Incidence and predictors of regimen-modification from first-line antiretroviral therapy in Thailand: a cohort study

Multi-state Markov model for time to treatment changes for HIV/AIDS patients: a retrospective cohort national datasets, Ethiopia

BACKGROUND

Virological failure, drug resistance, toxicities, and other issues make it difficult for ART to maintain long-term sustainability. These issues would force a modification in the patient's treatment plan. The aim of this research was to determine whether first-line antiretroviral therapy is durable and to identify the factors that lead to patients on HAART changing their first highly active antiretroviral therapy regimen.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted from October, 2019-March, 2020 across all regional states including Addis Ababa and Dire Dawa administrative cities. The target population is from all health facilities that have been providing ART service for at least the past 6 months as of October 2019. Multi-stage clustered sampling method was used to select study facilities and participants. Simple random selected ART medical records of patients ever enrolled in ART treatment services. We adopted a multi-state survival modelling (msm) approach assuming each treatment regimen as state. We estimate the transition probability of patients to move from one regimen to another for time to treatment change/switch. We estimated the transition probability, prediction probabilities and length of stay and factor associated with treatment modification of patients to move from one regimen to another.

RESULTS

Any of the six therapy combinations (14.4%) altered their treatment at least once during the follow-up period for a variety of reasons. Of the patients, 4,834 (13.26%) changed their treatments just once, while 371 (1.1%) changed it more than once. For 38.6% of the time, a treatment change was undertaken due to toxicity, another infection or comorbidity, or another factor, followed by New drugs were then made accessible and other factors 18.3% of the time, a drug was out of supply; 2.6% of those instances involved pregnancy; and 43.1% involved something else. Highly active anti-retroviral therapy (HAART) combinations TDF + 3TC + NVP, d4T + 3TC + NVP, and TDF + 3TC + EFV were high to treatment alterations in all reasons of treatment modifications, with 29.74%, 26.52%, and 19.52% treatment changes, respectively. Early treatment modification or regime change is one of the treatment combinations that include the d4T medication that creates major concern. The likelihood of staying and moving at the the start of s = 0 and 30-month transitions increased, but the likelihood of staying were declined. For this cohort dataset, the presence of opportunistic disease, low body weight, baseline CD4 count, and baseline TB positive were risk factors for therapy adjustment.

CONCLUSION

Given that the current study took into account a national dataset, it provides a solid basis for ART drug status and management. The patient had a higher likelihood of adjusting their treatment at some point during the follow-up period due to drug toxicity, comorbidity, drug not being available, and other factors, according to the prediction probability once more. Baseline TB positivity, low CD4 count, opportunistic disease, and low body weight were risk factors for therapy adjustment in this cohort dataset.

Deficiency of mannose-binding lectin is a risk of Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia in a natural history cohort of people living with HIV/AIDS in Northern Thailand

Background

Mannose-binding lectin (MBL) plays a pivotal role in innate immunity; however, its impact on susceptibility to opportunistic infections (OIs) has not yet been examined in a natural history cohort of people living with HIV/AIDS.

Methods

We used archived samples to analyze the association between MBL expression types and risk of major OIs including Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (PCP), cryptococcosis, talaromycosis, toxoplasmosis, and tuberculosis in a prospective cohort in Northern Thailand conducted from 1 July 2000 to 15 October 2002 before the national antiretroviral treatment programme was launched.

Results

Of 632 patients, PCP was diagnosed in 96 (15.2%) patients, including 45 patients with new episodes during the follow-up period (1006.5 person-years). The total history of PCP was significantly associated with low MBL expression type: high/intermediate (81/587, 13.8%), low (10/33, 30.3%) and deficient (5/12, 41.7%) (p = 0.001), whereas the history of other OIs showed no relation with any MBL expression type. Kaplan–Meier analysis (n = 569; log-rank p = 0.011) and Cox’s proportional hazards model revealed that deficient genotype dramatically increased the risk of PCP, which is independent upon sex, age, CD4 count, HIV-1 viral load and hepatitis B and C status (adjusted hazard ratio 7.93, 95% confidence interval 2.19–28.67, p = 0.002).

