A differential risk assessment and decision model for Transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma based on hepatic function

PD-1 Inhibitors Combined with Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitors with or without Hepatic Artery Infusion Chemotherapy for the First-Line Treatment of HBV-Related Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study

Purpose

Comparing the efficacy and safety of programmed cell death protein-1 (PD-1) inhibitors combined with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) with or without hepatic artery infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) in HBV-related advanced HCC and exploring prognostic predictors of the combined regimen.

Patients and Methods

A total of 194 patients diagnosed with HBV-related advanced HCC between 2020 and 2022 were included in the study, including 99 in the HAIC combined with PD-1 inhibitors plus TKIs (HPT group) and 95 in the PD-1 inhibitors plus TKIs (PT group). The efficacy was evaluated according to the tumor response rate and survival, and the safety was evaluated according to the adverse events.

Results

The HPT group showed higher overall response rate and disease control rate than the PT group. The median overall survival (OS) of the HPT group and the PT group were 18.10 months and 12.57 months, respectively, and the difference was statistically significant (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.519, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.374-0.722, P < 0.001). The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 9.20 months in the HPT group and 6.33 months in the PT group (HR = 0.632, 95% CI: 0.470-0.851, P = 0.002). In addition, albumin bilirubin (ALBI) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) are independent prognostic factors affecting HAIC combined with targeted immunotherapy and can be used as prognostic predictors. Almost all patients included in the study experienced treatment-related adverse events (TRAEs) of varying degrees of severity, with grade 1-2 adverse events predominating.

Conclusion

The HPT group had better OS and PFS than the PT group in patients with HBV-related advanced HCC. In addition, high ALBI and high SIRI were associated with poor prognosis in the HAIC combined group.

The extract of an herbal medicine Chebulae fructus inhibits hepatocellular carcinoma by suppressing the Apelin/APJ system

Introduction: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has been a highly common and pathological disease worldwide, while current therapeutic regimens have limitations. Chebulae Fructus, a common herbal medicine in Asia, has been documented to exert potential therapeutic effects on HCC in ancient medicine clinical practice. However, the molecular mechanism underlying its inhibitory effects on HCC requires further investigation. Methods: In this study, the anti-HCC effect of the aqueous extract of Chebulae Fructus (CFE) on human HCC and its underlying mechanism were evaluated. Assays including CCK8, EdU staining, crystal violet staining, cell clone formation, flow cytometry, wound healing, and transwell were used in vitro. The cell-derived xenograft (CDX) and patient-derived xenograft (PDX) models were used in vivo. Transcriptomics analysis, qRT-PCR, ELISA, IHC staining, and Western blotting were employed to determine the mechanism of action of CFE. Results: The results demonstrate that CFE effectively suppressed the proliferation and activity of HepG2 and PLC/PRF/5 HCC cells. CFE also induced apoptosis, and suppressed the migration and invasion abilities of these cells. Furthermore, CFE exhibited inhibitory effects on tumor growth in both H22 and PLC/PRF/5 mouse models, as well as in an HCC PDX model which is derived from patient tumor samples. Moreover, it was identified that CFE treatment specifically suppressed the Apelin/APJ system in HCC cells and tumor tissues. To investigate the role of the Apelin/APJ system in mediating the effects of CFE treatment, an APJ overexpressed cell model is established. Interestingly, it was found that the overexpression of APJ significantly diminished the inhibitory effects of CFE on HCC in vitro. Discussion: Collectively, this study provides compelling evidence that CFE exerts significant anti-HCC effects in cell and animal models. Moreover, our findings suggest that the Apelin/APJ system may play a vital role in the therapeutic effects of CFE against HCC.

A refined prediction model for survival in hepatocellular carcinoma patients treated with transarterial chemoembolization

Background/Aims

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is widely performed as a major treatment for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients, and there is a need to stratify patients for whom the most benefit from the treatment. This study aimed to develop a refined prediction model for overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing TACE as a first-line treatment in a large cohort and validate its performance.

