Risk factors of brain metastases in completely resected pathological stage IIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer

Predictive value of metabolic parameters derived from preoperative 18F-FDG positron emission tomography/computed tomography for brain metastases in patients with surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer

Background

Brain metastases (BMs) are common complications in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The purpose of this study was to investigate whether the metabolic parameters derived from preoperative 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) can predict BM development in patients with surgically resected NSCLC.

Methods

We retrospectively reviewed 128 consecutive patients with stage I-IIIA NSCLC who underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT before curative surgery at The First Affiliated Hospital of Jinan University between November 2012 and October 2021. By drawing a volume of interest (VOI), the maximum standardized uptake values (SUVmax), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) of the primary tumor as well as the mean SUV (SUVmean) of the liver and arterial blood were measured. The tumor-to-liver SUV ratio (TLR) and tumor-to-blood SUV ratio (TBR) were also calculated. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to determine the best cut-off values for positron emission tomography (PET) parameters to predict BM-free survival, and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to assess the predictive value of clinical variables and PET parameters.

Results

The median follow-up duration for survival patients was 23.4 months, and 15 patients (11.7%) experienced BM as the initial relapse site. The cumulative rates of BM over the course of 1, 2, and 5 years were 4.5%, 10.5%, and 17.5%, respectively. The optimal cut-off values for the prediction of BM-free survival were 7.7, 4.9, and 4.5 for SUVmax, TLR, and TBR, and 5.5 mL and 16.1 for MTV and TLG, respectively. In the Cox proportional hazards model, the risk of BM was significantly associated with TLR [hazard ratio (HR) =10.712; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.958-38.801; P<0.001] and MTV (HR =3.150; 95% CI: 0.964-10.293; P=0.020) after adjusting for tumor stage, clinicopathological factors, and other PET parameters.

Conclusions

Preoperative TLR and MTV of the primary tumor may be helpful in predicting BM development in patients with surgically resected NSCLC. Tumor metabolic parameters may potentially be used to stratify the risk of BM and determine individualized surveillance strategies.

The Impact of Time Interval on Prognosis in Patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Brain Metastases After Metastases Surgery

BACKGROUND

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is a prominent malignancy often linked to the development of brain metastases (BM), which commonly appear at diverse time intervals (TI) following the lung cancer diagnosis. This study endeavors to determine the prognostic significance of the time interval in patients with NSCLC who undergo BM surgery. Through this investigation, we aim to improve our understanding of the factors impacting the prognosis of BM cases originating from NSCLC.

METHODS

We analyzed data from 74 patients (2011-2021) who underwent BM surgery at our institution. The relationship between various clinical, radiological, and histopathological factors, as well as TI and overall survival (OS), was examined.

RESULTS

The median TI from initial NSCLC diagnosis to BM surgery was 19 months (range: 9-36 months). Notably, a shorter TI of less than 23 months was found to be independently associated with postoperative survival (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.87, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.03-8.02, P = 0.045). Additionally, a shorter TI was independently correlated with the absence of adjuvant chemotherapy for NSCLC (aOR 0.25, 95% CI 0.07-0.83, P = 0.023) and lack of targeted therapy (aOR 0.02, 95% CI 0.00-0.16, P < 0.001). Late-onset BM (TI ≥ 36 months) was observed in 15 cases (20.3%), in this subgroup, patients aged 60 years or older at the time of lung cancer diagnosis exhibited a significant independent correlation with late-onset BM (aOR 7.24, 95% CI 1.59-32.95, P = 0.011). NSCLC patients who underwent adjuvant chemotherapy displayed a notable correlation with late-onset BM (aOR 6.46, 95% CI 1.52-27.43, P = 0.011), while those who received targeted therapy also exhibited an independent association (aOR 2.27, 95% CI 1.70-3.03, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Multiple factors contribute to the variability in the onset interval of BM subsequent to NSCLC diagnosis. The occurrence of BM within TI < 23 months following the initial diagnosis of NSCLC was demonstrated as an independent factor associated with an unfavorable prognosis following BM surgery. Furthermore, patients with NSCLC who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy and lacked targeted therapy were shown to have an elevated likelihood of developing BM after a long progression-free survival.

Preoperative predictors for recurrence sites associated with poor post-recurrence survival after surgery of non-small cell lung cancer: a multicenter study

BACKGROUND

The recurrence site that influences post-recurrence survival (PRS) in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) undergoing surgery and the preoperative predictors of recurrence remain unclear.

