Validation and update of a multivariable prediction model for the identification and management of patients at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma

Comparison of diagnostic performance of AFP, DCP and two diagnostic models in hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective study

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may be diagnosed using the GAAP and ASAP models; our goal was to verify and evaluate their diagnostic effectiveness compared to AFP, DCP, and AFP & DCP for both HCC and HCC caused by the hepatitis B virus (HBV).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

GAAP and ASAP models were validated and compared using a retrospective investigation of 938 patients from our hospital between July 2020 and July 2021.

RESULTS

Both the GAAP and ASAP models had better diagnostic efficacy than AFP, DCP, AFP & DCP. The GAAP model achieved better performance in section A for the detection of HCC and in section C for the detection of HBV-HCC than the ASAP model. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that the GAAP and ASAP models were well-calibrated for the diagnoses of these two groups. To be more specific, the AUC of the GAAP model for HCC detection in section A was 0.862 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.838-0.883], and that of the ASAP model was 0.850 [95% CI: 0.826-0.872]. The AUC of the GAAP model for HBV-HCC detection in section C was 0.897 [95% CI: 0.872-0.918], and that of the ASAP model was 0.878 [95% CI: 0.852-0.902].

CONCLUSIONS

The GAAP model was more accurate and reliable than the AFP, DCP, AFP and DCP, as well as the ASAP model in section A for the detection of HCC and in section C for the detection of HBV-HCC.

Progression of Prothrombin Induced by Vitamin K Absence-II in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer and the third leading cause of cancer-related death worldwide. Due to the lack of efficient tools for early detection, asymptomatic HCC patients are diagnosed at an advanced stage, leading to a poor prognosis. To improve survival, serum biomarker prothrombin induced by vitamin K absence-II (PIVKA-II) was under investigation. PIVKA-II is an abnormal protein produced in HCC. The coagulation function was insufficient due to the lack of Gla residues. Elevated PIVKA-II was associated with bad tumor behavior in terms of proliferation, metastasis, and invasion. Three major signaling pathways were proposed to clarify the mechanism. With the advantages including affordability, minimal invasiveness, convenience, and efficiency, PIVKA-II could improve HCC management consisting of four aspects. First, PIVKA-II was an effective and dynamic tool for improving HCC surveillance in high-risk population. Changes in the serum levels of PIVKA-II provided valuable molecular alteration information before imaging discovery. Second, PIVKA-II offered a complementary approach for HCC early detection. Compared to traditional diagnostic approaches, the combination of PIVKA-II and other biomarkers had better performance. Third, PIVKA-II was an indicator for the assessment of response to treatment in HCC. Preoperative assessment was for selecting personalized therapy, and postoperative measurement was for assessing treatment efficacy. Fourth, PIVKA-II was considered as a prognostic predictor for HCC. Patients with elevated PIVKA-II were more likely to develop microvascular invasion, metastasis, and recurrence.