Individualized risk prediction of significant fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease using a novel nomogram

Association between chitinase-3-like protein 1 and metabolic-associated fatty liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Early identification of liver fibrosis is essential for the prognosis of metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD), particularly in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients. Here, we explored the association of chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1) and liver fibrosis in T2DM-MAFLD patients.

METHODS

Liver fibrosis was staged in T2DM-MAFLD patients, and a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) of ≥ 8 kPa was used to differentiate between non-significant (NSLF) and significant liver fibrosis (SLF) subgroups. The two subgroups were compared for serum CHI3L1 and other parameters. Linear correlation, logistic regression, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) analyses were performed to evaluate the association between CHI3L1 and liver fibrosis. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to assess the diagnostic accuracy of CHI3L1.

RESULTS

Among T2DM-MAFLD, SLF patients had higher CHI3L1 compared to NSLF patients. CHI3L1 was found to be positively correlated with LSM. Multivariate logistic regression analysis suggested that CHI3L1 may be a potential independent risk factor for SLF. Further stratified analysis indicated that the odds ratios of SLF in the high CHI3L1 group were higher than in the low CHI3L1 group in the subgroups. RCS analysis suggested an increasing trend in the incidence of significant fibrosis with the rising level of CHI3L1. The area under the ROC curve for detecting significant fibrosis was 0.749 (95% CI: 0.668-0.829).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum CHI3L1 demonstrates an association with significant liver fibrosis. High serum levels of CHI3L1 may indicate the existence of significant liver fibrosis in T2DM-MAFLD patients.

Epidemiology and diagnosis of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

The most common chronic liver illness worldwide is metabolic dysfunction linked to fatty liver disease (MAFLD), which is poorly understood by doctors and patients. Many people with this disease develop steatohepatitis, cirrhosis and its consequences, as well as extrahepatic manifestations; these conditions are particularly common if they are linked to diabetes mellitus or obesity. A breakthrough with numerous benefits is the switch from NAFLD to MAFLD in terms of terminology and methodology. The diagnosis of MAFLD is based on affirmative criteria; unlike NAFLD, it is no longer based on exclusion. The diagnosis of MAFLD and the evaluation of steatosis and fibrosis is achieved using liver biopsy and non-invasive laboratory or radiographic techniques. We briefly address the most recent developments in MAFLD epidemiology and diagnosis.

Berberine Effects in Pre-Fibrotic Stages of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-Clinical and Pre-Clinical Overview and Systematic Review of the Literature

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the predominant cause of chronic liver conditions, and its progression is marked by evolution to non-alcoholic steatosis, steatohepatitis, cirrhosis related to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, and the potential occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma. In our systematic review, we searched two databases, Medline (via Pubmed Central) and Scopus, from inception to 5 February 2024, and included 73 types of research (nine clinical studies and 64 pre-clinical studies) from 2854 published papers. Our extensive research highlights the impact of Berberine on NAFLD pathophysiology mechanisms, such as Adenosine Monophosphate-Activated Protein Kinase (AMPK), gut dysbiosis, peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor (PPAR), Sirtuins, and inflammasome. Studies involving human subjects showed a measurable reduction of liver fat in addition to improved profiles of serum lipids and hepatic enzymes. While current drugs for NAFLD treatment are either scarce or still in development or launch phases, Berberine presents a promising profile. However, improvements in its formulation are necessary to enhance the bioavailability of this natural substance.

Non-invasive diagnosis of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: Current status and future perspective

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common cause of chronic liver disease throughout the world. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver cirrhosis can result from nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), the severe stage of NAFLD progression. By some estimates, NAFLD affects almost one-third of the world's population, which is completely new and serious public health issue. Unfortunately, NAFLD is diagnosed by exclusion, and the gold standard for identifying NAFLD/NASH and reliably measuring liver fibrosis remains liver biopsy, which is an invasive, costly, time-consuming procedure and involves variable inter-observer diagnosis. With the progress of omics and imaging techniques, numerous non-invasive serological assays have been generated and developed. On the basis of these developments, non-invasive biomarkers and imaging techniques have been combined to increase diagnostic accuracy. This review provides information for the diagnosis and assessment of NAFLD/NASH in clinical practice going forward and may assist the clinician in making an early and accurate diagnosis and in proposing a cost-effective patient surveillance. We discuss newly identified and validated non-invasive diagnostic methods from biopsy-confirmed NAFLD patient studies and their implementation in clinical practice, encompassing NAFLD/NASH diagnosis and differentiation, fibrosis assessment, and disease progression monitoring. A series of tests, including 20-carboxy arachidonic acid (20-COOH AA) and 13,14-dihydro-15-keto prostaglandin D2 (dhk PGD2), were found to be potentially the most accurate non-invasive tests for diagnosing NAFLD. Additionally, the Three-dimensional magnetic resonance imaging (3D-MRE), combination of the FM-fibro index and Liver stiffness measurement (FM-fibro LSM index) and the machine learning algorithm (MLA) tests are more accurate than other tests in assessing liver fibrosis. However, it is essential to use bigger cohort studies to corroborate a number of non-invasive diagnostic tests with extremely elevated diagnostic values.

