Assessing circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) as a prognostic biomarker in locally advanced rectal cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a promising biomarker in various cancer types, including locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC), offering potential insights into disease progression, treatment response and recurrence. This review aims to comprehensively evaluate the utility of ctDNA as a prognostic biomarker in LARC.

METHODS

PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science were searched as part of our review. Studies investigating the utility of ctDNA in locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) were assessed for eligibility. Quality assessment of included studies was performed using the Newcastle Ottawa Scale (NOS) risk of bias tool. Outcomes extracted included basic participant characteristics, ctDNA details and survival data. A meta-analysis was performed on eligible studies to determine pooled recurrence-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

Twenty-two studies involving 1676 participants were included in our analysis. Methodological quality categorised by the Newcastle Ottawa Scale was generally satisfactory across included studies. ctDNA detected at various time intervals was generally associated with poor outcomes across included studies. Meta-analysis demonstrated a pooled hazard ratio of 8.87 (95% CI 4.91-16.03) and 15.15 (95% CI 8.21-27.95), indicating an increased risk of recurrence with ctDNA positivity in the post-neoadjuvant and post-operative periods respectively.

CONCLUSION

Our systematic review provides evidence supporting the prognostic utility of ctDNA in patients with LARC, particularly in identifying patients at higher risk of disease recurrence in the post-neoadjuvant and post-operative periods.

Circulating tumour DNA as biomarker for rectal cancer: A systematic review and meta-analyses

Background

Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) has been established as a promising (prognostic) biomarker with the potential to personalise treatment in cancer patients. The objective of this systematic review is to provide an overview of the current literature and the future perspectives of ctDNA in non-metastatic rectal cancer.

Methods

A comprehensive search for studies published prior to the 4^th of October 2022 was conducted in Embase, Medline, Cochrane, Google scholar, and Web of Science. Only peer-reviewed original articles and ongoing clinical trials investigating the association between ctDNA and oncological outcomes in non-metastatic rectal cancer patients were included. Meta-analyses were performed to pool hazard ratios (HR) for recurrence-free survival (RFS).

Results

A total of 291 unique records were screened, of which 261 were original publications and 30 ongoing trials. Nineteen original publications were reviewed and discussed, of which seven provided sufficient data for meta-analyses on the association between the presence of post-treatment ctDNA and RFS. Results of the meta-analyses demonstrated that ctDNA analysis can be used to stratify patients into very high and low risk groups for recurrence, especially when detected after neoadjuvant treatment (HR for RFS: 9.3 [4.6 - 18.8]) and after surgery (HR for RFS: 15.5 [8.2 - 29.3]). Studies investigated different types of assays and used various techniques for the detection and quantification of ctDNA.

Conclusions

This literature overview and meta-analyses provide evidence for the strong association between ctDNA and recurrent disease. Future research should focus on the feasibility of ctDNA-guided treatment and follow-up strategies in rectal cancer. A blueprint for agreed-upon timing, preprocessing, and assay techniques is needed to empower adaptation of ctDNA into daily practice.

Identification of liquid biopsy-based mutations in colorectal cancer by targeted sequencing assays

Recently, liquid biopsy, as a promising approach was introduced for the analysis of different tumor-derived circulating markers including tumor DNA and cell free DNA (ct/cfDNA). Identification of mutations in cfDNA may allow the early detection of tumors, as well as predicting and monitoring treatment responses in a minimally invasive way. In the present study, we used commercially available gene panels to verify the mutation overlap between liquid biopsy and abnormalities detected in colorectal tumor tissue. The two panels (Archer®VariantPlex®Solid Tumor and LIQUIDPlexTM ctDNA) overlap in 23 genes, which enables a comprehensive view of tumor-plasma mutational status by next generation sequencing. We successfully analyzed 16 plasma and 16 tumor samples. We found that 87% of tumor tissues contained 44 mutations in 12 genes and 43.8% of cfDNA harbored 13 mutations in 5 genes. To verify whether the mutation pattern of the tumor DNA could be consistently detected in plasma cfDNA, we compared the alterations between cfDNA and matched tissue DNA in nine patients. Six of the 9 tumor tissues harbored mutations in TP53, KRAS or MET genes, those were not detectable by the ctDNA kit, even eventhough the exons of these genes overlap in both panels. Comparing the mutational patterns of the matched samples, we found that only one cfDNA had the same mutations (KRAS, SMAD4 and TP53) in the paired tissue. The results of the comparison between tumor tissue DNA and matched plasma cfDNA underline the importance of studying the paired solid tumor and plasma samples together.

