Impact of cardiorespiratory fitness on survival in men with low socioeconomic status

Comparison of objectively measured and estimated cardiorespiratory fitness to predict all-cause and cardiovascular disease mortality in adults: A systematic review and meta-analysis of 42 studies representing 35 cohorts and 3.8 million observations

BACKGROUND

Cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) is a powerful health marker recommended by the American Heart Association as a clinical vital sign. Comparing the predictive validity of objectively measured CRF (the "gold standard") and estimated CRF is clinically relevant because estimated CRF is more feasible. Our objective was to meta-analyze cohort studies to compare the associations of objectively measured, exercise-estimated, and non-exercise-estimated CRF with all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in adults.

METHODS

Systematic searches were conducted in 9 databases (MEDLINE, SPORTDiscus, Embase, Scopus, PsycINFO, Web of Science, PubMed, CINAHL, and the Cochrane Library) up to April 11, 2024. We included full-text refereed cohort studies published in English that quantified the association (using risk estimates with 95% confidence intervals (95%CIs)) of objectively measured, exercise-estimated, and non-exercise-estimated CRF with all-cause and CVD mortality in adults. CRF was expressed as metabolic equivalents (METs) of task. Pooled relative risks (RR) for all-cause and CVD mortality per 1-MET (3.5 mL/kg/min) higher level of CRF were quantified using random-effects models.

RESULTS

Forty-two studies representing 35 cohorts and 3,813,484 observations (81% male) (362,771 all-cause and 56,471 CVD deaths) were included. The pooled RRs for all-cause and CVD mortality per higher MET were 0.86 (95%CI: 0.83-0.88) and 0.84 (95%CI: 0.80-0.87), respectively. For both all-cause and CVD mortality, there were no statistically significant differences in RR per higher MET between objectively measured (RR range: 0.86-0.90) and maximal exercise-estimated (RR range: 0.85-0.86), submaximal exercise-estimated (RR range: 0.91-0.94), and non-exercise-estimated CRF (RR range: 0.81-0.85).

CONCLUSION

Objectively measured and estimated CRF showed similar dose-response associations for all-cause and CVD mortality in adults. Estimated CRF could provide a practical and robust alternative to objectively measured CRF for assessing mortality risk across diverse populations. Our findings underscore the health-related benefits of higher CRF and advocate for its integration into clinical practice to enhance risk stratification.

Cardiorespiratory fitness, atrial fibrillation and stroke: a review of the evidence in 2024

INTRODUCTION

The body of evidence linking cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) levels with the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke - two interconnected cardiovascular conditions - is not entirely consistent. Furthermore, specific CRF thresholds beyond which the risk of AF or stroke might not decrease are not well defined.

AREAS COVERED

This review summarizes research evidence on the role of CRF in the development of AF and stroke including dose-response relationships in general population participants, explores the biological mechanisms through which CRF may exert its effects, assesses the potential implications for clinical care and population health, identifies gaps in the current evidence, and suggest directions for future research. MEDLINE and Embase were searched from inception until July 2024 to identify observational longitudinal and interventional studies as well as systematic reviews and meta-analyses related to these study designs.

EXPERT OPINION

In the general population, increasing levels of CRF, achieved through consistent physical activity, can significantly reduce the likelihood of developing AF and stroke. The findings also advocate for a tailored approach to exercise prescriptions, acknowledging the plateau in benefits for AF risk beyond certain CRF levels, while advocating for higher intensity or prolonged activity to further reduce stroke risk.

Short-Term Impact of Exercise Fitness Testing in a Pediatric Metabolic and Obesity Clinic: Initiative to Improve Health Care Quality

This 2-phase pilot initiative determined whether (1) fitness testing could feasibly be implemented in pediatric practice, and (2) short-term changes in fitness and body mass index occur with Specific, Measurable, Attainable, Relevant, and Time-based (SMART) goals. Phase 1 (N = 580), clinic feasibility: evidence-based prognostic tests were successfully performed to measure cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF; 3-minute bench step), strength (handgrip dynamometry), and flexibility (sit-and-reach distance). Mean CRF percentile was 58.1 (worst >95 percentile, best <5 percentile), strength percentile was 73.5, and flexibility was 42.3 (worst <5 percentile, best >95 percentile). Phase 2, goal setting and follow-up: SMART fitness goals were developed. In phase 2, patients demonstrated 11.9% and 12.4% improvements in CRF and strength percentiles (P < .05) respectively. All patients who were assigned a strength goal improved handgrip strength. Body mass index percentile changes were not different by SMART goal target. Fitness testing was feasible and successfully improved CRF and strength in children at high risk of metabolic complications and future disability.