Accuracy of prognostic serological biomarkers in predicting liver fibrosis severity in people with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a meta-analysis of over 40,000 participants

Introduction

A prognostic model to predict liver severity in people with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is very important, but the accuracy of the most commonly used tools is not yet well established.

Objective

The meta-analysis aimed to assess the accuracy of different prognostic serological biomarkers in predicting liver fibrosis severity in people with MASLD.

Methods

Adults ≥18 years of age with MASLD were included, with the following: liver biopsy and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio (APRI), fibrosis index-4 (FIB-4), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), body mass index, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio, diabetes score (BARD score), FibroMeter, FibroTest, enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF), Forns score, and Hepascore. Meta-analyses were performed using a random effects model based on the DerSimonian and Laird methods. The study's risk of bias was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2.

Results

In total, 138 articles were included, of which 86 studies with 46,514 participants met the criteria for the meta-analysis. The results for the summary area under the receiver operating characteristic (sAUROC) curve, according to the prognostic models, were as follows: APRI: advanced fibrosis (AF): 0.78, any fibrosis (AnF): 0.76, significant fibrosis (SF): 0.76, cirrhosis: 0.72; FIB-4: cirrhosis: 0.83, AF: 0.81, AnF: 0.77, SF: 0.75; NFS: SF: 0.81, AF: 0.81, AnF: 0.71, cirrhosis: 0.69; BARD score: SF: 0.77, AF: 0.73; FibroMeter: SF: 0.88, AF: 0.84; FibroTest: SF: 0.86, AF: 0.78; and ELF: AF: 0.87.

Conclusion

The results of this meta-analysis suggest that, when comparing the scores of serological biomarkers with liver biopsies, the following models showed better diagnostic accuracy in predicting liver fibrosis severity in people with MASLD: FIB-4 for any fibrosis, FibroMeter for significant fibrosis, ELF for advanced fibrosis, and FIB-4 for cirrhosis.Clinical trial registration: [https://clinicaltrials.gov/], identifier [CRD 42020180525].

A web-based novel model for predicting prognostic value in patients with invasive micropapillary carcinoma in breast cancer: a real-world data retrospective cohort study

Invasive micropapillary carcinoma (IMPC) accounts for less than 2% of all invasive breast cancers and usually associates with poor survival, so we investigated the prognostic factors for IMPC using a large population-based database and designed a web-based novel model. Clinicopathological prognostic factors were evaluated using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate the prognostic value of variables on the overall survival. A web-based nomogram was finally constructed to predict the survival probability. The model was validated in an external dataset. A web-based model, combined with age, radiation, clinical stage, and hormone receptor (HR) immunochemistry status four prognostic factors, was constructed. The C-index (0.714, 95% CI 0.683-0.741), calibration curves, and decision curves showed that this model was superior in prediction. By determining the cut-off values, high-risk group and low-risk group were divided. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed that these two groups had significantly different survival rates (P < 0.0001). The result of C-index, calibration curves, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were consistent in the validation cohort. The novel nomogram with four risk factors resulted in accurate prognostic prediction for IMPC.

LEARN algorithm: a novel option for predicting non-alcoholic steatohepatitis

Background

There is an unmet need for accurate non-invasive methods to diagnose non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Since impedance-based measurements of body composition are simple, repeatable and have a strong association with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) severity, we aimed to develop a novel and fully automatic machine learning algorithm, consisting of a deep neural network based on impedance-based measurements of body composition to identify NASH [the bioeLectrical impEdance Analysis foR Nash (LEARN) algorithm].

Methods

A total of 1,259 consecutive subjects with suspected NAFLD were screened from six medical centers across China, of which 766 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were included in final analysis. These patients were randomly subdivided into the training and validation groups, in a ratio of 4:1. The LEARN algorithm was developed in the training group to identify NASH, and subsequently, tested in the validation group.

Results

The LEARN algorithm utilizing impedance-based measurements of body composition along with age, sex, pre-existing hypertension and diabetes, was able to predict the likelihood of having NASH. This algorithm showed good discriminatory ability for identifying NASH in both the training and validation groups [area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC): 0.81, 95% CI: 0.77-0.84 and AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.73-0.87, respectively]. This algorithm also performed better than serum cytokeratin-18 neoepitope M30 (CK-18 M30) level or other non-invasive NASH scores (including HAIR, ION, NICE) for identifying NASH (P value <0.001). Additionally, the LEARN algorithm performed well in identifying NASH in different patient subgroups, as well as in subjects with partial missing body composition data.

Conclusions

The LEARN algorithm, utilizing simple easily obtained measures, provides a fully automated, simple, non-invasive method for identifying NASH.