METHODS

Cohorts 1 and 2 had 4520 (who underwent complete resection for p-stage 0-IIIA NSCLC) and 727 (who experienced recurrence after surgery) patients, respectively. The initial sites of recurrence were the lungs (309 cases), thoracic lymph nodes (225 cases), pleura (112 cases), bone (110 cases), central nervous system (86 cases), adrenal gland (25 cases), abdomen (60 cases), cervical and axillary lymph nodes (38 cases), chest wall (13 cases), skin (5 cases), and eye and tongue (3 cases). For cohort 2 analysis, the initial recurrence site that resulted in poor PRS was analyzed by multivariable analysis using a Cox proportional hazard model. For cohort 1 analysis, the preoperative predictors of recurrence patterns with poor PRS were analyzed by multivariable analysis using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

In cohort 2 analysis, recurrence in the central nervous system (hazard ratio [HR], 1.70; p < 0.001), bone (HR, 1.75; p < 0.001), abdomen (HR, 2.39; p < 0.001), and pleura (HR, 1.69; p < 0.001) were independent poor prognostic recurrent sites for PRS and they were high-risk sites (HRS). Intrathoracic lymph nodes, cervical and axillary lymph nodes, lungs, chest wall, adrenal gland, eye and tongue, and skin were low-risk sites (LRS) that did not affect PRS. Patients with multiple LRS without HRS recurrence had a worse prognosis than those with a single LRS without HRS recurrence (5-year PRS 20.2% vs. 37.7%, p < 0.001) and were comparable to those with HRS recurrence (p = 1.000). In cohort 1 analysis, preoperative predictors for HRS and multiple LRS recurrences were positron emission tomography (PET) maximum standardized uptake value (maxSUV) ≥ 3.2 (HR, 5.09; p < 0.001), clinical nodal metastasis (HR, 2.00; p < 0.001), tumor size ≥ 2.4 cm (HR, 1.96; p < 0.001) and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) ≥ 5 ng/ml (HR, 1.41; p = 0.004). The cumulative incidence rates of HRS and multiple LRS recurrences within 5 years were 55.9%, 40.9%, 26.3%, 11.1%, and 3.5% (p < 0.001) in patients with 4, 3, 2, 1 and 0 of the above risks, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

HRS and multiple LRS were vital recurrences associated with poor PRS. Preoperative PET maxSUV, clinical nodal metastasis, tumor size, and CEA level predicted the incidence of vital recurrence.

Factors Affecting 2-Year Survival in Patients With Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Brain Metastases: Evidence from Indonesia's National Cancer Center, Jakarta, Indonesia

Background

Brain metastases are a common complication in a wide range of cancers but are ubiquitous among patients with lung cancer. Limited data are available on the survival of patients with lung cancer and brain metastases in Indonesia. In this study, we aimed to identify the factors that might contribute to and predict survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) that resulted in brain metastases.

Methods

This retrospective study on patients with NSCLC and brain metastases was conducted using data available from the medical records of the Dharmais National Cancer Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia. The study outcome was survival time, which was associated with sex, age, smoking status, body mass index, number of brain metastases, tumor location, systemic therapy, and other therapies. Descriptive statistics, median survival, Kaplan-Meier graphs, and Cox regression were analyzed using SPSS version 27.

Results

We included 111 patients with NSCLC and brain metastases in this study. The median patient age was 58 years. Long survivorship was observed among women (median: 95.4 weeks; P < .0003), patients with epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations (median: 41.8 weeks; P < .0492), those who received chemotherapy (median: 58 weeks; P < .000), and those who received a combination of surgery and whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT; median: 64.7 weeks; P = .0174). Multivariate analysis showed consistent results for the following factors: sex, EGFR mutations, systemic therapy, and surgery plus WBRT.

Conclusions

Female sex and EGFR mutations in patients with NSCLC and brain metastases are associated with a high survival rate. Patients who have NSCLC with brain metastases will benefit from treatment with EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors, chemotherapy, and surgery plus WBRT.

Predictive value of baseline metabolic tumor burden on 18F-FDG PET/CT for brain metastases in patients with locally advanced non-small-cell lung cancer

OBJECTIVES

Brain metastases (BMs) are a major cause leading to the failure of treatment management for non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the predictive value of baseline metabolic tumor burden on 18F-FDG PET/CT measured with metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and total lesion glycolysis (TLG) for brain metastases (BMs) development in patients with locally advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) after treatment.

METHODS

Forty-seven patients with stage IIB-IIIC NSCLC who underwent baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT examinations were retrospectively reviewed. The maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax), MTV, and TLG of the primary tumor (SUVmaxT, MTVT, and TLGT), metastatic lymph nodes (SUVmaxN, MTVN, and TLGN), and whole-body tumors (SUVmaxWB, MTVWB, and TLGWB) were measured. The optimal cut-off values of PET parameters to predict brain metastasis-free survival were obtained using Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and the predictive value of clinical variables and PET parameters were evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 25.0 months for surviving patients, and 13 patients (27.7%) developed BM. The optimal cut-off values were 21.1 mL and 150.0 g for MTVT and TLGT, 20.0, 10.9 mL and 55.6 g for SUVmaxN, MTVN and TLGN, and 27.9, 27.4 mL and 161.0 g for SUVmaxWB, MTVWB and TLGWB, respectively. In the Cox proportional hazards models, the risk of BM was significantly associated with MTVN and MTVWB or TLGN and TLGWB after adjusting for histological cell type, N stage, SUVmaxN, and SUVmaxWB.