Conclusions

Deficiency of MBL expression is a strong risk factor determining the incidence of PCP but not other major OIs.

Prevalence and Predictors of Virological Failure Among Adults Living with HIV in South Wollo Zone, Northeast Ethiopia: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Background

Highly active antiretroviral therapy has dramatically altered progression of HIV infection and significantly improved patients’ quality of life. However, drug resistance with consequent treatment failure raises the need for much more expensive and toxic second-line regimens. Thus, this study aimed at investigating the predictors of virologic failure among adults in Northeast Ethiopia.

Methods

A retrospective cohort study was carried out among adults who started first-line antiretroviral treatment from September 2005 to January 2018. Data were collected from patients’ medical records, entered and validated using EpiData version 3.1 and then exported to SPSS version 20 for analysis. Binary logistic regression was carried out; odds ratio with 95% CI was used to identify covariates associated with virologic failure. Statistical significance was considered at p-value <0.05.

Results

A total of 384 patients with mean age of 35.73±9.44 years were consecutively enrolled; of which, 213 (55.5%) were females, 255 (66.4%) had WHO clinical stage III/IV, and 130 (33.9%) had baseline CD4 count <100 cells/mm³. Mean baseline CD4 count was 179 cells/mm³ (range: 2–853 cells), and 158 (41.1%) participants were on AZT/3TC/NVP. Virological failure was diagnosed among 61 (15.9%) patients. The mean time to virologic failure after initiation of ART was 63.80 months (range: 17–150 months). After adjusting for other confounders, risk of experiencing virologic failure was significantly associated with being divorced (AOR 3.40, 95% CI 1.20–9.59), being naïve to ART (AOR 2.55, 95% CI 1.23–5.28), low (<100) baseline CD4 count (AOR 2.39, 95% CI 1.03–5.54) and nonadherence (AOR 6.73, 95% CI 3.29–13.76).

Conclusion

In this study, the prevalence of antiretroviral treatment failure was 15.9%. Being divorced, being naïve to antiretroviral therapy, low (<100 cells/mm³) baseline CD4 count and nonadherence were found to be significant predictors of virologic failure. ART programs should focus on early HIV diagnosis and ART initiation as well as enhanced adherence support.

Incidence and Predictors of Initial Antiretroviral Therapy Regimen Change Among HIV-Infected Adults Receiving Antiretroviral Therapy at Arba Minch General Hospital, Southern Ethiopia

Background

The effectiveness of the initial antiretroviral therapy regimen is the key to treatment success. However, regimen change affects this treatment success. Yet, evidence on the incidence and predictors of regimen change is scarce. Therefore, the aim of this study was to assess the incidence and predictors of initial antiretroviral therapy regimen change among HIV-infected adults receiving antiretroviral therapy.

Methods

An institutional-based retrospective cohort study was conducted. Data were collected from patients’ charts selected by simple random sampling. Data entered into EpiData version 4.43 and analyzed by STATA version 13. The life table was used to estimate cumulative survival. Kaplan–Meir curve and Log-rank test were used to compare the survival experience of explanatory variables. Cox proportional hazard model was used to identify predictors.

Results

Five hundred and eight patients were followed for 871.87 person-years of observation with the median follow-up period of 16.12 months. The incidence rate of initial ART regimen change was 11.36 (95% CI: 9.32–13.83) per 100 person-year and the median survival time is 54 months. Not disclosing HIV status (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) = 5.41, 95% CI = 2.38–12.27), co-medication with ART (AHR = 4.64, 95% CI = 1.43–15.10), occurrence of side effect on initial regimen (AHR = 7.32, 95% CI = 4.43–12.10), baseline CD4 count <200 cells/mm3 (AHR = 2.18, 95% CI = 1.37–3.47), ambulatory/bedridden baseline functional status (AHR = 3.55, 95% CI = 2.30–5.48) were significant predictors of initial regimen change.