The impact of modifiable risk factors in the association between socioeconomic status and sudden cardiac death in a prospective cohort study: equal access to healthcare, unequal outcome

AIMS

Low socioeconomic status is associated with all-cause mortality and cardiac risk factors. Furthermore, sudden cardiac death (SCD) is among the leading causes of death in the general population, and an identification of high-risk subgroups is needed. The aim of this study was to investigate the association between income and education level and incidence of SCD and to calculate the impact of modifiable mediating risk factors.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Participants in the Copenhagen City Heart Study were followed up from 1993 to 2016. Sudden cardiac death was identified using high-quality death certificates, autopsy reports, discharge summaries, and national registry data. Hazard ratios were calculated using Cox proportional hazards regression, and adjusted cumulative incidences were predicted using cause-specific Cox models. Mediation analyses were performed using a marginal structural model approach. During 24 years of follow-up, 10 006 people participated, whereof 5514 died during the study period with 822 SCDs. Compared with long education, persons with elementary school level education had an SCD incidence rate ratio (IRR) of 2.48 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.86-3.31], and low income was likewise associated with an SCD IRR of 2.34 (95% CI 1.85-2.96) compared with high income. In the association between education and SCD, the combined mediating effect of smoking, physical activity, and body mass index accounted for ∼20% of the risk differences.

CONCLUSION

We observed an inverse association between both income and education and the risk of SCD, which was only in part explained by common cardiac risk factors, implying that further research into the competing causes of SCD is needed and stressing the importance of targeted preventive measures.

Life's Essential 8 and the risk of cardiovascular disease death and all-cause mortality in Finnish men

AIMS

The aim of the study was to examine the association between Life's Essential 8 (LE8) and the risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The LE8 was computed for 1662 men, aged 42-60 years, without pre-existing history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline in the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease study. The LE8 factors include diet, physical activity, nicotine exposure, sleep, body mass index, blood pressure, blood glucose, and lipids. Each LE8 factor was scored between 0 and 100 points. The summation of all points generated the total LE8 score, which was categorized into quartiles ≤-420, >420-485, >485-550, and >550. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of LE8 scores for the outcomes. During a median follow-up of 30 years, 402 and 987 men died from CVD and any cause, respectively. The total LE8 score among participants ranged from 185 to 750. The higher the LE8 scores, the lower the risk of dying from CVD and all-cause. Following adjustment for age, alcohol consumption, and socio-economic status, every 50-unit increase in LE8 score was associated with 17% and 14% lower risk of CVD and all-cause deaths, respectively. Men within LE8 top quartile had 60% lower risk of CVD mortality when compared with those within the bottom quartile.

CONCLUSION

Life's Essential 8 was strongly and inversely associated with the risk of CVD death and all-cause mortality among ageing men. Measures that promote optimal LE8 scores should be encouraged among the general population.

High Fitness Levels Offset the Increased Risk of Chronic Kidney Disease due to Low Socioeconomic Status: A Prospective Study

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic status (SES) and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) are each independently associated with chronic kidney disease. The interplay among SES, CRF, and chronic kidney disease is not well understood. We aimed to evaluate the separate and joint associations of SES and CRF with chronic kidney disease risk in a cohort of Caucasian men.

METHODS

In 2099 men aged 42-61 years with normal kidney function at baseline, SES was self-reported and CRF was directly measured using a respiratory gas exchange analyzer during cardiopulmonary exercise testing. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence interval) were estimated for chronic kidney disease.

