Knowledge Questionnaire.

RESULTS

Of the total number of physicians working in emergency rooms (n=156), 104 (66.67%) had completed the survey. 76.9% (n=80) of the EPs had an uncertain attitude towards palliative care. Most of the EPs (n=73, 70.28%) did not discuss the patients' need for palliative care either with the patients or with their families. Only 16 (15.4%) of the EPs responded correctly to most of the questions while nearly half of the EPs (n=51, 49%) had poor knowledge. Experience ≥11 years and better knowledge scores were independent predictors of positive attitude after adjustment of age, sex, qualifications, specialty, position and nationality (OR: 5.747 (CI 1.031 to 25.00), 1.458(CI 1.148 to 1.851); p values: 0.021, 0.002, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite recognising palliative care as an important competence, the majority of the EPs in Kuwait had uncertain attitude and poor knowledge towards palliative care. Efforts should be made to enhance physician training and provide palliative care resources to improve the quality of care given to patients visiting emergency departments.