Decision Trees Predicting Tumor Shrinkage for Head and Neck Cancer: Implications for Adaptive Radiotherapy

Quantitative magnetic resonance imaging responses in head and neck cancer patients treated with magnetic resonance-guided hypofractionated radiation therapy

Background and purpose

Quantitative MRI (qMRI) has been explored for detecting tumor changes during radiation therapy (RT) in head and neck squamous cell cancer (HNSCC). Clinical trials show prolonged survival with PD-1 targeted immune checkpoint inhibition. Hypofractionated radiation regimens are being studied to counteract radioresistant clonogen formation. This study aims to use daily qMRI monitoring in these therapies. The objective of this exploratory study was to investigate if qMRI can detect tumor microenvironment changes during hypofractionated RT in a phase I trial of Dose-Escalated Hypofractionated Adaptive Radiotherapy (DEHART).

Materials and methods

Seventeen subjects with advanced HNSCC underwent MR-guided RT with daily qMRI using a 15-fraction regimen to a cumulative dose of 50, 55, or 60 Gy. A 1.5 T MRI-Linac collected daily intravoxel incoherent motion (IVIM), T1, and T2 mappings. Median primary tumor ADC, D, D*, f, T1, and T2 were calculated, using paraspinal muscle as a control. qMRI parameters were analyzed by treatment condition and length using linear mixed effect models and nonparametric tests.

Results

Significant (p < 0.05) increases in ADC, D, f, and T2 were observed over treatment duration for multiple conditions. Daily monitoring enhanced result significance compared to weekly collection.

Conclusions

Daily qMRI effectively monitors tumor response over short periods and varying treatment conditions. Further studies on radiation and systemic therapy combinations in HNSCC could benefit from daily qMRI data collection.

Adaptive radiotherapy in locally advanced head and neck cancer: The importance of reduced margins

Background and Purpose

Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) involves treatment re-planning based on anatomical changes, which may improve target coverage and sparing of organs-at-risk (OARs). This study retrospectively assessed the technical feasibility and potential benefits of daily ART in combination with reduced planning target volume (PTV) margins for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

Materials and Methods

Thirty-one patients, encompassing 902 treatment fractions, treated with radiotherapy to 60.0-68.0 Gy in 2 Gy/fraction were studied. Synthetic CTs (sCT) from daily kVCT images were created and contours propagated using deformable image registration (DIR). Target contours were reviewed and corrected. On the sCT, non-adapted delivered doses and ART-plans with 5 mm (clinical standard) and 2 mm PTV-margin were evaluated. All daily dose distributions were then accumulated.

Results

Target contours required correction in 48 % of the fractions. Daily non-adapted D98%,CTV was > 95 % in 890 (5 mm) and 825 (2 mm) out of 902 fractions. All adapted plans achieved D98%,CTV > 95 %. Significant reductions in mean doses to OARs were observed for PTV = 2 mm ART-plans: 4.1 Gy for parotid, 2.6 Gy for submandibular, 3.3 Gy for oral cavity, 4.0 Gy for esophagus, and 3.8 Gy for larynx.

Conclusion

ART-planning on sCT and DIR propagated contours was feasible and promising for further clinical testing. To obtain a potential clinical benefit of ART, a synchronous reduction of the PTV-margin was warranted. Daily ART can be used to maintain adequate target dosimetry for every fraction, though for the accumulated treatment, insufficient target coverage without ART is unlikely to occur.

Estimation of adaptive radiation therapy requirements for rectal cancer: a two-center study

BACKGROUND

Rectal cancer patients are potential beneficiaries of adaptive radiotherapy (ART) which demands considerable resources. Currently, there is no definite guidance on what kind of patients and when will benefit from ART. This study aimed to develop and validate a methodology for estimating ART requirements in rectal cancer before treatment course.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

This study involved 66 rectal cancer patients from center 1 and 27 patients from center 2. The ART requirements were evaluated by comparing 8 dose volume histogram (DVH) metrics of targets and organs at risk (OARs) between planning and treatment fractions. Tolerance ranges of deviation of DVH metrics were derived from 10 patients and applied to assess fractional variability. Eighteen features, encompassing diagnostic, dosimetric, and time-related information, were utilized to formulate a stepwise logistic regression model for fraction-level ART requirement estimation. The super parameters were determined through 5-fold cross-validation with 250 training fractions and the methodology was validated with 109 internal testing fractions and 134 external testing fractions.

RESULTS

The area under the curve (AUC) of training dataset was 0.74 (95% CI: 0.61 to 0.85), while in the internal and external testing, the AUC achieved 0.76 (95% CI: 0.60-0.90) and 0.68 (95% CI: 0.56-0.81). Using a best (or clinical applicable) cut-off value of 33.4% (11%), the predictive model achieved a sensitivity of 46.2% (69.2%) and specificity of 97.9% (68.7%). During the modeling, 5 features were retained: Homogeneity index (OR = 6.06, 95% CI: 2.93-14.8), planning target volume (OR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.17-2.69), fraction dose (OR = 45.37, 95% CI: 5.74-469), accumulated dose (OR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.35-4.14), and whether neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (OR > 1000).

CONCLUSION

ART requirements are associated with target volume, target dose homogeneity, fraction dose, dose accumulation and whether neoadjuvant radiotherapy. The predictive model exhibited the capability to predict fraction-level ART requirements.

Weekly assessment of volumetric and dosimetric changes during volumetric modulated arc therapy of locally advanced head and neck carcinoma: Implications for adaptive radiation therapy-A prospective study

BACKGROUND

Chemoradiation in head and neck carcinoma (HNC) shows significant anatomical resulting in erroneous dose deposition in the target or the organ at risk (OAR). Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) can overcome this. Timing of significant target and OAR changes with dosimetric impact; thus, most suitable time and frequency of ART is unclear.

METHODS

This dosimetric study used prospective weekly non-contrast CT scans in 12 HNC patients (78 scans). OARs and TVs were manually contoured after registration with simulation scan. Dose overlay done on each scan without reoptimization. Dosimetric and volumetric variations assessed.