RESULTS

A total of 197 chronic kidney disease events occurred during a median follow-up of 25.8 years. Comparing low versus high SES, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% confidence interval) for chronic kidney disease was 1.55 (1.06-2.25), which remained consistent on further adjustment for CRF 1.53 (1.06-2.22). Comparing high versus low CRF, the multivariable-adjusted HR for chronic kidney disease was 0.66 (0.45-0.96), which persisted on further adjustment for SES 0.67 (0.46-0.97). Compared with high SES-high CRF, low SES-low CRF was associated with an increased risk of chronic kidney disease 1.88 (1.23-2.87), with no evidence of an association for low SES-high CRF and chronic kidney disease risk 1.32 (0.85-2.05). Positive additive (relative excess risk due to interaction = 0.31) and multiplicative (ratio of HRs = 1.14) interactions were found between SES and CRF in relation to chronic kidney disease risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In middle-aged and older males, SES and CRF are each independently associated with risk of incident chronic kidney disease. There exists an interplay among SES, CRF and chronic kidney disease risk, with high CRF levels appearing to offset the increased chronic kidney disease risk related to low SES.

Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Inflammation, and Risk of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease in Middle-Aged Men: A COHORT STUDY

PURPOSE

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is characterized by chronic lung inflammation. The relationship between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and COPD has not been well characterized. We aimed to evaluate the independent and joint associations of inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP]) and CRF with COPD risk in a cohort of White men.

METHODS

Among 2274 men aged 42-61 yr at baseline, serum hsCRP level was measured using an immunometric assay and CRF was assessed using a respiratory gas exchange analyzer. The level of hsCRP was categorized as normal and high (≤3 and >3 mg/L, respectively) and CRF as low and high. We corrected for within-person variability in exposures using repeat measurements taken several years apart.

RESULTS

A total of 116 COPD cases occurred during a median follow-up of 26.0 yr. The age-adjusted regression dilution ratio of hsCRP and CRF was 0.57 (95% CI, 0.50-0.64) and 0.58 (95% CI, 0.53-0.64), respectively. Comparing high versus normal hsCRP levels, the multivariable-adjusted HR for COPD was 1.79 (95% CI, 1.20-2.68). The COPD risk decreased linearly with increasing CRF. The multivariable-adjusted HR for COPD per 1-SD increase in CRF was 0.75 (95% CI, 0.60-0.95). Compared with men with normal hsCRP-low CRF, high hsCRP-low CRF was associated with an increased COPD risk, 1.80 (95% CI, 1.12-2.89), with no evidence of an association for high hsCRP-high CRF and COPD risk, 1.35 (95% CI, 0.68-2.69).

CONCLUSIONS

Both hsCRP and CRF are associated with COPD risk in middle-aged men. However, high CRF levels attenuate the increased COPD risk related to high hsCRP levels.

Frequent sauna bathing offsets the increased risk of death due to low socioeconomic status: A prospective cohort study of middle-aged and older men

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Low socioeconomic status (SES) and frequent sauna bathing are associated with increased and decreased risk of all-cause mortality, respectively. Whether there is an interplay among SES, sauna bathing and all-cause mortality risk is not known. We aimed to evaluate the separate and joint associations of SES and frequency of sauna bathing (FSB) with all-cause mortality risk in a prospective cohort study.

METHODS

We employed the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Study cohort comprising of 2575 men aged 42-61 years at study entry. Self-reported SES and sauna bathing habits were assessed at baseline. Socioeconomic status was categorized as low and high (median cutoff) and FSB as low and high (defined as ≤2 and 3-7 sessions/week, respectively).

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 27.8 years, 1618 deaths occurred. Comparing low vs high SES, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95 % CI) for all-cause mortality was 1.31 (1.18-1.45). Comparing high vs low FSB, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95 % CI) for all-cause mortality was 0.86 (0.76-0.97). Compared with high SES-low FSB, low SES-low FSB was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality 1.35 (1.20-1.51), without significant evidence of an association for low SES-high FSB and all-cause mortality risk 1.07 (0.89-1.29). Positive additive and multiplicative interactions were found between SES and FSB.

CONCLUSIONS

There exists an interplay among SES, sauna bathing and all-cause mortality risk in a general Finnish male population. Frequent sauna baths may offset the increased overall mortality risk due to low SES.