Circulating cell-free DNA as predictor of pathological complete response in locally advanced rectal cancer patients undergoing preoperative chemoradiotherapy

Background

The watch and wait (W&W) strategy is proposed for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) achieving clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant radiotherapy. cCR is only in partial concordance with pathological complete response (pCR) due to persisting viable tumour cells. The aim was to investigate circulating-free-deoxyribonucleic-acid (cfDNA) as a biomarker for prediction of pCR.

Materials and methods

Patients treated with neoadjuvant radiotherapy for LARC, were included in a prospective biomarker study in Aarhus, Denmark from 2017 to 2020. Plasma cfDNA levels were analysed by a direct fluorescent assay (DFA). Surgical specimens were reviewed by pathologists to categorize response to cytotoxic therapy.

Results

In total, 76 patients were included with plasma available at baseline (n = 70), mid therapy (n = 50), and end of therapy (n = 54). Higher cfDNA levels were observed in LARC patients compared with healthy subjects (p < 0.01). By ROC analysis (AUC: 0.87 (95% CI, 0.81-0.92)) the optimal cut-off was 0.71 ng/µL for differentiation between healthy subjects and LARC patients. Thirteen patients obtained pCR with a median cfDNA level of 0.57 ng/µL at end of therapy. Patients with cfDNA levels at end of therapy below the cut-off (p < 0.02) and 'cfDNA responders' with descending levels greater than the 75th percentile during therapy had a significantly higher chance of pCR (p < 0.01).

Conclusion

This hypothesis generating study indicates that low cfDNA levels at end of treatment or ´cfDNA responderś might be associated with pCR. Quantification of cfDNA by the rapid and feasible DFA analysis could potentially facilitate personalized follow-up as a complementary tool to identify candidates for a W&W strategy.

Predicting neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy response with functional imaging and liquid biomarkers in locally advanced rectal cancer

INTRODUCTION

Non-invasive predictive quantitative biomarkers are required to guide treatment individualization in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) in order to maximise therapeutic outcomes and minimise treatment toxicity. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), positron emission tomography (PET) and blood biomarkers have the potential to predict chemoradiotherapy (CRT) response in LARC.

AREAS COVERED

This review examines the value of functional imaging (MRI and PET) and liquid biomarkers (circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and circulating tumor nucleic acid (ctNA)) in the prediction of CRT response in LARC. Selected imaging and liquid biomarker studies are presented and the current status of the most promising imaging (apparent diffusion co-efficient (ADC), K^trans, SUV_max, metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) and liquid biomarkers (circulating tumor cells (CTCs), circulating tumor nucleic acid (ctNA)) is discussed. The potential applications of imaging and liquid biomarkers for treatment stratification and a pathway to clinical translation are presented.

EXPERT OPINION

Functional imaging and liquid biomarkers provide novel ways of predicting CRT response. The clinical and technical validation of the most promising imaging and liquid biopsy biomarkers in multi-centre studies with harmonised acquisition techniques is required. This will enable clinical trials to investigate treatment escalation or de-escalation pathways in rectal cancer.

ctDNA on liquid biopsy for predicting response and prognosis in locally advanced rectal cancer: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

The management of locally advanced rectal cancer (LARC) requires a multidisciplinary approach, with an increasing interest for non-operative strategies. Liquid biopsy for obtaining circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can provide information on neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) pathological response and cancer-specific prognosis, and therefore might be a promising guide for these treatments.

METHODS

A systematic review of the studies available in literature has been performed to assess the role of ctDNA as a predictive and prognostic biomarker in LARC patients.

RESULTS

We retrieved 21 publications, of which 17 full-text articles and 4 abstracts. Results have been labelled into two groups: predictive and prognostic. Data about the usefulness of liquid biopsy in this setting is still inconclusive. However, baseline higher levels of longer fragments of cell-free DNA and integrity index, tumor-specific mutations and certain methylated genes could predict non-responders. Also, undetectable baseline ctDNA and decrease of common rectal cancer mutations throughout treatment (dynamic monitoring) were predictive factors of pathological complete response. The continuous detection of ctDNA in different timepoints of treatment (minimal residual disease) was consistently associated with worse prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

ctDNA is a promising biomarker that could assist predicting treatment response to nCRT and prognosis in patients with LARC. The ideal methods and timings for the liquid biopsy still have to be defined.

