Lung cancer screening in never-smokers: facts and remaining issues

Facing an un-met need in lung cancer screening: the never smokers

Lung cancer (LC) is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide and the second most common cancer in both men and women. In addition to smoking, other risk factors, such as environmental tobacco smoke, air pollution, biomass combustion, radon gas, occupational exposure, lung disease, family history of cancer, geographic variability, and genetic factors, play an essential role in developing LC. Current screening guidelines and eligibility criteria have limited efficacy in identifying LC cases (50%), as most screening programs primarily target subjects with a smoking history as the leading risk factor. Implementing LC screening programs in people who have never smoked (PNS) can significantly impact cancer-specific survival and early disease detection. However, the available evidence regarding the feasibility and effectiveness of such programs is limited. Therefore, further research on LC screening in PNS is warranted to determine the necessary techniques for accurately identifying individuals who should be included in screening programs.

Evaluating Efficiency and Adherence in Asian Lung Cancer Screening: Comparing Self-paid and Clinical Study Approaches in Taiwan

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to assess how different screening methods, specifically self-paid screening versus participation in clinical studies, affect screening efficiency and adherence in a real-world Asian lung cancer screening population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study collected 4166 participants from our hospital imaging database who underwent baseline low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) between January 2014 and August 2021. Adherence status was determined by counting CT scans, with one check indicating non-adherence and two or more checks indicating adherence. The primary objective was to investigate adherence to LDCT follow-up schedules among individuals with baseline pure ground-glass nodules (GGNs) based on different screening settings and to evaluate adherence status and CT follow-up clinical profiles.

RESULTS

Of the 4166 participants in the study, 3619 in the self-paid group and 547 in the clinical study group were men, with an average follow-up period of 4.5 years. Significant differences were observed in the proportions of Lung-RADS 4 lesions, subsolid nodules, and pure GGN lesions between the self-paid and clinical trial groups. A significant difference was found in adherence rates between the self-paid screening group (60.5%) and the clinical study group (84.8%) (p < 0.001). Adherence status rates significantly increased with larger GGN sizes across categories (p < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression revealed that age (odds ratio [OR], 1.025; p = 0.012), smoking habits (OR, 1.744; p = 0.036), and clinical study screening type (OR, 3.097; p < 0.001) significantly influenced the adherence status.

CONCLUSION

The disparities in Asian lung cancer screening emphasize the need for increased efficacy, public awareness, and culturally sensitive approaches to mitigate overdiagnosis and enhance adherence among self-paying groups.

Age at lung cancer diagnosis in females versus males who never smoke by race and ethnicity

BACKGROUND

We characterized age at diagnosis and estimated sex differences for lung cancer and its histological subtypes among individuals who never smoke.

METHODS

We analyzed the distribution of age at lung cancer diagnosis in 33,793 individuals across 8 cohort studies and two national registries from East Asia, the United States (US) and the United Kingdom (UK). Student's t-tests were used to assess the study population differences (Δ years) in age at diagnosis comparing females and males who never smoke across subgroups defined by race/ethnicity, geographic location, and histological subtypes.

RESULTS

We found that among Chinese individuals diagnosed with lung cancer who never smoke, females were diagnosed with lung cancer younger than males in the Taiwan Cancer Registry (n = 29,832) (Δ years = -2.2 (95% confidence interval (CI):-2.5, -1.9), in Shanghai (n = 1049) (Δ years = -1.6 (95% CI:-2.9, -0.3), and in Sutter Health and Kaiser Permanente Hawai'i in the US (n = 82) (Δ years = -11.3 (95% CI: -17.7, -4.9). While there was a suggestion of similar patterns in African American and non-Hispanic White individuals. the estimated differences were not consistent across studies and were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

We found evidence of sex differences for age at lung cancer diagnosis among individuals who never smoke.

Performance of Lung-RADS in different target populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

Multiple lung cancer screening studies reported the performance of Lung CT Screening Reporting and Data System (Lung-RADS), but none systematically evaluated its performance across different populations. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the performance of Lung-RADS (versions 1.0 and 1.1) for detecting lung cancer in different populations.