Waist to height ratio in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease - Systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Current nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) guidelines do not provide any recommendations regarding the waist-to-height ratio (WHtR), a simple obesity metric calculated by dividing waist circumference by height. Therefore, we performed a systematic review and meta-analysis aiming to evaluate WHtR in NAFLD.

METHODS

We performed a systematic electronic search on PubMed, Embase, and Scopus, identifying observational studies assessing WHtR in NAFLD. QUADAS-2 tool was used to evaluate the quality of included studies. The two main statistical outcomes were the area under the curve (AUC) and the mean difference (MD).

RESULTS

We included a total of 27 studies in our quantitative and qualitative synthesis, with a total population of 93,536 individuals. WHtR was significantly higher in NAFLD patients compared to controls with an MD of 0.073 (95% CI 0.058 - 0.088). This was also confirmed after conducting a subgroup analysis according to the hepatic steatosis diagnosis method, for ultrasound (MD 0.066 [96% CI 0.051 - 0.081]) and transient elastography (MD 0.074 [96% CI 0.053 - 0.094]). Moreover, NAFLD male patients presented significantly lower WHtR compared to female patients (MD -0.022 [95% CI -0.041 - -0.004]). The AUC of WHtR for predicting NAFLD was 0.815 (95% CI 0.780 - 0.849).

CONCLUSIONS

WHtR is considerably higher in NAFLD patients compared to controls. Female NAFLD patients present higher WHtR compared to NAFLD male patients. In comparison to other presently suggested scores and markers, the WHtR's accuracy in predicting NAFLD is considered acceptable.

Diagnostic accuracy of blood biomarkers and non-invasive scores for the diagnosis of NAFLD and NASH: Systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Fatty liver disease is an important public health problem. Early diagnosis is critical to lower its rate of progression to irreversible/terminal stages. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of non-invasive prediction scores for fatty liver disease (NAFLD and NASH) diagnosis in adults.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A search was conducted in 10 databases, a qualitative synthesis of 45 studies, and quantitative analysis of the six most common scores. There were 23 risk scores found for NAFLD diagnosis and 32 for NASH diagnosis. The most used were Fatty Liver Index (FLI), aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to Platelet Ratio Index, Fibrosis-4 Index (FIB-4), AST/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, BARD score, and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS).

RESULTS

The results from the meta-analysis for FLI: Area under the curve (AUC) of 0.76 (95% Confidence Interval [CI] 0.73, 0.80), sensitivity 0.67 (CI 95% 0.62, 0.72) and specificity 0.78 (CI 95% 0.74, 0.83). The AST to Platelet Ratio Index: AUC 0.83 (CI 95% 0.80, 0.86), sensitivity 0.45 (95% CI 0.29, 0.62), and specificity of 0.89 (95% CI 0.83, 0.92). The NFS: AUC of 0.82 (CI 95% 0.78, 0.85), sensitivity 0.30 (CI 95% 0.27, 0.33) and specificity 0.96 (CI 95% 0.95,0.96).

CONCLUSIONS

The FLI for NAFLD and AST to Platelet Ratio Index for NASH were the risk scores with the highest prognostic value in the included studies. Further research is needed for the application of new diagnostic risk scores for NAFLD and NASH.

Evaluation of Six Noninvasive Methods for the Detection of Fibrosis in Chinese Patients with Obesity and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

PURPOSE

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease in the world, and liver fibrosis has been proven to be associated with liver disease related events and total mortality. Several noninvasive methods have been developed, but whether those methods are suitable for the detection of fibrosis in Chinese patients with obesity and NAFLD has not been completely elucidated. This study aimed to compare the efficacy of fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (APRI), modified aspartate transaminase to platelet ratio index (m-APRI), BARD (BARD (BMI (body mass index) > 28 = 1 point, AAR (aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase) > 0.8 = 2 points, DM (diabetes mellitus) = 1 point)), NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), and shear wave elastography (SWE) in the evaluation of the degree of liver fibrosis in Chinese patients with obesity and NAFLD.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective study consisted of 100 patients. The accuracy of FIB-4, APRI, m-APRI, BARD, NFS, and SWE in the assessment of significant or advanced liver fibrosis in Chinese patients with obesity and NAFLD was compared.

RESULTS

Weight and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) were independent risk factors for liver fibrosis. SWE, APRI, and m-APRI had significant efficiency in the diagnosis of significant fibrosis in patients with obesity and NAFLD. APRI and SWE were superior to the other methods in the diagnosis of significant and advanced liver fibrosis in patients with obesity and NAFLD. APRI and SWE showed no statistically significant difference in diagnostic efficiency.

CONCLUSIONS

Weight and ALT are independent risk factors for liver fibrosis progression in NAFLD patients. SWE and APRI have predictive value for significant and advanced fibrosis of NAFLD in Chinese patients with obesity.

