Pretreatment peripheral neutrophils, lymphocytes and monocytes predict long-term survival in hepatocellular carcinoma

High peripheral neutrophil and monocyte count distinguishes renal cell carcinoma from renal angiomyolipoma and predicts poor prognosis of renal cell carcinoma

Background

The presence of peripheral inflammatory cells has been linked to the prognosis of cancer. This study aims to investigate the distinct roles of absolute neutrophil count (ANC) and absolute monocyte count (AMC) in differentiating renal cell carcinoma (RCC) from renal angiomyolipoma (RAML), as well as their prognostic significance in RCC.

Methods

We conducted a comprehensive analysis of peripheral immune cell data, clinicopathological data, and tumor characteristics in patients diagnosed with RCC or RAML from January 2015 to December 2021. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, as well as univariate and multivariate analyses, were employed to assess the diagnostic utility of AMC and ANC in differentiating between RCC and RAML. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis was used to study the survival of RCC patients with different AMC and ANC. The prognostic value of AMC and ANC in RCC was investigated using COX univariate and multivariate analysis. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases were used for bioinformatic correlation analysis.

Results

A total of 1120 eligible patients were included in the study. The mean preoperative AMC and ANC in patients with RCC were found to be significantly higher compared to those in patients with RAML (P = 0.001 and P < 0.001, respectively). High preoperative AMC and ANC significantly correlated with smoking history, tumor length, gross hematuria, and high T Stage, N stage, and pathological grade. In multivariate analyses, an ANC> 3.205 *10^9/L was identified to be independently associated with the presence of RCC (HR = 1.618, P = 0.008). High AMC and ANC were significantly associated with reduced OS and PFS (P < 0.05), and ANC may be an independent prognostic factor. Public database analysis showed that signature genes of tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) and tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs) were highly expressed in ccRCC.

Conclusions

Elevated preoperative ANC and AMC can distinguish RCC from RAML and predict poor prognosis in patients with RCC. Furthermore, the signature genes of TAMs and TANs exhibit high expression levels in clear cell RCC.

A Novel Nomogram to Predict Prognosis of Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy Plus Anti-PD1

Purpose

The combination of radiotherapy and monoclonal antibody against programmed cell death 1 (anti-PD1) showed preliminary efficacy in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study aimed to identify the prognostic factors and construct a nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with advanced HCC after treatment with intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) plus anti-PD1.

Patients and Methods

The OS and progression-free survival (PFS) of 102 patients with BCLC stage C HCC was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Potential independent prognostic factors were determined using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. A nomogram was established to predict prognosis whose accuracy and reliability was verified by a calibration curve and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

Results

The median PFS and OS rates of the 102 patients with advanced HCC were 9.9 months and 14.3 months, respectively. Ninety-three patients were evaluated for efficacy, including five (5.38%) with complete response and 48 (51.61%) with partial response, with an overall response rate of 56.99%. Grade 3 and 4 adverse reactions (AEs) were observed in 32.35% of patients; no grade 5 AEs occurred. Multivariate Cox analysis revealed albumin and alpha-fetoprotein levels, neutrophil counts 3-4 weeks after IMRT initiation, and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio 3-4 weeks after IMRT initiation to be independent prognostic factors. The nomogram model constructed using these factors had good consistency and accuracy with 1-3 years AUROC of 78.7, 78.6, and 93.5, respectively.

Conclusion

IMRT plus anti-PD1 showed promising efficacy and controllable adverse reactions in treating advanced HCC. The nomogram model demonstrated good reliability and clinical applicability.

Utility of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-lymphocyte ratio in predicting acute-on-chronic liver failure survival

This study explored the predictive value of the monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) and platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). A retrospective analysis was carried out on 40 patients with ACLF from January 2018 and August 2019 in our hospital. The patient's clinical information during hospitalization was collected, and their survivals were followed for 3 months. MLR and PLR values of patients were compared, and the correlation between liver function indicators and prognosis was analyzed. We observed that MLR levels in the survival and death groups were 0.521 (0.311, 0.827) and 0.741 (0.442, 1.121), respectively. MLR levels were markedly enhanced in the death group compared to the survival group (P = 0.021). The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) exhibited that the area under the ROC curve and 95% confidence interval for the survival group was 0.641 (0.528-0.757). Survival analysis demonstrated that the 3-month survival of the high MLR group was markedly lower than that of the low MLR group (P = 0.001). Multivariate regression exposed that MLR and PLR were independent prognostic factors for ACLF. MLR and PLR could be prospective prognosticative markers of ACLF.