Methods

A total of 2,632 patients with HCC of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage A or B who underwent TACE between 2008 and 2017 were enrolled. The patients were randomly assigned to a training cohort (n = 1,304) or a validation cohort (n = 1,328). Independent predictors of OS were used to develop a prediction model.

Results

The median age of patients in the entire cohort was 63 years, with the majority having hepatitis B virus (56.6%) and being classified as Child-Pugh class A (82.4%). We developed a new prognostic model, called the TACE-prognostic (TP) score, based on tumor burden (sum of the largest tumor diameter and tumor number), alpha-fetoprotein, and Albumin-Bilirubin grade. Patients were classified into five risk groups according to TP scores, with median survival significantly differentiated in both training and validation cohorts (P < 0.001). The new model consistently outperformed other currently available models in both the training and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

This newly developed TP scoring system has the potential to be a useful tool in identifying ideal candidates of TACE and predicting OS with favorable performance and discrimination. However, further external validation is needed to confirm its effectiveness.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio as an index of treatment response to trans-arterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma

Aim

We evaluated the response to Trans-arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients according to modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors (mRECIST) criteria. We determined the prognostic value of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR).

Background

TACE is the most commonly used method to treat patients with large, unresectable tumors or as bridge therapy in patients with HCC before liver transplantation.

Methods

In this cross-sectional study, patients with a diagnosis of HCC who were referred for TACE were studied. The response rate to TACE treatment was assessed based on dynamic MRI 28 days after treatment according to mRECIST criteria. The NLR value was calculated, and its prognostic value was evaluated to predict the response to treatment.

Results

Forty patients with HCC who underwent TACE were included. The response to TACE treatment included a complete response (CR) in 6 patients (15%), partial response (PR) in 16 patients (40%), and stable disease (SD) in 18 patients (45%). No progressive disease (PD) was found. Responders (CR and PR) were 22 patients (55%). The mean NLR after treatment in the non-responders was significantly higher than in the responders (4.2 vs. 2.4, P-value = 0.026). NLR values greater than 2.6 after treatment had a sensitivity of 70.6% and a specificity of 77.3% in diagnosing non-responders, with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.73 [95% confidence interval 0.58-0.89], P-value = 0.011.

Conclusion

Non-responders observed higher levels of NLR after treatment than responders. As a moderate prognostic factor, an NLR level of more than 2.6 after treatment could discriminate against non-responders.

ASARA, a prediction model based on Child-Pugh class in hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing transarterial chemoembolization

BACKGROUND

Due to the high heterogeneity among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), the prognosis of patients varies significantly. The decision-making on the initiation and/or repetition of TACE under different liver functions is a matter of concern in clinical practice. Thus, we aimed to develop a prediction model for TACE candidates using risk stratification based on varied liver function.

METHODS

A total of 222 unresectable HCC patients who underwent TACE as their only treatment were included in this study. Cox proportional hazards regression was performed to select the independent risk factors and establish a predictive model for the overall survival (OS). The model was validated in patients with different Child-Pugh class and compared to previous TACE scoring systems.

RESULTS

The five independent risk factors, including alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level, maximal tumor size, the increase of albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade score, tumor response, and the increase of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), were used to build a prognostic model (ASARA). In the training and validation cohorts, the OS of patients with ASARA score ≤ 2 was significantly higher than that of patients with ASARA score > 2 (P < 0.001, P = 0.006, respectively). The ASARA model and its modified version "AS(ARA)" can effectively distinguish the OS (P < 0.001, P = 0.004) between patients with Child-Pugh class A and B, and the C-index was 0.687 and 0.706, respectively. For repeated TACE, the ASARA model was superior to Assessment for Retreatment with TACE (ART) and ALBI grade, maximal tumor size, AFP, and tumor response (ASAR) among Child-Pugh class A patients. For the first TACE, the performance of AS(ARA) was better than that of modified hepatoma arterial-embolization prognostic (mHAP), mHAP3, and ASA(R) models among Child-Pugh class B patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The ASARA scoring system is valuable in the decision-making of TACE repetition for HCC patients, especially Child-Pugh class A patients. The modified AS(ARA) can be used to screen the ideal candidate for TACE initiation in Child-Pugh class B patients with poor liver function.