PNPLA3 rs738409 C>G Variant Influences the Association Between Visceral Fat and Significant Fibrosis in Biopsy-proven Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Intra-abdominal visceral fat accumulation and patatin-like phospholipase domain containing 3 (PNPLA3) rs738409 G/C gene polymorphism confer a greater susceptibility to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We examined whether the relationship between visceral fat accumulation and liver disease severity may be influenced by PNPLA3 rs738409 polymorphism.

METHODS

The variant of PNPLA3 rs738409 was genotyped within 523 Han individuals with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD. Visceral fat area (VFA) was measured by bioelectrical impedance. Significant liver fibrosis (SF), defined as stage F ≥2 on histology, was the outcome measure of interest.

RESULTS

The distribution of PNPLA3 genotypes was CC: 27.5%, CG: 48.2%, and GG: 24.3%. Higher VFA was associated with greater risk of having SF (adjusted-odds ratio [OR]: 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.02-1.04, p<0.05), independent of potential confounders. Among subjects with the same VFA level, the risk of SF was greater among carriers of the rs738409 G genotype than among those who did not. Stratified analysis showed that PNPLA3 rs738409 significantly influenced the association between VFA and SF. VFA remained significantly associated with SF only among the rs738409 G-allele carriers (adjusted-OR: 1.05; 95% CI: 1.03-1.08 for the GG group; and adjusted-OR:1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.04 for the GC group). There was a significant interaction between VFA and PNPLA3 rs738409 genotype (P _interaction =0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

PNPLA3 rs738409 G allele has a moderate effect on the association between VFA and risk of SF in adult individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD. Existence of the PNPLA3 rs738409 G allele and VFA interact to increase risk of SF.

A Prediction Model of the Incidence of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease With Visceral Fatty Obesity: A General Population-Based Study

Objective:

This study aimed to distinguish the risk variables of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and to construct a prediction model of NAFLD in visceral fat obesity in Japanese adults.

Methods

This study is a historical cohort study that included 1,516 individuals with visceral obesity. All individuals were randomly divided into training group and validation group at 70% (n = 1,061) and 30% (n = 455), respectively. The LASSO method and multivariate regression analysis were performed for selecting risk factors in the training group. Then, overlapping features were selected to screen the effective and suitable risk variables for NAFLD with visceral fatty obesity, and a nomogram incorporating the selected risk factors in the training group was constructed. Then, we used the C-index, calibration plot, decision curve analysis, and cumulative hazard analysis to test the discrimination, calibration, and clinical meaning of the nomogram. At last, internal validation was used in the validation group.

Results

We contract a nomogram and validated it using easily available and cost-effective parameters to predict the incidence of NAFLD in participants with visceral fatty obesity, including ALT, HbA1c, body weight, FPG, and TG. In training cohort, the area under the ROC was 0.863, with 95% CI: 0.84–0.885. In validation cohort, C-index was 0.887, with 95%CI: 0.857–0.888. The decision curve analysis showed that the model's prediction is more effective. Decision curve analysis of the training cohort and validation cohort showed that the predictive model was more effective in predicting the risk of NAFLD in Japanese patients with visceral fatty obesity. To help researchers and clinicians better use the nomogram, our online version can be accessed at https://xy2yyjzyxk.shinyapps.io/NAFLD/.

Conclusions

Most patients with visceral fatty obesity have a risk of NALFD, but some will not develop into it. The presented nomogram can accurately identify these patients at high risk.

Sex influences the association between appendicular skeletal muscle mass to visceral fat area ratio and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in patients with biopsy-proven non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Sarcopenic obesity is regarded as a risk factor for the progression and development of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Since male sex is a risk factor for NAFLD and skeletal muscle mass markedly varies between the sexes, we examined whether sex influences the association between appendicular skeletal muscle mass to visceral fat area ratio (SVR), that is, an index of skeletal muscle mass combined with abdominal obesity, and the histological severity of NAFLD. The SVR was measured by bioelectrical impedance in a cohort of 613 (M/F = 443/170) Chinese middle-aged individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD. Multivariable logistic regression and subgroup analyses were used to test the association between SVR and the severity of NAFLD (i.e. non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) or NASH with the presence of any stage of liver fibrosis). NASH was identified by a NAFLD activity score ≥5, with a minimum score of 1 for each of its categories. The presence of fibrosis was classified as having a histological stage ≥1. The SVR was inversely associated with NASH in men (adjusted OR 0·62; 95 % CI 0·42, 0·92, P = 0·017 for NASH, adjusted OR 0·65; 95 % CI 0·43, 0·99, P = 0·043 for NASH with the presence of fibrosis), but not in women (1·47 (95 % CI 0·76, 2·83), P = 0·25 for NASH, and 1·45 (95 % CI 0·74, 2·83), P = 0·28 for NASH with the presence of fibrosis). There was a significant interaction for sex and SVR (P_interaction = 0·017 for NASH and P_interaction = 0·033 for NASH with the presence of fibrosis). Our findings show that lower skeletal muscle mass combined with abdominal obesity is strongly associated with the presence of NASH only in men.