Novel Nomograms Based on Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Predict Prognosis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients After Hepatectomy

Background

The prediction of prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is of great significance in improving disease outcome and optimizing clinical management, while reliable prognostic indicators are lacking. This study was conducted to develop readily-to-use nomograms for prognosis prediction of HCC after hepatectomy.

Materials and Methods

Data of eligible patients were collected and analyzed retrospectively. Independent prognostic factors were identified by Cox regression, and nomograms for the prediction of disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were developed. The performance of the nomograms was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, C-indexes and calibration curves and was verified by the validation cohort. The predictive value of the nomograms was also compared with the 8th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) and the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging systems.

Results

In total, 599 patients were enrolled in the analysis: 420 in the training cohort and 179 in the validation cohort. The optimal cut-off value of Gamma-Glutamyl Transpeptidase-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (GLR) was 19.5. GLR contributed significantly to the nomograms with good predictive power. In ROC analyses, the areas under curve (AUCs) of the nomograms for 1-, 3- and 5-year DFS and OS prediction were 0.758, 0.756, 0.734 and 0.810, 0.799, 0.758, respectively. The C-indexes of the DFS nomogram were 0.697 (95% CI 0.665-0.729) in the training cohort and 0.710 (95% CI 0.664-0.756) in the validation cohort. For OS prediction, the C-indexes were 0.741 (95% CI 0.704-0.778) and 0.758 (95% CI 0.705-0.811) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves demonstrated satisfactory agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations. The nomograms demonstrated superior predictive performance to the TNM and the BCLC staging systems.

Conclusion

Our novel nomograms showed adequate performance in the prediction of HCC prognosis after hepatectomy, which may facilitate the risk stratification and individualized management of HCC patients.

Preoperative systemic inflammation response index is an independent prognostic marker for BCG immunotherapy in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer

BACKGROUND

The Systemic Inflammatory Response Index (SIRI) is a novel prognostic biomarker based on peripheral blood counts of neutrophils, monocytes, and lymphocytes. Recent evidence suggests that it is associated with poor prognosis in various cancers. However, the predictive value of the SIRI in non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) patients treated with intravesical Bacillus Calmette-Guerin (BCG) immunotherapy remains elusive. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the potential of SIRI as a prognostic factor in these patients.

METHODS

A total of 540 patients with NMIBC who underwent BCG immunotherapy following transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TURBT) were enrolled in this study. Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the Youden index, patients were divided into high and low SIRI groups based on the cutoff values. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of BCG non-response. Thereafter, propensity score matching (PSM) was used to eliminate bias due to confounding factors between the low and high SIRI groups. Finally, the Kaplan-Meier method was used to compare recurrence-free survival (RFS) and progression-free survival (PFS) between the two groups.

RESULTS

Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that high SIRI (p = 0.001), high MLR (p = 0.015), and high tumor pathological T stage (p = 0.015) were significantly correlated with non-response to BCG therapy. In addition, both RFS and PFS were shorter in the high SIRI group than in the other group before and after PSM (both p < 0.05). Collectively, our results indicate that the combination of tumor pathological T staging and the SIRI can enhance the predictive power of BCG response.

CONCLUSION

Pretreatment peripheral blood SIRI can be employed to predict the response to BCG immunotherapy and the prognosis of NMIBC patients. Taken together, the combination of T stage and SIRI demonstrated robust performance in predicting the response to BCG immunotherapy in NMIBC patients.

Peripheral Mononuclear Cells Surface Markers Evaluation in Different Stages of Hepatocellular Carcinoma; in a Trial for Early and Accurate Diagnosis in Patients with Post-Hepatitis Liver Cirrhosis and Unremarkable Raised AFP

Introduction

HCC is frequently diagnosed late, when only palliative treatment is available. So, we try to use different immunological markers to identify early HCC in patients with unremarkable raised AFP.