RESULTS

Commonest site was oropharynx. Gross Tumor Volume (GTV) reduced from 47.5 ± 19.2 to 17.8 ± 10.7 cc. Nodal GTV reduced from 15.7 ± 18.8 to 4.7 ± 7.1 cc. Parotid showed mean volume loss of 35%. T stage moderately correlated with GTV regression.

CONCLUSION

Maximum GTV changes occurred after 3 weeks. Best time to do single fixed interval ART would be by the end of 3 weeks.

Development of a prediction model for head and neck volume reduction by clinical factors, dose-volume histogram parameters and radiomics in head and neck cancer†

In external radiotherapy of head and neck (HN) cancers, the reduction of irradiation accuracy due to HN volume reduction often causes a problem. Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) can effectively solve this problem; however, its application to all cases is impractical because of cost and time. Therefore, finding priority cases is essential. This study aimed to predict patients with HN cancers are more likely to need ART based on a quantitative measure of large HN volume reduction and evaluate model accuracy. The study included 172 cases of patients with HN cancer who received external irradiation. The HN volume was calculated using cone-beam computed tomography (CT) for irradiation-guided radiotherapy for all treatment fractions and classified into two groups: cases with a large reduction in the HN volume and cases without a large reduction. Radiomic features were extracted from the primary gross tumor volume (GTV) and nodal GTV of the planning CT. To develop the prediction model, four feature selection methods and two machine-learning algorithms were tested. Predictive performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. Predictive performance was the highest for the random forest, with an AUC of 0.662. Furthermore, its accuracy, sensitivity and specificity were 0.692, 0.700 and 0.813, respectively. Selected features included radiomic features of the primary GTV, human papillomavirus in oropharyngeal cancer and the implementation of chemotherapy; thus, these features might be related to HN volume change. Our model suggested the potential to predict ART requirements based on HN volume reduction .

Early Experience of Online Adaptive Radiation Therapy for Definitive Radiation of Patients With Head and Neck Cancer

Purpose

The advent of cone beam computed tomography-based online adaptive radiation therapy (oART) has dramatically reduced the barriers of adaptation. We present the first prospective oART experience data in radiation of head and neck cancers (HNC).

Methods and Materials

Patients with HNC receiving definitive standard fractionation (chemo)radiation who underwent at least 1 oART session were enrolled in a prospective registry study. The frequency of adaptations was at the discretion of the treating physician. Physicians were given the option of delivering 1 of 2 plans during adaptation: the original radiation plan transposed onto the cone beam computed tomography with adapted contours (scheduled), and a new adapted plan generated from the updated contours (adapted). A paired t test was used to compare the mean doses between scheduled and adapted plans.

Results

Twenty-one patients (15 oropharynx, 4 larynx/hypopharynx, 2 other) underwent 43 adaptation sessions (median, 2). The median ART process time was 23 minutes, median physician time at the console was 27 minutes, and median patient time in the vault was 43.5 minutes. The adapted plan was chosen 93% of the time. The mean volume in each planned target volume (PTV) receiving 100% of the prescription dose for the scheduled versus adapted plan for high-risk PTVs was 87.8% versus 95% (P < .01), intermediate-risk PTVs was 87.3% versus 97.9% (P < .01), and low-risk PTVs was 94% versus 97.8% (P < .01), respectively. The mean hotspot was also lower with adaptation: 108.8% versus 106.4% (P < .01). All but 1 organ at risk (11/12) saw a decrease in their dose with the adapted plans, with the mean ipsilateral parotid (P = .013), mean larynx (P < .01), maximum point spinal cord (P < .01), and maximum point brain stem (P = .035) reaching statistical significance.

Conclusions

Online ART is feasible for HNC, with significant improvement in target coverage and homogeneity and a modest decrease in doses to several organs at risk.

Prediction of plan adaptation in head and neck cancer proton therapy using clinical, radiographic, and dosimetric features

PURPOSE

Because proton head and neck (HN) treatments are sensitive to anatomical changes, plan adaptation (re-plan) during the treatment course is needed for a significant portion of patients. We aim to predict re-plan at plan review stage for HN proton therapy with a neural network (NN) model trained with patients' dosimetric and clinical features. The model can serve as a valuable tool for planners to assess the probability of needing to revise the current plan.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

Mean beam dose heterogeneity index (BHI), defined as the ratio of the maximum beam dose to the prescription dose, plan robustness features (clinical target volume (CTV), V100 changes, and V100 > 95% passing rates in 21 robust evaluation scenarios), as well as clinical features (e.g., age, tumor site, and surgery/chemotherapy status) were gathered from 171 patients treated at our proton center in 2020, with a median age of 64 and stages from I-IVc across 13 HN sites. Statistical analyses of dosimetric parameters and clinical features were conducted between re-plan and no-replan groups. A NN was trained and tested using these features. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted to evaluate the performance of the prediction model. A sensitivity analysis was done to determine feature importance.

RESULTS

Mean BHI in the re-plan group was significantly higher than the no-replan group (p < .01). Tumor site (p < .01), chemotherapy status (p < .01), and surgery status (p < .01) were significantly correlated to re-plan. The model had sensitivities/specificities of 75.0%/77.4%, respectively, and an area under the ROC curve of .855.

CONCLUSION

There are several dosimetric and clinical features that correlate to re-plans, and NNs trained with these features can be used to predict HN re-plans, which can be used to reduce re-plan rate by improving plan quality.

Automated tracking of morphologic changes in weekly magnetic resonance imaging during head and neck radiotherapy

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Anatomic changes during head and neck radiotherapy can impact dose delivery, necessitate adaptive replanning, and indicate patient-specific response to treatment. We have developed an automated system to track these changes through longitudinal MRI scans to aid identification and clinical intervention. The purpose of this article is to describe this tracking system and present results from an initial cohort of patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The Automated Watchdog in Adaptive Radiotherapy Environment (AWARE) was developed to process longitudinal MRI data for radiotherapy patients. AWARE automatically identifies and collects weekly scans, propagates radiotherapy planning structures, computes structure changes over time, and reports important trends to the clinical team. AWARE also incorporates manual structure review and revision from clinical experts and dynamically updates tracking statistics when necessary. AWARE was applied to patients receiving weekly T2-weighted MRI scans during head and neck radiotherapy. Changes in nodal gross tumor volume (GTV) and parotid gland delineations were tracked over time to assess changes during treatment and identify early indicators of treatment response.

