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Jayaram M, Wu H, Yoon AP, Kane RL, Wang L, Chung KC. Comparison of Distal Radius Fracture Outcomes in Older Adults Stratified by Chronologic vs Physiologic Age Managed With Casting vs Surgery. JAMA Netw Open 2023; 6:e2255786. [PMID: 36780156 PMCID: PMC9926326 DOI: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2022.55786] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/14/2023] Open
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Casting is recommended for adults older than 65 years with distal radius fractures (DRFs) because similar long-term outcomes are achieved regardless of treatment. However, physiologically younger adults could benefit from operative DRF management despite advanced chronologic age. OBJECTIVE To examine how chronologic age compares with measures of physiologic age in DRF treatment recovery. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS This retrospective secondary analysis of the Wrist and Radius Injury Surgical Trial (WRIST) was performed from May 1 to August 31, 2022. WRIST was a 24-center randomized clinical trial that enrolled participants older than 60 years with unstable DRFs from April 1, 2012, to December 31, 2016. INTERVENTIONS Participants selected casting or surgery. Patients who selected surgery were randomly assigned to volar lock plating, percutaneous pinning, or external fixation. Participants were stratified by chronologic age, number of comorbidities, and activity status. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was Michigan Hand Outcomes Questionnaire (MHQ) score assessed at 6 weeks, 3 months, 6 months, and 1 year. Partial correlation (PC) analysis adjusted for confounding. RESULTS The final cohort consisted of 293 participants (mean [SD] age, 71.1 [8.89] years; 255 [87%] female; 247 [85%] White), with 109 receiving casting and 184 receiving surgery. Increased chronologic age was associated with increased MHQ scores in the surgery group at all time points but decreased MHQ scores in the casting group at 12 months (mean [SD] score, -0.46 [0.21]; P = .03). High activity was associated with improved MHQ scores in the surgical cohort at 6 weeks (mean [SD] score, 12.21 [5.18]; PC = 0.27; P = .02) and 12 months (mean [SD] score, 13.25 [5.77]; PC = 0.17; P = .02). Comorbidities were associated with decreased MHQ scores at all time points in the casting group. Clinically significant differences in MHQ scores were associated with low physical activity, 4 or more comorbidities, or increased age by 15 years. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this retrospective secondary analysis of WRIST, chronologic age was not associated with functional demand. These findings suggest that physicians should counsel active older adults with few comorbidities on earlier return to daily activities after surgery compared with casting. TRIAL REGISTRATION ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01589692.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mayank Jayaram
- Department of Surgery, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor
| | - Hao Wu
- University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor
| | - Alfred P. Yoon
- Section of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, University of Michigan Hospital, Ann Arbor
| | - Robert L. Kane
- Section of Plastic Surgery, Department of Surgery, The Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston
| | - Lu Wang
- University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor
| | - Kevin C. Chung
- Department of Surgery, Section of Plastic Surgery, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor
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Walsh A, Merchan N, Bernstein DN, Ingalls B, Harper CM, Rozental TD. Predictors of Management of Distal Radius Fractures in Patients Aged >65 Years. Hand (N Y) 2022; 17:25S-30S. [PMID: 34053325 PMCID: PMC9793621 DOI: 10.1177/15589447211017217] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/26/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Treatment of distal radius fractures (DRFs) in patients aged >65 years is controversial. The purpose of this study was to identify what patient and fracture characteristics may influence the decision to pursue surgical versus nonsurgical treatment in patients aged >65 years sustaining a DRF. METHODS We queried our institutional DRF database for patients aged >65 years who presented to a single academic, tertiary center hand clinic over a 5-year period. In all, 164 patients treated operatively were identified, and 162 patients treated nonoperatively during the same time period were selected for comparison (total N = 326). Demographic variables and fracture-specific variables were recorded. Patient and fracture characteristics between the groups were compared to determine which variables were associated with each treatment modality (operative or nonoperative). RESULTS The average age in our cohort was 72 (SD: 11) years, and 274 patients (67%) were women. The average Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) was 4.1 (SD: 2.1). The CCI is a validated tool that predicts 1-year mortality based on patient age and a list of 22 weighted comorbidities. Factors associated with operative treatment in our population were largely related to the severity of the injury and included increasing dorsal tilt (odds ratio [OR], 1.09; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.12; P < .001) and AO Classification type C fractures (OR, 5.42; 95% CI, 2.35-11.61; P < .001). Increasing CCI was the only factor independently associated with nonoperative management (OR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.72-0.997; P = .046). CONCLUSION Fracture severity is a strong driver in the decision to pursue operative management in patients aged >65 years, whereas increasing CCI predicts nonoperative treatment.