Recommendation of mHAP and ABCR scoring systems for the decision-making of the first and subsequent TACE session in HCC patients

BACKGROUND

Due to the high heterogeneity among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients receiving transarterial chemoembolization (TACE), the prognosis of patients varies significantly. Various predictive scoring systems have been developed to identify the patients who could benefit from TACE. However, there is no consensus on which is better. This study aims to validate and compare the predictive capabilities of scoring systems for first and subsequent TACE.

MATERIALS

A total of 524 HCC patients were treated with TACE, and 222 patients who met the inclusion criteria were included. Log-rank test was used to verify the predictive value of six scoring systems for the first TACE and four TACE retreatment scoring systems. Harrell's concordance (C)-index, likelihood ratio and integrated Brier score (IBS) were used to compare the predictive performance.

RESULTS

For the scoring systems of TACE, the overall survival (OS) of candidates screened by Hepatoma Arterial-embolization Prognostic (HAP), modified HAP (mHAP), mHAP3, alpha-fetoprotein, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer, Child-Pugh and Response (ABCR), albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI), tumor size, alpha-fetoprotein, first TACE response and pre-/post-TACE was significantly longer than that of the noncandidates (all P < 0.05), whereas the mHAP2 and assessment for retreatment with TACE did not distinguish the candidates from noncandidates (P = 0.206, 0.115, respectively). The predictive and calibration performances of mHAP and ABCR were the highest for the first TACE and TACE retreatment, respectively.

CONCLUSION

mHAP identifies the patients who could benefit from the first TACE, whereas ABCR distinguishes patients who could benefit from subsequent TACE sessions.

Development and validation of a pyradiomics signature to predict initial treatment response and prognosis during transarterial chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma

We aimed to develop and validate a pyradiomics model for preoperative prediction of initial treatment response to transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). To this end, computed tomography (CT) images were acquired from multi-centers. Numerous pyradiomics features were extracted and machine learning approach was used to build a model for predicting initial response of TACE treatment. The predictive accuracy, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were analyzed. Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was further used to explore signaling pathways in The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA)-HCC cohort. Overall, 24 of the 1,209 pyradiomic features were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) algorithm. The pyradiomics signature showed high predictive accuracy across the discovery set (AUC: 0.917, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 86.93-96.39), validation set 1 (AUC: 0.902, 95% CI: 84.81-95.59), and validation set 2 (AUC: 0.911; 95% CI: 83.26-98.98). Based on the classification of pyradiomics model, we found that a group with high values base on pyramidomics score showed good PFS and OS (both P<0.001) and was negatively correlated with glycolysis pathway. The proposed pyradiomics signature could accurately predict initial treatment response and prognosis, which may be helpful for clinicians to better screen patients who are likely to benefit from TACE.

Transient Cytolysis after Transarterial Chemoembolization in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a minimally invasive radiological procedure which consists of infusing a chemotherapeutic agent in the main arterial supplier of the liver tumor, usually emulsion-based doxorubicin, followed by the occlusion of the involved vessel with 100-500 micron-sized embolic particles [...].

The ALBI score: From liver function in patients with HCC to a general measure of liver function

The (albumin-bilirubin) ‘ALBI’ score is an index of ‘liver function’ that was recently developed to assess prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, irrespective of the degree of underlying liver fibrosis. Other measures of liver function, such as model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Pugh score, which were introduced for specific clinical scenarios, have seen their use extended to other areas of hepatology. In the case of ALBI, its application has been increasingly extended to chronic liver disease in general and in some instances to non-liver diseases where it has proven remarkably accurate in terms of prognosis. With respect to chronic liver disease, numerous publications have shown that ALBI is highly prognostic in patients with all types and stages of chronic liver disease. Outside of liver disease, ALBI has been reported as being of prognostic value in conditions ranging from chronic heart failure to brain tumours. Whilst in several of these reports, explanations for the relationship of liver function to a clinical condition have been proposed, it has to be acknowledged that the specificity of ALBI for liver function has not been clearly demonstrated. Nonetheless, and similar to the MELD and Child-Pugh scores, the lack of any mechanistic basis for ALBI’s clinical utility does not preclude it from being clinically useful in certain situations. Why albumin and bilirubin levels, or a combination thereof, are prognostic in so many different diseases should be studied in the future.