RESULTS

N = 91 patients were tracked and analyzed in this study. Nodal GTVs and parotids both shrunk considerably throughout treatment (-9.7 ± 7.7% and -3.7 ± 3.3% per week, respectively). Ipsilateral parotids shrunk significantly faster than contralateral (-4.3 ± 3.1% vs. -2.9 ± 3.3% per week, p = 0.005) and increased in distance from GTVs over time (+2.7 ± 7.2% per week, p < 1 × 10^-5 ). Automatic structure propagations agreed well with manual revisions (Dice = 0.88 ± 0.09 for parotids and 0.80 ± 0.15 for GTVs), but for GTVs the agreement degraded 4-5 weeks after the start of treatment. Changes in GTV volume observed by AWARE as early as one week into treatment were predictive of large changes later in the course (AUC = 0.79).

CONCLUSION

AWARE automatically identified longitudinal changes in GTV and parotid volumes during radiotherapy. Results suggest that this system may be useful for identifying rapidly responding patients as early as one week into treatment.

Biophysics at the edge of life and death: radical control of apoptotic mechanisms

Recent studies have furthered our understanding of how dying and living cells interact in different physiological contexts, however the signaling that initiates and mediates apoptosis and apoptosis-induced proliferation are more complex than previously thought. One increasingly important area of study is the biophysical control of apoptosis. In addition to biochemical regulation, biophysical signals (including redox chemistry, bioelectric gradients, acoustic and magnetic stimuli) are also known yet understudied regulators of both cell death and apoptosis-induced proliferation. Mounting evidence suggests biophysical signals may be key targets for therapeutic interventions. This review highlights what is known about the role of biophysical signals in controlling cell death mechanisms during development, regeneration, and carcinogenesis. Since biophysical signals can be controlled spatiotemporally, bypassing the need for genetic manipulation, further investigation may lead to fine-tuned modulation of apoptotic pathways to direct desired therapeutic outcomes.

Retrospective Clinical Evaluation of a Decision-Support Software for Adaptive Radiotherapy of Head and Neck Cancer Patients

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the clinical need for an automated decision-support software platform for adaptive radiation therapy (ART) of head and neck cancer (HNC) patients.

Methods

We tested RTapp (SegAna), a new ART software platform for deciding when a treatment replan is needed, to investigate a set of 27 HNC patients’ data retrospectively. For each fraction, the software estimated key components of ART such as daily dose distribution and cumulative doses received by targets and organs at risk (OARs) from daily 3D imaging in real-time. RTapp also included a prediction algorithm that analyzed dosimetric parameter (DP) trends against user-specified thresholds to proactively trigger adaptive re-planning up to four fractions ahead. The DPs evaluated for ART were based on treatment planning dose constraints. Warning (V₉₅<95%) and adaptation (V₉₅<93%) thresholds were set for PTVs, while OAR adaptation dosimetric endpoints of +10% (DE₁₀) were set for all D_max and D_mean DPs. Any threshold violation at end of treatment (EOT) triggered a review of the DP trends to determine the threshold-crossing fraction Fx when the violations occurred. The prediction model accuracy was determined as the difference between calculated and predicted DP values with 95% confidence intervals (CI₉₅).

Results

RTapp was able to address the needs of treatment adaptation. Specifically, we identified 18/27 studies (67%) for violating PTV coverage or parotid D_mean at EOT. Twelve PTVs had V₉₅<95% (mean coverage decrease of −6.8 ± 2.9%) including six flagged for adaptation at median Fx= 6 (range, 1–16). Seventeen parotids were flagged for exceeding D_mean dose constraints with a median increase of +2.60 Gy (range, 0.99–6.31 Gy) at EOT, including nine with DP>DE₁₀. The differences between predicted and calculated PTV V₉₅ and parotid D_mean was up to 7.6% (mean ± CI₉₅, −2.7 ± 4.1%) and 5 Gy (mean ± CI₉₅, 0.3 ± 1.6 Gy), respectively. The most accurate predictions were obtained closest to the threshold-crossing fraction. For parotids, the results showed that Fx ranged between fractions 1 and 23, with a lack of specific trend demonstrating that the need for treatment adaptation may be verified for every fraction.

Conclusion

Integrated in an ART clinical workflow, RTapp aids in predicting whether specific treatment would require adaptation up to four fractions ahead of time.

A deep learning-based radiomics approach to predict head and neck tumor regression for adaptive radiotherapy

Early regression—the regression in tumor volume during the initial phase of radiotherapy (approximately 2 weeks after treatment initiation)—is a common occurrence during radiotherapy. This rapid radiation-induced tumor regression may alter target coordinates, necessitating adaptive radiotherapy (ART). We developed a deep learning-based radiomics (DLR) approach to predict early head and neck tumor regression and thereby facilitate ART. Primary gross tumor volume (GTVp) was monitored in 96 patients and nodal GTV (GTVn) in 79 patients during treatment. All patients underwent two computed tomography (CT) scans: one before the start of radiotherapy for initial planning and one during radiotherapy for boost planning. Patients were assigned to regression and nonregression groups according to their median tumor regression rate (ΔGTV/treatment day from initial to boost CT scan). We input a GTV image into the convolutional neural network model, which was pretrained using natural image datasets, via transfer learning. The deep features were extracted from the last fully connected layer. To clarify the prognostic power of the deep features, machine learning models were trained. The models then predicted the regression and nonregression of GTVp and GTVn and evaluated the predictive performance by 0.632 + bootstrap area under the curve (AUC). Predictive performance for GTVp regression was highest using the InceptionResNetv2 model (mean AUC = 0.75) and that for GTVn was highest using NASNetLarge (mean AUC = 0.73). Both models outperformed the handcrafted radiomics features (mean AUC = 0.63 for GTVp and 0.61 for GTVn) or clinical factors (0.64 and 0.67, respectively). DLR may facilitate ART for improved radiation side-effects and target coverage.