Prognostic and predictive value of circulating DNA for hepatic arterial infusion of chemotherapy for patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases

Hepatic arterial infusion (HAI) of chemotherapy is an experimental treatment option for patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRCLM). The current study aimed to investigate the predictive and prognostic value of cell free DNA (cfDNA) in patients with CRCLM receiving HAI with oxaliplatin and systemic capecitabine. Plasma samples from 62 patients were investigated who were included into a single arm phase II study investigating HAI treatment for patients with CRCLM. The clinical outcome of the trial has been presented previously. In brief, treatment consisted of intrahepatic infusion of oxaliplatin 100 mg/m² every second week with concomitant oral capecitabine 3,500 mg/m² every second week for up to 12 cycles. Blood samples were drawn at baseline and follow-up and plasma was analyzed for cell free DNA using a direct fluorescent assay. The baseline level of plasma cfDNA was 0.92 ng/µl (95% CI 0.84-1.00). Patients with a baseline value of cfDNA above the 75th quartile had a median overall survival of 2.4 years (95% CI 0.7-2.8), compared with 3.9 years (95% CI 2.8-5.9) for patients below the 75th quartile (P=0.02). The baseline level of cfDNA was significantly lower (0.91 ng/µl, 95% CI 0.76-0.98) in patients who achieved an objective response compared to non-responders (1.79 ng/µl; 95% CI 0.99-2.57; P=0.02). The current study demonstrated a possible prognostic and predictive value of cfDNA for patients with CRCLM undergoing HAI with oxaliplatin and concomitant capecitabine.

Peritoneal Cell-Free Tumor DNA as Biomarker for Peritoneal Surface Malignancies

BACKGROUND

Disease burden in patients with peritoneal carcinomatosis (PC) is difficult to estimate. We evaluate whether peritoneal cell-free tumor DNA can be used as a measure of disease burden.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Malignant ascites or peritoneal lavage fluids were collected from patients with PC under approved IRB protocol. Cell-free DNA was extracted from peritoneal fluid. Droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) was performed using a commercially available KRAS G12/G13 screening kit. Mutant allele frequency (MAF) was calculated based on the numbers of KRAS wild-type and mutant droplets. Clinicopathological, treatment and outcome data were abstracted and correlated with MAF of cell-free KRAS mutant DNA.

RESULTS

Cell-free KRAS mutant DNA was detected in 15/37 (40%) malignant peritoneal fluids with a MAF of 0.1% to 26.2%. While peritoneal cell-free KRAS mutant DNA was detected in all the patients with KRAS mutant tumors (N = 10), 3/16 (19%) patients with KRAS wild-type tumors also had peritoneal cell-free KRAS mutant DNA. We also found that 71% (5/7) of patients with disease amenable to cytoreductive surgery (CRS) had a MAF of < 1% (median: 0.5%, range: 0.1-4.7%), while 75% (6/8) of patients with unresectable disease had a MAF of > 1% (median: 4.4%, range: 0.1-26.2%).

CONCLUSIONS

This pilot proof-of-principle study suggests that peritoneal cell-free tumor DNA detected by ddPCR may enable prediction of disease burden and a measure of disease amenable to CRS in patients with PC.

Measurement of circulating free DNA in squamous cell carcinoma of the anus and relation to risk factors and recurrence

BACKGROUND

Measuring circulating-free-deoxyribonucleic-acid (cfDNA) has created a new framework for personalized treatment in oncology. The aim of this study was to analyze the relation between cfDNA and risk factors and outcome in squamous cell carcinoma of the anus (SCCA).

METHODS

Patients treated with radiotherapy for localized SCCA were included in Aarhus, Denmark from 2016 to 2019. Serum samples from baseline, during and after therapy, were measured for the level of cfDNA in copies per mL by a direct fluorescent assay.

RESULTS

Eighty patients were included. Samples were available at baseline (n = 73) mid-therapy (n = 74), end-therapy (n = 67) and one-year follow-up (1Y) (n = 29). P16-positivity was found in 89% (n = 55). The median level of cfDNA was higher for P16 negative tumors (1.48) compared with the P16 positive tumors (0.90, P = 0.04). Data showed a correlation between baseline cfDNA levels and Gross Tumor Volume (R² = 0.13, P < 0.01), and increasing levels with increasing T-stage (T1 = 0.80, T2 = 0.94, T3 = 1.11, T4 = 1.3). Higher cfDNA levels were observed in patients with poor performance status (P < 0.01). The cfDNA level decreased from baseline to mid-therapy (0.92-0.78, P < 0.01) and from baseline to 1Y (0.92-0.71, P < 0.01). Baseline levels for patients with treatment failure (n = 8) were above the 25th percentile (p = 0.05) which translates into difference in disease free survival.

