Complementary Role of Hypothermia Identification to the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment Score in Predicting Patients With Sepsis at High Risk of Mortality: A Retrospective Analysis From a Multicenter, Observational Study

Predictors of outcomes in emergency department patients with suspected infections and without fulfillment of the sepsis criteria

BACKGROUND

Data on patient characteristics and determinants of serious outcomes for acutely admitted patients with infections who do not fulfill the sepsis criteria are sparse. The study aimed to characterize acutely admitted emergency department (ED) patients with infections and a composite outcome of in-hospital mortality or transfer to the intensive care unit without fulfilling the criteria for sepsis and to examine predictors of the composite outcome.

METHODS

This was a secondary analysis of data from a prospective observational study of patients with suspected bacterial infection admitted to the ED between October 1, 2017 and March 31, 2018. A National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) ≥ 5 within the first 4 h in the ED was assumed to represent a sepsis-like condition with a high risk for the composite endpoint. Patients who achieved the composite outcome were grouped according to fulfillment of the NEWS2 ≥ 5 criteria. We used logistic regression analysis to estimate the unadjusted and adjusted odds ratio (OR) for the composite endpoint among patients with either NEWS2  < 5 (NEWS2-) or NEWS2  ≥ 5 (NEWS2+).

RESULTS

A total of 2055 patients with a median age of 73 years were included. Of these, 198 (9.6%) achieved the composite endpoint, including 59 (29.8%) NEWS2- and 139 (70.2%) NEWS2+ patients, respectively. Diabetes (OR 2.23;1.23-4.0), a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 2 (OR 2.57;1.37-4.79), and a Do-not-attempt-cardiopulmonary-resuscitation order (DNACPR) on admission (OR 3.70;1.75-7.79) were independent predictive variables for the composite endpoint in NEWS2- patients (goodness-of-fit test P = 0.291; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model (AUROC) = 0.72). The regression model for NEWS2+ patients revealed that a SOFA score ≥ 2 (OR 2.79; 1.59-4.91), hypothermia (OR 2.48;1.30-4.75), and DNACPR order on admission were predictive variables for the composite endpoint (goodness-of-fit test P = 0.62; AUROC for the model = 0.70).

CONCLUSION

Approximately one-third of the patients with infections and serious outcomes during hospitalization did not meet the NEWS2 threshold for likely sepsis. Our study identified factors with independent predictive values for the development of serious outcomes that should be tested in future prediction models.

Electroacupuncture at ST36 (Zusanli) Prevents T-Cell Lymphopenia and Improves Survival in Septic Mice

Purpose

Sepsis is the main cause of death in intensive care unit. Maladaptive cytokine storm and T-cell lymphopenia are critical prognosis predictors of sepsis. Electroacupuncture (EA) is expected to be an effective intervention to prevent sepsis. This study aims to determine the potential of EA at ST36 (Zusanli) to prevent experimental septic mice.

Methods

Mice were randomly assigned into PBS, LPS, or EA+LPS group. EA (0.1 mA, continuous wave, 10 Hz) was performed stimulating the ST36 for 30 min, once a day for 3 days. After the third day, all mice were challenged with PBS or LPS (4 mg/kg) simultaneously. Mice were evaluated for survival, ear temperature, and other clinical symptoms. Lung and small intestine tissue injuries were analyzed by hematoxylin and eosin staining. Bio-Plex cytokine assay was used to analyze the concentration of cytokines. T lymphocytes were analyzed by flow cytometry and Western blot assays. The role of T cells in preventing sepsis by EA was analyzed by using nude mice lacking T lymphocytes.

Results

EA at ST36 improved survival, symptom scores, and ear temperature of endotoxemic mice. EA also improved dramatically pulmonary and intestinal injury by over 50% as compared to untreated mice. EA blunted the inflammatory cytokine storm by inducing a lasting inhibition of the production of major inflammatory factors (TNF-α, IL-1β, IL-5, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17A, eotaxin, IFN-γ, MIP-1β and KC). Flow cytometry and Western blot analyses showed EA significantly reduced T-lymphocyte apoptosis and pyroptosis. Furthermore, T lymphocytes were critical for the effects of EA at ST36 stimulation blunted serum TNF-α levels in wild-type but not in nude mice.