Malaysian Society of Gastroenterology and Hepatology consensus statement on metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

The Malaysian Society of Gastroenterology and Hepatology saw the need for a consensus statement on metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). The consensus panel consisted of experts in the field of gastroenterology/hepatology, endocrinology, bariatric surgery, family medicine, and public health. A modified Delphi process was used to prepare the consensus statements. The panel recognized the high and increasing prevalence of the disease and the consequent anticipated increase in liver-related complications and mortality. Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in MAFLD patients; therefore, cardiovascular disease risk assessment and management is important. A simple and clear liver assessment and referral pathway was agreed upon, so that patients with more severe MAFLD can be linked to gastroenterology/hepatology care, while patients with less severe MAFLD can remain in primary care or endocrinology, where they are best managed. Lifestyle intervention is the cornerstone in the management of MAFLD. The panel provided a consensus on the use of statin, angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker, sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitor, glucagon-like peptide-1 agonist, pioglitazone, vitamin E, and metformin, as well as recommendations on bariatric surgery, screening for gastroesophageal varices and hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation in MAFLD patients. Increasing the awareness and knowledge of the various stakeholders on MAFLD and incorporating MAFLD into existing noncommunicable disease-related programs and activities are important steps to tackle the disease. These consensus statements will serve as a guide on MAFLD for clinicians and other stakeholders.

J-shaped relationship between serum zinc levels and the severity of hepatic necro-inflammation in patients with MAFLD

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Zinc is an essential trace element that plays an important role in maintaining health, and affecting gene expression, signal transduction and regulation of apoptosis. It is uncertain whether serum zinc levels are altered in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD). We aimed to investigate the association between serum zinc levels and the severity of hepatic necro-inflammation (HN) in patients with MAFLD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Liver disease severity was graded histologically using the NAFLD activity score. HN was defined as the sum of ballooning and lobular inflammation. We used a smooth function regression model to analyze the relationship between serum zinc levels and HN. A total of 561 (76.5% men) patients with biopsy-confirmed MAFLD were enrolled. They had a mean age of 41.3 years, and a mean serum zinc level of 17.0 ± 4.1 μmol/L. Compared to those with mild hepatic necro-inflammation (MHN, grades 0-2; n = 286), patients with severe hepatic necro-inflammation (SHN, grades 3-5; n = 275) had lower serum zinc concentrations (16.3 ± 4.2 vs. 17.6 ± 4.0 μmol/L; p < 0.001). However, a threshold saturation effect analysis showed that there was an inflection in serum zinc levels at 24 μmol/L. After adjustment for potential confounders, serum zinc levels <24 μmol/L were inversely associated with SHN (adjusted-odds ratio 0.88, 95%CI 0.83-0.93; p < 0.001), whereas serum zinc levels >24 μmol/L were positively associated with SHN (adjusted-odds ratio 1.42, 95%CI: 1.03-1.97; p = 0.035).

CONCLUSIONS

There is a J-shaped relationship between serum zinc levels and the severity of hepatic necro-inflammation in patients with biopsy-proven MAFLD.

Potential Blood DNA Methylation Biomarker Genes for Diagnosis of Liver Fibrosis in Patients With Biopsy-Proven Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Background and objective

This pilot study aimed to identify potential blood DNA methylation (BDM) biomarker genes for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD).

Methods

We included a total of 16 NAFLD patients with significant (SLF, liver fibrosis stage ≥ 2) and 16 patients with non-significant liver fibrosis (NSLF, fibrosis stages 0–1). The association between BDM and liver fibrosis was analyzed. Genes were selected based on a stepwise-filtering with CpG islands containing significant differentially methylated probes.

Results

The two groups of patients were distinguishable through both t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE) analysis and unsupervised hierarchical clustering analysis based on their BDM status. BDM levels were significantly higher in the NSLF group than in the SLF group. The methylation levels in the island and shelf regions were also significantly higher in the NSLF group, as well as the methylation levels in the first exon, 3′-untranslated region, body, ExonBnd, non-intergenic region, transcription start site (TSS)1500, and TSS200 regions (all p &lt; 0.05). BDM status was associated with greater histological liver fibrosis, but not with age, sex, or other histological features of NAFLD (p &lt; 0.05). The methylation levels of the hypomethylated CpG island region of CISTR, IFT140, and RGS14 genes were increased in the NSLF group compared to the SLF group (all p &lt; 0.05).

Conclusion

BDM may stratify NAFLD patients with significant and non-significant liver fibrosis. The CISTR, IFT140, and RGS14 genes are potential novel candidate BDM biomarkers for liver fibrosis and these pilot data suggest further work on BDM biomarkers is warranted.