Conclusion

The incidence rate of initial ART regimen change was found to be low. HIV disclosure status, co-medication with ART, the occurrence of side effects on an initial regimen, low baseline CD4 count, ambulatory and bedridden baseline functional status were found to be predictors.

Opportunistic infection at the start of antiretroviral therapy and baseline CD4+ count less than 50 cells/mm3 are associated with poor immunological recovery

Introduction There is a dearth of studies assessing the efficacy and immunological improvement in patients started on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in India. This study was undertaken to assess the 2-year treatment outcomes in HIV-positive patients initiated on ART in a tertiary-care hospital. Methods After approval from the Institutional Ethics Committee, adult HIV-positive patients from a tertiary-care hospital, initiated on ART between January 2013 and February 2015, were included in the study. Data on clinical and immunological parameters were obtained from medical case records over a period of 2 years after initiation of therapy. Intention-to-treat analysis was done using a descriptive approach, using SPSS version 15 (SPSS Inc. Released 2006. SPSS for Windows, Version 15.0. Chicago, SPSS Inc.). A logistic regression analysis was done to assess the predictors for poor outcomes. A p-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant. Results ART was initiated in 299 adult patients. At 1 and 2 years, the median (interquartile range) change in CD4+ cell count was 65 (39, 98) cells/mm3 and 160 (95, 245) cells/mm3. The change observed after 2 years of treatment initiation was statistically significant compared with that after 1 year. Three deaths occurred during the study period and 28 were lost to follow-up. Male sex, presence of at least one opportunistic infection at the start of therapy, and baseline CD4+ count <50 cells/mm3 were associated with poor immunological recovery. Conclusions With long-term treatment and regular follow-up, sustained clinical and immunological outcomes can be obtained in resource-limited settings.

Incidence and risk factors of first-line antiretroviral treatment failure among human immunodeficiency virus-infected children in Amhara regional state, Ethiopia: a retrospective follow-up study

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to assess the incidence and risk factors of treatment failure among HIV/AIDS-infected children who were on antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Amhara National Regional State, Ethiopia.

METHODS

A retrospective follow-up study was conducted from January 2010 to March 2016. A total of 824 children under the age of 15 who had started ART were included in the study. Data were collected from children's medical charts and ART registration logbook using a standard checklist. A Weibull regression model was used to identify the risk factors of treatment failure. Adjusted HRs (AHRs) with 95% CIs were used to declare statistical significance.

RESULTS

The mean (±SD) age of the children was 6.4±3.6 years, with a median (IQR) follow-up of 30.5 (14.6-51.4) months. Sixty-three children (7.7%, 95% CI 5.8 to 9.5) developed treatment failure, 17 (27.0%) of whom were immunological and 46 (73.0%) were clinical failures. The incidence rate of treatment failure was 22.1/10 000 person-months. The cumulative probability of failure was 0.4, with 28 562.5 person-month observations. Lack of disclosure (AHR=4. 4, 95% CI 1.8 to 11.3), opportunistic infections during initiation of ART (AHR=2.3, 95% CI 1.3 to 4.1) and prolonged follow-up (AHR=0.06, 95% CI 0.02 to 0.18) were the main predictors of treatment failure.

CONCLUSION

This study revealed that the incidence of treatment failure remains a significant public health concern in Ethiopia. Undisclosed HIV status to children, the presence of opportunistic infections during initiation of ART and prolonged follow-up were found to be the main predictors of treatment failure. Hence, early detection of treatment failure and further studies on viral monitoring need to be considered.

