Berdalin AB, Namestnikova DD, Cherkashova EA, Golovin DA, Gubskiy IL, Lelyuk VG. Arterial Hypertension and Its Consequences Are the Main Predictors of Embolic Stroke of Undetermined Source.
DISEASE MARKERS 2023;
2023:3469755. [PMID:
38025665 PMCID:
PMC10667056 DOI:
10.1155/2023/3469755]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/22/2023] [Revised: 10/09/2023] [Accepted: 10/28/2023] [Indexed: 12/01/2023]
Abstract
Methods
We performed a hospital-based prospective cohort study with 1,317 enrolled participants. We compared patients and healthy volunteers according to the main demographic, anthropometric parameters, stroke risk factors, comorbidities, and data of clinical and instrumental examination. In order to balance the study and the control groups for age and sex, the propensity score matching was performed. In order to generate the overall predictive model, a multivariate analysis was performed using the binary logistic regression method.
Results
The following predictors of ESUS were identified in current study: arterial hypertension (AH); increased heart rate and pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP); the presence of conduction disturbance; the enlargement of left, right atrium, and left ventricle end-systolic length; increased intima-media thickness (IMT) in right and left common carotid artery (CCA); lowered Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoСA) cognitive scale score; the presence of subcortical microbleeds; central brain atrophy; the larger size of third ventricle; and the higher medial temporal lobe atrophy (MTA) score. The following risk factors were included in the final predictive model: the presence of AH (p < 0.0005; OR = 12.98 (95% CI: 4.53-37.21)) and PASP (p=0.018; OR = 1.13 (95% CI: 1.02-1.25)) and male sex (p=0.046; OR = 2.771 (95% CI: 1.017-7.555)). The Nagelkerke's pseudo-R-squared value was 0.404 and the significance of the Hosmer-Lemeshow test was 0.733, which indicate the goodness of the final logistic regression model.
Conclusions
We propose that AH and its consequences are the main predictors of ESUS. The results of this study emphasize the importance of AH control for primary and secondary prevention of ESUS.
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