False-Positive Cases of Fluorodeoxyglucose-Positron Emission Tomography/Computed Tomographic Scans in Metastasis of Esophageal Cancer

Development of a Novel Serum Exosomal MicroRNA Nomogram for the Preoperative Prediction of Lymph Node Metastasis in Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis is accepted as a crucial independent risk factor for treatment decision-making for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients. Our study aimed to establish a non-invasive nomogram to identify LN metastasis preoperatively in ESCC patients. Construction of the nomogram involved three sequential phases with independent patient cohorts. In the discovery phase (N = 20), LN metastasis-associated microRNAs (miRNAs) were selected from next-generation sequencing (NGS) assay of human ESCC serum exosome samples. In the training phase (N = 178), a nomogram that incorporated exosomal miRNA model and clinicopathologic was developed by multivariate logistic regression analysis to preoperatively predict LN status. In the validation phase (n = 188), we validated the predicted nomogram's calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. Four differently expressed miRNAs (chr 8-23234-3p, chr 1-17695-5p, chr 8-2743-5p, and miR-432-5p) were tested and selected in the serum exosome samples from ESCC patients who have or do not have LN metastasis. Subsequently, an optimized four-exosomal miRNA model was constructed and validated in the clinical samples, which could effectively identify ESCC patients with LN metastasis, and was significantly superior to preoperative computed tomography (CT) report. In addition, a clinical nomogram consisting of the four-exosomal miRNA model and CT report was established in training cohort, which showed high predictive value in both training and validation cohorts [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC): 0.880 and 0.869, respectively]. The Hosmer–Lemeshow test and decision curve analysis implied the nomogram's clinical applicability. Our novel non-invasive nomogram is a robust prediction tool with promising clinical potential for preoperative LN metastasis prediction of ESCC patients, especially in T1 stage.

A comprehensive methylation signature identifies lymph node metastasis in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Treatment modalities in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) depend largely on lymph node metastasis (LNM) status. With suboptimal detection sensitivity of existing imaging techniques, we propose a methylation signature which identifies patients with LNM with greater accuracy. This would allow precise stratification of high-risk patients requiring more aggressive treatment from low-risk ESCC patients who can forego radical surgery. An unbiased genome-wide methylation signature for LNM detection was established from an initial in silico discovery phase. The signature was tested in independent clinical cohorts comprising of 249 ESCC patients. The prognostic potential of the methylation signature was compared to clinical variables including LNM status. A 10-probe LNM associated signature (LNAS) was developed using stringent bioinformatics analyses. The area under the curve values for LNAS risk scores were 0.81 and 0.88 in the training and validation cohorts respectively, in association with lymphatic vessel invasion and tumor stage. High LNAS risk-score was also associated with worse overall survival [HR (95% CI) 3 (1.8-4.8), p < 0.0001 training and 3.9 (1.5-10.2), p = 0.001 validation cohort]. In conclusion, our novel methylation signature is a powerful biomarker that identifies LNM status robustly and is also associated with worse prognosis in ESCC patients.