Interpretation of Retrospective BG Measurements

Pulmonary response prediction through personalized basis functions in a virtual patient model

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recruitment maneuvers with subsequent positive-end-expiratory-pressure (PEEP) have proven effective in recruiting lung volume and preventing alveoli collapse. However, determining a safe, effective, and patient-specific PEEP is not standardized, and this more optimal PEEP level evolves with patient condition, requiring personalised monitoring and care approaches to maintain optimal ventilation settings.

METHODS

This research examines 3 physiologically relevant basis function sets (exponential, parabolic, cumulative) to enable better prediction of elastance evolution for a virtual patient or digital twin model of MV lung mechanics, including novel elements to model and predict distension elastance. Prediction accuracy and robustness are validated against recruitment maneuver data from 18 volume-controlled ventilation (VCV) patients at 7 different baseline PEEP levels (0 to 12 cmH2O) and 14 pressure-controlled ventilation (PCV) patients at 4 different baseline PEEP levels (6 to 12 cmH2O), yielding 623 and 294 prediction cases, respectively. Predictions were made up to 12 cmH2O of added PEEP ahead, covering 6 × 2 cmH2O PEEP steps.

RESULTS

The 3 basis function sets yield median absolute peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) prediction error of 1.63 cmH2O for VCV patients, and median peak inspiratory volume (PIV) prediction error of 0.028 L for PCV patients. The exponential basis function set yields a better trade-off of overall performance across VCV and PCV prediction than parabolic and cumulative basis function sets from other studies. Comparing predicted and clinically measured distension prediction in VCV demonstrated consistent, robust high accuracy with R2 = 0.90-0.95.

CONCLUSIONS

The results demonstrate recruitment mechanics are best captured by an exponential basis function across different mechanical ventilation modes, matching physiological expectations, and accurately capture, for the first time, distension mechanics to within 5-10 % accuracy. Enabling the risk of lung injury to be predicted before changing ventilator settings. The overall outcomes significantly extend and more fully validate this digital twin or virtual mechanical ventilation patient model.

Over-distension prediction via hysteresis loop analysis and patient-specific basis functions in a virtual patient model

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Recruitment maneuvers (RMs) with subsequent positive-end-expiratory-pressure (PEEP) have proven effective in recruiting lung volume and preventing alveolar collapse. However, a suboptimal PEEP could induce undesired injury in lungs by insufficient or excessive breath support. Thus, a predictive model for patient response under PEEP changes could improve clinical care and lower risks.

METHODS

This research adds novel elements to a virtual patient model to identify and predict patient-specific lung distension to optimise and personalise care. Model validity and accuracy are validated using data from 18 volume-controlled ventilation (VCV) patients at 7 different baseline PEEP levels (0-12cmH₂O), yielding 623 prediction cases. Predictions were made up to ΔPEEP = 12cmH₂O ahead covering 6x2cmH₂O PEEP steps.

RESULTS

Using the proposed lung distension model, 90% of absolute peak inspiratory pressure (PIP) prediction errors compared to clinical measurement are within 3.95cmH₂O, compared with 4.76cmH₂O without this distension term. Comparing model-predicted and clinically measured distension had high correlation increasing to R² = 0.93-0.95 if maximum ΔPEEP ≤ 6cmH₂O. Predicted dynamic functional residual capacity (V_frc) changes as PEEP rises yield 0.013L median prediction error for both prediction groups and overall R² of 0.84.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall results demonstrate nonlinear distension mechanics are accurately captured in virtual lung mechanics patients for mechanical ventilation, for the first time. This result can minimise the risk of lung injury by predicting its potential occurrence of distension before changing ventilator settings. The overall outcomes significantly extend and more fully validate this virtual mechanical ventilation patient model.

The Effect of Hypoglycemia on Spectral Moments in EEG Epochs of Different Durations in Type 1 Diabetes Patients

The potential of using an electroencephalogram (EEG) to detect hypoglycemia in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) has been investigated in both time and frequency domains. Under hyperinsulinemic hypoglycemic clamp conditions, we have shown that the brain's response to hypoglycemic episodes could be described by the centroid frequency and spectral gyration radius evaluated from spectral moments of EEG signals. The aim of this paper is to investigate the effect of hypoglycemia on spectral moments in EEG epochs of different durations and to propose the optimal time window for hypoglycemia detection without using clamp protocols. The incidence of hypoglycemic episodes at night time in five T1D adolescents was analyzed from selected data of ten days of observations in this study. We found that hypoglycemia is associated with significant changes (P < 0.05) in spectral moments of EEG segments in different lengths. Specifically, the changes were more pronounced on the occipital lobe. We used effect size as a measure to determine the best EEG epoch duration for the detection of hypoglycemic episodes. Using Bayesian neural networks, this study showed that 30 second segments provide the best detection rate of hypoglycemia. In addition, Clarke's error grid analysis confirms the correlation between hypoglycemia and EEG spectral moments of this optimal time window, with 86% of clinically acceptable estimated blood glucose values. These results confirm the potential of using EEG spectral moments to detect the occurrence of hypoglycemia.