Methods

This study was conducted on 112 participants divided into two equal groups: Group I, 56 patients with liver cirrhosis and different stages of HCC; Group II, 56 patients with liver cirrhosis. The diagnosis of HCC was based on AASLD guidelines. TNM and BCLC classification systems are used for staging of HCC.

Results

A significant reduction in the median percentage of lymphocyte subset (CD3⁺, CD4⁺, CD8⁺, CD19⁺) and NK cell percentage (CD56⁺) has been detected in HCC patients (all P < 0.001). In the HCC group the median monocyte subpopulations CD14⁺ CD16^- Classical, CD14⁺⁺ CD16⁺ Intermediate, and CD14^-+ CD16⁺⁺ Non-Classical were 11.7, 4.0, and 3.5, respectively, with marked reduction compared with liver cirrhosis group (all P < 0.001). Patients with advanced stages (BCLC C and D) were more likely to have significantly higher median CD33⁺ than patients with early stages (BCLC A and B) (P = 0.05); also, the median levels of HLA DR⁺ lymphocytes % in the HCC case group were 21.8 in patients with advanced disease (BCLC C and D) and 13.1 in patients with early stages of the disease (P = 0.04). Patients with late stage (TNM III) were more likely to have significantly higher median CD14⁺ CD16^- Classical monocyte subset, CD36⁺ HLA DR⁺, and CD36⁺ CD16^- than patients with early stages (TNM I and II).

Conclusion

Patients with HCC with unremarkable raised AFP showed marked reduction in lymphocytes, natural killer cells, and all monocyte subpopulations. In addition, patients with advanced HCC showed increased CD33⁺ and HLA DR⁺ lymphocytes %, CD14⁺ CD16^- Classical monocyte subset, CD36⁺ HLA DR⁺, and CD36⁺ CD16^- compared with patients with early stages of HCC.

Prognostic value of a nomogram based on peripheral blood immune parameters in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma after intensity-modulated radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

For patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC), intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) has become one of the options for clinical local treatment. Immune parameters, including platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and systemic immune inflammatory (SII), predict survival in various cancers. This study aimed to determine whether peripheral immune parameters can predict survival in patients with uHCC undergoing IMRT and establish a clinically useful prognostic nomogram for survival prediction.

METHODS

The clinical data of 309 HCC patients were retrospectively analyzed and randomly divided into training (n = 216) and validation (n = 93) cohorts. PLR, NLR and SII were collected before and after IMRT. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were performed to identify independent prognostic factors affecting survival, which were used to generate a nomogram.

RESULTS

The median survival was 16.3 months, and significant increases in PLR, NLR, and SII were observed after IMRT (P < 0.001). High levels of immune parameters were associated with poor prognosis (P < 0.001); enlarged spleen, Barcelona clinic liver cancer stage (B and C), post-SII, and delta-NLR were independent risk factors for survival and were included in the nomogram, which accurately predicted 3- and 5-year survival. The nomogram was well verified in the validation cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of immune parameters are associated with poor prognosis in uHCC patients receiving IMRT. Our nomogram accurately predicts the survival of patients with uHCC receiving IMRT.

The causal relationship between white blood cell counts and hepatocellular carcinoma: a Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Most of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) arises on the background of chronic inflammation. The presence of infiltrating inflammatory cells is associated with tumour initiation, progression and clinical response to treatment. The influence of white blood cell (WBC) subtype counts on HCC progression remains unclear.

METHODS

In this study, we performed a Mendelian randomization (MR) study with the validation of two datasets. The summary data for WBC counts were extracted from a recent large GWAS of individuals of European ancestry. The GWAS data related to HCC were obtained from the UK Biobank (UKB). Univariable and multivariable MR analyses were used to identify risk factors genetically associated with HCC risks.

RESULTS

In the discovery dataset, multivariable MR analysis revealed that sum basophil neutrophil counts had an independent causal effect on the occurrence of HCC, with the sum basophil neutrophil counts as follows: (OR = 0.437, P = 0.003, CI 0.252-0.757). Similarly, in the validation dataset, total basophil neutrophil counts were also been identified as an independent risk factor for HCC. The sum basophil neutrophil counts were as follows: (OR = 0.574, P = 0.021, CI 0.358-0.920).