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline metabolic tumor burden (MTV and TLG) evaluated from the level of metastatic lymph nodes and whole-body tumors are significant predictive factors for BM development in patients with locally advanced NSCLC.

[Research Progress on Risk Factors of Brain Metastasis in Non-small Cell Lung Cancer]

Brain metastasis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is a common treatment failure mode, and the median survival time of NSCLC patients with brain metastasis is only 1 mon-2 mon. Prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) can delay the occurrence of brain metastasis, but the survival benefits of NSCLC patients are still controversial. It is particularly important to identify the patients who are most likely to benefit from PCI. This article reviews the high risk factors of brain metastasis in NSCLC.
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Bevacizumab's association with a decreased risk of brain metastases in ECOG-ACRIN E1505, a phase III randomized trial of adjuvant chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab in surgically-resected NSCLC

Introduction

ECOG-ACRIN E1505 was a phase 3 randomized trial of adjuvant chemotherapy with or without bevacizumab for patients with stages IB (>4 cm) to IIIA NSCLC. We sought to estimate the incidence and risk factors for brain recurrence as compared with extracranial recurrences (ECRs).

Methods

ECOG-ACRIN E1505 noted that bevacizumab failed to improve overall survival (OS) (OS hazard ratio [HR] = 0.99 [0·82–1·19], p = 0.90) or recurrence-free survival when added to chemotherapy in the adjuvant setting. The cumulative incidence of brain/ECR was estimated after adjusting for recurrence at other sites and death as competing events. A multivariable regression model was fitted using competing risk analysis to evaluate the effect of covariates on brain recurrence incidence.

Results

Median follow-up was 50.4 months. Among the 1501 patients enrolled, 472 developed ECR. There were 122 patients who had recurrence in the brain with or without simultaneous ECR as the first recurrence site (all-brain recurrences [ABRs]), and 84 of those with ABRs had recurrence in the brain only (isolated-brain recurrence [IBR]). The incidence of ABR, IBR, and ECR at 6 years was 9.9%, 5.9%, and 38.8%, respectively. Chemotherapy plus bevacizumab was associated with a decreased incidence of ABR (HR = 0.64, p = 0.02) and IBR (HR = 0.62, p = 0.032), but there was no significant trend for an OS decrement in the bevacizumab arm versus the control arm for both ABR and IBR. Median survivals associated with IBR, ABR, and ECR were 9.5, 9.5, and 14.1 months, respectively. Nonsquamous histology (HR = 1.87, p = 0.003) was also associated with ABR. ECR was associated with nonsquamous NSCLC histology (HR = 1.79, p < 0.01) and stage/N2 involvement (HR = 1.13/1.37, both p < 0.01).

Conclusions

The addition of bevacizumab to chemotherapy was associated with reduction in brain recurrences, but not ECR. Brain metastases whether isolated or not are associated with a lower median survival than ECR and unlike ECR are not associated with traditional staging variables.

A Nomogram for Predicting Brain Metastasis in IIIA-N2 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer After Complete Resection: A Competing Risk Analysis

Background

Brain metastasis (BM) is one of the most common failure patterns of pIIIA-N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) after complete resection. Prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) can improve intracranial control but not overall survival. Thus, it is particularly important to identify the risk factors that are associated with BM and subsequently provide instructions for selecting patients who will optimally benefit from PCI.

Methods and Materials

Between 2011 and 2014, patients with pIIIA-N2 NSCLC who underwent complete resection in our institution were reviewed and enrolled in the study. Clinical characteristics, pathological parameters, treatment mode, BM time, and overall survival were analyzed. A nomogram was built based on the corresponding parameters by Fine and Gray’s competing risk analysis to predict the 1-, 3-, and 5-year probabilities of BM. Receiver operating characteristic curves and calibration curves were chosen for validation. A statistically significant difference was set as P <0.05.

