A risk score system to timely manage treatment in Crohn's disease: a cohort study

HLA-DQA1*05 Allele Carriage and Anti-TNF Therapy Persistence in Inflammatory Bowel Disease

INTRODUCTION

Carriage of the HLA-DQA1*05 allele is associated with development of antidrug antibodies (ADAs) to antitumor necrosis factor (anti-TNF) therapy in patients with Crohn's disease. However, ADA is not uniformly associated with treatment failure. We aimed to determine the impact of carriage of HLA-DQA1*05 allele on outcome of biologic therapy evaluated by drug persistence.

METHODS

A multicenter, retrospective study of 877 patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) treated with anti-TNF therapy with HLA-DQA1*05 genotypes were generated by imputation from whole genome sequence using the HIBAG package, in R. Primary end point was anti-TNF therapy persistence, (time to therapy failure), segregated by HLA-DQA1*05 allele genotype and development of a risk score to predict anti-TNF therapy failure, incorporating HLA-DQA1*05 allele genotype status (LORisk score).

RESULTS

In all, 877 patients receiving anti-TNF therapy were included in our study; 543 (62%) had no copy, 281 (32%) one copy, and 53 (6%) 2 copies of HLA-DQA1*05 allele. Mean time to anti-TNF therapy failure in patients with 2 copies of HLA-DQA1*05 allele was significantly shorter compared with patients with 0 or 1 copy at 700 days' follow-up: 418 vs 541 vs 513 days, respectively (P = .012). Factors independently associated with time to anti-TNF therapy failure included carriage of HLA-DQA1*05 allele (hazard ratio [HR], 1.2, P = .02; female gender HR, 1.6, P < .001; UC phenotype HR, 1.4, P = .009; and anti-TNF therapy type [infliximab], HR, 1.5, P = .002). The LORisk score was significantly associated with shorter time to anti-TNF therapy failure (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Carriage of 2 HLA-DQA1*05 alleles is associated with less favorable outcomes for patients receiving anti-TNF therapy with shorter time to therapy failure. HLA-DQA1*05 genotype status in conjunction with clinical factors may aid in therapy selection in patients with IBD.

Treatment escalation and de-escalation decisions in Crohn's disease: Delphi consensus recommendations from Japan, 2021

BACKGROUND

We aimed to develop criteria for treatment intensification in patients with (1) luminal Crohn's disease (CD), (2) CD with perianal disease and/or fistula, (3) CD with small bowel stenosis, (4) in the postoperative setting, and (5) for discontinuing or reducing the dose of treatment in patients with CD.

METHODS

PubMed and Embase were searched for studies published since 1998 which may be relevant to the five defined topics. Results were assessed for relevant studies, with preference given to data from randomized, controlled studies. For each question, a core panel of 12 gastroenterologists defined the treatment target and developed statements, based on the literature, current guidelines, and relevant additional studies. The evidence supporting each statement was graded using the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine: Levels of Evidence (March 2009). A modified Delphi process was used to refine statements and gain agreement from 54 Japanese specialists at in-person and online meetings conducted between October 2020 and April 2021.

RESULTS

Seventeen statements were developed for treatment intensification in luminal CD (targeting endoscopic remission), six statements for treatment intensification in perianal/fistulizing CD (targeting healing of perianal lesions and complete closure of the fistula), six statements for treatment intensification in CD with small bowel stenosis (targeting resolution of obstructive symptoms), seven statements for treatment intensification after surgery (targeting endoscopic remission), and five statements for discontinuing or reducing the dose of treatment in patients with CD.

CONCLUSIONS

These statements provide guidance on how and when to intensify or de-intensify treatment for a broad spectrum of patients with CD.

Variables associated with progression of moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease

OBJECTIVE

Determine the variables associated with hospitalisations in patients with Crohn's disease and those associated with surgery, intestinal resection, hospital readmission, need for multiple operations and immunobiological agent use.

