"Decision tree analysis for assessing the risk of post-traumatic haemorrhage after mild traumatic brain injury in patients on oral anticoagulant therapy"

Incidence of intracranial bleeding in mild traumatic brain injury patients taking oral anticoagulants: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is one of the leading causes of disability and death worldwide. Most TBI cases occur in older people, because they are at a higher risk of accidental falling. As the population ages, the use of anticoagulants is increasing. Some serious complications of TBI, such as intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), may occur even in mild cases. According to the current guidelines regarding managing mild TBI patients, a CT head scan is recommended for all patients receiving anticoagulation. We aim to assess the incidence of ICH in patients with mild TBI taking oral anticoagulants.

METHODS

Our systematic review and meta-analysis were performed using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-analyses (PRISMA) checklist. The protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD42024503086). Twenty-eight studies evaluating patients with a mild TBI from ten countries with a total sample size of 11,172, 5671 on DOACs, and 5501 on VKAs were included in our meta-analysis.

RESULTS

The random-effects overall incidence of ICH among oral anticoagulated patients with mild TBI was calculated to be 9.4% [95% CI 7.2-12.1%, I2 = 89%]. The rates of immediate ICH for patients taking DOACs and VKAs were 6.4% and 10.5%, respectively. The overall rate of immediate ICH in anticoagulated mild TBI patients was 8.5% [95% CI 6.6-10.9%], with a high heterogeneity between studies (I2 = 88%). Furthermore, the rates of delayed ICH in patients with mild TBI taking DOACs and VKAs were 1.6% and 1.9%, respectively. The overall incidence of delayed ICH among oral anticoagulated mild TBI patients was 1.7% [95% CI 1-2.8%, I2 = 79%]. The overall rate of ICH among mild TBI patients taking DOAC was calculated to be 7.3% [95% CI 5.2-10.3%], with significant heterogeneity between studies (I2 = 79%). However, the overall ICH rate is higher in patients who take only VKAs 11.3% [95% CI 8.6-14.7%, I2 = 83%]. Patients on DOACs were at lower risk of ICH after mild TBI compared to patients on VKAs (OR = 0.64, 95% CI 0.48-0.86, p < 0.01, I2 = 28%).

CONCLUSION

Our meta-analysis confirms the need for performing brain CT scan in patients with mild TBI patients who receive oral anticoagulants before injury. Due to limited data, further multi-center, prospective studies are warranted to confirm the true incidence of traumatic ICH in patients on anticoagulants.

Minor head injury in anticoagulated patients: Outcomes and analysis of clinical predictors. A prospective study

BACKGROUND

The optimal management of patients taking oral anticoagulants who experience minor head injury (MHI) is unclear. The availability of validated protocols and reliable predictors of prognosis would be of great benefit. We investigated clinical factors as predictors of clinical outcomes and intracranial injury (ICI).

METHODS

We conducted a single-cohort, prospective, observational study in an ED. Our structured clinical pathway included a first head CT scan, 24 h observation and a second CT scan. The primary outcome was the occurrence of MHI-related death or re-admission to ED at day +30. The secondary outcome was the rate of delayed ICI (dICI), defined as second positive CT scan after a first negative CT scan. We assessed some clinical predictors derived from guidelines and clinical prediction rules as potential risk factors for the outcomes.

RESULTS

450 patients with a negative first CT scan who underwent a second CT scan composed our 'study population'. The rate of the primary outcome was 4%. The rate of the secondary outcome was 4.7%. Upon univariate and multivariate analysis no statistically significant predictors for the outcomes were found.

CONCLUSIONS

Previous retrospective studies showed a lot of negative predictive factors for anticoagulated patients suffering a minor head injury. In our prospective study no clinical factors emerged as predictors of poor clinical outcomes and dICI. So, even if we confirmed a low rate of adverse outcomes, the best management of these patients in ED remains not so clear and future trials are needed.