Prediction of early postoperative major cardiac events after elective orthopedic surgery: the role of B-type natriuretic peptide, the revised cardiac risk index, and ASA class

Preoperative Echocardiographic Unknown Valvopathy Evaluation in Elderly Patients Undergoing Neuraxial Anesthesia during Major Orthopedic Surgery: A Mono-Centric Retrospective Study

Background: The assessment of cardiac risk is challenging for elderly patients undergoing major orthopedic surgery with preoperative functional limitations. Currently, no specific cardiac risk scores are available for these critical patients. Echocardiography may be a reliable and safe instrument for assessing cardiac risks in this population. This study aims to evaluate the potential benefits of echocardiography in elderly orthopedic patients, its impact on anesthesiologic management, and postoperative Major Adverse Cardiac Events (MACEs). Methods: This is a retrospective, one-arm, monocentric study conducted at ''Federico II'' Hospital-University of Naples-from January to December 2023, where 59 patients undergoing hip or knee revision surgery under neuraxial anesthesia were selected. The demographic data, the clinical history, and the results of preoperative Echocardiography screening (pEco-s) were collected. After extensive descriptive statistics, the χ2 test was used to compare the valvopathies and impaired Left Ventricular Function (iLVEF) prevalence before and after echocardiography screening and the incidence of postoperative MACE; a p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results: The mean age was 72.5 ± 6.9, and the prevalence of cardiac risk factors was about 90%. The cumulative prevalence of iLVEF and valvopathy was higher after the screening (p < 0.001). The pEco-s diagnosed 25 new valvopathies: three of them were moderate-severe. No patients had MACE. Conclusions: pEco-s evaluation could discover unknown heart valve pathology; more studies are needed to understand if pEco-s could affect the anesthetic management of patients with functional limitations, preventing the incidence of MACE, and assessing its cost-effectiveness.

Elevation of cardiac enzymes and B-type natriuretic peptides following venous recanalization and stenting in chronic venous obstruction

BACKGROUND

B-type natriuretic peptides (BNP) and cardiac enzymes are both recognized biomarkers of heart health. Many studies have reported that using these indicators can assess cardiac condition and predict prognosis of patients undergoing surgery. Currently little is known on the effect of increased cardiac input after venous recanalization on cardiac physiology in patients with chronic venous obstruction (CVO).

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to explore the effect of iliocaval recanalization and stenting on cardiac biomarkers in patients with CVO.

METHODS

This was a prospective study involving 60 patients in a single unit. Blood tests were collected 1 day before and 1 day after venous intervention. Three groups as group 1: patients with iliofemoral post-thrombotic syndrome (PTS) but without involvement of inferior vena cava (IVC) (n = 33); group 2: patients with iliofemoral PTS and involvement of IVC (n = 19) and group 3: patients with non-thrombotic vein lesion (NIVL) (n = 8) were compared based on cardiac biomarker levels.

RESULTS

Median concentration of post-operative BNP (259.60 pg/mL) was greater than preoperative levels (49.80 pg/mL) [interquartile range (IQR), 147.15/414.68 versus 29.85/82.88; p < 0.001]. The levels of CK-MB [preop: 3 U/l (IQR, 1.40/11.00) versus postop: 14 U/l (IQR, 12/17), p < 0.001] and troponin T [preop: 3.00 pg/mL (IQR, 3.00/5.25) versus postop: level of 6 pg/mL (IQR, 3.00/9.50), p < 0.001]. Post-procedure increases in cardiac enzymes showed significant differences in BNP (p = 0.023) and troponin T (p = 0.007) across the three groups, while CK-MB levels were not significantly different (p > 0.05). Intergroup comparisons of postoperative BNP: group 1 versus group 2 (p = 0.013), group 2 versus group 3 (p = 0.029), group 1 versus group 3 (p = 0.834); and postoperative troponin T: group 1 versus group 2 (p = 0.018), group 2 versus group 3 (p = 0.002), group 1 versus group 3 (p = 0.282). According to multiple linear regression analysis, length of stenting and level of preoperative BNP were independent determinants of postoperative BNP levels (p < 0.05), and preoperative troponin T affected postoperative troponin T independently (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Troponin T, CK-MB and BNP seem to increase after venous recanalization and stent implantation, the elevation being more prominent for longer lesions.