CONCLUSION

Results indicate an association between baseline cfDNA levels and risk factors in SCCA and a low baseline level correlates to lower risk of treatment failure. Findings contribute with new knowledge of the biological role of cfDNA in SCCA and holds potential knowledge for personalized treatment of SCCA.

Correlation between early dynamics in circulating tumour DNA and outcome from FOLFIRI treatment in metastatic colorectal cancer

Chemotherapy resistance remains a challenge in the clinical management of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). Here, early changes in cell-free circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) levels were explored as a marker of therapeutic efficacy. Twenty-four mCRC patients were enrolled and treated with FOLFIRI based first-line therapy. Blood samples collected pre-treatment, at day 7, 14, 21, 60 and at progression were analysed for cell-free DNA (cfDNA) and ctDNA levels using digital droplet PCR. A subset of samples were additionally analysed by targeted sequencing. Patients with high pre-treatment ctDNA or cfDNA levels (≥75^th centile) had significantly shorter progression free survival (PFS) than patients with lower levels. Despite an overall decline in ctDNA levels from pre-treatment to first CT-scan, serial analysis identified seven patients with temporary increases in ctDNA consistent with growth of resistant cells. These patients had shorter PFS and shorter overall survival. Targeted sequencing analyses of cfDNA revealed dramatic changes in the clonal composition in response to treatment. Our study suggests that increasing ctDNA levels during the first cycles of first-line FOLFIRI treatment is a predictor of incipient progressive disease and poorer survival. Thus, we demonstrate the importance of monitoring ctDNA levels as early as one week after treatment onset to enable early detection of treatment failure.

Circulating cell-free nucleic acids as biomarkers in colorectal cancer screening and diagnosis - an update

Introduction: Screening methods for one of the most frequently diagnosed malignancy, colorectal cancer (CRC), have limitations. Circulating cell-free nucleic acids (cfNA) hold clinical relevance as screening, prognostic and therapy monitoring markers. Area covered: In this review, we summarize potential CRC-specific cfNA biomarkers, the recently developed sample preparation techniques, their applications, and pitfalls. Expert opinion: Automated extraction of cfDNA is highly reproducible, however, cfDNA yield is less compared to manual isolation. Quantitative and highly sensitive detection techniques (e.g. digital PCR, NGS) can be applied to analyze genetic and epigenetic changes. Detection of DNA mutations or methylation in cfDNA and related altered levels of mRNA, miRNA, and lncRNA may improve early cancer recognition, based on specific, CRC-related patterns. Detection of cfDNA mutations (e.g. TP53, KRAS, APC) has limited diagnostic sensitivity (40-60%), however, methylated DNA including SEPT9, SFRP1, SDC2 can be applied with higher sensitivity (up to 90%) for CRC. Circulating miRNAs (e.g. miR-21, miR-92, miR-141) provide comparably high sensitivity for CRC as the circulating tumor cell mRNA markers (e.g. EGFR, CK19, CK20, CEA). Automation of cfNA isolation coupled with quantitative analysis of CRC-related, highly sensitive biomarkers may enhance CRC screening and early detection in the future.

Cell-free DNA and preoperative chemoradiotherapy for rectal cancer: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Preoperative chemoradiotherapy is the standard of care for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer, yet valid circulating biomarkers are lacking. We aimed at systematically reviewing the literature of cell-free DNA and locally advanced rectal cancer.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed. We retrieved papers reporting a correlation between a clinical outcome and cell-free DNA for patients receiving chemoradiotherapy for locally advanced rectal cancer.

RESULTS

We included nine studies of a total of 615 patients. Only single-arm studies were identified, analyzing either the total level of cell-free DNA or tumor-specific DNA. Despite differences in the methodology and outcomes, eight of the nine studies showed a correlation between cell-free DNA and a clinical outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

Cell-free DNA might hold prognostic and predictive information for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer receiving preoperative chemoradiotherapy; although, firm conclusions are limited by the heterogeneity in this field.