Chorioallantoic membrane tumor models highlight the effects of cisplatin compounds in oral carcinoma treatment

The European Society for Medical Oncology (ESMO) suggests the use of chemotherapy as neoadjuvant, adjuvant, and concomitant to surgery and radiotherapy for the treatment of oral carcinoma by depending on the cancer stage. The usual drug of choice belongs to the platinum compounds. In this context, the evaluation of the cancer behavior associated with the administration of standard or emerging cisplatin compounds supports the establishment of optimal cancer management. Here, we have assessed and compared the performance of cisplatin alone and contained in biodegradable nanocapsules on standardized chorioallantoic membrane (CAM) tumor models. The vascularized environment and optimized grafting procedure allowed the establishment of solid tumors. The treatments showed antitumor and anti-angiogenic activities together with deregulation of pivotal genes responsible of treatment resistance and tumor aggressiveness. This study further supports the significance of CAM tumor models in oncological research for the comprehension of the molecular mechanisms involved in tumor treatment response.

Multi-Organ Omics-Based Prediction for Adaptive Radiation Therapy Eligibility in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Concurrent Chemoradiotherapy

Purpose

To investigate the role of different multi-organ omics-based prediction models for pre-treatment prediction of Adaptive Radiotherapy (ART) eligibility in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).

Methods and Materials

Pre-treatment contrast-enhanced computed tomographic and magnetic resonance images, radiotherapy dose and contour data of 135 NPC patients treated at Hong Kong Queen Elizabeth Hospital were retrospectively analyzed for extraction of multi-omics features, namely Radiomics (R), Morphology (M), Dosiomics (D), and Contouromics (C), from a total of eight organ structures. During model development, patient cohort was divided into a training set and a hold-out test set in a ratio of 7 to 3 via 20 iterations. Four single-omics models (R, M, D, C) and four multi-omics models (RD, RC, RM, RMDC) were developed on the training data using Ridge and Multi-Kernel Learning (MKL) algorithm, respectively, under 10-fold cross validation, and evaluated on hold-out test data using average area under the receiver-operator-characteristics curve (AUC). The best-performing single-omics model was first determined by comparing the AUC distribution across the 20 iterations among the four single-omics models using two-sided student t-test, which was then retrained using MKL algorithm for a fair comparison with the four multi-omics models.

Results

The R model significantly outperformed all other three single-omics models (all p-value<0.0001), achieving an average AUC of 0.942 (95%CI: 0.938-0.946) and 0.918 (95%CI: 0.903-0.933) in training and hold-out test set, respectively. When trained with MKL, the R model (R_MKL) yielded an increased AUC of 0.984 (95%CI: 0.981-0.988) and 0.927 (95%CI: 0.905-0.948) in training and hold-out test set respectively, while demonstrating no significant difference as compared to all studied multi-omics models in the hold-out test sets. Intriguingly, Radiomic features accounted for the majority of the final selected features, ranging from 64% to 94%, in all the studied multi-omics models.

Conclusions

Among all the studied models, the Radiomic model was found to play a dominant role for ART eligibility in NPC patients, and Radiomic features accounted for the largest proportion of features in all the multi-omics models.

A Multi-Center Study of CT-Based Neck Nodal Radiomics for Predicting an Adaptive Radiotherapy Trigger of Ill-Fitted Thermoplastic Masks in Patients with Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Significant lymph node shrinkage is common in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) throughout radiotherapy (RT) treatment, causing ill-fitted thermoplastic masks (IfTMs). To deal with this, an ad hoc adaptive radiotherapy (ART) may be required to ensure accurate and safe radiation delivery and to maintain treatment efficacy. Presently, the entire procedure for evaluating an eligible ART candidate is time-consuming, resource-demanding, and highly inefficient. In the artificial intelligence paradigm, the pre-treatment identification of NPC patients at risk for IfTMs has become greatly demanding for achieving efficient ART eligibility screening, while no relevant studies have been reported. Hence, we aimed to investigate the capability of computed tomography (CT)-based neck nodal radiomics for predicting IfTM-triggered ART events in NPC patients via a multi-center setting. Contrast-enhanced CT and the clinical data of 124 and 58 NPC patients from Queen Elizabeth Hospital (QEH) and Queen Mary Hospital (QMH), respectively, were retrospectively analyzed. Radiomic (R), clinical (C), and combined (RC) models were developed using the ridge algorithm in the QEH cohort and evaluated in the QMH cohort using the median area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUC). Delong’s test was employed for model comparison. Model performance was further assessed on 1000 replicates in both cohorts separately via bootstrapping. The R model yielded the highest “corrected” AUC of 0.784 (BCa 95%CI: 0.673–0.859) and 0.723 (BCa 95%CI: 0.534–0.859) in the QEH and QMH cohort following bootstrapping, respectively. Delong’s test indicated that the R model performed significantly better than the C model in the QMH cohort (p < 0.0001), while demonstrating no significant difference compared to the RC model (p = 0.5773). To conclude, CT-based neck nodal radiomics was capable of predicting IfTM-triggered ART events in NPC patients in this multi-center study, outperforming the traditional clinical model. The findings of this study provide valuable insights for future study into developing an effective screening strategy for ART eligibility in NPC patients in the long run, ultimately alleviating the workload of clinical practitioners, streamlining ART procedural efficiency in clinics, and achieving personalized RT for NPC patients in the future.

Developing practical clinical tools for predicting neonatal mortality at a neonatal intensive care unit in Tanzania

BACKGROUND

Neonatal mortality remains high in Tanzania at approximately 20 deaths per 1000 live births. Low birthweight, prematurity, and asphyxia are associated with neonatal mortality; however, no studies have assessed the value of combining underlying conditions and vital signs to provide clinicians with early warning of infants at risk of mortality. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors (including vital signs) associated with neonatal mortality in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) in Bugando Medical Centre (BMC), Mwanza, Tanzania; to identify the most accurate generalised linear model (GLM) or decision tree for predicting mortality; and to provide a tool that provides clinically relevant cut-offs for predicting mortality that is easily used by clinicians in a low-resource setting.

METHODS

In total, 165 neonates were enrolled between November 2019 and March 2020, of whom 80 (48.5%) died. We competed the performance of GLMs and decision trees by resampling the data to create training and test datasets and comparing their accuracy at correctly predicting mortality.