Patient-selection algorithm for outpatient shoulder arthroplasty in ambulatory surgery center: a retrospective update

BACKGROUND

Outpatient total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA) presents a safe alternative to inpatient arthroplasty, while helping meet the rapidly rising volume of shoulder arthroplasty needs and minimizing health care costs. Identifying the correct patient for outpatient surgery is critical to maintaining the safety standards with TSA. This study sought to update an ambulatory surgery center (ASC) TSA patient-selection algorithm previously published by our institution.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review of TSAs was performed in an ASC at a single institution to collect patient demographics, perioperative risk factors, and postoperative outcomes with regard to reoperations, hospital admissions, and complications. The existing ASC algorithm for outpatient TSA was altered based on collected perioperative information, review of pertinent literature, and anesthesiology recommendations.

RESULTS

A total of 319 TSAs were performed in an ASC in 298 patients over 7 years. Medically related complications occurred in 3 patients (0.9%) within 90 days of surgery, 2 of whom required hospital admission (0.6%) for acute kidney injury and pulmonary embolus. There were no instances of major cardiac events. Orthopedic-related complications occurred in 11 patients (3.4%), with hematoma development requiring evacuation and instability requiring revision being the most common causes.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a low rate of perioperative complications and hospital admissions, confirming the safety of TSAs in an ASC setting. Based on prior literature and the population included, a pre-existing patient-selection algorithm was updated to better reflect increased comfort, knowledge, and data regarding safe patient selection for TSA in an ASC.

Can Orthopaedic Surgeons adequately assess an Electrocardiogram (ECG) trace paper? A cross sectional study

Objectives

The primary objective was to evaluate the ECG trace paper evaluation current knowledge level in a group of Orthopaedic surgeons divided into juniors and seniors according to M.D. degree possession.

Methods

A cross sectional study through self-administered questionnaires at a university hospital Orthopaedic and Trauma Surgery Department. The questionnaire included five sections: 1-Basic participants' characteristics, 2-Participants' perception of their ECG evaluation current knowledge level, 3-The main body of the questionnaire was an ECG quiz (seven); the participant was asked to determine if it was normal and the possible diagnosis, 4-Participants' desired ECG evaluation knowledge level, and 5-Willingness to attend ECG evaluation workshops.

Results

Of the 121 actively working individuals in the department, 96 (97.3 %) finished the questionnaire, and 85 (77.3 %) were valid for final evaluation. The participants' mean age was 30.4 ± 6.92 years, 76.5 % juniors and 23.5 % seniors. 83.5 % of the participants perceived their current ECG evaluation knowledge as none or limited. For participants' ability to evaluate an ECG, higher scores were achieved when determining if the ECG was normal or abnormal, with a mean score percentage of 79.32 % ± 23.27. However, the scores were lower when trying to reach the diagnosis, with a mean score percentage of 43.02 % ± 27.48. There was a significant negative correlation between the participant's age and answering the normality question correctly (r = -0.277, p = 0.01); and a significant positive correlation between answering the diagnosis question correctly and the desired level of knowledge and the intention to attend a workshop about ECG evaluation, r = 0.355 (p = 0.001), and r = 0.223 (p = 0.04), respectively. Only 56.5 % of the participants desired to get more knowledge, and 81.2 % were interested in attending ECG evaluation workshops.

Conclusion

Orthopaedic surgeons showed sufficient knowledge when determining the normality of ECG trace papers; however, they could not reach the proper diagnosis, and Junior surgeons performed slightly better than their senior peers. Most surgeons are willing to attend ECG evaluation and interpretation workshops to improve their knowledge level.

Predicting Postoperative Troponin in Patients Undergoing Elective Hip or Knee Arthroplasty: A Comparison of Five Cardiac Risk Prediction Tools

Background

Elderly patients undergoing hip or knee arthroplasty are at a risk for myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS). We evaluated the ability of five common cardiac risk scores, alone or combined with baseline high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI), in predicting MINS and postoperative day 2 (POD2) hs-cTnI levels in patients undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty.

Methods

This study is ancillary to the Genetics-InFormatics Trial (GIFT) of Warfarin Therapy to Prevent Deep Venous Thrombosis, which enrolled patients 65 years and older undergoing elective total hip or knee arthroplasty. The five cardiac risk scores evaluated were the atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease calculator (ASCVD), the Framingham risk score (FRS), the American College of Surgeon's National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS-NSQIP) calculator, the revised cardiac risk index (RCRI), and the reconstructed RCRI (R-RCRI).