Non-invasive tests of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

ABSTRACT

For the detection of steatosis, quantitative ultrasound imaging techniques have achieved great progress in past years. Magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction is currently the most accurate test to detect hepatic steatosis. Some blood biomarkers correlate with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, but the accuracy is modest. Regarding liver fibrosis, liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography (TE) has high accuracy and is widely used across the world. Magnetic resonance elastography is marginally better than TE but is limited by its cost and availability. Several blood biomarkers of fibrosis have been used in clinical trials and hold promise for selecting patients for treatment and monitoring treatment response. This article reviews new developments in the non-invasive assessment of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). Accumulating evidence suggests that various non-invasive tests can be used to diagnose NAFLD, assess its severity, and predict the prognosis. Further studies are needed to determine the role of the tests as monitoring tools. We cannot overemphasize the importance of context in selecting appropriate tests.

Determining the Target Population That Would Most Benefit from Screening for Hepatic Fibrosis in a Primary Care Setting

Due to its high prevalence, screening for hepatic fibrosis in the low-risk population is called for action in the primary care clinic. However, current guidelines provide conflicting recommendations on populations to be screened. We aimed to identify the target populations that would most benefit from screening for hepatic fibrosis in clinical practice. This study examined 1288 subjects who underwent magnetic resonance elastography. The diagnostic performance of the Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and NAFLD fibrosis score was compared in the following groups: (1) ultrasonography (USG)-diagnosed NAFLD, (2) elevated liver enzyme, (3) metabolic syndrome, (4) impaired fasting glucose, and (5) type 2 diabetes regardless of fatty liver. Decision curve analysis was performed to express the net benefit of groups over a range of probability thresholds (Pts). The diabetes group showed a better area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC: 0.69) compared with subjects in the USG-diagnosed NAFLD (AUROC: 0.57) and elevated liver enzyme (AUROC: 0.55) groups based on the FIB-4 index. In decision curve analysis, the diabetes group showed the highest net benefit for the detection of significant fibrosis across a wide range of Pts. Patients with diabetes, even in the absence of fatty liver, would be preferable for hepatic fibrosis screening in low-risk populations.

Screening for compensated advanced chronic liver disease using refined Baveno VI elastography cutoffs in Asian patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND

Recently, Papatheodoridi et al proposed to refine the Baveno VI elastography dual-cutoffs and introduce an algorithm for the detection of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) in asymptomatic European patients with chronic liver diseases.

AIMS

To validate the performance of the dual-cutoffs (8/12 kPa) and the proposed algorithm to identify patients with cACLD in three well-characterised Asian nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) cohorts.

METHODS

We included 830 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. Liver stiffness was measured using transient elastography (FibroScan).

RESULTS

cACLD was found in 21.8% of patients. Compared with the original Baveno VI elastography criteria (10/15 kPa), the new cutoffs showed a comparable specificity and a higher sensitivity for identifying cACLD. We developed a simplified risk model incorporating age, liver stiffness value, and platelet count, which outperformed liver stiffness measurement alone in two Chinese cohorts (P = 0.001), and was further validated in a Malaysian cohort (P = 0.04). Overall, the "two-step" screening of cACLD improved classification rates from 73.5% by the original dual-cutoffs to 86.7%. Notably, usage of our simplified risk model resulted in significantly lower false-negative rate than the refined screening approach by Papatheodoridi et al (27.1% vs 41.4%; P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

The dual elastography cutoffs of 8 and 12 kPa are more appropriate to identify cACLD in Asian patients with NAFLD. In combination with a simplified risk model in unclassified patients, the two-step approach showed a classification rate of about 85%.

Myeloid-Cell-Specific IL-6 Signaling Promotes MicroRNA-223-Enriched Exosome Production to Attenuate NAFLD-Associated Fibrosis

BACKGROUND ANDS AIMS

NAFLD is associated with elevation of many cytokines, particularly IL-6; however, the role of IL-6 in NAFLD remains obscure. The aim of this study was to examine how myeloid-specific IL-6 signaling affects NAFLD by the regulation of antifibrotic microRNA-223 (miR-223) in myeloid cells.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

Patients with NAFLD or NASH and healthy controls were recruited, and serum IL-6 and soluble IL-6 receptor α (sIL-6Rα) were measured. Compared to controls, serum IL-6 and sIL-6Rα levels were elevated in NAFLD/NASH patients. IL-6 levels correlated positively with the number of circulating leukocytes and monocytes. The role of IL-6 in NAFLD was investigated in Il6 knockout (KO) and Il6 receptor A (Il6ra) conditional KO mice after high-fat diet (HFD) feeding. HFD-fed Il6 KO mice had worse liver injury and fibrosis, but less inflammation, compared to wild-type mice. Hepatocyte-specific Il6ra KO mice had more steatosis and liver injury, whereas myeloid-specific Il6ra KO mice had a lower number of hepatic infiltrating macrophages (IMs) and neutrophils with increased cell death of these cells, but greater liver fibrosis (LF), than WT mice. Mechanistically, the increased LF in HFD-fed, myeloid-specific Il6ra KO mice was attributable to the reduction of antifibrotic miR-223 and subsequent up-regulation of the miR-223 target gene, transcriptional activator with PDZ-binding motif (TAZ), a well-known factor to promote NASH fibrosis. In vitro, IL-6 treatment up-regulated exosome biogenesis-related genes and subsequently promoted macrophages to release miR-223-enriched exosomes that were able to reduce profibrotic TAZ expression in hepatocytes by exosomal transfer. Finally, serum IL-6 and miR-223 levels were elevated and correlated with each other in NAFLD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Myeloid-specific IL-6 signaling inhibits LF through exosomal transfer of antifibrotic miR-223 into hepatocytes, providing therapeutic targets for NAFLD therapy.