CONCLUSION

In the European population, genetically predicted lower total basophil neutrophil counts might be an independent risk factor for HCC.

Genetic Analysis of Platelet-Related Genes in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Reveals a Novel Prognostic Signature and Determines PRKCD as the Potential Molecular Bridge

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) belongs to a representative lethality gastrointestinal malignancy, and comprehensive management of HCC remains intractable at present on account of its invasive biological feature that is easy to relapse and early metastasis. The intimate connection between platelets and tumor progression has been widely reported, and platelet-related indicators are also used in the clinical practice of carcinoma. This work is designed to investigate the significance of platelet-related genes in the prognostic prediction of patients with HCC and their potential role in the cross-talk between HCC cells and platelets in the tumor microenvironment.

METHODS

By integrating the RNA-seq data and clinicopathological information of HCC patients, we extracted prognosis-associated platelet-related genes based on the univariate cox analysis and further established a relevant prognostic signature via the lasso cox regression analysis, and two independent HCC cohorts were used as external validation. Multiple bioinformatics methods were utilized to explore the underlying functional discrepancy between different risk groups classified by the risk model. And in vitro proliferation, invasion, and migration assays were conducted to investigate the effect of platelet stimulation on HCC cells' viability and motility, and flow cytometric analysis was exerted to demonstrate the influence of HCC cells on platelet activation.

RESULTS

A novel platelet-related risk model was developed and patients both in the training and testing cohorts were divided into distinct risk subgroups according to the median risk score. It was observed that the high-risk status was closely associated with poor prognosis and worse clinicopathological parameters. Meanwhile, an obvious discrepancy in the constitution of the immune microenvironment also indicated that distinct immune status might be a potential determinant affecting prognosis as well as immunotherapy reactiveness. Moreover, in vitro experiments demonstrated that PRKCD could act as a molecular bridge between tumor cells and platelets, which could either participate in regulating tumor malignant phenotype or mediating platelet activation.

CONCLUSIONS

In brief, this work reveals a novel platelet-related risk signature for prognostic evaluation of HCC patients and confirms that PRKCD is a key messenger in HCC cell-platelet interaction and plays a crucial role in mediating platelet-induced tumor progression.

The Predictive Role of Maternal Biological Markers and Inflammatory Scores NLR, PLR, MLR, SII, and SIRI for the Risk of Preterm Delivery

In many countries, preterm birth, defined as birth before 37 completed weeks of gestation, is the primary cause of infant death and morbidity. An increasing body of research suggests that inflammation (both clinical and subclinical) plays a significant role in inducing preterm labor or developing pregnancy problems that lead to premature birth. Consequently, the purpose of this research was to determine the predictive value of the Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), derived Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (dNLR), Monocytes-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (MLR), Platelets-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), for premature delivery. A retrospective study analyzed a total of 243 eligible pregnancies that resulted in a preterm birth during 2020 and 2021. A control group without a history of preterm birth was matched by age and trimester of laboratory analysis at a 1:1 ratio. Although the number of comorbidities was similar among study groups, the body-mass index estimated for the week of gestation was significantly higher among the patients from the prematurity group, as well as the prevalence of urinary tract infections and smoking. Laboratory data showed that patients with a preterm birth had significantly higher white blood cell count and monocytes, but significantly lower lymphocytes, platelets, and hemoglobin. The NLR, dNLR, PLR, and MLR scores showed to be significantly higher among patients from the prematurity group, but SII and SIRI were not significantly different between the study groups. It was observed that the AUC values of NLR, dNLR, PLR, and MLR were higher than 0.600, respectively NLR had the highest value among the tested scores (AUC = 0.694) and the highest sensitivity in this study (71%). The highest sensibility was achieved by dNLR, with 70%, and an AUC value of 0.655 (p-value = 0.022). PLR had the second-highest AUC value (0.682) and the best score in terms of sensitivity (70%) and sensibility (69%) (p-value = 0.015). Lastly, MLR had the lowest significant AUC score (0.607) and lowest sensitivity/sensibility. The significant cut-off values for the inflammatory scores were 9.0 for NLR, 9.8 for dNLR, 250 for PLR, and 4.07 for MLR. After evaluating the importance of these inflammatory scores, further clinical applications should be conducted to confirm the results and improve therapy and care to reduce the burden of premature deliveries.

