Myxoid stroma is associated with postoperative relapse in patients with stage II colon cancer

Machine learning based local recurrence prediction in colorectal cancer using polarized light imaging

Significance

Current treatment for stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) patients involves surgery that may not be sufficient in many cases, requiring additional adjuvant systemic therapy. Identification of this latter cohort that is likely to recur following surgery is key to better personalized therapy selection, but there is a lack of proper quantitative assessment tools for potential clinical adoption.

Aim

The purpose of this study is to employ Mueller matrix (MM) polarized light microscopy in combination with supervised machine learning (ML) to quantitatively analyze the prognostic value of peri-tumoral collagen in CRC in relation to 5-year local recurrence (LR).

Approach

A simple MM microscope setup was used to image surgical resection samples acquired from stage III CRC patients. Various potential biomarkers of LR were derived from MM elements via decomposition and transformation operations. These were used as features by different supervised ML models to distinguish samples from patients that locally recurred 5 years later from those that did not.

Results

Using the top five most prognostic polarimetric biomarkers ranked by their relevant feature importances, the best-performing XGBoost model achieved a patient-level accuracy of 86%. When the patient pool was further stratified, 96% accuracy was achieved within a tumor-stage-III sub-cohort.

Conclusions

ML-aided polarimetric analysis of collagenous stroma may provide prognostic value toward improving the clinical management of CRC patients.

Mueller matrix polarization parameters correlate with local recurrence in patients with stage III colorectal cancer

The peri-tumoural stroma has been explored as a useful source of prognostic information in colorectal cancer. Using Mueller matrix (MM) polarized light microscopy for quantification of unstained histology slides, the current study assesses the prognostic potential of polarimetric characteristics of peri-tumoural collagenous stroma architecture in 38 human stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) patient samples. Specifically, Mueller matrix transformation and polar decomposition parameters were tested for association with 5-year patient local recurrence outcomes. The results show that some of these polarimetric parameters were significantly different (p value < 0.05) for the recurrence versus the no-recurrence patient cohorts (Mann-Whitney U test). MM parameters may thus be prognostically valuable towards improving clinical management/treatment stratification in CRC patients.

Polarimetric biomarkers of peri-tumoral stroma can correlate with 5-year survival in patients with left-sided colorectal cancer

Using a novel variant of polarized light microscopy for high-contrast imaging and quantification of unstained histology slides, the current study assesses the prognostic potential of peri-tumoral collagenous stroma architecture in 32 human stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) patient samples. We analyze three distinct polarimetrically-derived images and their associated texture features, explore different unsupervised clustering algorithm models to group the data, and compare the resultant groupings with patient survival. The results demonstrate an appreciable total accuracy of ~ 78% with significant separation (p < 0.05) across all approaches for the binary classification of 5-year patient survival outcomes. Surviving patients preferentially belonged to Cluster 1 irrespective of model approach, suggesting similar stromal microstructural characteristics in this sub-population. The results suggest that polarimetrically-derived stromal biomarkers may possess prognostic value that could improve clinical management/treatment stratification in CRC patients.