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Samade R, Zaki O, Farrell N, Farrar N, Goyal KS. Treatment Patterns for Distal Radius Fractures Before and After Appropriate Use Criteria Adoption. Hand (N Y) 2022; 17:1177-1186. [PMID: 33349040 PMCID: PMC9608299 DOI: 10.1177/1558944720975147] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The purpose of this study was to determine agreement with the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgery Appropriate Use Criteria (AUC) for distal radius fractures (DRFs), before and after their adoption, and secondarily determine predictors of operative management. METHODS A single-institution retrospective cohort study comparing patients treated either nonoperatively (115 patients) or operatively (767 patients) for DRFs between May 1, 2008, and May 1, 2018, by 8 hand surgeons was performed. Data included demographics, injury characteristics, DRF radiographic measurements, treatment rendered, and their appropriateness according to the AUC. Statistical testing used the Fisher and χ2 tests, t test, and multiple variable logistic regression, with a significance level of .05. RESULTS Overall, there was a significant increase in AUC agreement for operatively treated DRFs (82.7%-89.3%, P = .01), but no difference in agreement for nonoperatively treated DRFs (12.5%-10.7%, P = .77). Age <80 years, AO classes other than B, intra-articular displacement >1 mm, radial inclination <18°, high-energy mechanism of injury, and greater than 1 week to treatment were independent predictors of operative treatment. The area under the curve for the validated regression model using the aforementioned predictors was 0.82. CONCLUSION Agreement with AUC for DRFs increased after its adoption for operatively treated, but not for nonoperatively treated, fractures. In addition, a predictive model for operative treatment was developed and validated. Future studies may benefit from further model refinement and testing in other patient cohorts.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard Samade
- The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, USA
| | - Omar Zaki
- The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, USA
| | - Nolan Farrell
- The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, USA
| | - Nicholas Farrar
- The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, USA
| | - Kanu S. Goyal
- The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, USA
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Dipnall JF, Page R, Du L, Costa M, Lyons RA, Cameron P, de Steiger R, Hau R, Bucknill A, Oppy A, Edwards E, Varma D, Jung MC, Gabbe BJ. Predicting fracture outcomes from clinical registry data using artificial intelligence supplemented models for evidence-informed treatment (PRAISE) study protocol. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0257361. [PMID: 34555069 PMCID: PMC8460020 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0257361] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2021] [Accepted: 08/27/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Distal radius (wrist) fractures are the second most common fracture admitted to hospital. The anatomical pattern of these types of injuries is diverse, with variation in clinical management, guidelines for management remain inconclusive, and the uptake of findings from clinical trials into routine practice limited. Robust predictive modelling, which considers both the characteristics of the fracture and patient, provides the best opportunity to reduce variation in care and improve patient outcomes. This type of data is housed in unstructured data sources with no particular format or schema. The "Predicting fracture outcomes from clinical Registry data using Artificial Intelligence (AI) Supplemented models for Evidence-informed treatment (PRAISE)" study aims to use AI methods on unstructured data to describe the fracture characteristics and test if using this information improves identification of key fracture characteristics and prediction of patient-reported outcome measures and clinical outcomes following wrist fractures compared to prediction models based on standard registry data. METHODS AND DESIGN Adult (16+ years) patients presenting to the emergency department, treated in a short stay unit, or admitted to hospital for >24h for management of a wrist fracture in four Victorian hospitals will be included in this study. The study will use routine registry data from the Victorian Orthopaedic Trauma Outcomes Registry (VOTOR), and electronic medical record (EMR) information (e.g. X-rays, surgical reports, radiology reports, images). A multimodal deep learning fracture reasoning system (DLFRS) will be developed that reasons on EMR information. Machine learning prediction models will test the performance with/without output from the DLFRS. DISCUSSION The PRAISE study will establish the use of AI techniques to provide enhanced information about fracture characteristics in people with wrist fractures. Prediction models using AI derived characteristics are expected to provide better prediction of clinical and patient-reported outcomes following distal radius fracture.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joanna F. Dipnall