Results

A total of 517 patients were enrolled in our retrospective study. The median follow-up time for surviving patients was 53.2 months (range, 0.50–123.17 months). The median age was 57 (range, 25–80) years. Of the 517 patients, 122 (23.6%) had squamous cell carcinoma, 391 (75.6%) received adjuvant chemotherapy, and 144 (27.3%) received post-operative radiotherapy. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates were 94.0, 72.9, and 66.0%, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year BM rates were 5.4, 15.7, and 22.2%, respectively. According to the univariate analysis, female, non-smokers, patients with non-squamous cell carcinoma, bronchial invasion, perineural invasion, and patients who received adjuvant chemotherapy were more likely to develop BM. In a multivariate analysis, non-squamous cell carcinoma (subdistribution hazard ratios, SHR: 3.968; 95% confidence interval, CI: 1.743–9.040; P = 0.0010), bronchial invasion (SHR: 2.039, 95% CI: 1.325–3.139; P = 0.0012), perineural invasion (SHR: 2.514, 95% CI: 1.058–5.976; P = 0.0370), and adjuvant chemotherapy (SHR: 2.821, 95% CI: 1.424–5.589; P = 0.0030) were independent risk factors for BM. A nomogram model was established based on the final multivariable analysis result. The area under the curve was 0.767 (95% CI, 0.758–0.777).

Conclusions

For patients with IIIA-N2 NSCLC after complete resection, a nomogram was established based on clinicopathological factors and treatment patterns for predicting the BM. Based on this nomogram, patients with a high risk of BM who may benefit from PCI can be screened.

Integrated genomic and DNA methylation analysis of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer with brain metastases

BACKGROUND

Brain metastasis is a common and lethal complication of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). It is mostly diagnosed only after symptoms develop, at which point very few treatment options are available. Therefore, patients who have an increased risk of developing brain metastasis need to be identified early. Our study aimed to identify genomic and epigenomic biomarkers for predicting brain metastasis risk in NSCLC patients.

METHODS

Paired primary lung tumor tissues and either brain metastatic tissues or cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples were collected from 29 patients with treatment-naïve advanced NSCLC with central nervous system (CNS) metastases. A control group comprising 31 patients with advanced NSCLC who died without ever developing CNS metastasis was also included. Somatic mutations and DNA methylation levels were examined through capture-based targeted sequencing with a 520-gene panel and targeted bisulfite sequencing with an 80,672 CpG panel.

RESULTS

Compared to primary lung lesions, brain metastatic tissues harbored numerous unique copy number variations. The tumor mutational burden was comparable between brain metastatic tissue (P = 0.168)/CSF (P = 0.445) and their paired primary lung tumor samples. Kelch-like ECH-associated protein (KEAP1) mutations were detected in primary lung tumor and brain metastatic tissue samples of patients with brain metastasis. KEAP1 mutation rate was significantly higher in patients with brain metastasis than those without (P = 0.031). DNA methylation analysis revealed 15 differentially methylated blocks between primary lung tumors of patients with and without CNS metastasis. A brain metastasis risk prediction model based on these 15 differentially methylated blocks had an area under the curve of 0.94, with 87.1% sensitivity and 82.8% specificity.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses revealed 15 differentially methylated blocks in primary lung tumor tissues, which can differentiate patients with and without CNS metastasis. These differentially methylated blocks may serve as predictive biomarkers for the risk of developing CNS metastasis in NSCLC. Additional larger studies are needed to validate the predictive value of these markers.

Prognostic Factors and Prediction of Survival for Patients with Brain Metastases of Lung Adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

The study aimed to identify risk factors associated with overall survival (OS) of patients with lung adenocarcinoma (LACA) with brain metastasis and developed a prognostic tool (nomogram) for these patients.

METHODS

LACA patients with brain metastases between 2010 and 2013 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Kaplan-Meier analysis and a Cox regression model were used to assess the prognostic effect of variables on survival rate. A nomogram was developed to predict 3-, 6- and 9-month OS rates.

RESULTS

2,631 LACA patients with brain metastases were studied. A nomogram was developed by using variables that affected OS and was validated by internal bootstrap resampling, which revealed that the nomogram had satisfactory discrimination.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram was able to predict 3-, 6- and 9-month OS for patients with LACA and brain metastases.

Advances in Lung Cancer Driver Genes Associated With Brain Metastasis

Brain metastasis, one of the common complications of lung cancer, is an important cause of death in patients with advanced cancer, despite progress in treatment strategies. Lung cancers with positive driver genes have higher incidence and risk of brain metastases, suggesting that driver events associated with these genes might be biomarkers to detect and prevent disease progression. Common lung cancer driver genes mainly encode receptor tyrosine kinases (RTKs), which are important internal signal molecules that interact with external signals. RTKs and their downstream signal pathways are crucial for tumor cell survival, invasion, and colonization in the brain. In addition, new tumor driver genes, which also encode important molecules closely related to the RTK signaling pathway, have been found to be closely related to the brain metastases of lung cancer. In this article, we reviewed the relationship between lung cancer driver genes and brain metastasis, and summarized the mechanism of driver gene-associated pathways in brain metastasis. By understanding the molecular characteristics during brain metastasis, we can better stratify lung cancer patients and alert those at high risk of brain metastasis, which helps to promote individual therapy for lung cancer.