Identification of predictive factors for post-transarterial chemoembolization liver failure in hepatocellular carcinoma patients: A retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Post-transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) liver failure occurs frequently in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The identification of predictors for post-TACE liver failure is of great importance for clinical decision-making in this population.

AIM

To investigate the occurrence rate and predictive factors of post-TACE liver failure in this retrospective study to provide clues for decision-making regarding TACE procedures in HCC patients.

METHODS

The clinical records of HCC patients treated with TACE therapy were reviewed. Baseline clinical characteristics and laboratory parameters of these patients were extracted. Logistic models were used to identify candidates to predict post-TACE liver failure.

RESULTS

A total of 199 HCC patients were enrolled in this study, and 70 patients (35.2%) developed post-TACE liver failure. Univariate and multivariate logistic models indicated that microspheres plus gelatin embolization and main tumor size > 5 cm were risk predictors for post-TACE liver failure [odds ratio (OR): 4.4, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.2-16.3, P = 0.027; OR: 2.3, 95%CI: 1.05-5.3, P = 0.039, respectively]. Conversely, HCC patients who underwent tumor resection surgery before the TACE procedure had a lower risk for post-TACE liver failure (OR: 0.4, 95%CI: 0.2-0.95, P = 0.039).

CONCLUSION

Microspheres plus gelatin embolization and main tumor size might be risk factors for post-TACE liver failure in HCC patients, while prior tumor resection could be a favorable factor reducing the risk of post-TACE liver failure.

Decision-Making Scoring System for the Repetition of Conventional Transarterial Chemoembolization in Patients With Inoperable Hepatocellular Carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with conventional transarterial chemoembolization (cTACE) have heterogeneous tumor burden and liver function. Therefore, the selection of patients for repeated cTACE is challenging owing to different outcomes. This study aimed to establish a decision-making scoring system for repeated cTACE to guide further treatment.

METHODS

All patients with hepatocellular carcinoma who underwent cTACE between 2008 and 2019 were included and randomly assigned into training (n = 324) and validation (n = 162) cohorts. Tumor Size, number of Masses, Albumin-bilirubin score, baseline Alpha-fetoprotein level, and Response to initial cTACE session were selected to generate a "SMAART" score in the training cohort. Patients were stratified according to the SMAART score: low risk, 0-2; medium risk, 3-4; and high risk, 5-8. Prediction error curves based on the integrated Brier score and the Harrell C-index validated the SMAART scores and compared them with the Assessment for Retreatment with Transarterial chemoembolization (ART) score.

RESULTS

The low-risk group had the longest median overall survival of 39.0 months, followed by the medium-risk and high-risk groups of 21.2 months and 10.5 months, respectively, with significant differences (P < 0.001). The validation cohort had similar results. The high-risk group had 63.1% TACE refractory cases. The Harrell C-indexes were 0.562 and 0.665 and the integrated Brier scores were 0.176 and 0.154 for ART and SMAART scores, respectively.

DISCUSSION

The SMAART score can aid clinicians in selecting appropriate candidates for subsequent cTACE. A SMAART score of ≥5 after the first cTACE session identified patients with poor prognosis who may not benefit from additional cTACE sessions.