METHODS

We performed literature searches in PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases on October 21, 2022, for studies that evaluated the accuracy of Lung-RADS in lung cancer screening. A bivariate random-effects model was used to estimate pooled sensitivity and specificity, and heterogeneity was explored in stratified and meta-regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 31 studies with 104,224 participants were included. For version 1.0 (27 studies, 95,413 individuals), pooled sensitivity was 0.96 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.90-0.99) and pooled specificity was 0.90 (95% CI: 0.87-0.92). Studies in high-risk populations showed higher sensitivity (0.98 [95% CI: 0.92-0.99] vs. 0.84 [95% CI: 0.50-0.96]) and lower specificity (0.87 [95% CI: 0.85-0.88] vs. 0.95 (95% CI: 0.92-0.97]) than studies in general populations. Non-Asian studies tended toward higher sensitivity (0.97 [95% CI: 0.91-0.99] vs. 0.91 [95% CI: 0.67-0.98]) and lower specificity (0.88 [95% CI: 0.85-0.90] vs. 0.93 [95% CI: 0.88-0.96]) than Asian studies. For version 1.1 (4 studies, 8811 individuals), pooled sensitivity was 0.91 (95% CI: 0.83-0.96) and specificity was 0.81 (95% CI: 0.67-0.90).

CONCLUSION

Among studies using Lung-RADS version 1.0, considerable heterogeneity in sensitivity and specificity was noted, explained by population type (high risk vs. general), population area (Asia vs. non-Asia), and cancer prevalence.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

Meta-regression of lung cancer screening studies using Lung-RADS version 1.0 showed considerable heterogeneity in sensitivity and specificity, explained by the different target populations, including high-risk versus general populations, Asian versus non-Asian populations, and populations with different lung cancer prevalence.

KEY POINTS

• High-risk population studies showed higher sensitivity and lower specificity compared with studies performed in general populations by using Lung-RADS version 1.0. • In non-Asian studies, the diagnostic performance of Lung-RADS version 1.0 tended to be better than in Asian studies. • There are limited studies on the performance of Lung-RADS version 1.1, and evidence is lacking for Asian populations.

Prediction of Interval Growth of Lung Adenocarcinomas Manifesting as Persistent Subsolid Nodules ≤3 cm Based on Radiomic Features

RATIONALES AND OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic value of the radiomic-based prediction model in predicting the interval growth rate of persistent subsolid nodules (SSNs) with an initial size of ≤ 3 cm manifesting as lung adenocarcinomas.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 133 patients (mean age, 59.02 years; male, 37.6%) with 133 SSNs who underwent a series of CT examinations at our hospital between 2012 and 2022 were included in this study. Forty-one radiomic features were extracted from each volumetric region of interest. Radiomic features combined with conventional clinical and semantic parameters were then selected for radiomic-based model building. To investigate the model performance in terms of substantial SSN growth and stage shift growth, the model performance was compared by the area under the curve (AUC) obtained by receiver operating characteristic analysis.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up period was 3.62 years. For substantial SSN growth, a radiomic-based model (Model 2) based on clinical characteristics, CT semantic features, and radiomic features yielded an AUCs of 0.869 (95% CI: 0.799-0.922). In comparison with Model 1 (clinical characteristics and CT semantic features), Model 2 performed better than Model 1 for substantial SSN growth (AUC model 1:0.793 versus AUC model 2:0.869, p = 0.028). A radiomic-based nomogram combining sex, follow-up period, and three radiomic features was built for substantial SSN growth prediction. For the stage shift growth, a radiomic-based model (Model 4) based on clinical characteristics, CT semantic features, and radiomic features yielded an AUCs of 0.883 (95% CI: 0.815-0.933). Compared with Model 3 (clinical characteristics and CT semantic features), Model 4 performed better than the model 3 for stage shift growth (AUC model 1: 0.769 versus AUC model 2: 0.883, p = 0.006). A radiomic-based nomogram combining the initial nodule size, SSN classification, follow-up period, and three radiomic features was built to predict the stage shift growth.

CONCLUSION

Radiomic-based models have superior utility in estimating the prognostic interval growth of patients with early lung adenocarcinomas (≤ 3 cm) than conventional clinical-semantic models in terms of substantial interval growth and stage shift growth, potentially guiding clinical decision-making with follow-up strategies of SSNs in personalized precision medicine.

Potential Impact of Criteria Modifications on Race and Sex Disparities in Eligibility for Lung Cancer Screening

INTRODUCTION

Low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) screening reduces lung cancer mortality, but current eligibility criteria underestimate risk in women and racial minorities. We evaluated the impact of screening criteria modifications on LDCT eligibility and lung cancer detection.