RESULTS

GLMs always outperformed decision trees. The best fitting GLM showed that (for standardised risk factors) temperature (OR 0.61, 95% CI 0.40-0.90), birthweight (OR 0.33, 95% CI 0.20-0.52), and oxygen saturation (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.45-0.94) were negatively associated with mortality, while heart rate (OR 1.59, 95% CI 1.10-2.35) and asphyxia (OR 3.23, 95% 1.25-8.91) were risk factors. To identify the tool that balances accuracy and with ease of use in a low-resource clinical setting, we compared the best fitting GLM with simpler versions, and identified the three-variable GLM with temperature, heart rate, and birth weight as the best candidate. For this tool, cut-offs were identified using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves with the optimal cut-off for mortality prediction corresponding to 76.3% sensitivity and 68.2% specificity. The final tool is graphical, showing cut-offs that depend on birthweight, heart rate, and temperature.

CONCLUSIONS

Underlying conditions and vital signs can be combined into simple graphical tools that improve upon the current guidelines and are straightforward to use by clinicians in a low-resource setting.

A reinforcement learning approach for finding optimal policy of adaptive radiation therapy considering uncertain tumor biological response

Recent studies have shown that a tumor's biological response to radiation varies over time and has a dynamic nature. Dynamic biological features of tumor cells underscore the importance of using fractionation and adapting the treatment plan to tumor volume changes in radiation therapy treatment. Adaptive radiation therapy (ART) is an iterative process to adjust the dose of radiation in response to potential changes during the treatment. One of the key challenges in ART is how to determine the optimal timing of adaptations corresponding to tumor response to radiation. This paper aims to develop an automated treatment planning framework incorporating the biological uncertainties to find the optimal adaptation points to achieve a more effective treatment plan. First, a dynamic tumor-response model is proposed to predict weekly tumor volume regression during the period of radiation therapy treatment based on biological factors. Second, a Reinforcement Learning (RL) framework is developed to find the optimal adaptation points for ART considering the uncertainty in biological factors with the goal of achieving maximum final tumor control while minimizing or maintaining the toxicity level of the organs at risk (OARs) per the decision-maker's preference. Third, a beamlet intensity optimization model is solved using the predicted tumor volume at each adaptation point. The performance of the proposed RT treatment planning framework is tested using a clinical non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) case. The results are compared with the conventional fractionation schedule (i.e., equal dose fractionation) as a reference plan. The results show that the proposed approach performed well in achieving a robust optimal ART treatment plan under high uncertainty in the biological parameters. The ART plan outperformed the reference plan by increasing the mean biological effective dose (BED) value of the tumor by 2.01%, while maintaining the OAR BED within +0.5% and reducing the variability, in terms of the interquartile range (IQR) of tumor BED, by 25%.

What information can we gain from performing adaptive radiotherapy of head and neck cancer patients from the past 10 years?

The aim of the review was to present the current literature status about replanning regarding anatomical and dosimetric changes in the target and OARs in the head and neck region during radiotherapy, to discuss and to analyze factors influencing the decision for adaptive radiotherapy of head and neck cancer patients. Significant progress has been made in head and neck patients' evaluation and qualification for adapted radiotherapy over the past ten years. Many factors leading to anatomical and dosimetric changes during treatment have been identified. Based on the literature, the most common factors triggering re-plan are weight loss, tumor and nodal changes, and parotid glands shrinkage. The fluctuations in dose distribution in the clinical area are significant predictive factors for patients' quality of life and the possibility of recovery. It has been shown that re-planning influence clinical outcomes: local control, disease free survival and overall survival. Regarding literature studies, it seems that adaptive radiotherapy would be the most beneficial for tumors of immense volume or those in the nearest proximity of the OARs. All researchers agree that the timing of re-planning is a crucial challenge, and there are still no clear consensus guidelines for time or criteria of re-planning. Nowadays, thanks to significant technological progress, the decision is mostly made based on observation and supported with IGRT verification. Although further research is still needed, adaptive strategies are evolving and now became the state of the art of modern radiotherapy.

Deformable image registration to assist clinical decision for radiotherapy treatment adaptation for head and neck cancer patients

Head and neck (H&N) cancer patients often present anatomical and geometrical changes in tumors and organs at risk (OARs) during radiotherapy treatment. These changes may result in the need to adapt the existing treatment planning, using an expert's subjective opinion, for offline adaptive radiotherapy and a new treatment planning before each treatment, for online adaptive radiotherapy. In the present study, a fast methodology is proposed to assist in planning adaptation clinical decision using tumor and parotid glands percentage volume changes during treatment. The proposed approach was applied to 40 Η&Ν cases, with one planning Computed Tomography (pCT) image and CBCT scans for 6 weeks of treatment per case. Deformable registration was used for each patient's pCT image alignment to its weekly CBCT. The calculated transformations were used to align each patient's anatomical structures to the weekly anatomy. Clinical target volume (CTV) and parotid gland volume percentage changes were calculated in each case. The accuracy of the achieved image alignment was validated qualitatively and quantitatively. Furthermore, statistical analysis was performed to test if there is a statistically significant correlation between CTV and parotid glands volume percentage changes. Average MDA for CTV and parotid glands between corresponding structures defined by an expert in CBCTs and automatically calculated through registration was 1.4 ± 0.1 mm and 1.5 ± 0.1 mm, respectively. The mean registration time of the first CBCT image registration for 40 cases was lower than 3.4 min. Five patients show more than 20% tumor volume change. Six patients show more than 30% parotid glands volume change. Ten out of 40 patients proposed for planning adaptation. All the statistical tests performed showed no correlation between CTV/parotid glands percentage volume changes. The aim to assist in clinical decision making on a fast and automatic way was achieved using the proposed methodology, thereby reducing workload in clinical practice.

Correlation between 3D scanner image and MRI for tracking volume changes in head and neck cancer patients

Introduction

We investigated the correlation between optical surface imaging using a three‐dimensional (3D) scanner and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for suggesting feasibility in the clinical process of tracking volume changes in head and neck patients during radiation treatment.

Methods

Ten patients were divided into two groups depending on the location of their tumor (i.e., right or left side). With weekly imaging data, the change in volume based on MRI was evaluated during the treatment course. Four volumes of interest (VOIs) were calculated on the 3D surface image of the facial and cervical areas using an optical 3D scanner, and the correlation between volumetric parameters were analyzed.