Results

None of the scores predicted MINS in women. Among men, the ASCVD (C-statistic of 0.66; p=0.04), ACS-NSQIP (C-statistic of 0.69; p=0.01), and RCRI (C-statistic of 0.64; p=0.04) predicted MINS. Among all patients, spearman correlations (r_s) of the risk scores with the POD2 hs-cTnI levels were 0.24, 0.20, 0.11, 0.11, and 0.08 for the ASCVD, Framingham, ACS-NSQIP, RCRI, and R-RCRI scores, respectively, with p values of <0.001, <0.001, <0.001, 0.006, and 0.025. Baseline hs-cTnI predicted MINS (C-statistics: 0.63 in women and 0.72 in men) and postoperative hs-cTnI (r_s = 0.51, p=0.001).

Conclusion

In elderly patients undergoing elective hip or knee arthroplasty, several of the scores modestly predicted MINS in men and correlated with POD2 hs-cTnI.

The comparative and added prognostic value of biomarkers to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index for preoperative prediction of major adverse cardiac events and all-cause mortality in patients who undergo noncardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a widely acknowledged prognostic model to estimate preoperatively the probability of developing in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. However, the RCRI does not always make accurate predictions, so various studies have investigated whether biomarkers added to or compared with the RCRI could improve this.

OBJECTIVES

Primary: To investigate the added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Secondary: To investigate the prognostic value of biomarkers compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Tertiary: To investigate the prognostic value of other prediction models compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase from 1 January 1999 (the year that the RCRI was published) until 25 June 2020. We also searched ISI Web of Science and SCOPUS for articles referring to the original RCRI development study in that period.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included studies among adults who underwent noncardiac surgery, reporting on (external) validation of the RCRI and: - the addition of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of the RCRI to other models. Besides MACE, all other adverse outcomes were considered for inclusion.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We developed a data extraction form based on the CHARMS checklist. Independent pairs of authors screened references, extracted data and assessed risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability according to PROBAST. For biomarkers and prediction models that were added or compared to the RCRI in ≥ 3 different articles, we described study characteristics and findings in further detail. We did not apply GRADE as no guidance is available for prognostic model reviews.

MAIN RESULTS

We screened 3960 records and included 107 articles.   Over all objectives we rated risk of bias as high in ≥ 1 domain in 90% of included studies, particularly in the analysis domain. Statistical pooling or meta-analysis of reported results was impossible due to heterogeneity in various aspects: outcomes used, scale by which the biomarker was added/compared to the RCRI, prediction horizons and studied populations.  Added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI Fifty-one studies reported on the added value of biomarkers to the RCRI. Sixty-nine different predictors were identified derived from blood (29%), imaging (33%) or other sources (38%). Addition of NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination improved the RCRI for predicting MACE (median delta c-statistics: 0.08, 0.14 and 0.12 for NT-proBNP, troponin and their combination, respectively). The median total net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.16 and 0.74 after addition of troponin and NT-proBNP to the RCRI, respectively. Calibration was not reported. To predict myocardial infarction, the median delta c-statistic when NT-proBNP was added to the RCRI was 0.09, and 0.06 for prediction of all-cause mortality and MACE combined. For BNP and copeptin, data were not sufficient to provide results on their added predictive performance, for any of the outcomes. Comparison of the predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI  Fifty-one studies assessed the predictive performance of biomarkers alone compared to the RCRI. We identified 60 unique predictors derived from blood (38%), imaging (30%) or other sources, such as the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification (32%). Predictions were similar between the ASA classification and the RCRI for all studied outcomes. In studies different from those identified in objective 1, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 and 0.12 in favour of  BNP and NT-proBNP alone, respectively, when compared to the RCRI, for the prediction of MACE. For C-reactive protein, the predictive performance was similar to the RCRI. For other biomarkers and outcomes, data were insufficient to provide summary results. One study reported on calibration and none on reclassification. Comparison of the predictive value of other prognostic models to the RCRI   Fifty-two articles compared the predictive ability of the RCRI to other prognostic models. Of these, 42% developed a new prediction model, 22% updated the RCRI, or another prediction model, and 37% validated an existing prediction model. None of the other prediction models showed better performance in predicting MACE than the RCRI. To predict myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest, ACS-NSQIP-MICA had a higher median delta c-statistic of 0.11 compared to the RCRI. To predict all-cause mortality, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 higher in favour of ACS-NSQIP-SRS compared to the RCRI. Predictive performance was not better for CHADS₂, CHA₂DS₂-VASc, R₂CHADS₂, Goldman index, Detsky index or VSG-CRI compared to the RCRI for any of the outcomes. Calibration and reclassification were reported in only one and three studies, respectively.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Studies included in this review suggest that the predictive performance of the RCRI in predicting MACE is improved when NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination are added. Other studies indicate that BNP and NT-proBNP, when used in isolation, may even have a higher discriminative performance than the RCRI. There was insufficient evidence of a difference between the predictive accuracy of the RCRI and other prediction models in predicting MACE. However, ACS-NSQIP-MICA and ACS-NSQIP-SRS outperformed the RCRI in predicting myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest combined, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Nevertheless, the results cannot be interpreted as conclusive due to high risks of bias in a majority of papers, and pooling was impossible due to heterogeneity in outcomes, prediction horizons, biomarkers and studied populations. Future research on the added prognostic value of biomarkers to existing prediction models should focus on biomarkers with good predictive accuracy in other settings (e.g. diagnosis of myocardial infarction) and identification of biomarkers from omics data. They should be compared to novel biomarkers with so far insufficient evidence compared to established ones, including NT-proBNP or troponins. Adherence to recent guidance for prediction model studies (e.g. TRIPOD; PROBAST) and use of standardised outcome definitions in primary studies is highly recommended to facilitate systematic review and meta-analyses in the future.

