Temporal validation of the CT-PIRP prognostic model for mortality and renal replacement therapy initiation in chronic kidney disease patients

Application of artificial intelligence for overall survival risk stratification in oropharyngeal carcinoma: A validation of ProgTOOL

BACKGROUND

In recent years, there has been a surge in machine learning-based models for diagnosis and prognostication of outcomes in oncology. However, there are concerns relating to the model's reproducibility and generalizability to a separate patient cohort (i.e., external validation).

OBJECTIVES

This study primarily provides a validation study for a recently introduced and publicly available machine learning (ML) web-based prognostic tool (ProgTOOL) for overall survival risk stratification of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Additionally, we reviewed the published studies that have utilized ML for outcome prognostication in OPSCC to examine how many of these models were externally validated, type of external validation, characteristics of the external dataset, and diagnostic performance characteristics on the internal validation (IV) and external validation (EV) datasets were extracted and compared.

METHODS

We used a total of 163 OPSCC patients obtained from the Helsinki University Hospital to externally validate the ProgTOOL for generalizability. In addition, PubMed, OvidMedline, Scopus, and Web of Science databases were systematically searched according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines.

RESULTS

The ProgTOOL produced a predictive performance of 86.5% balanced accuracy, Mathew's correlation coefficient of 0.78, Net Benefit (0.7) and Brier score (0.06) for overall survival stratification of OPSCC patients as either low-chance or high-chance. In addition, out of a total of 31 studies found to have used ML for the prognostication of outcomes in OPSCC, only seven (22.6%) reported a form of EV. Three studies (42.9%) each used either temporal EV or geographical EV while only one study (14.2%) used expert as a form of EV. Most of the studies reported a reduction in performance when externally validated.

CONCLUSION

The performance of the model in this validation study indicates that it may be generalized, therefore, bringing recommendations of the model for clinical evaluation closer to reality. However, the number of externally validated ML-based models for OPSCC is still relatively small. This significantly limits the transfer of these models for clinical evaluation and subsequently reduces the likelihood of the use of these models in daily clinical practice. As a gold standard, we recommend the use of geographical EV and validation studies to reveal biases and overfitting of these models. These recommendations are poised to facilitate the implementation of these models in clinical practice.

Comparison of Diagnostic Value for Chronic Kidney Disease between 640-Slice Computed Tomography Kidney Scan and Conventional Computed Tomography Scan

Objective

To explore the diagnostic value for chronic kidney disease (CKD) between 640-slice computed tomography (CT) kidney scan and conventional CT scan.

Methods

A total of 120 CKD patients who received kidney plain scan plus enhanced examination in the CT room of the Medical Imaging Department of our hospital from June 2019 to September 2019 were selected and randomly divided into the experimental group (n = 60) and the control group (n = 60). Patients in the control group received the conventional CT plain scan and enhanced scan, and for patients in the experimental group, CT plain scan was performed first, the range of 640-slice CT dynamic volume scan was determined, and after bolus injection of contrast agent, dynamic volume scan was performed for scanning in the cortical phase, myeloid phase, and secretory phase. The imaging quality and effective scanning dose were compared between the two modalities, and the relationship between CT values obtained from 640-slice CT scan and conventional CT scan and the renal impairment was analyzed.

Results

Compared with the control group, the image quality of 640-slice CT scan conducted in the experimental group was significantly better (P < 0.05); the effective radiation doses of the experimental group and the control group were, respectively, (1.89 ± 0.32) mSv and (3.26 ± 0.47) mSv, indicating that the dose was significantly lower in the experimental group than in the control group (t = 18.664, P < 0.001), and the correlation analysis showed that the relationship between the sum of CT values in the cortical phase of both kidneys and kidney injury in the experimental group was r = 0.835, P < 0.001.

Conclusion

Both 640-slice CT kidney scan and conventional CT scan can be used in the diagnosis of CKD. 640-slice CT has a lower radiation dose, better image quality, and higher application value.