Inflammation-related parameter serve as prognostic biomarker in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Objective

The aim of this study was to explore the predictive role of inflammation-related parameters in prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

Methods

A total of 370 ESCC patients subjected to curative surgery were enrolled. All patients had complete medical records and did not receive preoperative adjuvant therapy. Preoperative systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) was calculated as platelet count × neutrophil count/lymphocyte count, prognostic nutrition index (PNI) as albumin concentration (g/L) + 5 × total lymphocyte count (10⁹/L), and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) as neutrophil count × monocyte count/lymphocyte count. The optimal cut‐off values of preoperative SII, neutrophil‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet‐to‐lymphocyte ratio (PLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), PNI, and SIRI were determined via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and their correlations with clinical parameters and survival analyzed.

Results

NLR was associated with gender (P = 0.022), and PLR (P = 0.037), PNI (P = 0.017) was associated with survival status, LMR was related with gender (P = 0.034) and survival status (P = 0.01), SIRI was correlated with gender (P = 0.000), smoking history (P = 0.000) and drinking history (P = 0.004). Survival analysis indicated that high PLR (P = 0.042), low LMR (P = 0.001), and low PNI (P = 0.007) were predictive of poor prognosis of ESCC. Stratified analysis revealed the prognostic predictor roles of distinct markers in different ESCC subgroups. SII and SIRI were predominantly correlated with the clinical outcome in the lymphatic metastasis subgroup. Further univariate analysis disclosed that T stage, smoking history, lymphatic metastasis, TNM staging, PLR, LMR, and PNI potentially serve as influencing factors(P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis identified T stage (HR = 1.781, P = 0.002), TNM staging (HR = 8.617, P = 0.001) and LMR (HR = 0.504, P = 0.001) as independent predictors for outcomes of ESCC.

Conclusions

Low LMR could serve as an independent marker of poor prognosis in patients with ESCC. Inflammation-related markers have distinct predictive roles in ESCC subgroups with different features.

The clinicopathological and prognostic factors of hepatocellular carcinoma: a 10-year tertiary center experience in Egypt

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains a major health problem despite the emergence of several preventive and therapeutic modalities. HCC has heterogeneous and wide morpho-molecular patterns, resulting in unique clinical and prognostic criteria. Therefore, we aimed to study the clinical and pathological criteria of HCC to update the morpho-molecular classifications and provide a guide to the diagnosis of this disease.

METHODS

Five hundred thirty pathologically analyzed HCC cases were included in this study. The clinical and survival data of these cases were collected.

RESULTS

Hepatitis C virus is still the dominant cause of HCC in Egypt. Post-direct-acting antiviral agent HCC showed an aggressive course compared to interferon-related HCC. Old age, male gender, elevated alpha-fetoprotein level, tumor size, and background liver were important prognostic parameters. Special HCC variants have characteristic clinical, laboratory, radiological, prognostic, and survival data. Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes rather than neutrophil-rich HCC have an excellent prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

HCC is a heterogenous tumor with diverse clinical, pathological, and prognostic parameters. Incorporating the clinicopathological profile per specific subtype is essential in the treatment decision of patients with HCC.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This was a retrospective study that included 530 HCC cases eligible for analysis. The cases were obtained from the archives of the Pathology Department, during the period between January 2010 and December 2019. Clinical and survival data were collected from the patients' medical records after approval by the institutional review board (IRB No. 246/2021) of Liver National Institute, Menoufia University. The research followed the guidelines outlined in the Declaration of Helsinki and registered on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05047146).