Effectiveness of second-line antiretroviral therapy: the impact of drug switches

Including antiretroviral drug switches as a measure of ART failure could be more suitable than conventional measures to evaluate health outcomes in "real-world" settings. This is part of a historical cohort of HIV-infected adults who initiated ART from 2001-2005, and were followed up for a maximum of five years in three HIV/AIDS centers in Belo Horizonte, Brazil. Follow-up information included data from 2001-2010. All patients switched from first-line ART were included. Second-line ART effectiveness was measured as the time-to-ART failure. Failure was defined simulating two scenarios: (1) Clinical, immunological and virological failure (scenario 1); and scenario 1 plus ART switches (scenario 2). Descriptive analysis, Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank test, and Cox proportional hazards model were performed. We identified 119 eligible patients; most had protease inhibitor (PI)-based regimens prescribed as second-line. The incidence of failure was different for the two scenarios (29.4% vs. 54.6% for scenario 1 and 2, respectively; p < 0.001). The main identifiers of failure were increase in viral load (31.1%) for scenario 1 and ART switches (42.8%) for scenario 2. Median duration on second-line ART was 36.8 vs. 19.8 months for scenario 1 and 2, respectively. In the Cox analysis of scenario 2, increased risk was found for patients given PI-based second-line regimens (HR = 2.26; 95% CI: 1.09-3.17). There is a high incidence of ART failure associated with PI-based regimens when ART switches are considered as an indicator of failure. This demonstrates the impact of ART switches in representing lack of ART effectiveness.

Modifying Antiretroviral Therapy in Virologically Suppressed HIV-1-Infected Patients

HIV-1-infected patients with suppressed plasma viral loads often require changes to their antiretroviral (ARV) therapy to manage drug toxicity and intolerance, to improve adherence, and to avoid drug interactions. In patients who have never experienced virologic failure while receiving ARV therapy and who have no evidence of drug resistance, switching to any of the acceptable US Department of Health and Human Services first-line therapies is expected to maintain virologic suppression. However, in virologically suppressed patients with a history of virologic failure or drug resistance, it can be more challenging to change therapy while still maintaining virologic suppression. In these patients, it may be difficult to know whether the discontinuation of one of the ARVs in a suppressive regimen constitutes the removal of a key regimen component that will not be adequately supplanted by one or more substituted ARVs. In this article, we review many of the clinical scenarios requiring ARV therapy modification in patients with stable virologic suppression and outline the strategies for modifying therapy while maintaining long-term virologic suppression.

Rate of initial highly active anti-retroviral therapy regimen change and its predictors among adult HIV patients at University of Gondar Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia: a retrospective follow up study

BACKGROUND

Regimen change is a major challenge for the sustainability of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) treatment program. In a resource limited setting where treatment options are limited, designing strategies to increase the durability of original regimen are essential. However, information's on rate of initial regimen change and its predictors is scarce in Ethiopia. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to assess the rate of initial highly active anti retroviral therapy (HAART) regimen change and its predictors among adult HIV patients at the University of Gondar Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia.

METHODS

An institutional based retrospective follow up study was conducted among 410 adult HIV patients started HAART from January 2010 to December 2014. Simple random sampling technique was used to select patient records using computer generated random number. Data were collected from patient chart using data extraction tool. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to estimate the median duration of regimen change. Life table was used to estimate the cumulative survival for initial regimen change and log rank test to compare regimen change survival curves between the different categories of explanatory variables. Bivariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard model were used to identify predictors of initial regimen change.

RESULTS

The overall incidence rate of initial regimen change was 10.11 (95 % CI 8.29, 12.6) per 100 person years (PY). Baseline WHO clinical stage III (AHR = 1.92, 95 % CI 1.12-3.35), occurrence of tuberculosis (TB) on the initial regimen (AHR = 8.33, 95 % CI 4.47-15.53), side effect on the initial regimen (AHR = 25.27, 95 % CI 15.12-42.00) and co-medication with ART (AHR = 2.5, 95 % CI 1.46-4.34) were significant predictors of initial regimen change.

CONCLUSIONS

The rate of initial HAART regimen change was found to be high. Having WHO clinical stage III, co-medication with ART, occurrence of tuberculosis and side effect on initial regimen were independent predictors of regimen change. Hence, close follow-up and screening of patient for side effect and tuberculosis is important.