Prognostic information for people with MS: Impossible or inevitable?

Cerebrospinal fluid biomarkers as predictors of multiple sclerosis severity

BACKGROUND

Prognostic biomarkers at multiple sclerosis (MS) onset to predict disease severity may help guide initial therapy selection for people with MS. Over 20 disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) of varying levels of risk and efficacy now exist. The ability to predict MS severity would help to identify those patients at higher risk where a highly effective, but potentially risky, therapy would be optimal. The goal of this project was to determine if cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) soluble markers obtained near time of diagnosis can predict disease severity in people with relapsing remitting MS (RRMS).

METHODS

We identified 42 RRMS subjects with 4 or more years of clinical follow-up at our center, 8 subjects with other inflammatory neurological diseases (OIND), and 4 subjects with non-inflammatory neurological diseases (NIND) who had donated CSF samples collected for disease diagnosis. This study evaluated soluble CSF biomarkers chosen to reflect neuroinflammation (chemokine ligand 13 - CXCL13), microglia activity (soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 - sTREM2), demyelination (myelin basic protein -MBP), axon injury and loss (neurofilament light, heavy, and intermediate chains - NFL, NFH, internexin-alpha - INT-α) and neuronal loss (parvalbumin - PVALB) to determine whether any of these CSF factors might predict future MS disease severity. The main outcome measure was MS Severity Score (MSSS), which takes into account disability accumulation (expanded disability status scale - EDSS) and duration of disease. EDSS at last clinical visit was a secondary outcome measure. Univariate and multivariable regression models were used for analysis. Spearman correlations were performed to evaluate correlation between laboratory and clinical variables.

RESULTS

Forty-two RRMS patients with mean 9.4 years follow-up since lumbar puncture (LP) contributed data. Higher NFH, NFL, and sTREM2 each predicted worse MSSS using both univariate and multivariable regression models. Older age at the time of LP predicted worse MSSS both in the univariate and multivariable models. NFL correlated with NFH, and both were positively correlated with sTREM2 and CXCL13. In the combined OIND and NIND comparator group, NFH correlated with both NFL and CXCL13.

CONCLUSION

These data support that CSF sTREM2, NFH, and NFL are predictors of MSSS, a measure of MS disease aggressiveness. This study adds to a growing literature implicating microglial activity and axonal injury in MS progression, starting from early stages of the disease.

Long-term prognosis communication preferences in early-stage relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Multiple sclerosis is one of the most common causes of neurological disability in young adults with major consequences for their future lives. Improving communication strategies on prognosis may help patients deal with the disease and adjust their long-term life goals. However, there is limited information on patients' preferences of long-term prognosis (LTP) communication and associated factors.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to describe patients' preferences and assess the factors associated with LTP communication preferences in early-stage relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients.

METHODS

A multicenter, non-interventional study was conducted. Adult patients with a diagnosis of RRMS, a disease duration from first attack ≤ 3 years, and an Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score of 0-5.5 were included. The Prognosis in MS questionnaire was used to assess how much patients want to know about their LTP. Different patient-reported measures were administered to gather information on symptom severity, pain, fatigue, mood/anxiety, quality of life, stigma, illness perception, feeling of hopelessness, self-efficacy, information avoidance and coping strategies. Cognition was assessed using the Symbol Digit Modalities Test (SDMT). A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association between LTP information preference and demographic and clinical characteristics, as well as patients' perspectives.

RESULTS

A total of 189 patients were included (mean age: 36.1  ±  9.4 years, 71.4% female, mean disease duration: 1.2  ±  0.8 years). Median EDSS score was 1.0 (IQR = 0.0-2.0). A proportion of 68.5% (n  =  126) of patients had never discussed LTP with their neurologists, whereas 69.2% (n = 126) reported interest in knowing it (73.5% at diagnosis). Bivariate analyses suggested that patients were significantly more likely to have higher LTP information preferences if they were male and had a lower SDMT score. Male gender and a lower SDMT score were predictors of LTP information preferences.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with early-stage RRMS want to discuss their LTP shortly after diagnosis. Understanding the factors involved may be useful to design individualized communication strategies.

Longitudinal Study of Retinal Structure, Vascular, and Neuronal Function in Patients With Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis: 1-Year Follow-Up

Objective

The purpose of this study was to quantify retinal structural, vascular, and functional changes in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) over 1 year.

Methods

Eighty-eight eyes of 44 patients with RRMS underwent assessments of low contrast letter acuity (LCLA), retinal ganglion cell function detected by the steady-state pattern electroretinogram (PERG), axonal microstructural integrity measured as birefringence, intraretinal layer thicknesses by ultra-high-resolution optical coherence tomography (OCT), volumetric vessel density (VVD) by OCT angiography, and retinal tissue perfusion (RTP) by the Retinal Function Imager (RFI). All measurements were performed at baseline and 1-year follow-up. The impacts of disease activities and a history of optic neuritis (ON) were analyzed.