Association between preoperative evaluation with lung ultrasound and outcome in frail elderly patients undergoing orthopedic surgery for hip fractures: study protocol for an Italian multicenter observational prospective study (LUSHIP)

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is one of the most common orthopedic causes of hospital admission in frail elderly patients. Hip fracture fixation in this class of patients is considered a high-risk procedure. Preoperative physical examination, plasma natriuretic peptide levels (BNP, Pro-BNP), and cardiovascular scoring systems (ASA-PS, RCRI, NSQIP-MICA) have all been demonstrated to underestimate the risk of postoperative complications. We designed a prospective multicenter observational study to assess whether preoperative lung ultrasound examination can predict better postoperative events thanks to the additional information they provide in the form of "indirect" and "direct" cardiac and pulmonary lung ultrasound signs.

METHODS

LUSHIP is an Italian multicenter prospective observational study. Patients will be recruited on a nation-wide scale in the 12 participating centers. Patients aged  >  65 years undergoing spinal anesthesia for hip fracture fixation will be enrolled. A lung ultrasound score (LUS) will be generated based on the examination of six areas of each lung and ascribing to each area one of the four recognized aeration patterns-each of which is assigned a subscore of 0, 1, 2, or 3. Thus, the total score will have the potential to range from a minimum of 0 to a maximum of 36. The association between 30-day postoperative complications of cardiac and/or pulmonary origin and the overall mortality will be studied. Considering the fact that cardiac complications in patients undergoing hip surgery occur in approx. 30% of cases, to achieve 80% statistical power, we will need a sample size of 877 patients considering a relative risk of 1.5.

CONCLUSIONS

Lung ultrasound (LU), as a tool within the anesthesiologist's armamentarium, is becoming increasingly widespread, and its use in the preoperative setting is also starting to become more common. Should the study demonstrate the ability of LU to predict postoperative cardiac and pulmonary complications in hip fracture patients, a randomized clinical trial will be designed with the scope of improving patient outcome. Trial registration ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04074876. Registered on August 30, 2019.

Preoperative N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Cardiovascular Events After Noncardiac Surgery: A Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Preliminary data suggest that preoperative N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) may improve risk prediction in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether preoperative NT-proBNP has additional predictive value beyond a clinical risk score for the composite of vascular death and myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery (MINS) within 30 days after surgery.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

16 hospitals in 9 countries.

PATIENTS

10 402 patients aged 45 years or older having inpatient noncardiac surgery.

MEASUREMENTS

All patients had NT-proBNP levels measured before surgery and troponin T levels measured daily for up to 3 days after surgery.