METHODS

Using data from a Lung Nodule Program, we compared persons eligible for LDCT by the following: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) 2013 criteria (55-80 y, ≥30 pack-years of smoking, and ≤15 y since cessation); USPSTF2021 criteria (50-80 y, ≥20 pack-years of smoking, and ≤15 y since cessation); quit duration expanded to less than or equal to 25 years (USPSTF2021-QD25); reducing the pack-years of smoking to more than or equal to 10 years (USPSTF2021-PY10); and both (USPSTF2021-QD25-PY10). We compare across groups using the chi-square test or analysis of variance.

RESULTS

The 17,421 individuals analyzed were of 56% female sex, 69% white, 28% black; 13% met USPSTF2013 criteria; 17% USPSTF2021; 18% USPSTF2021-QD25; 19% USPSTF2021-PY10; and 21% USPSTF2021-QD25-PY10. Additional eligible individuals by USPSTF2021 (n = 682) and USPSTF2021-QD25-PY10 (n = 1402) were 27% and 29% black, both significantly higher than USPSTF2013 (17%, p < 0.0001). These additional eligible individuals were 55% (USPSTF2021) and 55% (USPSTF2021-QD25-PY10) of female sex, compared with 48% by USPSTF2013 (p < 0.05). Of 1243 persons (7.1%) with lung cancer, 22% were screening eligible by USPSTF13. USPSTF2021-QD25-PY10 increased the total number of persons with lung cancer by 37%. These additional individuals with lung cancer were of 57% female sex (versus 48% with USPSTF2013, p = 0.0476) and 24% black (versus 20% with USPSTF2013, p = 0.3367).

CONCLUSIONS

Expansion of LDCT screening eligibility criteria to allow longer quit duration and fewer pack-years of exposure enriches the screening-eligible population for women and black persons.

Screening Criteria Evaluation for Expansion in Pulmonary Neoplasias (SCREEN)

The SCREEN study investigated screening eligibility and survival outcomes between heavy smokers and light-or-never-smokers with lung cancer to determine whether expanded risk factor analysis is needed to refine screening criteria. SCREEN is a retrospective study of 917 lung cancer patients diagnosed between 2005 and 2018 in Nova Scotia, Canada. Screening eligibility was determined using the National Lung Screening Trial (NSLT) criteria. Mortality risk between heavy smokers and light-or-never-smokers was compared using proportional-hazards models. The median follow-up was 2.9 years. The cohort was comprised of 179 (46.1%) female heavy smokers and 306 (57.8%) female light-or-never-smokers. Light-or-never-smokers were more likely to have a diagnosis of adenocarcinoma [n=378 (71.6%)] compared to heavy smokers [n=234 (60.5%); P< 0.001]. Heavy smokers were more frequently diagnosed with squamous cell carcinoma [n=111 (28.7%)] compared to light-or-never-smokers, [n=100 (18.9%); P< 0.001]. Overall, 36.9% (338) of patients met NLST screening criteria. There was no difference in 5-year survival between light-or-never-smokers and heavy smokers [55.2% (338) vs 58.5% (529); P = 0.408; HR 1.06, 95% CI 0.80-1.40; P = 0.704]. Multivariate analysis showed that males had an increased mortality risk [HR 2.00 (95% CI 1.57-2.54); P< 0.001]. Half of lung cancer patients were missed with the conventional screening criteria. There were more curable, stage 1 tumors among light-or-never-smokers. Smoking status and age alone may be insufficient predictors of lung cancer risk and prognosis. Expanded risk factor analysis is needed to refine lung cancer screening criteria.

Nationwide lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography: implementation and first results of the HUNCHEST screening program

OBJECTIVES

Lung cancer (LC) kills more people than any other cancer in Hungary. Hence, there is a clear rationale for considering a national screening program. The HUNCHEST pilot program primarily aimed to investigate the feasibility of a population-based LC screening in Hungary, and determine the incidence and LC probability of solitary pulmonary nodules.

METHODS

A total of 1890 participants were assigned to undergo low-dose CT (LDCT) screening, with intervals of 1 year between procedures. Depending on the volume, growth, and volume doubling time (VDT), screenings were defined as negative, indeterminate, or positive. Non-calcified lung nodules with a volume > 500 mm³ and/or a VDT < 400 days were considered positive. LC diagnosis was based on histology.