Serum copper-to-zinc ratio and risk of incident pneumonia in caucasian men: a prospective cohort study

Serum copper (Cu) and zinc (Zn), essential micronutrients that have important immunomodulatory and antimicrobial properties, are biomarkers of ageing. Serum Cu/Zn-ratio may be a more reliable marker for age-related degenerative conditions compared with serum Cu or Zn alone. We aimed to assess the association between Cu/Zn-ratio and the risk of incident pneumonia in a prospective cohort study. Serum levels of Cu and Zn were measured at baseline using atomic absorption spectrometry in 2503 men aged 42–61 years in the Kuopio Ischemic Heart Disease prospective cohort study. Hazard ratios (HRs) with confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated for incident pneumonia using Cox regression models. A total of 599 cases of pneumonia occurred during a median follow-up of 26.1 years. Serum Cu/Zn-ratio and Cu were each linearly associated with incident pneumonia. A unit increase in Cu/Zn-ratio was associated with an increased risk of pneumonia in analysis adjusted for potential confounders including C-reactive protein (HR 1.65; 95% CI 1.17–2.33). The corresponding adjusted HR (95% CI) was 2.04 (1.22–3.40) for serum Cu. The association between serum Zn and pneumonia was curvilinear. Compared to the bottom tertile of Zn, the multivariable adjusted HRs (95% CIs) for incident pneumonia were 0.68 (0.55–0.83) and 0.96 (0.79–1.16) for the middle and top tertiles of Zn, respectively. Further analysis in the same participants showed that Cu/Zn-ratio might be a stronger risk indicator for pneumonia than serum C-reactive protein. In middle-aged and older Finnish men, increased serum Cu/Zn-ratio and Cu concentrations are each linearly associated with an increased risk of incident pneumonia.

Cardiorespiratory Fitness, Inflammation, and Risk of Sudden Cardiac Death in Middle-Aged Men

Inflammation and cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) are each independently related to the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD). The interplay between CRF, inflammation and SCD is not well understood. We aimed to study the separate and joint associations of inflammation (high-sensitivity C-reactive protein [hsCRP]) and CRF with SCD risk in a cohort of Caucasian men. In 1,749 men aged 42 to 61 years without a history of coronary heart disease at baseline, serum hsCRP was measured using an immunometric assay, and CRF was assessed using a respiratory gas exchange analyzer during exercise testing. hsCRP was categorized as normal and high (≤3 and >3 mg/L, respectively) and CRF as low and high (median cutoff). A total of 148 SCD events occurred during a median follow-up of 28.9 years. Comparing high versus normal hsCRP, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for SCD was 1.65 (1.11 to 2.45), which remained similar on further adjustment for CRF 1.62 (1.09 to 2.40). Comparing high versus low CRF, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for SCD was 0.61 (0.42 to 0.89), which remained persistent after adjustment for hsCRP 0.64 (0.44 to 0.93). Compared with normal hsCRP-low CRF, normal hsCRP-high CRF was associated with a decreased SCD risk of 0.65 (0.43 to 0.99), high hsCRP-low CRF was associated with an increased SCD risk of 1.72 (1.10 to 2.69), with no evidence of a relationship between high hsCRP-high CRF and SCD risk 0.86 (0.39 to 1.88). Positive additive and multiplicative interactions were found between hsCRP and CRF. In a middle-aged Finnish male population, both hsCRP and CRF are independently associated with SCD risk. However, high CRF levels appear to offset the increased SCD risk related to high hsCRP levels.

Impact of estimated pulse wave velocity and socioeconomic status on the risk of stroke in men: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

High pulse wave velocity (PWV) and low socioeconomic status (SES) are each associated with increased risk of stroke, but clarification of the interplay between PWV, SES and the risk of stroke appears to be warranted to identify vulnerable populations at high risk of stroke. We conducted a prospective study that examined the independent and joint associations of PWV and SES with the risk of stroke in the general population.

METHODS

The current study included 2666 men aged 42-61 years, who were enrolled in the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Study cohort. Estimated PWV (ePWV), a proxy of carotid-femoral PWV, was calculated from an equation based on age and mean blood pressure. SES was assessed using self-reported questionnaires and classified as tertiles, whereas ePWV was categorized as high (≥10 m/s) and low (<10 m/s).