DESIGN

A cross-sectional study was conducted from 2019 to 2021, using two centres for inflammatory bowel diseases in the Brazilian Public Health System.

RESULTS

This study included 220 patients. Only perianal disease was associated with hospitalisation (31.6% vs 13.0%, p=0.012). Stricturing or penetrating behaviour (35.8% vs 12.6%, p<0.001) and perianal disease (45.9% vs 9.9%, p<0.001) were associated with surgery. Ileal or ileocolonic location (80.0% vs 46.5%, p=0.044) and stricturing or penetrating behaviour (68.0% vs 11.2%, p<0.001) were associated with intestinal resection. Steroids use at first Crohn's disease occurrence and postoperative complications were associated with hospital readmission and need for multiple operations, respectively. Age below 40 years at diagnosis (81.3% vs 62.0%, p=0.004), upper gastrointestinal tract involvement (21.8% vs 10.3%, p=0.040) and perianal disease (35.9% vs 16.3%, p<0.001) were associated with immunobiological agent use.

CONCLUSION

Perianal disease and stricturing or penetrating behaviour were associated with more than one significant outcome. Other variables related to Crohn's disease progression were age below 40 years at diagnosis, an ileal or ileocolonic disease localisation, an upper gastrointestinal tract involvement, the use of steroids at the first Crohn's disease occurrence and history of postoperative complications. These findings are similar to those in the countries with a high prevalence of Crohn's disease.

Prognostic biomarkers to identify patients likely to develop severe Crohn's disease: a systematic review

BACKGROUND

Identification of biomarkers that predict severe Crohn's disease is an urgent unmet research need, but existing research is piecemeal and haphazard.

OBJECTIVE

To identify biomarkers that are potentially able to predict the development of subsequent severe Crohn's disease.

DESIGN

This was a prognostic systematic review with meta-analysis reserved for those potential predictors with sufficient existing research (defined as five or more primary studies).

DATA SOURCES

PubMed and EMBASE searched from inception to 1 January 2016, updated to 1 January 2018.

REVIEW METHODS

Eligible studies were studies that compared biomarkers in patients who did or did not subsequently develop severe Crohn's disease. We excluded biomarkers that had insufficient research evidence. A clinician and two statisticians independently extracted data relating to predictors, severe disease definitions, event numbers and outcomes, including odds/hazard ratios. We assessed risk of bias. We searched for associations with subsequent severe disease rather than precise estimates of strength. A random-effects meta-analysis was performed separately for odds ratios.

RESULTS

In total, 29,950 abstracts yielded just 71 individual studies, reporting 56 non-overlapping cohorts. Five clinical biomarkers (Montreal behaviour, age, disease duration, disease location and smoking), two serological biomarkers (anti-Saccharomyces cerevisiae antibodies and anti-flagellin antibodies) and one genetic biomarker (nucleotide-binding oligomerisation domain-containing protein 2) displayed statistically significant prognostic potential. Overall, the strongest association with subsequent severe disease was identified for Montreal B2 and B3 categories (odds ratio 4.09 and 6.25, respectively).

LIMITATIONS

Definitions of severe disease varied widely, and some studies confounded diagnosis and prognosis. Risk of bias was rated as 'high' in 92% of studies overall. Some biomarkers that are used regularly in daily practice, for example C-reactive protein, were studied too infrequently for meta-analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Research for individual biomarkers to predict severe Crohn's disease is scant, heterogeneous and at a high risk of bias. Despite a large amount of potential research, we encountered relatively few biomarkers with data sufficient for meta-analysis, identifying only eight biomarkers with potential predictive capability.

FUTURE WORK

We will use existing data sets to develop and then validate a predictive model based on the potential predictors identified by this systematic review. Contingent on the outcome of that research, a prospective external validation may prove clinically desirable.

STUDY REGISTRATION

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42016029363.