Machine learning algorithm outperforms fibrosis markers in predicting significant fibrosis in biopsy-confirmed NAFLD

BACKGROUND

The presence of significant liver fibrosis is a key determinant of long-term prognosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We aimed to develop a novel machine learning algorithm (MLA) to predict fibrosis severity in NAFLD and compared it with the most widely used non-invasive fibrosis biomarkers.

METHODS

We used a cohort of 553 adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD, who were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 278) for the development of both logistic regression model (LRM) and MLA, and a validation cohort (n = 275). Significant fibrosis was defined as fibrosis stage F ≥ 2. MLA and LRM were derived from variables that were selected using a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression algorithm.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, the variables selected by LASSO algorithm were body mass index, pro-collagen type III, collagen type IV, aspartate aminotransferase and albumin-to-globulin ratio. The diagnostic accuracy of MLA showed the highest values of area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC: 0.902, 95% CI 0.869-0.904) for identifying fibrosis F ≥ 2. The LRM AUROC was 0.764, 95% CI 0.710-0.816 and significantly better than the AST-to-Platelet ratio (AUROC 0.684, 95% CI 0.605-0.762), FIB-4 score (AUROC 0.594, 95% CI 0.503-0.685) and NAFLD Fibrosis Score (AUROC 0.557, 95% CI 0.470-0.644). In the validation cohort, MLA also showed the highest AUROC (0.893, 95% CI 0.864-0.901). The diagnostic accuracy of MLA outperformed that of LRM in all subgroups considered.

CONCLUSIONS

Our newly developed MLA algorithm has excellent diagnostic performance for predicting fibrosis F ≥ 2 in patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD.

Nomogram for predicting advanced liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease

BACKGROUND

We aimed to formulate a novel predictive nomogram to discriminate liver fibrosis stage in patients with chronic liver disease.

METHODS

Nomograms were established based on the results of multivariate analysis. The predictive accuracy of the nomograms was assessed by ROC analysis and calibration. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to determine the clinical benefit of the nomograms.

RESULTS

INR, platelets, and N-terminal propeptide type III collagen (PIIINP) were independent predictors for advanced liver fibrosis (≥ S3) and cirrhosis (S4) in patients with chronic liver disease in the training cohort. In the training set, the areas under the ROCs (AUROCs) of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.83, 0.71, 0.68, and 0.74, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.74, 0.78, and 0.79, respectively. The calibrations showed optimal agreement between the prediction by the established nomograms and actual observation. In the validation set, the AUROCs of nomogram S3S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage ≥ S3 were 0.86, 0.79, 0.78, and 0.81, respectively; the AUROCs of nomogram S4, APRI, FIB-4, and GPR for stage S4 were 0.88, 0.77, 0.81, and 0.83, respectively. Furthermore, the decision curve analysis suggested that the nomograms represent better clinical benefits in both independent cohorts than APRI, FIB-4, and GPR.

CONCLUSION

The constructed nomograms could be a superior tool for discriminating advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic liver disease.

Association between positivity of serum autoantibodies and liver disease severity in patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Some previous studies reported serum autoantibody positivity in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The clinical significance of these findings remains uncertain. We aimed to investigate the association between the presence of serum autoantibodies and liver disease severity in NAFLD.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 388 consecutive patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD were included in the study. Various serum autoantibodies (including also anti-nuclear antibodies [ANA]) were detected by indirect immunofluorescent or immunoblotting assays. Overall, 84 (21.6%) patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD had positivity for at least one of the measured serum autoantibodies. ANA positivity was present in 50 (12.9%) patients, whereas anti-U1RNP or pANCA antibodies were detectable in 9 (2.3%) and 6 (1.5%) patients, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that ANA positivity (adjusted-odds ratio: 4.51, 95%CI: 1.77-11.5; P = 0.002) or positivity of any serum autoantibodies (adjusted-odds ratio: 3.14, 95%CI: 1.30-7.62; P = 0.01) were independently associated with advanced liver fibrosis (stages F3-F4). In serum autoantibody/ANA-positive patients, the proportion of those with advanced fibrosis was also greater among carriers of PNPLA3 rs738409 GG or CG than among those carrying PNPLA3 rs738409 CC genotype.