CT-based radiomics for predicting brain metastases as the first failure in patients with curatively resected locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer

PURPOSE

Brain metastasis (BM) is the primary first failure pattern in patients with curatively resected locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer (LA-NSCLC). It is not yet possible to accurately predict the occurrence of BM. The purpose of the research is to develop and validate a prediction model of BM-free survival based on radiomics characterising the primary lesions combined with clinical characteristics in patients with curatively resected LA-NSCLC.

METHODS

This study consisted of 124 patients with curatively resected stage IIB-IIIB NSCLC in our institution between January 2014 and June 2018. Patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts using a 4:1 ratio. Radiomics features were selected from the chest CT images before surgery. A radiomics signature was constructed using the LASSO algorithm based on the training cohort. Clinical model was developed using the Cox proportional hazards model. The clinical, radiomics, and integrated nomograms were constructed. The prediction performance of the models was assessed based on its discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature is significantly associated with BM-free survival in the overall cohort. The discrimination performance of the integrated nomogram, with the C-indexes 0.889 (0.872-0.906, 95 % CI) and 0.853 (0.788-0.918, 95 % CI) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, is significantly better than the clinical nomogram (p < 0.0001 for the training cohort, p = 0.0008 for the validation cohort). Compared with the radiomics nomogram, the integrated nomogram is also improved to varying degrees, but not apparent in the validation cohort (p = 0.0007 for the training cohort, p = 0.0554 for the validation cohort). The calibration curve and decision curve analysis demonstrated that the integrated nomogram exceeded the clinical or radiomics nomograms in predicting BM-free survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with the clinical or radiomics nomograms, the predictive performance of the integrated nomogram is significantly improved. The integrated nomogram is most suitable for predicting BM-free survival in patients with curatively resected LA-NSCLC.

Alternative methods of lymph node staging in lung cancer: a narrative review

The nodal status indicator in non-small cell lung cancer is one of the most crucial prognostic factors available. However, there are still many arguments among scientists regarding whether the currently used nodal status descriptor should be changed in the forthcoming editions of the Tumor Node Metastasis classification or whether it is precise enough and should be maintained as is. We reviewed studies concerning nodal factor classifications to evaluate their accuracy in non-small cell lung cancer patients and to address the previously mentioned challenge. We reviewed the PubMed database regarding the following classifications: ongoing 8^th edition of the Tumor Node Metastasis classification, number of positive lymph nodes, number of negative lymph nodes, number of dissected lymph nodes, lymph node ratio, nodal chains, log odds of positive lymph nodes, zone-based classification and one that is based on the number of lymph node stations involved. Moreover, we analysed data regarding various combinations of these classifications. Our analysis showed that the present nodal staging may not accurately categorize every lung cancer patient. The number of positive lymph nodes and lymph node ratio or the log odds of positive lymph nodes (as the mathematical modification of lymph node ratio) are more legitimate, as they possess very robust data and should be considered initially as additional factors that can be incorporated in ongoing nodal staging systems. Forthcoming non-small cell lung cancer staging systems could benefit from the addition of quantitative-based parameters. Additionally, the minimal extent of lymphadenectomy should be established as staging benefits from it. International, prospective validation studies need to be performed to optimize the cut-off values and prognostic groups and to confirm the superiority of the newly suggested descriptors in non-small cell lung cancer nodal staging.

The Positive Lymph Node Ratio Predicts Survival in T1-4N1-3M0 Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer: A Nomogram Using the SEER Database

Background: An increasing number of studies have shown that the positive lymph node ratio (pLNR) can be used to evaluate the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. To determine the predictive value of the pLNR, we collected data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and performed a retrospective analysis. Methods: We collected survival and clinical information on patients with T_1-4N_1-3M₀ NSCLC diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 from the SEER database and screened them according to inclusion and exclusion criteria. X-tile software was used to obtain the best cut-off value for the pLNR. Then, we randomly divided patients into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3. Pearson's correlation coefficient, tolerance and the variance inflation factor (VIF) were used to detect collinearity between variables. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to identify significant prognostic factors, and nomograms was constructed to visualize the results. The concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to assess the predictive ability of the nomogram. We divided the patient scores into four groups according to the interquartile interval and constructed a survival curve using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Results: A total of 6,245 patients were initially enrolled. The best cut-off value for the pLNR was determined to be 0.55. The nomogram contained 13 prognostic factors, including the pLNR. The pLNR was identified as an independent prognostic factor for both overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS). The C-index was 0.703 (95% CI, 0.695-0.711) in the training set and 0.711 (95% CI, 0.699-0.723) in the validation set. The calibration curves and DCA also indicated the good predictability of the nomogram. Risk stratification revealed a statistically significant difference among the four groups of patients divided according to quartiles of risk score. Conclusion: The nomogram containing the pLNR can accurately predict survival in patients with T_1-4N_1-3M₀ NSCLC.