The importance of liver functional reserve in the non-surgical treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

The aim of any oncological treatment is not just to eliminate the tumour, but to maximise patient survival and quality of life. Since the liver has a vital function, any radical treatment that severely compromises liver function will result in a shortening of life expectancy, rather than a prolongation. Furthermore, even non-severe liver damage may prevent the delivery of further effective therapies. This is particularly important in the case of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), as it is associated with underlying cirrhosis in most patients - cirrhosis itself is not only a potentially lethal disease and independent prognostic factor in HCC, but it also makes liver function fragile. Accordingly, some information about liver dysfunction is included in most staging systems for HCC and can be used to guide the selection of treatments that the functional liver reserve can tolerate. Unfortunately, the prediction of functional damage to the liver in the case of antitumor treatments is very challenging and still suboptimal in any given patient. Moreover, while the assessment of functional reserve can now be used to avoid postoperative liver failure in the surgical setting, its use has been less well clarified for non-surgical therapies, which is of particular relevance today, as several lines of effective non-surgical treatments, including systemic therapies, have become available. The present article will a) critically review the implications of the assessment of liver functional reserve in patients with HCC, b) illustrate the available tools to assess liver functional reserve and c) discuss the role of functional assessment for each type of non-surgical therapy for HCC.

TIMP-1: A Circulating Biomarker for Pulmonary Hypertension Diagnosis Among Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Patients

Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a common complication of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and induces increased mortality among COPD patients. However, there are no blood biomarkers to identify PH in COPD. Here, we investigated whether circulating angiogenic factors and cytokines could serve as (a) biomarker (s) for COPD-PH patients. Using Angiogenesis and Cytokine proteome profile array assay, we measured the level of 36 cytokines and 55 angiogenesis-associated proteins in plasma from four COPD patients with PH (COPD-PH) and four COPD patients without PH (COPD), respectively, tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase 1 (TIMP-1) and thrombospondin 1(TSP-1) were significantly different between the two groups. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was applied to measured TIMP-1 and TSP-1 in a validation cohort (COPD-PH, n = 28; COPD, n = 18), and TIMP-1 was the only factor that was significantly different between COPD-PH and COPD patients (P < 0.01). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated that elevated TIMP-1 was an independent risk factor for COPD-PH [odds ratio (OR) = 1.258, 95% CI: 1.005–1.574, P < 0.05). Next, we explored the expression level and function of TIMP-1 in human pulmonary arterial smooth muscle cells (hPASMCs) exposed to cigarette smoking extract (CSE, a major etiological factor of COPD). In cultured hPASMCs, CSE treatment increased both TIMP-1 protein level and cell proliferation, and exogenous TIMP-1 (25 ng/mL) treatment inhibited CSE-induced hPASMCs proliferation. Overall, our results indicated that TIMP-1 elevation could serve as a circulating biomarker to diagnose PH among COPD patients, and TIMP-1 elevation in COPD-PH could be adaptive.

A Prognostic Prediction Model of Transarterial Radioembolization in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: SNAP-HCC

BACKGROUND

Prognosis prediction in patient with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after transarterial radioembolization (TARE) remains difficult. The aim of this study was to develop a prognostic model to aid in the decision to use TARE.

METHODS

A total of 174 patients in Korea who underwent TARE for HCC as the initial treatment were included. We developed a prediction model for overall survival (OS) based on independent risk factors for OS and validated the model by bootstrap method.

RESULTS

The median maximal size of the tumors was 8.2 cm, the median number of tumors was 2, and the median albumin level was 4.0 g/dL. Portal vein tumor thrombosis was found in 46.0% (Vp1-3 [39.7%] and Vp4 [6.3%]). Four independent risk factors associated with OS (maximal tumor size, tumor number, albumin, and portal vein tumor thrombosis) were used to develop the SNAP-HCC score. Bootstrap validation of the scoring index determined that the Harrell's c-index for OS was 0.756 (95% confidence interval: 0.729-0.783). Patients grouped based on their SNAP-HCC (scores 0-5) were well discriminated, with significant differences between the groups (all P < 0.05). Patients with SNAP-HCC < 3 showed significantly longer OS than patients with SNAP-HCC ≥ 3 (P < 0.001). The respective survival probabilities at years 1 and 3 were 0.81 and 0.73 in the low-risk (SNAP-HCC < 3) and 0.32 and 0.14 in the high-risk (SNAP-HCC ≥ 3) patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The SNAP-HCC scoring system predicted the outcome of HCC patients undergoing TARE as an initial treatment. This model could be helpful for initial planning the treatment of HCC patients.