Conclusion

EA halted systemic inflammation and improved survival in endotoxemic mice. These effects are associated with the protective effect of EA on T lymphocytes, and T cells are required in the anti-inflammatory effects of EA in sepsis.

Septic patients without obvious signs of infection at baseline are more likely to die in the ICU

Objective

Early identification of sepsis is mandatory. However, clinical presentation is sometimes misleading given the lack of infection signs. The objective of the study was to evaluate the impact on the 28-day mortality of the so-called “vague” presentation of sepsis.

Design

Single centre retrospective observational study.

Setting

One teaching hospital Intensive Care Unit.

Subjects

All the patients who presented at the Emergency Department (ED) and were thereafter admitted to the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) with a final diagnosis of sepsis were included in this retrospective observational three-year study. They were classified as having exhibited either “vague” or explicit presentation at the ED according to previously suggested criteria. Baseline characteristics, infection main features and sepsis management were compared. The impact of a vague presentation on 28-day mortality was then evaluated.

Interventions

None.

Measurements and main results

Among the 348 included patients, 103 (29.6%) had a vague sepsis presentation. Underlying chronic diseases were more likely in those patients [e.g., peripheral arterial occlusive disease: adjusted odd ratio (aOR) = 2.01, (1.08–3.77) 95% confidence interval (CI); p = 0.028], but organ failure was less likely at the ED [SOFA score value: 4.7 (3.2) vs. 5.2 (3.1), p = 0.09]. In contrast, 28-day mortality was higher in the vague presentation group (40.8% vs. 26.9%, p = 0.011), along with longer time-to-diagnosis [18 (31) vs. 4 (11) h, p < 0.001], time-to-antibiotics [20 (32) vs. 7 (12) h, p < 0.001] and time to ICU admission [71 (159) vs. 24 (69) h, p < 0.001]. Whatever, such a vague presentation independently predicted 28-day mortality [aOR = 2.14 (1.24–3.68) 95% CI; p = 0.006].

Conclusions

Almost one third of septic patient requiring ICU had a vague presentation at the ED. Despite an apparent lower level of severity when initially assessed, those patients had an increased risk of mortality that could not be fully explained by delayed diagnosis and management of sepsis.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12879-022-07210-y.

Hypothermia is Associated With Poor Prognosis in Hospitalized Patients With Severe COVID-19 Symptoms

Rationale Hypothermia forms a part of the diagnostic criteria for Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome (SIRS), National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and has repeatedly been shown to be associated with worse outcomes when compared to normothermic and hyperthermic patients with sepsis. We evaluate whether this is the case in COVID-19 patients. Objective To determine whether there is an association between hypothermia and worse prognosis in COVID-19 patients in the intensive care unit. Methods Retrospective study of a cohort of patients (n = 57) admitted to the intensive care unit of a community hospital with a positive test for COVID-19. Measurements Data relating to mortality, comorbidities and length of stay was recorded from electronic medical records for each patient. Hypothermia was defined as ≥2 recorded body temperatures of less than 96.5℉ (35.83℃) at the time of admission. Main results Of the 57 patients enrolled in the study, 21 developed hypothermia during their stay and 36 did not. Our results show that patients who have hypothermia at the time of admission spend a longer time intubated (p < 0.01) and go through longer ICU stays (p < 0.01). These patients are also 2.18 times more likely to suffer a fatal outcome compared to patients that did not develop hypothermia while in the intensive care unit (Chi-squared = 8.6209, p < 0.01, RR = 2.18). Conclusions Hypothermia in patients with severe COVID-19 at the time of admission to the ICU is associated with poorer outcomes for patients. This manifests as a longer period of intubation, longer ICU stay, and increased risk of mortality.