Risk factors of brain metastases as initial failure in completely resected stage IIIA(N2) non-small cell lung cancer

Background

This study aimed to identify the risk factors of brain metastases (BM) as the initial site of failure in patients with completely resected stage IIIA (N2) non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Methods

From January 2005 and June 2012, the clinical data of 357 patients with completely resected stage IIIA (N2) NSCLC were reviewed in this study. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to identify the incidence of BM as the initial site of failure and survival. To assess the risk factors of BM, the log-rank test and Cox regression were used for univariate analysis and multivariate analysis, separately.

Result

Seventy-three (20.4%) patients developed BM; 60 patients had BM as their initial site of failure. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year risk for patients developing BM as the initial site of failure was 9.1%, 27.4% and 35.4%, respectively. Univariate analysis showed adenocarcinoma histology (P=0.000), number of regional LN >4 (P=0.018), multiple N2 stations (P=0.027), multiple region of LN involvement (P=0.010) were significantly associated with an increased risk of developing BM as the initial site of failure. Multivariate analysis showed adenocarcinoma (P=0.001; HR =0.150; 95% CI, 0.047–0.479), multiple regions of LN involvement (P=0.015; HR =2.010; 95% CI, 1.146–3.524) were significantly associated with the high risk of developing BM as the initial site of failure. In patients with adenocarcinoma and multiple regions of LN involvement, the 5-year actuarial risk of BM as the initial failure was 47.6%, respectively.

Conclusions

Adenocarcinoma and multiple regions of LN involvement were independent risk factors for BM as the initial failure in completely resected stage IIIA (N2) NSCLC. Prospective clinical trials are needed to verify the effect of PCI in the highest-risk subset we identified.

Paradoxical relationship between body mass index and bone mineral density in patients with non-small cell lung cancer with brain metastasis

Background and purpose

Low body mass index (BMI) at presentation has been reported to be associated with higher incidence and mortality of lung cancer, but studies on the relationship between brain metastasis and BMI at presentation are lacking. This study aimed to evaluate the association between brain metastasis and BMI and bone mineral density (BMD) in NSCLC.

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled patients with non–small cell lung cancer who underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging with contrast within 3 months of diagnosis. The BMI was collected, and the BMD was measured in Hounsfield unit (HU) on initial staging computed tomography scans. The independent relationship between BMI and BMD was assessed using multivariable linear regression according to the presence of brain metastasis.

Results

A total of 356 consecutive NSCLC patients were enrolled in the study over a 8-year period in a single institution. Lower BMI with higher BMD was an independent predictive factor for brain metastasis in patients with NSCLC, relative to the other group (HR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.21 to 3.40; P = 0.007). We also found a significant negative correlation between BMI and BMD among patients with NSCLC with brain metastases (B, -3.343; 95% confidence interval, -6.352 to -0.333; P = 0.030).

Conclusions

Brain metastasis may possibly be associated with lower BMI and higher BMD in NSCLC patients. We expect that these results may facilitate future predictions of brain metastases during the clinical course of NSCLC and enhance our understanding of the underlying mechanisms that link brain metastases and lung cancer.

Natural history, clinical course and predictors of interval time from initial diagnosis to development of subsequent NSCLC brain metastases

PURPOSE

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) brain metastases are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. During recent years, accompanying dramatic improvements in systemic disease control, NSCLC brain metastases have emerged as an increasingly relevant clinical problem. However, optimal surveillance practices remain poorly defined. This purpose of this study was to further characterize the natural history, clinical course and risk factors associated with earlier development of subsequent NSCLC brain metastases to better inform clinical practice and help guide survivorship care.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed all institutional NSCLC brain metastasis cases treated with radiotherapy between 1997 and 2015. Exclusion criteria included presence of brain metastases at initial NSCLC diagnosis and incomplete staging information. Interval time to brain metastases and subsequent survival were characterized using Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression analyses.

RESULTS

Among 105 patients within this cohort, median interval time to development of brain metastases was 16 months. Median interval times were 29, 19, 16 and 13 months for Stage I-IV patients, respectively (P = 0.016). Additional independent predictors for earlier development of NSCLC brain metastases included non-adenocarcinomatous histopathology (HR 3.036, P < 0.001), no prior surgical resection (HR 1.609, P = 0.036) and no prior systemic therapy (HR 3.560, P = 0.004). Median survival following intracranial progression was 16 months. Delayed development of brain metastases was associated with better prognosis (HR 0.970, P < 0.001) but not survival following intracranial disease onset.