RESULTS

At baseline, the percentage of negative, indeterminate, and positive tests was 81.2%, 15.1%, and 3.7%, respectively. The frequency of positive and indeterminate LDCT results was significantly higher in current smokers (vs. non-smokers or former smokers; p < 0.0001) and in individuals with COPD (vs. those without COPD, p < 0.001). In the first screening round, 1.2% (n = 23) of the participants had a malignant lesion, whereas altogether 1.5% (n = 29) of the individuals were diagnosed with LC. The overall positive predictive value of the positive tests was 31.6%. Most lung malignancies were diagnosed at an early stage (86.2% of all cases).

CONCLUSIONS

In terms of key characteristics, our prospective cohort study appears consistent to that of comparable studies. Altogether, the results of the HUNCHEST pilot program suggest that LDCT screening may facilitate early diagnosis and thus curative-intent treatment in LC.

KEY POINTS

• The HUNCHEST pilot study is the first nationwide low-dose CT screening program in Hungary. • In the first screening round, 1.2% of the participants had a malignant lesion, whereas altogether 1.5% of the individuals were diagnosed with lung cancer. • The overall positive predictive value of the positive tests in the HUNCHEST screening program was 31.6%.

Cost-effectiveness and health impact of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography for never smokers in Japan and the United States: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

Never smokers in Asia have a higher incidence of lung cancer than in Europe and North America. We aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of lung cancer screening with low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) for never smokers in Japan and the United States.

METHODS

We developed a state-transition model for three strategies: LDCT, chest X-ray (CXR), and no screening, using a healthcare payer perspective over a lifetime horizon. Sensitivity analyses were also performed. Main outcomes were costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), life expectancy life-years (LYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and deaths from lung cancer. The willingness-to-pay level was US$100,000 per QALY gained.

RESULTS

LDCT yielded the greatest benefits with the lowest cost in Japan, but the ICERs of LDCT compared with CXR were US$3,001,304 per QALY gained for American men and US$2,097,969 per QALY gained for American women. Cost-effectiveness was sensitive to the incidence of lung cancer. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses demonstrated that LDCT was cost-effective 99.3-99.7% for Japanese, no screening was cost-effective 77.7% for American men, and CXR was cost-effective 93.2% for American women. Compared with CXR, LDCT has the cumulative lifetime potential for 60-year-old Japanese to save US$117 billion, increase 2,339,349 QALYs and 3,020,102 LYs, and reduce 224,749 deaths, and the potential for 60-year-old Americans to cost US$120 billion, increase 48,651 QALYs and 67,988 LYs, and reduce 2,309 deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

This modelling study suggests that LDCT screening for never smokers has the greatest benefits and cost savings in Japan, but is not cost-effective in the United States. Assessing the risk of lung cancer in never smokers is important for introducing population-based LDCT screening.

Adenocarcinoma spectrum lesions of the lung: Detection, pathology and treatment strategies

Adenocarcinoma has become the most prevalent lung cancer sub-type and its frequency is increasing. The earliest stages in the development of lung adenocarcinomas are visible using modern computed tomography (CT) as ground glass nodules. These pre-invasive nodules can progress over time to become invasive lung adenocarcinomas. Lesions in this developmental pathway are termed 'adenocarcinoma spectrum' lesions. With the introduction of lung cancer screening programs there has been an increase in the detection of these lesions raising questions about natural history, surveillance and treatment. Here we review how the radiological appearance of an adenocarcinoma spectrum lesion relates to its underlying pathology and explore the natural history and factors driving lesion progression. We examine the molecular changes that occur at each stage of adenocarcinoma spectrum lesion development, including the effects of the driver mutations, EGFR and KRAS, that are key to invasive adenocarcinoma pathology. A better understanding of the development of pre-invasive disease will create treatment targets. Our understanding of how tumours interact with the immune system has led to the development of new therapeutic strategies. We review the role of the immune system in the development of adenocarcinoma spectrum lesions. With a clear preinvasive phase there is an opportunity to treat early adenocarcinoma spectrum lesions before an invasive lung cancer develops. We review current management including surveillance, surgical resection and oncological therapy as well as exploring potential future treatment avenues.