Total cell-free DNA, carcinoembryonic antigen, and C-reactive protein for assessment of prognosis in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer

In late-stage metastatic colorectal cancer, difficult treatment decisions should incorporate a thorough evaluation of the patient’s general condition and subject for shared decision making. Assessment of the individual patients’ prognosis is valuable in this setting. The aim was to analyze the prognostic value of plasma levels of total cell-free DNA, carcinoembryonic antigen and C-reactive protein in 97 heavily pretreated patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. Patients received irinotecan, cetuximab, and everolimus in a phase-2 clinical trial ( clinicaltrials.gov NCT01387880). Plasma samples were used for DNA purification and quantification of total cell-free DNA by droplet digital polymerase chain reaction. Serum carcinoembryonic antigen and C-reactive protein were analyzed by routine methods. Clinical endpoints were overall survival and progression-free survival. A total of 82 patients had blood samples available for quantification of total cell-free DNA. Patients with pre-treatment cell-free DNA levels higher than the median total cell-free DNA (9800 alleles per milliliter plasma) had a significantly shorter overall survival of 4.3 months (95% confidence interval: 3.6–5.8) compared to patients with cell-free DNA levels below the median with an overall survival of 11.3 months (95% confidence interval: 8.0–14.8, p < 0.0001). When using the upper normal limit from a previously analyzed normal control group, the median overall survival was 11.3 (95% confidence interval: 7.3–14.8) and 4.3 (95% confidence interval: 3.7–6.1) months, respectively (p < 0.0001). Serum carcinoembryonic antigen and C-reactive protein had similar prognostic value with short overall survival and progression-free survival in patients with elevated levels compared to those within normal range. A high-risk profile of elevated cell-free DNA, carcinoembryonic antigen, and C-reactive protein was described, but in combined Cox regression multivariate analysis, only total cell-free DNA preserved a strong prognostic value. In conclusion, total cell-free DNA in plasma, carcinoembryonic antigen, and C-reactive protein could all contribute to assessment of patients’ prognosis and potentially aid in clinical decision making in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer.

Methodological development and biological observations of cell free DNA with a simple direct fluorescent assay in colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Cell free DNA (cfDNA) has shown promising utility as prognostic biomarker for patients with colorectal cancer (CRC), with an ongoing need to optimize and validate the laboratory methodology. Here, we report our optimization and validation of a direct fluorescent assay and display the potential utility in patients with colorectal cancer.

METHODS

Plasma cfDNA was analyzed by a direct fluorescent assay (DFA) and compared to quantification by droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). For clinical validation, baseline blood samples were available for a total of 273 patients from six different Nordic trials, covering patients with locally advanced rectal cancer (n = 176, cohorts A + B), liver limited metastatic CRC (n = 75C + D) and wide spread metastatic CRC (n = 22 E + F).

RESULTS

Validating the DFA analysis with ddPCR revealed a strong correlation with an R2 of 0.81. For the clinical cohorts, the levels of cfDNA were: 0.8 ng/uL (95%CI 0.75-0.83) (A + B), 0.93 ng/uL (95%CI 0.86-1.02) (C + D) and 1.2 ng/uL (95%CI 0.85-1.47) (E + F), respectively (p < 0.01). All cohorts of colorectal cancer had higher levels of cell free DNA than healthy individuals (n = 94) (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Analysis of cell free DNA by a direct fluorescent assay could be an attractive laboratory option for a rapid inexpensive quantification of cell free DNA.

Cell-free DNA and chemoembolization in patients with liver metastases from colorectal cancer

Transarterial chemoembolization with irinotecan loaded beads (DEBIRI-TACE) represents an investigative treatment option for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). The present study examined DEBIRI-TACE with concomitant mFOLOFX6-bevacizumab as a first-line treatment for mCRC and explored the clinical value of circulating cell-free DNA (cfDNA). Patients with limited mCRC of the liver who had not been treated with chemotherapy received up to 4 biweekly DEBIRI-TACE treatments. The endpoints examined included the response rate, survival, toxicity and translational analysis. Due to toxicity and lack of feasibility, the study closed prematurely. Total cfDNA was measured with a direct fluorescent assay. Between December 2012 and February 2014, 14 patients underwent a total of 49 DEBIRI-TACE treatments. With a median follow-up of 1.7 years, the median progression free survival and overall survival (OS) were 240 days [95% confidence interval (CI): 161-357] and 522 days (95% CI: 174-1,054), respectively. The response rate was 50%. Twelve patients experienced grade 3 toxicity or above. Dynamics of cfDNA showed biological variations in relation to therapy. To conclude, the present results indicated a response rate of 50% and median OS of 522 days for 14 patients with mCRC undergoing DEBIRI-TACE, but unacceptable toxicity and lack of feasibility with the applied schedule. The findings suggest that the level of cfDNA may be associated with the disease course, response to treatment and outcome.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The European Clinical Trials database (EudraCT no. 2012-000987-11) at 05-14-2012.