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Clark MI, Fitzpatrick SW, Bradburd GS. Pitfalls and windfalls of detecting demographic declines using population genetics in long-lived species. BIORXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR BIOLOGY 2024:2024.03.27.586886. [PMID: 38585961 PMCID: PMC10996660 DOI: 10.1101/2024.03.27.586886] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/09/2024]
Abstract
Detecting recent demographic changes is a crucial component of species conservation and management, as many natural populations face declines due to anthropogenic habitat alteration and climate change. Genetic methods allow researchers to detect changes in effective population size (N e ) from sampling at a single timepoint. However, in species with long lifespans, there is a lag between the start of a decline in a population and the resulting decrease in genetic diversity. This lag slows the rate at which diversity is lost, and therefore makes it difficult to detect recent declines using genetic data. However, the genomes of old individuals can provide a window into the past, and can be compared to those of younger individuals, a contrast that may help reveal recent demographic declines. To test whether comparing the genomes of young and old individuals can help infer recent demographic bottlenecks, we use forward-time, individual-based simulations with varying mean individual lifespans and extents of generational overlap. We find that age information can be used to aid in the detection of demographic declines when the decline has been severe. When average lifespan is long, comparing young and old individuals from a single timepoint has greater power to detect a recent (within the last 50 years) bottleneck event than comparing individuals sampled at different points in time. Our results demonstrate how longevity and generational overlap can be both a hindrance and a boon to detecting recent demographic declines from population genomic data.
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Schmidt DJ, Fallon S, Roberts DT, Espinoza T, McDougall A, Brooks SG, Kind PK, Bond NR, Kennard MJ, Hughes JM. Monitoring age-related trends in genomic diversity of Australian lungfish. Mol Ecol 2018; 27:3231-3241. [PMID: 29989297 DOI: 10.1111/mec.14791] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2018] [Revised: 06/28/2018] [Accepted: 07/01/2018] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
An important challenge for conservation science is to detect declines in intraspecific diversity so that management action can be guided towards populations or species at risk. The lifespan of Australian lungfish (Neoceratodus forsteri) exceeds 80 years, and human impacts on breeding habitat over the last half century may have impeded recruitment, leaving populations dominated by old postreproductive individuals, potentially resulting in a small and declining breeding population. Here, we conduct a "single-sample" evaluation of genetic erosion within contemporary populations of the Australian lungfish. Genetic erosion is a temporal decline in intraspecific diversity due to factors such as reduced population size and inbreeding. We examined whether young individuals showed signs of reduced genetic diversity and/or inbreeding using a novel bomb radiocarbon dating method to age lungfish nonlethally, based on 14 C ratios of scales. A total of 15,201 single nucleotide polymorphic (SNP) loci were genotyped in 92 individuals ranging in age from 2 to 77 years old. Standardized individual heterozygosity and individual inbreeding coefficients varied widely within and between riverine populations, but neither was associated with age, so perceived problems with recruitment have not translated into genetic erosion that could be considered a proximate threat to lungfish populations. Conservation concern has surrounded Australian lungfish for over a century. However, our results suggest that long-lived threatened species can maintain stable levels of intraspecific variability when sufficient reproductive opportunities exist over the course of a long lifespan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniel J Schmidt
- Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Qld, Australia
| | - Stewart Fallon
- Radiocarbon Facility, Research School of Earth Sciences, The Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
| | | | - Thomas Espinoza
- Department of Natural Resources and Mines, Bundaberg, Qld, Australia
| | - Andrew McDougall
- Department of Natural Resources and Mines, Bundaberg, Qld, Australia
| | - Steven G Brooks
- Queensland Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
| | - Peter K Kind
- Queensland Department of Agriculture, Fisheries and Forestry, Brisbane, Qld, Australia
| | - Nick R Bond
- Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Qld, Australia
- The Murray-Darling Basin Freshwater Research Centre, Latrobe University, Albury-Wodonga, Vic, Australia
| | - Mark J Kennard
- Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Qld, Australia
| | - Jane M Hughes
- Australian Rivers Institute, Griffith University, Nathan, Qld, Australia
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Yineger H, Schmidt DJ, Teketay D, Zalucki J, Hughes JM. Gene dispersal inference across forest patches in an endangered medicinal tree: comparison of model-based approaches. Biol J Linn Soc Lond 2015. [DOI: 10.1111/bij.12467] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Haile Yineger
- Australian Rivers Institute; School of Environment; Griffith University; 170 Kessels Road Nathan QLD 4111 Australia
| | - Daniel J. Schmidt
- Australian Rivers Institute; School of Environment; Griffith University; 170 Kessels Road Nathan QLD 4111 Australia
| | - Demel Teketay
- Department of Crop Science and Production; Botswana College of Agriculture; Private Bag 0027 Gaborone Botswana
| | - Jacinta Zalucki
- Environmental Futures Centre; School of Environment; Griffith University; 170 Kessels Road Nathan QLD 4111 Australia
| | - Jane M. Hughes
- Australian Rivers Institute; School of Environment; Griffith University; 170 Kessels Road Nathan QLD 4111 Australia
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Effects of patch size on liana diversity and distributions in the tropical montane evergreen forests of the Nilgiri Mountains, southern India. JOURNAL OF TROPICAL ECOLOGY 2014. [DOI: 10.1017/s0266467414000455] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
Abstract:We investigate the effect of patch size on liana diversity and distribution in 19 patches of montane evergreen forest in the Nilgiri hills, Western Ghats, southern India. Additionally, we examined how liana species richness and community assemblage in both edge (within 10 m of the forest edge) and interior regions of forest patches respond to patch size, in order to infer the impact of forest expansion or reduction on the liana communities. A total of 1276 woody liana individuals of 15 species were identified, belonging to 10 genera and nine families. Total species richness of lianas was significantly positively related to forest-patch area, both when analysed for the entire patch, in addition to both core and edge regions when examined separately. Species richness of larger lianas also showed a significant positive relationship with increasing forest patch area. Community assemblage varied with respect to forest edge, with shade-dependent species only occurring in interior patch regions, shade-averse species in edge regions, and shade-tolerant species occurring throughout. Disturbance also played a role in determining the response of liana diversity to patch size, with heavily disturbed patches showing no relationship between patch size and diversity, whereas positive relationships exist in low to moderately disturbed patches. The most significant result is the change in liana community composition between small and larger fragments. Many species present in smaller patches are also present in edge zones of larger fragments. This suggests that lianas are important structural components of montane forest ecosystems, and their compositional patterns are possibly driven by succession. Moreover, this study reveals the importance of edge effect and patch size in influencing liana species richness and compositional patterns.
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