Comparative study on fecal flora and blood biochemical indexes in normal and diarrhea British Shorthair cats

In recent years, 16S ribosomal DNA (16S rDNA) sequencing has been widely developed. In the present study, we investigated the changes of fecal flora analyzed by sequencing of 16S rDNA and the alteration of blood biochemical indexes in cats during diarrhea. Seven normal fecal samples and seven fecal samples of British Shorthair cats with bacterial diarrhea about 6 months old were collected. The 16S rDNA V3 region of the bacteria was amplified for high-throughput sequencing. Finally, species analysis at various levels was performed. At the same time, samples of blood were taken to examine the changes of biochemical indexes in cats with diarrhea. The abundance and diversity of microflora in the healthy group were greater than those in the diarrhea group. The normal floras in the feces of healthy cats were Firmicutes, Actinobacteria, Bacteroidetes and Proteobacteria. The content of Proteobacteria and Firmicutes varied greatly in diarrheal cats. In addition, the number of white blood cells, lymphocytes, neutrophils, and globulin were increased in cats with diarrhea, whereas albumin level was decreased in diarrheal cats. In conclusion, the present study suggests 16SrDNA technology showed that the intestinal Proteus was abundant, and the content of Firmicutes was scarce in cats with diarrhea. Escherichia-Shigella was the main pathogens in this sample. Rapid blood biochemical tests may help clinicians to assess the severity and prognosis of cats with diarrhea.

Perioperative Serum Scoring Systems Predict Early Recurrence and Poor Prognosis of Resectable Pancreatic Cancer

Objective

Some patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) are prone to rapid recurrence or metastasis after radical resection. However, evaluation methods for effectively identifying these patients are lacking. In this study, we established perioperative serum scoring systems to screen patients with early recurrence and poor prognosis.

Methods

We systematically analysed 44 perioperative serum parameters, including systemic inflammatory parameters, coagulation system parameters, tumor markers, and 18 clinicopathological characteristics of 218 patients with radical resection in our centre. Univariate Cox regression and LASSO regression models were used to screen variables. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare relapse-free survival and overall survival. Multivariate Cox regression was used to evaluate the independent risk variables. AUC and C-index were used to reveal the effectiveness of the models. In addition, the effectiveness was also verified in an independent cohort of 109 patients.

Results

Preoperative systemic immune coagulation cascade (SICC) (including increased neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, decreased lymphocyte to monocyte ratio, increased platelet and fibrinogen) and increased postoperative tumor markers (TMs) (CA199, CEA and CA242) were independent risk factors for early recurrence of resectable pancreatic cancer. On this basis, we established the preoperative SICC score and postoperative TMs score models. The patients with higher preoperative SICC or postoperative TMs score were more likely to have early relapse and worse prognosis. The nomogram based on preoperative SICC, postoperative TMs, CACI, smoking index, vascular cancer embolus and adjuvant chemotherapy can effectively evaluate the recurrence rate (AUC_{1 year}: 0.763, AUC_{2 year}: 0.679, AUC_{3 year}: 0.657) and overall survival rate (AUC_{1 year}: 0.770, AUC_{3 year}: 0.804, AUC_{5 year}: 0.763).

Conclusion

Preoperative SICC and postoperative TMs can help identify resectable PDAC patients with early recurrence and poor prognosis.

The Prognostic Values of Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio at Baseline in Predicting the In-hospital Mortality in Black African Patients with Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Palliative Treatment: A Comparative Cohort Study

Background

The prognostic values of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting the in-hospital mortality of Black African patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in palliative treatment is unknown.

Aim

To determine the prognostic value of NLR and PLR compared with that of Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores and the Barcelona clinic liver cancer staging system (BCLC).

Methods

The cutoffs, accuracies and association with the mortality of these prognostic scores were determined using a time-dependent area under receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC), the log rank test and Cox proportional hazards ratio.

Results

A total of 104 patients with advanced HCC (median age=49.5 years, males=58.7%) were enrolled. All were hospitalized for an enlarged liver mass of at least 15.4 cm in size in the right thoracic quadrant. Overall, 46 (44.2%) patients died in hospital during follow-up. Patients with NLR >2.5 (log rank test=7.11, p=0.01) or PLR >92 (log rank test=5.63, p=0.02) had poor survival. Factors associated with the in-hospital mortality were the MELD score (p=0.01), NLR (p=0.03) and hemoglobin level (p=0.02). NLR exhibits better and stable accuracy in predicting the in hospital mortality at time points of 30 (AUC=0.618), 60 (AUC=0.680) and 90 (AUC=0.613) days of follow-up, compared with CTP, MELD scores, BCLC and PLR. However, PLR displayed an enhanced accuracy over 90 days of follow up (AUC=0.688).