The goldilocks problem: Nutrition and its impact on glycaemic control

BACKGROUND

Glucose intolerance and insulin resistance manifest as hyperglycaemia in intensive care, which is associated with mortality and morbidities. Glycaemic control (GC) may improve outcomes, though safe and effective control has proven elusive. Nutritional glucose intake affects blood glucose (BG) outcomes, but few protocols actively control it. This study aims to examine BG outcomes in the context of nutritional management during GC.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort analysis of 5 glycaemic control cohorts spanning 4 years (n = 273) from Christchurch Hospital Intensive Care Unit (ICU). GC is delivered using a single model-based protocol (STAR), with default 4.4-8.0 mmol/L target range via. modulation of insulin and nutrition. Clinical adaptations/cohorts include variations on upper target (UL-9 with 9.0 mmol/L, reducing workload and nutrition responsiveness), and insulin only (IO) with clinically set nutrition at 3 glucose concentrations (71 g/L vs. 120 and 180 g/L in the TARGET study).

RESULTS

Percent of BG hours in the 4.4-8.0 mmol/L range highest under standard STAR conditions (78%), and was lower at 64% under UL-9, likely due to reduced time-responsiveness of nutrition-insulin changes. By comparison, IO only resulted in 64-69% BG in range across different nutrition types. A subset of patients receiving high glucose nutrition under IO were persistently hyperglycaemic, indicating patient-specific glucose tolerance.

CONCLUSION

STAR GC is most effective when nutrition and insulin are modulated together with timely responsiveness to persistent hyperglycaemia. Results imply modulation of nutrition alongside insulin improves GC, particularly in patients with persistent hyperglycaemia/low glucose tolerance.

Nocturnal Hypoglycemia Detection using EEG Spectral Moments under Natural Occurrence Conditions

This paper is concerned with a study of hypoglycemia under natural occurrence conditions at night time. Five adolescents with type 1 diabetes (T1D) participated in the experiments. Patients' blood glucose profiles were interpolated to estimate the intermediate values. The proposed system used spectral moments of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals from central and occipital areas as features for detecting hypoglycemia. We found that hypoglycemia could be detected non-invasively using EEG spectral moments. During hypoglycemic episodes, theta moments increased significantly (P<; 0.005) whereas beta moments decreased significantly (P<; 0.001). Based on the optimal network architecture associated with the highest log evidence, the proposed optimal Bayesian neural network resulted in a sensitivity of 82% and a specificity of 52%. In addition, the estimated blood glucose profiles showed a significant correlation (P<; 1e-6) with interpolated blood glucose values in the test set.

Model-based glycemic control in a Malaysian intensive care unit: performance and safety study

Background: Stress-induced hyperglycemia is common in critically ill patients. A few forms of model-based glycemic control have been introduced to reduce this phenomena and among them is the automated STAR protocol which has been used in the Christchurch and Gyulá hospitals' intensive care units (ICUs) since 2010. Methods: This article presents the pilot trial assessment of STAR protocol which has been implemented in the International Islamic University Malaysia Medical Centre (IIUMMC) Hospital ICU since December 2017. One hundred and forty-two patients who received STAR treatment for more than 20 hours were used in the assessment. The initial results are presented to discuss the ability to adopt and adapt the model-based control framework in a Malaysian environment by analyzing its performance and safety. Results: Overall, 60.7% of blood glucose measurements were in the target band. Only 0.78% and 0.02% of cohort measurements were below 4.0 mmol/L and 2.2 mmol/L (the limitsfor mild and severe hypoglycemia, respectively). Treatment preference-wise, the clinical staff were favorable of longer intervention options when available. However, 1 hourly treatments were still used in 73.7% of cases. Conclusion: The protocol succeeded in achieving patient-specific glycemic control while maintaining safety and was trusted by nurses to reduce workload. Its lower performance results, however, give the indication for modification in some of the control settings to better fit the Malaysian environment.