Results

The target volume changed significantly overall for both groups. The changes parotid volume reduced by up to 3.8% and 28.0% for groups A (right side) and B (left side), respectively. In Group A, VOI 1 on the facial area and VOI 3 on the cervical area decreased gradually during the treatment course by up to 3.3% and 10.7%, respectively. In Group B, only VOI 4 decreased gradually during the treatment course and reduced by up to 9.2%. In group A, the change in target volume correlated strongly with right‐side parotid, VOI 1, and VOI 3, respectively. The parotid also showed strong correlations with VOIs (P < 0.01). The weight loss was strongly correlated with either PTV or parotid without statistical significance (P > 0.05). In group B (left side), the change in target volume correlated strongly with each volumetric parameter, including weight loss. For individual patient, PTV showed more correlation with VOIs on the cervical area than VOIs on the facial area.

Conclusions

An optical 3D scanner can be applied to track changes in volume without radiation exposure during treatment and the optical surface image correlated with MRI.

Victory Prediction of Ladies Professional Golf Association Players: Influential Factors and Comparison of Prediction Models

This study aims to identify the most accurate prediction model for the possibility of victory from the annual average data of 25 seasons (1993–2017) of the Ladies Professional Golf Association (LPGA), and to determine the importance of the predicting factors. The four prediction models considered in this study were a decision tree, discriminant analysis, logistic regression, and artificial neural network analysis. The mean difference in the classification accuracy of these models was analyzed using SPSS 22.0 software (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) and the one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA). When the prediction was based on technical variables, the most important predicting variables for determining victory were greens in regulation (GIR) and putting average (PA) in all four prediction models. When the prediction was based on the output of the technical variables, the most important predicting variable for determining victory was birdies in all four prediction models. When the prediction was based on the season outcome, the most important predicting variables for determining victory were the top 10 finish% (T10) and official money. A significant mean difference in classification accuracy was observed while performing the one-way ANOVA, and the least significant difference post-hoc test showed that artificial neural network analysis exhibited higher accuracy than the other models, especially, for larger data sizes. From the results of this study, it can be inferred that the player who wants to win the LPGA should aim to increase GIR, reduce PA, and improve driving distance and accuracy through training to increase the birdies chance at each hole, which can lead to lower average strokes and increased possibility of being within T10.

Radiotherapy for Head and Neck Cancer: Evaluation of Triggered Adaptive Replanning in Routine Practice

Purpose and Objective

A proportion of patients receiving radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) require ad hoc treatment re-planning. The aim of this retrospective study is to analyze the patients who required ad hoc re-planning and to identify factors, which may predict need for re-planning.

Materials and Methods

A single center evaluation of all patients receiving radical or adjuvant (chemo)radiotherapy (CRT) for HNSCC between January and December 2016 was undertaken. Patients who underwent ad hoc re-planning during the treatment were identified in electronic records. Reasons for re-planning were categorized as: weight loss, tumor shrinkage, changes in patient position and immobilization-related factors. Potential trigger factors for adaptive radiotherapy such as patient characteristics, primary tumor site, stage, concomitant chemotherapy, weight loss ratios, radical/adjuvant treatment, and nutritional interventions were investigated.

Results

31/290 (10.6%) HNSCC patients who underwent radical/adjuvant radiotherapy required re-planning. The adaptive radiotherapy (ART) was performed at a mean fraction of 15. The most common documented reasons for re-planning were tumor shrinkage (35.5%) and weight loss (35.5%). Among the patient/tumor/treatment factors, nasopharyngeal primary site (p = 0.013) and use of concurrent chemotherapy with radiotherapy (p = 0.034) were found to be significantly correlated with the need for re-planning.

Conclusion

Effective on-treatment verification schedules and close follow up of patients especially with NPC primary and/or treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy are crucial to identify patients requiring ART. We suggest an individualized triggered approach to ART rather than scheduled strategies as it is likely to be more feasible in terms of utilization of workload and resources.

Adaptive radiotherapy for head and neck cancer

Background

Although there have been dramatic improvements in radiotherapy for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC), including robust intensity modulation and daily image guidance, these advances are not able to account for inherent structural and spatial changes that may occur during treatment. Many sources have reported volume reductions in the primary target, nodal volumes, and parotid glands over treatment, which may result in unintended dosimetric changes affecting the side effect profile and even efficacy of the treatment. Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) is an exciting treatment paradigm that has been developed to directly adjust for these changes.

Main body

Adaptive radiotherapy may be divided into two categories: anatomy-adapted (A-ART) and response-adapted ART (R-ART). Anatomy-adapted ART is the process of re-planning patients based on structural and spatial changes occurring over treatment, with the intent of reducing overdosage of sensitive structures such as the parotids, improving dose homogeneity, and preserving coverage of the target. In contrast, response-adapted ART is the process of re-planning patients based on response to treatment, such that the target and/or dose changes as a function of interim imaging during treatment, with the intent of dose escalating persistent disease and/or de-escalating surrounding normal tissue. The impact of R-ART on local control and toxicity outcomes is actively being investigated in several currently accruing trials.

Conclusions

Anatomy-adapted ART is a promising modality to improve rates of xerostomia and coverage in individuals who experience significant volumetric changes during radiation, while R-ART is currently being studied to assess its utility in either dose escalation of radioresistant disease, or de-intensification of surrounding normal tissue following treatment response. In this paper, we will review the existing literature and recent advances regarding A-ART and R-ART.