RESULTS

Individuals with high ePWV had a 48% higher risk of stroke after adjusting for confounding factors, whereas individuals with low SES had a similar 35% increased risk of stroke, compared with those high SES. Results of the joint associations of ePWV and SES with stroke showed high ePWV-high SES and high ePWV-low SES to be each associated with an increased risk of stroke: hazard ratios 1.53, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) (1.12-2.08) and hazard ratio 1.63, 95% CI (1.21-2.20), respectively, but low ePWV-low SES was not associated with a heightened risk of stroke (hazard ratio 1.12, 95% CI 0.87-1.44) compared with the low ePWV-high SES group.

CONCLUSION

ePWV and SES are each independently associated with stroke risk. The association between elevated ePWV and the heightened risk of stroke is regardless of low or high SES.

Cardiorespiratory fitness does not offset the increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease attributed to smoking: a cohort study

Though evidence suggests that higher cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) levels can offset the adverse effects of other risk factors, it is unknown if CRF offsets the increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to smoking. We aimed to evaluate the combined effects of smoking status and CRF on incident COPD risk using a prospective cohort of 2295 middle-aged and older Finnish men. Peak oxygen uptake, assessed with a respiratory gas exchange analyzer, was used as a measure of CRF. Smoking status was self-reported. CRF was categorised as low and high based on median cutoffs, whereas smoking status was classified into smokers and non-smokers. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios with confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated. During 26 years median follow-up, 119 COPD cases were recorded. Smoking increased COPD risk 10.59 (95% CI 6.64–16.88), and high CRF levels decreased COPD risk 0.43 (95% CI 0.25–0.73). Compared with non-smoker-low CRF, smoker-low CRF was associated with an increased COPD risk in multivariable analysis 9.79 (95% CI 5.61–17.08), with attenuated but persisting evidence of an association for smoker-high CRF and COPD risk 6.10 (95% CI 3.22–11.57). An additive interaction was found between smoking status and CRF (RERI = 6.99). Except for CRF and COPD risk, all associations persisted on accounting for mortality as a competing risk event. Despite a wealth of evidence on the ability of high CRF to offset the adverse effects of other risk factors, it appears high CRF levels have only modest attenuating effects on the very strong association between smoking and COPD risk.

Combined effects of maximal oxygen uptake and glucose status on mortality: The prospective KIHD cohort study

Objective

To examine the combined effects of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and prediabetes or diabetes on cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality.

Patients and methods

This prospective study evaluated a population‐based cohort of 1562 men aged 42–60 years at baseline (1984–1989). We utilized maximal oxygen uptake (VO_2max) for assessing aerobic capacity and CRF in the cohort and stratified participants into six groups according to both their glucose status (diabetes, prediabetes, or no diabetes) and whether they were below‐ or above‐median VO_2max. Deaths in the cohort were recorded till December 31 2016. Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for cardiovascular and noncardiovascular mortality. Smoking, alcohol consumption, BMI, blood pressure, cholesterol, diagnosis of ischemic heart disease, and socioeconomic status served as covariates in the mortality analyses.

Results

During the follow‐up (mean 24.2 years), 341 men died from cardiovascular and 468 men from noncardiovascular causes. When compared to men with no diabetes and above‐median VO_2max, the presence of either diabetes (HR = 4.10, 95% CI: 2.27–7.40) or prediabetes (HR = 2.10, 95% CI: 1.18–3.73) combined with below‐median VO_2max increased the risk of cardiovascular death. Noncardiovascular mortality was increased by low oxygen uptake in men with prediabetes (HR = 2.24, 95% CI: 1.30–3.84), and among men with diabetes, the increase was not statistically significant (HR = 1.99, 95% CI: 0.91–4.32).

Conclusions

Cardiorespiratory fitness modifies the risk of death related to prediabetes and diabetes. This highlights the importance of CRF assessment and interventions to support the uptake of regular physical activity among aging men with disturbed glucose metabolism.