Results

Compared to baseline, there were no significant differences in all variables (P > 0.05), except for the axonal birefringence and RTP. The birefringence's of the retinal fiber layer at the temporal and superior quadrants was significantly decreased (P < 0.05), whereas RTP was significantly increased (P < 0.05). In the subgroup with ON, significantly longer PERG latency and decreased VVD were observed at follow-up (P < 0.05). In patients with improved LCLA, significantly increased RTP and decreased VVD (P < 0.05) were also observed.

Conclusions

This is the first longitudinal study that assessed the RTP and VVD, along with other retinal structural and functional parameters in MS. The recovery of retinal vascular function occurred with the improved LCLA, suggesting that these measurements may be associated with disease progression.

Translational Relevance

The retinal microvascular changes could be potential biomarkers for monitoring therapeutic efficacy in MS.

Long-term prognostic counselling in people with multiple sclerosis using an online analytical processing tool

BACKGROUND

Prognostic counselling is a sensitive issue in medicine and especially so in MS due to the highly heterogeneous disease course. However, people with MS (pwMS) seek prognostic information. The web-based 'Evidence-Based Decision Support Tool in Multiple Sclerosis' (EBDiMS) uses data of 717 patients from the London/Ontario cohort to calculate personalized long-term prognostic information.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the feasibility and effect of long-term prognostic counselling in pwMS using EBDiMS.

METHODS

Ninety consecutive pwMS were provided with personalized estimations of expected time to reach Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) scores of 6 and 8 and time to conversion to secondary-progressive MS. Participants gave estimates on their own putative prognosis and rated the tool's acceptability on six-step Likert-type scales.

RESULTS

Participants rated EBDiMS as highly understandable, interesting and relevant for patient-physician encounters, coping and therapy decisions. Although it provoked a certain degree of worry in some participants, 95% would recommend using the tool. Participants' own prognosis estimates did not change significantly following EBDiMS.

CONCLUSION

Long-term prognostic counselling using an online tool has been shown to be feasible in a clinical setting. EBDiMS provides pwMS with relevant, easy-to-understand, long-term prognostic information without causing relevant anxiety.

Can CSF biomarkers predict future MS disease activity and severity?

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a heterogeneous disease. With several disease modifying treatments of different mechanisms of action in use now and in development, it is important to identify reliable biomarkers to identify those higher risk MS patients in whom stronger but riskier treatments might be used, as well as to identify those for whom safer treatments of lower efficacy would be sufficient. Here we review cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and blood biomarkers that show promise for differentiating people with MS who are at risk for severe disease and disability from those with more benign disease. We reviewed published literature for studies reporting biomarkers with predictive value in MS. Most studies of MS CSF found the presence of oligoclonal bands (both IgG and IgM), high IgG index and high levels of kappa light chains to each be associated with worse prognosis. Neurofilament light chain (NfL) and two markers of glial activation, glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) and YKL-40, were higher in CSF of people with subsequent clinical progression or imaging evidence for neurodegeneration. Few reports have been made yet on the prognostic significance of blood NfL, but in one early report baseline, serum NfL (sNfL) predicted subsequent brain volume loss.

Interferon β-1a subcutaneously 3 times/week clinical outcome in relapsing multiple sclerosis in Finland

Prognostic factors and long-term treatment response of interferon β-1a s.c tiw has not been studied in a real-life clinical cohort in Finland. The aim of the paper was to evaluate long-term treatment response, prognostic clinical factors and adherence among interferon β-1a s.c tiw treated patients in Finland. A retrospective review of medical records was performed. Confirmed relapsing multiple sclerosis patients treated with interferon β-1a s.c tiw 22μg or 44μg as their first treatment, from 1996 to 2010 in Western Finland, were included. Longitudinal generalized linear regression models were applied to assess risk of disability progression, using Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), during the treatment period. Odd's ratios with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were calculated for risk factors: gender, age at diagnosis, treatment delay, dose, baseline EDSS and EDSS change in one year. Kaplan-Meier was applied to study median time to discontinuation. Mean duration of treatment in 293 cases was 2.9 years (min 0.04, max 13.5). EDSS increase vs. no increase in one-year carried a significant risk for long-term disability progression (1.20, 1.08-1.33). Older age, defined by a 10-year increase in age at diagnosis (1.43, 1.07-1.91) and one-year delay to treatment start showed an increased risk for disability progression (1.05, 0.99-1.11), but gender (0.66, 0.38-1.15) or initial dose (1.00, 0.45-2.25) showed no risk. Treatment was stopped in 37% due to disease activation at median of 1.7 years, and in 25% due to side effects at 9.3 months. Our results show that young age, a short delay to treatment start and slower disability progression were identified as factors for better outcome among cases with interferon β-1a s.c tiw as their first disease modifying treatment.