FUNDING

This project was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 25, No. 45. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

A clinical and radiographic model to predict surgery for acute small bowel obstruction in Crohn's disease

PURPOSE

For more than half of Crohn's disease patients, strictures will cause bowel obstructions that require surgery within 10 years of their initial diagnosis. This study utilizes computed tomography imaging and clinical data obtained at the initial emergency room visit to create a prediction model for progression to surgery in Crohn's disease patients with acute small bowel obstructions.

METHODS

A retrospective chart review was performed for patients who presented to the emergency room with an ICD-10 diagnosis for Crohn's disease and visit diagnosis of small bowel obstruction. Two expert abdominal radiologists evaluated the CT scans for bowel wall thickness, maximal and minimal luminal diameters, length of diseased segment, passage of oral contrast, evidence of penetrating disease, bowel wall hyperenhancement or stratification, presence of a comb sign, fat hypertrophy, and small bowel feces sign. The primary outcome was progression to surgery within 6 months of presentation. The secondary outcome was time to readmission.

RESULTS

Forty patients met the inclusion criteria, with 78% receiving medical treatment alone and 22% undergoing surgery within 6 months of presentation to the emergency room. Multivariable analysis produced a model with an AUC of 92% (95% CI 0.82-1.00), 78% sensitivity, and 97% specificity, using gender, body mass index, and the radiographic features of segment length, penetrating disease, and bowel wall hyperenhancement.

CONCLUSIONS

The model demonstrates that routine clinical and radiographic data from an emergency room visit can predict progression to surgery, and has the potential to risk stratify patients, guide management in the acute setting, and predict readmission.

Pursuing therapeutic success in Crohn’s disease: A matter of definition, tools and longterm outcomes

Management of Crohn’s disease (CD) based on symptom control is a tale of the past as new treatment strategies aim toward a “treat to target” concept and to a patient-tailored approach. Defining treatment goals and assessing therapeutic success have been in the center of IBD research in the past years. Clinical remission and mucosal healing are well-established treatment goals by current recommendations, although prospective data is required to determine whether achieving these targets is enough to alter disease natural course. Furthermore, there is no standard in assessing therapeutic success. Low relapse and hospitalization rates, as well as a low need of surgery are indicators of a successful treatment. Close monitoring is part of the new therapeutic strategy. Monitoring tools are numerous, comprising clinical, biological, endoscopic and imaging scores or parameters but are far from being perfect. The traditional strategy of managing CD patients based on clinical symptoms and response to treatment did not improve the long-term outcomes. Clinical activity scores are frequently used in clinical trials and daily practice, but their use alone is not an accurate measure of inflammation. Endoscopic remission is associated with a lower risk of complications and a better long-term prognostic. Several guidelines include recommendations regarding surveillance endoscopy, but there is an open debate regarding the follow-up intervals. Cross-sectional imaging techniques play a complementary role in assessing transmural inflammation and in identifying extra-intestinal complications of CD and should be used in conjunction with endoscopy. Therapeutic drug monitoring is essential in assessing loss of response and making therapeutic decisions, although firm recommendations are not implemented into daily practice. Extraintestinal manifestations are often disregarded when discussing monitoring protocols. There is no current guideline indication for extraintestinal manifestations monitoring during remission periods.

Crohn Disease and Fracture Risk Assessment With FRAX

Background

Studies are inconsistent whether people with Crohn disease (CD) have an increased fracture risk.

This study showed that patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) had a higher ten year probability of fracture, assessed by the fracture assessment tool FRAX, and more fractures, but the proportion of CD patients with a fracture was not significantly higher than that of controls.

Methods

Forty-nine CD and 49 controls participated. All 98 completed a health questionnaire. A score with the fracture assessment tool FRAX &gt; 15% was considered risk factor for fracture.

Results

Mean FRAX score for 49 CD was 10.1 ± 10.3% and for 49 controls 5.0 ± 3.9% (P = 0.002). The variables correlated with fracture were being female (P = 0.04) and having a fractured mother (P = 0.002).

Conclusion

The CD group had significantly higher FRAX scores and more fractures, but the proportion of CD subjects with a fracture was not significantly higher than that of controls.