Hypothermia related to continuous renal replacement therapy: incidence and associated factors

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the incidence of hypothermia in patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy in the intensive care unit. As secondary objectives, we determined associated factors and compared the occurrence of hypothermia between two modalities of continuous renal replacement therapy.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study was conducted with adult patients who were admitted to a clinical-surgical intensive care unit and underwent continuous renal replacement therapy in a high-complexity public university hospital in southern Brazil from April 2017 to July 2018. Hypothermia was defined as a body temperature ≤ 35ºC. The patients included in the study were followed for the first 48 hours of continuous renal replacement therapy. The researchers collected data from medical records and continuous renal replacement therapy records.

RESULTS

A total of 186 patients were equally distributed between two types of continuous renal replacement therapy: hemodialysis and hemodiafiltration. The incidence of hypothermia was 52.7% and was higher in patients admitted for shock (relative risk of 2.11; 95%CI 1.21 - 3.69; p = 0.009) and in those who underwent hemodiafiltration with heating in the return line (relative risk of 1.50; 95%CI 1.13 - 1.99; p = 0.005).

CONCLUSION

Hypothermia in critically ill patients with continuous renal replacement therapy is frequent, and the intensive care team should be attentive, especially when there are associated risk factors.

Non-tuberculosis cold abscess

An 85-year-old cachectic man was found unconscious in his home. He had no specific medical history. On arrival, he was in a deep coma and hypothermic state. He had a soft mass the size of his fist in the right lower abdomen without redness or heat. Truncal computed tomography revealed subcutaneous fluid collection with gas formation. A test puncture for right lower abdominal subcutaneous fluid collection revealed pus, so an open incision was performed, with the administration of broad-spectrum antibiotics. Unfortunately, the patient died of sepsis-induced multiple organ failure. The results of abscess culture later revealed Proteus mirabilis, Escherichia coli, and Prevotella melaninogenica. This is the first report of a cold abscess induced by mixed bacteria.

Characteristics, management, and in-hospital mortality among patients with severe sepsis in intensive care units in Japan: the FORECAST study

Background

Sepsis is a leading cause of death and long-term disability in developed countries. A comprehensive report on the incidence, clinical characteristics, and evolving management of sepsis is important. Thus, this study aimed to evaluate the characteristics, management, and outcomes of patients with severe sepsis in Japan.

Methods

This is a cohort study of the Focused Outcomes Research in Emergency Care in Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome, Sepsis, and Trauma (FORECAST) study, which was a multicenter, prospective cohort study conducted at 59 intensive care units (ICUs) from January 2016 to March 2017. We included adult patients with severe sepsis based on the sepsis-2 criteria.

Results

In total, 1184 patients (median age 73 years, interquartile range (IQR) 64–81) with severe sepsis were admitted to the ICU during the study period. The most common comorbidity was diabetes mellitus (23%). Moreover, approximately 63% of patients had septic shock. The median Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score was 9 (IQR 6–11). The most common site of infection was the lung (31%). Approximately 54% of the participants had positive blood cultures. The compliance rates for the entire 3-h bundle, measurement of central venous pressure, and assessment of central venous oxygen saturation were 64%, 26%, and 7%, respectively. A multilevel logistic regression model showed that closed ICUs and non-university hospitals were more compliant with the entire 3-h bundle. The in-hospital mortality rate of patients with severe sepsis was 23% (21–26%). Older age, multiple comorbidities, suspected site of infection, and increasing SOFA scores correlated with in-hospital mortality, based on the generalized estimating equation model. The length of hospital stay was 24 (12–46) days. Approximately 37% of the patients were discharged home after recovery.

Conclusion

Our prospective study showed that sepsis management in Japan was characterized by a high compliance rate for the 3-h bundle and low compliance rate for central venous catheter measurements. The in-hospital mortality rate in Japan was comparable to that of other developed countries. Only one third of the patients were discharged home, considering the aging population with multiple comorbidities in the ICUs in Japan.

Trial registration

UMIN-CTR, UMIN000019742. Registered on 16 November 2015.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13054-018-2186-7) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.