Conclusion

NLR is useful in predicting the in-hospital mortality in Black African patients with advanced stage HCC in clinical practice. NLR and PLR may be used concomitantly for long-term follow-up.

A Seven-Gene Signature to Predict Prognosis of Patients With Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Purpose: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent malignant diseases worldwide and has a poor prognosis. Gene-based prognostic models have been reported to predict the overall survival of patients with HCC. Unfortunately, most of the genes used in earlier prognostic models lack prospective validation and, thus, cannot be used in clinical practice.

Methods: Candidate genes were selected from GEPIA (Gene Expression Profiling Interactive Analysis), and their associations with patients’ survival were confirmed by RT-PCR using cDNA tissue microarrays established from patients with HCC after radical resection. A multivariate Cox proportion model was used to calculate the coefficient of corresponding gene. The expression of seven genes of interest (MKI67, AR, PLG, DNASE1L3, PTTG1, PPP1R1A, and TTR) with two reference genes was defined to calculate a risk score which determined groups of different risks.

Results: Our risk scoring efficiently classified patients (n = 129) with HCC into a low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group. The three groups showed meaningful distinction of 3-year overall survival rate, i.e., 88.9, 74.5, and 20.6% for the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk group, respectively. The prognostic prediction model of risk scores was subsequently verified using an independent prospective cohort (n = 77) and showed high accuracy.

Conclusion: Our seven-gene signature model performed excellent long-term prediction power and provided crucially guiding therapy for patients who are not a candidate for surgery.

The importance of the glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with sorafenib

Aim: To show the prognostic significance of the glucose-to-lymphocyte ratio (GLR) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Patients & methods: A total of 150 patients with advanced HCC who were treated with sorafenib in our center between January 2011 and December 2019 were included in the study retrospectively. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune-inflammation index, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio, prognostic nutritional index and GLR were analyzed to assess their prognostic value using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis before and after propensity score matching (PSM). Results: In univariate analysis before and after PSM, albumin-bilirubin grade, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, systemic immune-inflammation index, lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio, prognostic nutritional index, AFP level and GLR were found to be significantly associated with both progression-free and overall survival. In multivariate analysis before and after PSM, GLR, albumin-bilirubin grade and AFP were determined to be independent prognostic factors for progression-free and overall survival. Conclusion: The GLR prior to sorafenib treatment is a new prognostic biomarker that may predict survival in advanced HCC.

Systemic Inflammation Response Index is a Prognostic Risk Factor in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing TACE

Background

Mounting evidence has shown that systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), a novel prognostic biomarker based on peripheral lymphocyte, neutrophil and monocyte counts, is associated with poor prognosis for several tumors. However, the prognostic value of SIRI in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is elusive. Herein, we aimed to evaluate the correlation between SIRI and clinical outcomes in these patients.

Methods

A total of 194 consecutive patients who underwent TACE were included in this study. Patients were stratified into high and low SIRI groups based on the cut-off value using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Independent risk factors for tumor response were analyzed using forward stepwise logistic regression. A one-to-one propensity score matching (PSM) was conducted to compare progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) between low and high SIRI patients. The discriminatory power of the combination of number of tumors and SIRI in predicting initial TACE response was evaluated by ROC analysis.

Results

Patients were divided into high SIRI (> 0.88) and low SIRI (≤ 0.88) groups. High SIRI (p = 0.003) and more than three tumors (p = 0.002) were significantly related to poorer tumor response. Moreover, the low SIRI group had longer PFS and OS than the high SIRI group (both P < 0.05) before and after PSM. Combination of SIRI and number of tumors can improve the predictive ability to predict initial TACE response with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.678.

Conclusion

Pretreatment peripheral blood SIRI was found to be an independent predictor of tumor response and clinical outcomes in patients with HCC undergoing TACE. Patients with high SIRI may have a poor prognosis.