RESULTS

In multivariable analyses, compared with preoperative NT-proBNP values less than 100 pg/mL (the reference group), those of 100 to less than 200 pg/mL, 200 to less than 1500 pg/mL, and 1500 pg/mL or greater were associated with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.27 (95% CI, 1.90 to 2.70), 3.63 (CI, 3.13 to 4.21), and 5.82 (CI, 4.81 to 7.05) and corresponding incidences of the primary outcome of 12.3% (226 of 1843), 20.8% (542 of 2608), and 37.5% (223 of 595), respectively. Adding NT-proBNP thresholds to clinical stratification (that is, the Revised Cardiac Risk Index [RCRI]) resulted in a net absolute reclassification improvement of 258 per 1000 patients. Preoperative NT-proBNP values were also statistically significantly associated with 30-day all-cause mortality (less than 100 pg/mL [incidence, 0.3%], 100 to less than 200 pg/mL [incidence, 0.7%], 200 to less than 1500 pg/mL [incidence, 1.4%], and 1500 pg/mL or greater [incidence, 4.0%]).

LIMITATION

External validation of the identified NT-proBNP thresholds in other cohorts would reinforce our findings.

CONCLUSION

Preoperative NT-proBNP is strongly associated with vascular death and MINS within 30 days after noncardiac surgery and improves cardiac risk prediction in addition to the RCRI.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Canadian Institutes of Health Research.

The Relationship between the Lee Score and Postoperative Mortality in Patients with Proximal Femur Fractures

Objective  To verify the predictive value of the Lee score for mortality in a one-year period after proximal femur fracture surgery. The present study also evaluated the isolated predictive capacity of other variables. Methods  A sample of 422 patients with surgically-treated proximal femur fractures was evaluated. Data was collected through a review of medical records, appointments, and contact by telephone. Results  The Lee score was applied to 99.3% of the patients with proximal femur fractures submitted to surgical treatment. The mortality rate was of 22% of the sample, and the majority were classified as class I risk. The Lee score had no significant association with mortality ( p  = 0.515). High levels of serum creatinine ( p  = 0.001) and age ( p  = 0.000) were directly associated with death. Conclusion  The Lee score was not predictive of mortality in a one-year period after proximal femur fracture surgery; however, a statistical significance was observed between age and serum creatinine levels, considered separately, and death.

A strong and reliable indicator for early postoperative major cardiac events after elective orthopedic surgery: Aortic arch calcification

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular events after orthopedic surgery may result in mortality. Therefore, predictors of early cardiovascular events after elective orthopedic surgery are required.

AIM

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between aortic arch calcification and 30-day major adverse cardiac events following elective orthopedic surgery.

METHODS

Patients who had undergone orthopedic surgery were screened. Preoperative detailed anamnesis was taken. Echocardiography and standard chest x-ray were performed.Patients were followed in terms of perioperative 30-days major cardiac events and were classified into two groups according to development of perioperative major adverse cardiac events.Aortic arch calcification was evaluated by two cardiologists, blinded to study findings and was graded as 0 to 3 on chest x-ray.

RESULTS

A total of 1060 patients were approached for the study participation. Of these 714 were included in the study (mean age: 70.43, 65% female). Cardiovascular events occurred in 33 patients. As compared to the patients without cardiac events, the prevalence of aortic arch calcification, coronary artery disease, hypertension, and smoking were higher in patients with cardiac events. In addition, Lee index, left ventricular end-systolic, end-diastolic and left atrial diameter were significantly higher, GFR values were significantly lower in the group with cardiac events.Multivariate regression analysis showed that smoking (OR 5.031, 95% CI 1.602 to 15.794), presence of hypertension (OR 5.133, 95% CI 1.297 to 20.308) and aortic arch calcification (OR 6.920, 95% CI 3.890 to 12.310) are independent predictors of major cardiac events within 30-day of elective orthopedic surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Presence of aortic arch calcification is associated with development of major cardiac events within 30-days after elective orthopedic surgery.

Association of renin angiotensin antagonists with adverse perioperative events in patients undergoing elective orthopaedic surgery: a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Renin angiotensin antagonists (RAA) may block protective vasopressor responses during surgery. Evidence linking RAA with intraoperative hypotension and perioperative adverse events is conflicting.

AIM

To compare the incidence of intraoperative hypotension and adverse events between patients receiving or not receiving RAA.

