Can frailty in conjunction with FRAX identify additional women at risk of fracture - a longitudinal cohort study of community dwelling older women

Predicting fragility fractures based on frailty and bone mineral density among rural community-dwelling older adults

OBJECTIVE

We aim to investigate the association between bone mineral density (BMD) measurement and fragility fractures and assess the predictive value of combining BMD measurement and frailty for fracture risk assessment.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from 5126 rural Koreans in the Chungju Metabolic Disease Cohort study. Frailty was defined using Fried's frailty phenotype. Fractures were assessed via structured medical interviews. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated considering age, sex, body mass index, behavior, BMD, handgrip strength, medications, and comorbidities.

RESULTS

The study cohort consisted of 5126 participants comprising 1955 (38.1%) males and 3171 (61.9%) females. Osteoporosis significantly increased the fracture risk across all types, except vertebral fracture, with adjusted OR (95% CI) of 1.89 (1.23-3.47) for any fracture, 2.05 (1.37-2.98) for hip fracture, 2.18 (1.06-4.50) for other fracture, and 1.71 (1.03-3.63) for major osteoporotic fracture (MOF). Frail individuals exhibited significantly increased risk for any fracture (OR 2.12; 95% CI, 1.21-3.71), vertebral fracture (2.48; 1.84-3.61), hip fracture (2.52; 1.09-3.21), other fracture (2.82; 1.19-8.53), and MOF (1.87; 1.01-3.47). The combination of frailty and BMD further increased the risks, with frail individuals demonstrating elevated ORs across BMD categories. In subgroup analyses, men showed a significant association between frailty with osteoporosis in hip fracture and MOF. Frail women with osteoporosis exhibited the highest risks for all fractures, particularly vertebral (OR 5.12; 95% CI, 2.07-9.68) and MOF (OR 5.19; 95% CI, 2.07-6.61). Age-specific analysis revealed that individuals aged 70 and older exhibited markedly higher fracture risks compared with those under 70. The combination of frailty and low BMD further elevated the fracture risk. Frailty was applied with BMD and demonstrated superior risk prediction for MOF compared with that with either score alone (area under the curve 0.825; P = .000).

CONCLUSIONS

Combining frailty with BMD provides a more accurate fracture risk assessment for individuals over 50 years.

Postfracture survival in a population-based study of adults aged ≥66 yr: a call to action at hospital discharge

Postfracture survival rates provide prognostic information but are rarely reported along with other mortality outcomes in adults aged ≥50 yr. The timing of survival change following a fracture also needs to be further elucidated. This population-based, matched-cohort, retrospective database study examined 98 474 patients (73% women) aged ≥66 yr with an index fracture occurring at an osteoporotic site (hip, clinical vertebral, proximal non-hip non-vertebral [pNHNV], and distal non-hip non-vertebral [dNHNV]) from 2011 to 2015, who were matched (1:1) to nonfracture individuals based on sex, age, and comorbidities. All-cause 1- and 5-yr overall survival and relative survival ratios (RSRs) were assessed, and time trends in survival changes were characterized starting immediately after a fracture. In both sexes, overall survival was markedly decreased over 6 yr of follow-up after hip, vertebral, and pNHNV fractures, and as expected, worse survival rates were observed in older patients and males. The lowest 5-yr RSRs were observed after hip fractures in males (66-85 yr, 51.9%-63.9%; ≥86 yr, 34.5%), followed by vertebral fractures in males (66-85 yr, 53.2%-69.4%; ≥86 yr, 35.5%), and hip fractures in females (66-85 yr, 69.8%-79.0%; ≥86 yr, 52.8%). Although RSRs did not decrease as markedly after dNHNV fractures in younger patients, relatively low 5-yr RSRs were observed in females (75.9%) and males (69.5%) aged ≥86 yr. The greatest reduction in survival occurred within the initial month after hip, vertebral, and pNHNV fractures, indicating a high relative impact of short-term factors, with survival-reduction effects persisting over time. Therefore, the most critical period for implementing interventions aimed at improving post-fracture prognosis appears to be immediately after a fracture; however, considering the immediate need for introducing such interventions, primary fracture prevention is also crucial to prevent the occurrence of the initial fracture in high-risk patients.