Pretreatment Prediction of Adaptive Radiation Therapy Eligibility Using MRI-Based Radiomics for Advanced Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients

Background and purpose: Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) can compensate for the dosimetric impacts induced by anatomic and geometric variations in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC); Yet, the need for ART can only be assessed during the radiation treatment and the implementation of ART is resource intensive. Therefore, we aimed to determine tumoral biomarkers using pre-treatment MR images for predicting ART eligibility in NPC patients prior to the start of treatment. Methods: Seventy patients with biopsy-proven NPC (Stage II-IVB) in 2015 were enrolled into this retrospective study. Pre-treatment contrast-enhanced T1-w (CET1-w), T2-w MR images were processed and filtered using Laplacian of Gaussian (LoG) filter before radiomic features extraction. A total of 479 radiomics features, including the first-order (n = 90), shape (n = 14), and texture features (n = 375), were initially extracted from Gross-Tumor-Volume of primary tumor (GTVnp) using CET1-w, T2-w MR images. Patients were randomly divided into a training set (n = 51) and testing set (n = 19). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model was applied for radiomic model construction in training set to select the most predictive features to predict patients who were replanned and assessed in the testing set. A double cross-validation approach of 100 resampled iterations with 3-fold nested cross-validation was employed in LASSO during model construction. The predictive performance of each model was evaluated using the area under the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). Results: In the present cohort, 13 of 70 patients (18.6%) underwent ART. Average AUCs in training and testing sets were 0.962 (95%CI: 0.961-0.963) and 0.852 (95%CI: 0.847-0.857) with 8 selected features for CET1-w model; 0.895 (95%CI: 0.893-0.896) and 0.750 (95%CI: 0.745-0.755) with 6 selected features for T2-w model; and 0.984 (95%CI: 0.983-0.984) and 0.930 (95%CI: 0.928-0.933) with 6 selected features for joint T1-T2 model, respectively. In general, the joint T1-T2 model outperformed either CET1-w or T2-w model alone. Conclusions: Our study successfully showed promising capability of MRI-based radiomics features for pre-treatment identification of ART eligibility in NPC patients.

Prediction of 10-year Overall Survival in Patients with Operable Cervical Cancer using a Probabilistic Neural Network

Background: Toward the goal of predicting individual long-term cancer survival to guide treatment decisions, this study evaluated the ability of a probabilistic neural network (PNN), an established model used for decision-making in research and clinical settings, to predict the 10-year overall survival in patients with cervical cancer who underwent primary surgical treatment. Patients and Method: The input dataset was derived from 102 patients with cervical cancer FIGO stage IA2-IIB treated by radical hysterectomy. We identified 4 demographic parameters, 13 tumor-related parameters, and 6 selected perioperative variables for each patient and performed computer simulations with DTREG software. The predictive ability of the model was determined on the basis of its error, sensitivity, and specificity, as well as area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The results of the PNN predictive model were compared with those of logistic regression analysis and a single decision tree as reference models. Results: The PNN model had very high predictive ability, with a sensitivity of 0.949, a specificity of 0.679, and an error rate of 12.5%. The PNN's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was high, 0.809, a value greater than those for both logistic regression analysis and the single decision tree. Conclusion: The PNN model effectively and reliably predicted 10-year overall survival in women with operable cervical cancer, and may therefore serve as a tool for decision-making process in cancer treatment.

Which nasopharyngeal cancer patients need adaptive radiotherapy?

Background

Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) has potential benefits in patients with nasopharyngeal cancer (NPC). This retrospective study aimed to identify the factors favoring ART.

Materials and methods

Forty NPC patients were retrospectively included in this study. All patients received two-phase, volumetric modulated arc radiotherapy (VMAT) and underwent a second computed tomography (CT) for the phase II ART. We generated phantom, non-ART plans by a hybrid method for comparison with ART plans. A paired t-test was used to evaluate the dose differences between these two plans. A subgroup analysis through a paired t-test was used to evaluate the factors favoring ART.

Results

The second CT images were captured at the median 22 fractions. The median total dose of the planning target volume-one (PTV-1) was 72 Gy, and the phase II dose was 16 Gy. The volumes of the ipsilateral parotid gland (23.2 vs. 19.2 ml, p <  0.000), contralateral parotid gland (23.0 vs. 18.4 ml, p <  0.000), clinical target volume-1 (CTV-1, 32.2 vs. 20.9 ml, p <  0.000), and PTV-1 (125.8 vs. 107.3 ml, p <  0.000) all shrunk significantly between these two CT simulation procedures. Among the nearby critical organs, only the ipsilateral parotid gland displayed significant dose reduction by the ART plan (5.3 vs. 6.0 Gy, p = 0.004). Compared to the phantom plan, the ART could significantly improve the PTV-1 target volume coverage of D₉₈ (15.4 vs. 12.3 Gy, p < 0.000). Based on the D₉₈ of PTV-1, the factors of a large initial weight (> 60 kg, p < 0.000), large body mass index (BMI) (> 21.5, p < 0.000), obvious weight loss (> 2.8 kg, p < 0.000), concurrent chemoradiotherapy (p < 0.000), and stages III–IV (p < 0.000) favored the use of ART.

Conclusions

ART could significantly reduce the mean dose to the ipsilateral parotid gland. ART has dosimetrical benefit for patients with a heavy initial weight, large BMI, obvious weight loss, concurrent chemoradiotherapy, and cancer in stages III–IV.

Adaptive radiotherapy for head and neck cancer

INTRODUCTION

Large anatomical variations can be observed during the treatment course intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) for head and neck cancer (HNC), leading to potential dose variations. Adaptive radiotherapy (ART) uses one or several replanning sessions to correct these variations and thus optimize the delivered dose distribution to the daily anatomy of the patient. This review, which is focused on ART in the HNC, aims to identify the various strategies of ART and to estimate the dosimetric and clinical benefits of these strategies.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We performed an electronic search of articles published in PubMed/MEDLINE and Science Direct from January 2005 to December 2016. Among a total of 134 articles assessed for eligibility, 29 articles were ultimately retained for the review. Eighteen studies evaluated dosimetric variations without ART, and 11 studies reported the benefits of ART.

RESULTS

Eight in silico studies tested a number of replanning sessions, ranging from 1 to 6, aiming primarily to reduce the dose to the parotid glands. The optimal timing for replanning appears to be early during the first two weeks of treatment. Compared to standard IMRT, ART decreases the mean dose to the parotid gland from 0.6 to 6 Gy and the maximum dose to the spinal cord from 0.1 to 4 Gy while improving target coverage and homogeneity in most studies. Only five studies reported the clinical results of ART, and three of those studies included a non-randomized comparison with standard IMRT. These studies suggest a benefit of ART in regard to decreasing xerostomia, increasing quality of life, and increasing local control. Patients with the largest early anatomical and dose variations are the best candidates for ART.