CONCLUSIONS

Serum autoantibody positivity was independently associated with advanced liver fibrosis in patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. The presence of serum autoantibodies in patients with advanced fibrosis occurred more frequently amongst those carrying PNPLA3 rs738409 GG or CG genotypes.

Development and validation of a novel non-invasive test for diagnosing fibrotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in patients with biopsy-proven non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIM

There is an immediate need for non-invasive accurate tests for diagnosing liver fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Previously, it has been suggested that MACK-3 (a formula that combines homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance with serum serum aspartate aminotransferase and cytokeratin [CK]18-M30 levels) accurately identifies patients with fibrotic NASH. Our aim was to assess the performance of MACK-3 and develop a novel, non-invasive algorithm for diagnosing fibrotic NASH.

METHODS

Six hundred and thirty-six adults with biopsy-proven non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) from two independent Asian cohorts were enrolled in our study. Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) was assessed by vibration-controlled transient elastography (Fibroscan). Fibrotic NASH was defined as NASH with a NAFLD activity score (NAS) ≥ 4 and F ≥ 2 fibrosis.

RESULTS

Metabolic syndrome (MetS), platelet count and MACK-3 were independent predictors of fibrotic NASH. On the basis of their regression coefficients, we developed a novel nomogram showing a good discriminatory ability (area under receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]: 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI 0.75-0.83]) and a high negative predictive value (NPV: 94.7%) to rule out fibrotic NASH. In the validation set, this nomogram had a higher AUROC (0.81, 95%CI 0.74-0.87) than that of MACK-3 (AUROC: 0.75, 95%CI 0.68-0.82; P < 0.05) with a NPV of 93.2%. The sequential combination of this nomogram with LSM data avoided the need for liver biopsy in 56.9% of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Our novel nomogram (combining MACK-3, platelet count and MetS) shows promising utility for diagnosing fibrotic NASH. The sequential combination of this nomogram and vibration-controlled transient elastography limits indeterminate results and reduces the number of unnecessary liver biopsies.

Combined and sequential non-invasive approach to diagnosing non-alcoholic steatohepatitis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and persistently normal alanine aminotransferase levels

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Imaging-confirmed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with normal alanine aminotransferase (nALT) levels is infrequently the subject for further evaluation. Early diagnosis of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is needed to prevent disease progression. Thus, we tested the clinical utility of serum Golgi protein 73 (GP73) levels and developed a new non-invasive score to diagnose NASH in patients with biopsy-confirmed NAFLD and persistent nALT levels.

METHODS

Serum GP73 and cytokeratin-18 M30 fragments (CK18-M30) levels were measured in 345 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. We developed a new score, named G-NASH model (by incorporating serum GP73), and combined it with serum CK18-M30 measurement in a sequential non-invasive approach to accurately identify NASH among patients with NAFLD and persistent nALT levels.

RESULTS

105 (30.4%) patients had persistent nALT, 53 of whom had histologically confirmed NASH. Both serum GP73 and CK18-M30 levels alone had poor diagnostic accuracy in identifying NASH (55.2% and 51.6%, respectively) in these patients. Conversely, G-NASH model performed better than other established non-invasive scoring systems, and by using our proposed sequential non-invasive approach 82.9% of patients with NASH were correctly identified.

CONCLUSIONS

NASH is highly prevalent in patients with NAFLD with persistent nALT levels. The G-NASH model accurately identifies NASH in this patient group.

PNPLA3 polymorphism influences the association between high-normal TSH level and NASH in euthyroid adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD

AIM

We aimed to evaluate the association between serum thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) levels, within the reference range, and the histological severity of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and whether this association was modulated by the patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing 3 (PNPLA3) rs738409 polymorphism.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We enrolled 327 euthyroid individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD, who were subdivided into two groups, i.e., a 'strict-normal' TSH group (TSH level 0.4 to 2.5mIU/L; n=283) and a 'high-normal' TSH group (TSH level 2.5 to 5.3mIU/L with normal thyroid hormones; n=44). Logistic regression analyses were performed to assess the association between TSH status and presence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) after stratifying subjects by PNPLA3 genotypes.

RESULTS

Compared to strict-normal TSH group, patients with high-normal TSH levels were younger and had a greater prevalence of NASH and higher histologic NAFLD activity score. After stratifying by PNPLA3 genotypes, the significant association between high-normal TSH levels and presence of NASH was restricted only to carriers of the PNPLA3 G risk allele and remained significant even after adjustment for potential confounding factors (adjusted-odds ratio: 3.279; 95% CI: 1.298-8.284; P=0.012).

CONCLUSION

In euthyroid individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD, we found a significant association between high-normal TSH levels and NASH. After stratifying by PNPLA3 rs738409 genotypes, this association was observed only among carriers of the PNPLA3 G risk allele.