METHODS

This is a retrospective case-control study of 258 consecutive patients who underwent elective total knee or hip replacement between 1 January 2013 and 31 August 2016 and who were chronically prescribed a single blood pressure-lowering agent up to the time of surgery. Primary outcome measures were differences between patients receiving RAA (cases; n = 129) and patients receiving non-RAA medications (controls; n = 129) in incidence of intraoperative hypotension (systolic blood pressure <90 mmHg), perioperative acute kidney injury (AKI, >30% increase in serum creatinine from baseline on Day 1 post-operatively) and new onset major adverse cardiac or cerebrovascular events (MACCE) or in-hospital death over 72 h post-operatively.

RESULTS

Patients receiving RAA had significantly higher preoperative systolic blood pressure, greater prevalence of hypertension and chronic kidney disease, lower prevalence of ischaemic heart disease and lower cardiac risk compared to controls. Age, gender, type of operation, operative fitness, mode and duration of anaesthesia and prevalence of other types of cardiovascular disease, dyslipidaemia and diabetes were similar between groups. Compared to controls, patients receiving RAA had higher incidence of intraoperative hypotension (76.0 vs 45.9%, P < 0.001), AKI (11.6 vs 1.6%, P = 0.002) and MACCE (6.2 vs 0%, P = 0.007), with all adverse events associated with intraoperative hypotension.

CONCLUSION

This study provides further observational evidence of RAA-induced harm in patients undergoing elective surgery, although determining benefits and harms of preoperative withdrawal of RRA requires prospective randomised trials.

The Possible Use of Preoperative Natriuretic Peptides for Discriminating Low Versus Moderate-High Surgical Risk Patient

Perioperative risk scores for patients undergoing noncardiac surgery are generally considered inaccurate, poor, or, at best, modest. We propose estimating a patient’s pretest and posttest probability of cardiac morbidity and death using the preoperative scoring system plus the negative likelihood ratio from brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) or N-terminal proB-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) plasma levels. Our clinical challenge scenario showed a pretest probability of postoperative major cardiac complications with the patient risk factor as 6.6% for the Revised Cardiac Risk Index and between 1% and 5% (intermediate risk) per the recent European Society of Cardiology and the European Society of Anesthesiologist guidelines for surgical risk estimation. In fact, the American College of Cardiology and the American Heart Association guidelines consider the same surgical procedure for elevated risk. The posttest probability takes advantage of a negative likelihood ratio from BNP plasma levels, with patient risk factor reduced to 0.8% and surgical risk to 1.1%. In the same way, the pretest American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program score decreased from 18.8% to 3.5% for severe complications and from 0.9% to 0.1% for death at ≤90 days. Following noncardiac surgery, postoperative complications and mortality are often cardiac in nature. The negative likelihood ratio of BNP and NT-proBNP plasma levels provides a quick, low-cost tool for recognizing and reclassifying the cardiovascular risk of those undergoing noncardiac surgery, thereby singling out low- versus moderate-high-risk surgical patients.

Predictive value of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) for adverse cardiac events in patients undergoing primary total knee arthroplasty (TKA)

BACKGROUND

B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a well-known biomarker to predict cardiac events following orthopedic procedures. However, further information regarding BNP can be completed. The present study aims to determine which of preoperative, postoperative or the difference between them (DVPPB) can best predict adverse cardiac events following TKA procedure and detect possible risk factors of high level of BNP.

METHODS

Between Jan. 2012 and Jan. 2014. 1120 included patients in 3 institutions have a minimum of 2-years follow-up. All clinical characteristics related to TKA procedure were put in total joint arthroplasty registry system and analyzed finally. The cut-off value of BNP predicting patients at increased risks of cardiac events after TKA was evaluated by the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

RESULTS

Our results reveal DVPPB in comparison to preoperative and postoperative BNP can best predict cardiac events following primary TKA, and the optimal cut-off value was 825.5 pg/ml with the highest Youden index of 0.62. Cigarette smoking, ASA III/IV/V, prior history of cardiac events, general anesthesia, surgery time, and tourniquet time are risk factors for DVPPB > 825.5 pg/ml.

CONCLUSIONS

DVPPB in comparison to preoperative and postoperative BNP can best predict cardiac events following primary TKA. Cigarette smoking, ASA III/IV/V, prior history of cardiac events, general anesthesia, surgery time, and tourniquet time are risk factors for DVPPB > 825.5 pg/ml. We hope these results could be helpful to optimize health care among patients undergoing primary TKA.