Frailty increases the long-term risk for fall and fracture-related hospitalizations and all-cause mortality in community-dwelling older women

Frailty is associated with declines in physiological capacity across sensory, neurological, and musculoskeletal systems. An underlying assumption is that the frailer an individual, the more likely they are to experience falls and fractures. We examined whether grades of frailty can assess the long-term risk of hospitalized falls, fractures, and all-cause mortality in 1261 community-dwelling older women (mean age [SD] of 75.1 [2.7] yr) over 14.5 yr. Frailty was operationalized using a frailty index (FI) of cumulative deficits from 33 variables across multiple health domains (physical, mental, comorbidities) at baseline. The total score across these variables was summed and divided by 33 to obtain the FI. Participants were graded as fit (FI ≤ 0.12), mildly frail (FI > 0.12-0.24), moderately frail (FI > 0.24-0.36), or severely frail (FI > 0.36). Fall-related (n = 498), any fracture-related (n = 347), and hip fracture-related hospitalizations (n = 137) and deaths (n = 482) were obtained from linked health records. Associations between FI grades and clinical outcomes were analyzed using multivariable-adjusted Cox-proportional hazard models including age, treatment (calcium/placebo), BMI, smoking history, socioeconomic status, plasma vitamin D (25OHD) status plus season obtained, physical activity, self-reported prevalent falls in the last 3 mo, and self-reported fractures since the age of 50 yr. At baseline, 713 (56.5%), 350 (27.8%), 163 (12.9%), and 35 (2.8%) of women were classified as fit, mildly frail, moderately frail, and severely frail, respectively. Women with mild, moderate, and severe frailty had significantly higher hazards (all P < .05) for a fall-related (46%, 104%, 168%), any fracture-related (88% for moderate, 193% for severe frailty), hip fracture-related hospitalizations (93%, 127%, 129%), and all-cause mortality (47%, 126%, 242%). The FI identified community-dwelling older women at risk for the most serious falls and fractures and may be incorporated into risk assessment tools to identify individuals with poorer clinical prognosis.

Osteosarcopenia: Prevalence and 10-Year Fracture and Mortality Risk - A Longitudinal, Population-Based Study of 75-Year-Old Women

Osteosarcopenia is the coexistence of low bone mass and sarcopenia. In older women, its prevalence is not well described, and it is unknown if sarcopenia is additive to low bone mass for fracture and mortality risk. The study investigated prevalence of osteosarcopenia and if osteosarcopenia is associated with higher fracture and mortality risk than low bone mass alone in older community-dwelling women. The longitudinal, population-based OPRA Cohort (n = 1044), all aged 75 at inclusion, followed for 10 years. Using WHO and EWGSOP2 definitions for low bone mass (T-score < -1.0 femoral neck) and sarcopenia (knee strength; appendicular lean muscle mass) women were categorized (1) Normal, (2) Low bone mass (LBM), and 3) Osteosarcopenia (probable; confirmed). Risk of hip, major osteoporotic fracture, and mortality were estimated. Osteosarcopeniaconfirmed prevalence increased from age 75 to 80 and 85 from 3.0% (29/970) to 4.9% (32/656) to 9.2% (33/358) but prevalence is potentially 2-4 times higher (11.8%, 13.4%, 20.3%) based on osteosarcopeniaprobable. Having osteosarcopeniaprobable significantly increased 10-year risk of hip fracture (HRadj 2.67 [1.34-5.32]), major osteoporotic fracture (HRadj 2.04 [1.27-3.27]), and mortality (HRadj 1.91 [1.21-3.04]). In contrast, LBM increased osteoporotic fracture risk (HRadj 2.08 [1.46-2.97], but not hip fracture (HRadj 1.62 [0.92-2.85]) or mortality (HRadj 0.94 [0.64-1.38]). Median time-to-hip fracture was 7.6 years (normal), 6.0 years (LBM), and 5.7 years (osteosarcopeniaprobable). Prevalence of confirmed osteosarcopenia is almost 10% at age 85. Probable osteosarcopenia significantly increased risk of hip and major osteoporotic fractures and mortality more so than low bone mass alone.