Initial Incomplete Thermal Ablation Is Associated With a High Risk of Tumor Progression in Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose

To investigate whether incomplete thermal ablation is associated with a high risk of tumor progression in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and to compare the efficacy of repeated thermal ablation and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) for residual tumor after incomplete ablation.

Methods

This retrospective study included 284 patients with unresectable HCC who underwent thermal ablation from June 2014 to September 2020. The response of the initially attempted ablation was classified into complete (n=236) and incomplete (n=48). The progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were compared between patients with complete and incomplete responses, before and after a one-to-one propensity score-matching (PSM), and between patients in whom repeated ablation or TACE was performed after a first attempt incomplete ablation.

Results

After PSM of the 284 patients, 46 pairs of patients were matched. The PFS was significantly higher in the complete response group than in the incomplete response group (P<0.001). No difference in OS was noted between two groups (P=0.181). After a first attempt incomplete ablation, 29 and 19 patients underwent repeated ablation and TACE, respectively. There were no significant differences in PFS (P=0.424) and OS (P=0.178) between patients who underwent repeated ablation and TACE. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, incomplete response (P<0.001) and Child-Pugh class B (P=0.017) were independent risk factors for tumor progression, while higher AFP level (P=0.011) and Child-Pugh class B (P=0.026) were independent risk factors for poor OS.

Conclusion

Although patients with incomplete ablation are associated with tumor progression compared with those with complete ablation, their OS is not affected by incomplete ablation. When patients present with residual tumors, TACE may be an alternative if repeated ablation is infeasible.

ALBI grade: Evidence for an improved model for liver functional estimation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) usually arises in the context of a chronically damaged liver. Liver functional estimation is of paramount importance in clinical decision making. The Child-Pugh score (CPS) can be used to categorise patients into 3 classes (A to C) based on the severity of liver functional impairment according to 5 parameters (albumin, bilirubin, prothrombin time, presence of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy). The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade has emerged as an alternative, reproducible and objective measure of liver functional reserve in patients with HCC, defining worsening liver impairment across 3 grades (I to III). The ALBI score can identify different subgroups of patients with different prognoses across the diverse Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stages and CP classes, making it an appealing clinical predictor. In patients treated with potentially curative approaches (resection, transplantation, radiofrequency ablation, microwave ablation), ALBI grade has been shown to correlate with survival, tumour relapse, and post-hepatectomy liver failure. ALBI grade also predicts survival, toxicity and post-procedural liver failure in patients treated with transarterial chemoembolisation, radioembolisation, external beam radiotherapy as well as multi-kinase inhibitors (sorafenib, lenvatinib, cabozantinib, regorafenib) and immune checkpoint inhibitor therapy. In this review, we summarise the body of evidence surrounding the role of ALBI grade as a biomarker capable of optimising patient selection and therapeutic sequencing in HCC.

Chemoembolization for Single Large Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Preserved Liver Function: Analysis of Factors Predicting Clinical Outcomes in a 302 Patient Cohort

The purpose of this study was to define the role of transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) in patients with a single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and define the patient groups benefiting from TACE. Treatment-naïve patients with preserved liver function who received TACE as the first-line treatment for single large (>5 cm) HCC without macrovascular invasion and extrahepatic metastasis between 2007 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Overall survival, progression-free survival, radiologic tumor response, complications, and predictors of survival were analyzed using multivariate analysis, and then a pretreatment risk-prediction model was created using the four predictive factors of tumor size, tumor type, ALBI grade, and ECOG performance status. Patients with scores of 0 (n = 54), 1-2 (n = 170), and 3-6 (n = 78) according to the model were classified as low-, intermediate-, and high-risk, respectively. The corresponding median OS values were 141, 55, and 28 months, respectively. The percentage of major complications increased as tumor size increased (4-21%). Asymptomatic, nodular HCC patients with a tumor size of 5-7 cm and ALBI grade 1 benefited the most from TACE. By contrast, the value of TACE in the treatment of single huge HCC (>10 cm) with high complication rates remains unclear.