CONCLUSIONS

Collectively, our results provide valuable insights into the natural history of NSCLC brain metastases. NSCLC stage, histology, prior surgical resection and prior systemic therapy emerged as independent predictors for interval time to brain metastases.

Risk factors for brain metastases in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer

Brain metastases (BM) are severe incidents in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The controversial value of prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) in NSCLC in terms of survival benefit prompted us to explore the possible risk factors for BM in NSCLC and identify the potential population most likely to benefit from PCI. Risk factors for brain metastases in NSCLC are reviewed in this article. Identifying patients with a higher risk of BM could possibly increase the benefit of PCI while reducing the discomfort and risks caused by unnecessary invasive procedures in the NSCLC patient population. Future studies might focus on finding a solid basis for the prediction of the occurrence of brain metastases and for the therapeutic decision on the use of PCI.

MiR-423-5p in brain metastasis: potential role in diagnostics and molecular biology

During the last several years, a growing number of studies have shown that microRNAs (miRNAs) participate in cancer metastasis. Brain metastasis (BM) is a frequent complication of lung adenocarcinoma (LAD), and the incidence of locally advanced LAD with BM can be as high as 30-50%. This study was performed to identify the miRNA expression patterns of LAD with BM and to determine the biological role that miRNAs play in tumorigenesis. To this end, we conducted microarray and quantitative PCR analyses to evaluate BM-related miRNAs independently validated from a total of 155 patients with LAD. A series of in vivo and in vitro assays were also conducted to verify the impact of miRNAs on BM. We found significantly increased expression of miR-423-5p, and BM was predicted in non-small cell lung cancer when compared to LAD without BM. We next examined the function of miR-423-5p and discovered that it significantly promoted colony formation, cell motility, migration, and invasion in vitro. We computationally and experimentally confirmed that metastasis suppressor 1 (MTSS1) was a direct miR-423-5p target. Through a combination of image, histological, and molecular analyses, we found that miR-423-5p overexpression significantly increased tumor burden, local invasion, and distant BM. The level of MTSS1 expression was inversely correlated with miR-423-5p upregulation in the LAD specimens and was associated with survival of patients with BM. MiR-423-5p promoted BM in LAD and inhibited MTSS1 expression. Together, these results show that MiR-423-5p has the potential to be a marker of BM and/or a therapeutic target in LAD.

Analysis of Relapse Events After Definitive Chemoradiotherapy in Locally Advanced Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer Patients

BACKGROUND

The appropriate follow-up frequency after definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for locally advanced non-small-cell lung cancer patients is unknown. Although surveillance guidelines have been proposed, very few data support current recommendations. Here we analyze relapse events after CRT and investigate whether symptomatic relapses versus those detected by surveillance imaging influences outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Stage III non-small-cell lung cancer patients treated with CRT at our institution between 2005 and 2014 were retrospectively analyzed. Relapse events were grouped into posttreatment intervals and analyzed with cumulative tables. Time to relapse and overall survival (OS) were compared between patients with relapse detection via symptomatic presentation versus surveillance imaging.

RESULTS

A total of 211 patients were identified for analysis. The median follow-up was 43 months for patients alive at the time of analysis. The median age was 63 years, and equal proportions had IIIA or IIIB disease. A total of 135 patients (64%) experienced disease relapse, and of these, 74% did so within 12 months. In those who did not experience relapse at ≤ 12 months, 16%, 6%, and < 5% experienced relapse during 12 to 24, 24 to 36, and > 36 months of follow-up, respectively. In patients with relapse, 56% presented symptomatically, which led to inferior median OS compared to those identified by surveillance imaging (23 vs. 36 months; P = .013).

CONCLUSION

This study identified that most relapses occur within 1 year of completing CRT, and approximately half of these occur within 6 months. A symptomatic relapse led to inferior OS. More aggressive surveillance imaging may therefore identify asymptomatic relapses that are amenable to earlier salvage therapy.

Lung cancer-associated brain metastasis: Molecular mechanisms and therapeutic options

BACKGROUND

Lung cancer is the most common cause of cancer-related mortality in humans. There are several reasons for this high rate of mortality, including metastasis to several organs, especially the brain. In fact, lung cancer is responsible for approximately 50% of all brain metastases, which are very difficult to manage. Understanding the cellular and molecular mechanisms underlying lung cancer-associated brain metastasis brings up novel therapeutic promises with the hope to ameliorate the severity of the disease. Here, we provide an overview of the molecular mechanisms underlying the pathogenesis of lung cancer dissemination and metastasis to the brain, as well as promising horizons for impeding lung cancer brain metastasis, including the role of cancer stem cells, the blood-brain barrier, interactions of lung cancer cells with the brain microenvironment and lung cancer-driven systemic processes, as well as the role of growth factor/receptor tyrosine kinases, cell adhesion molecules and non-coding RNAs. In addition, we provide an overview of current and novel therapeutic approaches, including radiotherapy, surgery and stereotactic radiosurgery, chemotherapy, as also targeted cancer stem cell and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT)-based therapies, micro-RNA-based therapies and other small molecule or antibody-based therapies. We will also discuss the daunting potential of some combined therapies.