- Clinical Registries, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Institute for Mental and Physical Health and Clinical Translation, School of Medicine, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria, Australia
| | - Richard Page
- School of Medicine, Deakin University, St. John of God Hospital, University Hospital Geelong, Geelong, Victoria, Australia
| | - Lan Du
- Department of Data Science & AI, Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Matthew Costa
- Oxford Trauma and Emergency Care, Nuffield Department of Orthopaedics, Rheumatology, and Musculoskeletal Sciences, Medical Sciences Division, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
| | - Ronan A. Lyons
- Clinical Registries, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Health Data Research UK, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom
- National Centre for Population Health and Wellbeing Research, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom
| | - Peter Cameron
- Department of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- The Alfred Hospital, Prahran, Victoria, Australia
| | - Richard de Steiger
- Department of Surgery, University of Melbourne, Epworth HealthCare, Epworth, Richmond, Victoria, Australia
| | - Raphael Hau
- Eastern Health Clinical School, Monash University, Box Hill, Victoria, Australia
| | - Andrew Bucknill
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Andrew Oppy
- Department of Orthopaedic Surgery, Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Epworth Healthcare, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Elton Edwards
- Department of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- The Alfred Hospital, Prahran, Victoria, Australia
| | - Dinesh Varma
- Department of Surgery, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
- National Trauma Research Institute, Melbourne, Australia
- Department of Radiology, Alfred Hospital, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Myong Chol Jung
- Clinical Registries, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- Department of Data Science & AI, Faculty of Information Technology, Monash University, Clayton, Victoria, Australia
| | - Belinda J. Gabbe
- Clinical Registries, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- National Centre for Population Health and Wellbeing Research, Swansea University, Swansea, United Kingdom
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International Survey: Factors Associated With Operative Treatment of Distal Radius Fractures and Implications for the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons' Appropriate Use Criteria. J Orthop Trauma 2019; 33:e394-e402. [PMID: 31188260 DOI: 10.1097/bot.0000000000001517] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/02/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Through an international survey, we assessed whether deciding to operatively treat an intra-articular distal radius fracture (DRF) is guided by identifiable patient and surgeon factors. In addition, we compared surgeons' treatment decisions with the American Academy of Orthopaedic Surgeons' Appropriate Use Criteria (AUC) treatment recommendations. METHODS This cross-sectional survey asked 224 surgeons to operatively or nonoperatively treat 28 hypothetical patients with radiographs of an intra-articular DRF. We randomized patient age (50/70 years), gender, mechanism of injury, activity level, and OTA/AO fracture type. We classified 6 fractures as "nonclinically significant displacement" and 22 as "potentially clinically significant displacement." Multilevel logistic regression analysis was performed. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were reported. Statistical significance was P < 0.05. RESULTS Patient factors independently associated with surgery included younger age (OR 6.7, P = 0.003), clinically significant fracture displacement (type B: OR 122, CI, 20-739, P < 0.001; type C: OR 59, CI, 12-300, P < 0.001), normal activity level (OR 5.0, P < 0.001), and high-energy mechanisms (OR 1.3, P = 0.002). Surgeon factors associated with recommending surgery included practicing outside the United States (Europe: OR 2.6, P < 0.001; "other": OR 4.8, P < 0.001). Hand surgeons most often selected surgery, as compared to orthopaedic trauma surgeons (OR 2.3, P = 0.001) and "other orthopaedists" (OR 2.2, P = 0.022). Thirty-seven percent of treatment decisions for patients with normal activity levels were rated by AUC recommendations as "rarely appropriate," which included 91% disagreement for 70-year-olds with nonclinically significant displacement. CONCLUSIONS Surgeons use patient age and fracture displacement to make treatment recommendations for intra-articular DRF. We recommend that the AUC be updated to include these clinical factors as essential components in its algorithm. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Therapeutic Level V. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
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