Integrated Liver Inflammatory Score Predicts the Therapeutic Outcome of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Transarterial Chemoembolization

PURPOSE

To evaluate the performance of the integrated liver inflammatory score (ILIS) in predicting survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who received transarterial chemoembolization, and to compare ILIS to other prognostic scoring systems and inflammatory indices.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 192 patients with unresectable HCC who underwent transarterial chemoembolization from 3 medical centers. The potential risk factors of the patients' overall survival (OS) were determined by multivariate Cox regression analysis. The predictive performances of ILIS in 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year survival were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic curves. The discriminatory power in the OS of ILIS and the other known scoring systems or inflammatory indices was determined by C-statistic.

RESULTS

Multivariate regression analysis showed that high ILIS (P = .047), low lymphocyte count (P = .034), beyond up-to-seven criteria (P = .021), and nonresponse to the first transarterial chemoembolization session (P = .039) were risk factors for poor prognosis after transarterial chemoembolization. The predictive performances of ILIS for 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, and 5-year survival were good, with area under the curve values of 0.627, 0.631, 0.621, 0.577, and 0.681, respectively. ILIS outperformed other standard scoring systems and inflammatory indices in predicting OS, with a C-statistic of 0.625.

CONCLUSIONS

ILIS is a powerful prognostic index for predicting the survival of patients with HCC after transarterial chemoembolization, which suggests that ILIS before treatment should be considered during the patient evaluation process.

Low applicability of the ''six-and-twelve score" in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with drug-eluting beads transarterial chemoembolization

OBJECTIVE

The effectiveness of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) depends on the selection of suitable patients. The ''Six-and-twelve score" distinguishes three groups of ideal patients with different overall survival based on the sum of number and size of tumors. This may impact clinical practice and trials design. The aim of the study is to assess the reproducibility and the prognostic value of the model in western patients treated with Drug-Eluting Beads (DEB)-TACE.

METHODS

observational, retrospective, unicentric study developed in consecutive compensated patients treated with DEB-TACE from October/2008 to October/2017. Exclusion criteria were Child-Pugh ≥ 8 and DEB-TACE used as a bridge to liver transplantation.

RESULTS

225 HCC consecutive patients were included, BCLC-0/A n=131 (single nodules > 5, n=29), BCLC-B n=94. The median overall survival (OS) was 27 months (95% CI 23.8-30.2). OS was different between BCLC-0/A vs B: 30 vs 24 months (p= 0.03), Child-Pugh A5 vs A6-B7: 30 vs 27 months (p= 0.003). ''Six-and-twelve score" groups discriminated OS: group 1, n=123, 32 months (95% CI 27.5-63.5); group 2, n=101, 24 months (95% CI 19.6-28.4) and group 3, n=1, 27 months (p=0.024). When comparing the three scores, the ''Six-and-twelve score" showed the best discrimination power: C-index 0.603, Akaike's information criterion (AIC) 1.642, likelihood ratio test (LRT) 16.21.

CONCLUSION

The ''Six-and-twelve score" is a prognostic tool for patients with HCC treated with DEB-TACE. However, few patients were included in the third group (score >12) and no differences were observed with BCLC, therefore its applicability is limited.

Current updates in machine learning in the prediction of therapeutic outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma: what should we know?

With the development of machine learning (ML) algorithms, a growing number of predictive models have been established for predicting the therapeutic outcome of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after various treatment modalities. By using the different combinations of clinical and radiological variables, ML algorithms can simulate human learning to detect hidden patterns within the data and play a critical role in artificial intelligence techniques. Compared to traditional statistical methods, ML methods have greater predictive effects. ML algorithms are widely applied in nearly all steps of model establishment, such as imaging feature extraction, predictive factor classification, and model development. Therefore, this review presents the literature pertaining to ML algorithms and aims to summarize the strengths and limitations of ML, as well as its potential value in prognostic prediction, after various treatment modalities for HCC.