CONCLUSION

ART may decrease toxicity and improve local control for locally advanced HNC. However, randomized trials are necessary to demonstrate the benefit of ART before using the technique in routine practice.

Application of data mining techniques to explore predictors of upper urinary tract damage in patients with neurogenic bladder

This study proposed a decision tree model to screen upper urinary tract damage (UUTD) for patients with neurogenic bladder (NGB). Thirty-four NGB patients with UUTD were recruited in the case group, while 78 without UUTD were included in the control group. A decision tree method, classification and regression tree (CART), was then applied to develop the model in which UUTD was used as a dependent variable and history of urinary tract infections, bladder management, conservative treatment, and urodynamic findings were used as independent variables. The urethra function factor was found to be the primary screening information of patients and treated as the root node of the tree; Pabd max (maximum abdominal pressure, >14 cmH₂O), Pves max (maximum intravesical pressure, ≤89 cmH₂O), and gender (female) were also variables associated with UUTD. The accuracy of the proposed model was 84.8%, and the area under curve was 0.901 (95%CI=0.844-0.958), suggesting that the decision tree model might provide a new and convenient way to screen UUTD for NGB patients in both undeveloped and developing areas.

A feasibility study of dynamic adaptive radiotherapy for nonsmall cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

The final state of the tumor at the end of a radiotherapy course is dependent on the doses given in each fraction during the treatment course. This study investigates the feasibility of using dynamic adaptive radiotherapy (DART) in treating lung cancers assuming CBCT is available to observe midtreatment tumor states. DART adapts treatment plans using a dynamic programming technique to consider the expected changes of the tumor in the optimization process.

METHODS

DART is constructed using a stochastic control formalism framework. It minimizes the total expected number of tumor cells at the end of a treatment course, which is equivalent to maximizing tumor control probability, subject to the uncertainty inherent in the tumor response. This formulation allows for nonstationary dose distributions as well as nonstationary fractional doses as needed to achieve a series of optimal plans that are conformal to the tumor over time, i.e., spatiotemporally optimal plans. Sixteen phantom cases with various sizes and locations of tumors and organs-at-risk (OAR) were generated using in-house software. Each case was planned with DART and conventional IMRT prescribing 60 Gy in 30 fractions. The observations of the change in the tumor volume over a treatment course were simulated using a two-level cell population model. Monte Carlo simulations of the treatment course for each case were run to account for uncertainty in the tumor response. The same OAR dose constraints were applied for both methods. The frequency of replanning was varied between 1, 2, 5 (weekly), and 29 times (daily). The final average tumor dose and OAR doses have been compared to quantify the potential dosimetric benefits of DART.

RESULTS

The average tumor max, min, mean, and D95 doses using DART relative to these using conventional IMRT were 124.0%-125.2%, 102.1%-114.7%, 113.7%-123.4%, and 102.0%-115.9% (range dependent on the frequency of replanning). The average relative maximum doses for the cord and esophagus, mean doses for the heart and lungs, and D05 for the unspecified tissue resulting 84%-102.4%, 99.8%-106.9%, 66.9%-85.6%, 58.2%-78.8%, and 85.2%-94.0%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

It is feasible to apply DART to the treatment of NSCLC using CBCT to observe the midtreatment tumor state. Potential increases in the tumor dose and reductions in the OAR dose, particularly for parallel OARs with mean or dose-volume constraints, could be achieved using DART compared to nonadaptive IMRT.

Adaptive Radiotherapy for Head and Neck Cancer

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effects of adaptive radiotherapy on dosimetric, clinical, and toxicity outcomes for patients with head and neck cancer undergoing chemoradiotherapy with intensity-modulated radiotherapy.

METHODS

Fifty-one patients with advanced head and neck cancer underwent definitive chemoradiotherapy with the original plan optimized to deliver 70.2 Gy. All patients were resimulated at a median dose of 37.8 Gy (range, 27.0-48.6 Gy) due to changes in tumor volume and/or patient weight loss (>15% from baseline). Thirty-four patients underwent adaptive replanning for their boost planning (21.6 Gy). The dosimetric effects of the adaptive plan were compared to the original plan and the original plan copied on rescan computed tomography. Acute and late toxicities and tumor local control were assessed. Gross tumor volume reduction rate was calculated.

RESULTS

With adaptive replanning, the maximum dose to the spinal cord, brain stem, mean ipsilateral, and contralateral parotid had a median reduction of -4.5%, -3.0%, -6.2%, and -2.5%, respectively (median of 34 patients). Median gross tumor volume and boost planning target volume coverage improved by 0.8% and 0.5%, respectively. With a median follow-up time of 17.6 months, median disease-free survival and overall survival was 14.8 and 21.1 months, respectively. Median tumor volume reduction rate was 35.2%. For patients with tumor volume reduction rate ≤35.2%, median disease-free survival was 8.7 months, whereas it was 16.9 months for tumor volume reduction rate >35.2%. Four patients had residual disease after chemoradiotherapy, whereas 64.7% (20 of 34) of patients achieved locoregional control.

CONCLUSION

Implementation of adaptive radiotherapy in head and neck cancer offers benefits including improvement in tumor coverage and decrease in dose to organs at risk. The tumor volume reduction rate during treatment was significantly correlated with disease-free survival and overall survival.

Recent Progress in Therapeutic Treatments and Screening Strategies for the Prevention and Treatment of HPV-Associated Head and Neck Cancer

The rise in human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) has elicited significant interest in the role of high-risk HPV in tumorigenesis. Because patients with HPV-positive HNSCC have better prognoses than do their HPV-negative counterparts, current therapeutic strategies for HPV⁺ HNSCC are increasingly considered to be overly aggressive, highlighting a need for customized treatment guidelines for this cohort. Additional issues include the unmet need for a reliable screening strategy for HNSCC, as well as the ongoing assessment of the efficacy of prophylactic vaccines for the prevention of HPV infections in the head and neck regions. This review also outlines a number of emerging prospects for therapeutic vaccines, as well as for targeted, molecular-based therapies for HPV-associated head and neck cancers. Overall, the future for developing novel and effective therapeutic agents for HPV-associated head and neck tumors is promising; continued progress is critical in order to meet the challenges posed by the growing epidemic.