Inflammation, sauna bathing, and all-cause mortality in middle-aged and older Finnish men: a cohort study

Inflammation and sauna bathing are each related to the risk of all-cause mortality. The interplay between inflammation, sauna bathing and all-cause mortality is not well understood. We aimed to evaluate the separate and joint associations of inflammation (high sensitivity C-reactive protein, hsCRP) and frequency of sauna bathing (FSB) with all-cause mortality in a cohort of Caucasian men. We used the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Study cohort comprising 2575 men aged 42-61 years at baseline. Serum hsCRP was measured using an immunometric assay and sauna bathing habits were assessed by a self-administered questionnaire. High sensitivity CRP was categorized as normal and high (≤ 3 and > 3 mg/L, respectively) and FSB as low and high (defined as ≤ 2 and 3-7 sessions/week respectively). A total of 1618 deaths occurred during a median follow-up of 27.8 years. Comparing high vs normal hsCRP levels, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for all-cause mortality was 1.27 (1.13-1.44). Comparing high vs low FSB, the multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for all-cause mortality was 0.86 (0.76-0.97). Compared with normal hsCRP-low FSB, high hsCRP-low FSB was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality 1.28 (1.12-1.47), with no evidence of an association for high hsCRP-high FSB and all-cause mortality risk 1.06 (0.81-1.40). Positive additive and multiplicative interactions were found between hsCRP and FSB in relation to mortality. In a general Finnish male population, both hsCRP and FSB are each independently associated with all-cause mortality. However, frequent sauna baths appear to offset the increased all-cause mortality risk related to high hsCRP levels.

High fitness levels offset the increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease due to low socioeconomic status: A cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Evidence suggests that higher cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) levels can offset the increased risk of adverse outcomes due to other risk factors. The impact of high CRF levels on the increased risk of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to low socioeconomic status (SES) is unknown. We aimed to assess the combined effects of SES and CRF on the future risk of COPD.

METHODS

We employed a prospective cohort of 2312 Finnish men aged 42-61 years at study entry. Socioeconomic status was self-reported and CRF was objectively assessed using respiratory gas exchange analyzers. Both exposures were categorized as low and high based on median cutoffs. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated.

RESULTS

During 26.0 years median follow-up, 120 COPD cases occurred. Low SES was associated with increased COPD risk and high CRF was associated with reduced COPD risk. Compared with high SES-low CRF, low SES-low CRF was associated with an increased COPD risk 2.36 (95% CI: 1.44-3.87), with no evidence of an association for low SES-high CRF and COPD risk 1.46 (95% CI:0.82-2.60).

CONCLUSION

In middle-aged Finnish men, SES and CRF are each independently associated with COPD risk. However, high CRF levels offset the increased COPD risk related to low SES.

Percentage of Age-Predicted Cardiorespiratory Fitness Is Inversely Associated with Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study

INTRODUCTION

Percentage of age-predicted cardiorespiratory fitness (% age-predicted CRF) is a potentially useful cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPX) parameter, but there are limited data on its prognostic relevance for adverse cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes. We aimed to assess the association of % age-predicted CRF with CVD mortality and the extent to which % age-predicted CRF measurements could improve the prediction of CVD mortality.

METHODS

Peak oxygen uptake, used as the measure of CRF, was directly assessed in 2,276 men who underwent CPX. The age-predicted CRF estimated from a regression equation for age was transformed to % age-predicted CRF with the following formula: (achieved CRF/age-predicted CRF) × 100. Hazard ratios (HRs) (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) and measures of risk discrimination for CVD mortality were calculated.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 28.5 years, 643 fatal CVDs were recorded. The relationship between % age-predicted CRF and CVD mortality was dose response in nature. In analysis adjusted for conventional risk factors, one standard deviation increase in % age-predicted CRF was associated with a reduced risk of CVD mortality (HR 0.61; 95% CI: 0.56-0.67), which was minimally attenuated on further adjustment for several other confounders (HR 0.71; 95% CI: 0.64-0.78). Addition of % age-predicted CRF to a CVD mortality risk prediction model containing established risk factors significantly improved risk discrimination and reclassification.

CONCLUSION

Percentage of age-predicted CRF is inversely and independently associated with CVD mortality in a graded fashion and significantly improves the prediction and classification of the long-term risk for CVD mortality beyond established risk factors.