CONCLUSIONS

The identification of molecular mechanisms underlying lung cancer metastasis has opened up new avenues towards their eradication and provides interesting opportunities for future research aimed at the development of novel targeted therapies.

Bevacizumab Prevents Brain Metastases Formation in Lung Adenocarcinoma

Patients with nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (nsNSCLC; largely lung adenocarcinoma) are at high risk of developing brain metastases. Preclinical data suggested that anti-VEGF-A therapy may prevent the formation of nsNSCLC brain metastases. Whether non-brain metastases are also prevented, and whether bevacizumab shows a brain metastases-preventive activity in cancer patients is unknown. Data of one nsNSCLC (stage IIIB/IV, AVAiL) and two breast cancer bevacizumab trials (HER2 negative, AVADO; HER2 positive, AVEREL) were retrospectively analyzed regarding the frequency of the brain versus other organs being the site of first relapse. For animal studies, the outgrowth of PC14-PE6 lung adenocarcinoma cells to brain macrometastases in mice was measured by intravital imaging: under control IgG (25 mg/kg) treatment, or varying doses of bevacizumab (25 mg/kg, 2.5 mg/kg, 0.25 mg/kg). Brain metastases as site of first relapse were significantly less frequent in the bevacizumab arm of the AVAiL trial (HR = 0.36, P < 0.001). In AVADO and AVEREL, no significant difference was seen. In mice, bevacizumab treatment led to secondary regressions of non-brain macrometastases, but did not reduce their total incidence, and did not improve survival. In a brain-seeking nsNSCLC metastasis model, treatment with bevacizumab inhibited brain metastases formation, which resulted in improved overall survival. In summary, bevacizumab has the potential to prevent brain metastases in nsNSCLC, but no preventive activity could be detected outside the brain. These data indicate that anti-VEGF-A agents might be particularly relevant for those stage III nsNSCLC patients who are at high risk to develop future brain metastases. Mol Cancer Ther; 15(4); 702-10. ©2016 AACR.

Potential toxicities of prophylactic cranial irradiation

Prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) with total doses of 20-30 Gy reduces the incidence of brain metastasis (BM) and increases survival of patients with limited and extensive-disease small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) that showed any response to chemotherapy. PCI is currently not applied in non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) since it has not proven to significantly improve OS rates in stage IIIA/B, although novel data suggest that subgroups that could benefit may exist. Here we briefly review potential toxicities of PCI which have to be considered before prescribing PCI. They are mostly difficult to delineate from pre-existing risk factors which include preceding chemotherapy, patient age, paraneoplasia, as well as smoking or atherosclerosis. On the long run, this will force radiation oncologists to evaluate each patient separately and to estimate the individual risk. Where PCI is then considered to be of benefit, novel concepts, such as intensity-modulated radiotherapy and/or neuroprotective drugs with potential to lower the rates of side effects will eventually be superior to conventional therapy. This in turn will lead to a re-evaluation whether benefits might then outweigh the (lowered) risks.

Estimation of intracranial failure risk following hippocampal-sparing whole brain radiotherapy

PURPOSE

To estimate the risk of undertreatment in hippocampal-sparing whole brain radiotherapy (HS-WBRT).

METHODS

Eight hundred and fifty six metastases were contoured together with the hippocampi in cranial MRIs of 100 patients. For each metastasis, the distance to the closest hippocampus was calculated. Treatment plans for 10 patients were calculated and linear dose profiles were established. For SCLC and NSCLC, dose-response curves were created based on data from studies on prophylactic cranial irradiation, allowing estimating the risk for intracranial failure.

RESULTS

Only 0.4% of metastases were located inside a hippocampus in 3% of all patients. SCLC showed a relatively high rate of hippocampal metastasis (18.2% of all SCLC patients) and HS-WBRT in a commonly applied fractionation scheme would increase the risk for brain relapse by ∼4% compared to conventional WBRT. NSCLC showed a lower rate of brain metastasis in the hippocampi (2.8%) and HS-WBRT would account for a slightly increased absolute risk of 0.2%.

CONCLUSIONS

Prophylactic or therapeutic HS-WBRT is expected to be associated with a low risk of undertreatment. For SCLC, it bears a minimally elevated risk of failure compared to standard WBRT. In NSCLC, HS-WBRT is most likely not associated with a clinically relevant increase in risk of failure.