Time to death and its associated factors among infants in sub-Saharan Africa using the recent demographic and health surveys: shared frailty survival analysis

Under-five mortality and its associated factors in sub-Saharan Africa: a multilevel analysis of recent demographic and health surveys data based on Bayesian approach

BACKGROUND

An estimated 75.8 under-five deaths per 1000 live births occurred in sub-Saharan Africa. This study aimed to investigate the prevalence and factors associated with under-five mortality in Sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

This study was based on secondary data sources from 33 Sub-Saharan countries' recent Demography and Health surveys from 2010 to 2020. A weighted sample of 360,397 under-five children was included in the study. Bayesian multilevel binary logistic regression was fitted using the brms R package. Besides, leave one out information criteria was used for model comparison. The adjusted odds ratio (AOR) and its 95% credible interval (CrI) were reported for significant factors associated with under-five mortality.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

not applicable.

RESULTS

The prevalence of under-five mortality in sub Saharan Africa was 62 per 1000 live births (95%CI (56.29, 68.29). In sub region of SSA, it was 65 in central, 52 in eastern, 50 in southern and 73 in western region per 1000 live births. Multiple birth (AOR = 5.27; 95%CrI: 4.72, 5.87), number of under-five children 3 to 5 (AOR = 3.31; 95%CrI: 3.01, 3.60), caesarean section delivery (AOR = 1.64; 95%CrI: 1.47, 1.83), being unmarried (AOR = 1.16; 95%CrI 1.08, 1.26), using unimproved toilet (AOR = 1.08;95%CrI: 1.02, 1.16), birth order of 4th to 6th (AOR = 1.18; 95%CrI:1.1, 1.25),were risk factors of under-five mortality. Whereas, being female (AOR = 0.86; 95%CrI: 0.82, 0.91), preceding birth interval of 24-35 months (AOR = 0.61; 95%CrI: 0.57, 0.65) and above 36 months (AOR = 0.48; 95%CrI: 0.43, 0.49), ANC visit (AOR = 0.80; 95%CrI: 0.74 0.86), contraceptive use (AOR = 0.57; 95%CrI: 0.53, 0.61), were preventive factors of under-five mortality.

CONCLUSION

Under-five mortality remains the highest in sub-Saharan Africa. Most of the risk factors of under-five mortality were found to be preventable. Policymakers and other stakeholders should enhance maternal education, lengthen birth interval, ANC visit, improved toilet facilities and, giving special attention to small size child and cesarean section delivery to reduce under-five mortality.

Integrating Maternal and Child Health Into Climate Change: A Holistic Approach

Objectives

In everyday language, climate change is an increase in the Earth's average temperature. Climate change negatively affects life support systems, including air, food, water, shelter, and security, on which humans depend. This paper aims to holistically integrate maternal and child health into climate change.

Methods

A narrative/literature review approach were adopted using papers sources from google scholar, research gate and web of science. About 10 papers was initially gathered and it was later scrutinized to 6.

Results

It was discovered that, climate change negatively impacts food and water security, heat stress, extreme weather, and air pollution, with women and children most affected. The World Health Organization estimates 250,000 climate-related deaths annually by 2050, disproportionately affecting maternal and child health. Integrating climate and maternal health strategies could offer benefits, yet research on adapting to climate change's effects on pregnancy outcomes is limited.

Conclusion

Addressing maternal and child health requires integrating health-focused strategies into environmental policies to reduce vulnerabilities to climate-related risks. A comprehensive approach can enhance resilience by improving healthcare access, education, and sustainable resource management, benefiting public health and environmental outcomes.

Factors associated with the admission of moderate to late preterm and term neonates within 72 hours of birth at Dedza and Mangochi District Hospitals, Malawi: a matched case-control study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the demographic characteristics, maternal, and perinatal factors associated with the hospitalization of moderate to late preterm and term neonates within 72 h of birth in the Dedza and Mangochi districts of Malawi.

METHODS

This case-control study was conducted with one-to-one matching for age, location, and sex. Cases were sick neonates who were admitted in the Sick Intensive Neonatal Care Unit (SINCU) within 72 h of life, while controls were non-sick neonates delivered within two weeks of the birth dates of cases. Prenatal data were extracted from case files, while other maternal practices and demographic characteristics were obtained by interviewing primary care takers or legal guardians after obtaining consent. Descriptive analyses and logistic regression were used to identify factors associated with hospitalization of moderate to late preterm and term neonates within 72 h of birth.

RESULTS

Application of tetracycline eye ointment (AOR: 0.41, 95% CI: 0.20-0.82, p = 0.012) applying chlorhexidine to the umbilical cord stump (AOR: 0.30, 95% CI: 0.10-0.88, p = 0.027), and stimulation resuscitation (AOR: 0.20, 95% CI: 0.05-0.78, p = 0.020) were associated with a reduced odd of hospitalization. An increased odds of hospitalization was significantly associated with low birth weight (AOR: 10.48, 95% CI: 4.25-25.89, p = 0.001), Apgar score < 5 (AOR: 5.0, 95% CI: 2.14-11.63, p = 0.001), suctioning resuscitation (AOR: 2.82, 95% CI: 1.17-6.83, p = 0.021), and resuscitation using O2 (AOR: 4.23, 95% CI: 1.32-13.56, p = 0.015). Maternal factors associated with reduced odds of hospitalization included the mother testing positive and successfully treated for syphilis antenatally (AOR: 0.06, 95% CI: 0.02-0.18, p = 0.001) and the mother being married (AOR: 0.39, 95% CI: 0.16-0.93, p = 0.34). Maternal factors associated with an increased odds of hospitalization include premature rupture of membranes (AOR: 2.49, 95% CI: 1.12-5.52, p = 0.025) and presence of meconium stain during delivery (AOR: 3.14, 95% CI: 1.63-6.06, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The research findings indicate that several interventions significantly reduce infections in neonates within their initial 72 h of life. These include the application of ophthalmic ointment to all neonates, utilization of chlorhexidine on the umbilical cord stump, and provision of antenatal treatment for syphilis and HIV in infected mothers. Conversely, certain factors increase the likelihood of neonatal morbidity and potential hospitalization during this critical period. These risk factors include low birth weight, a low Apgar score, and conditions necessitating suctioning or oxygen resuscitation at birth. Furthermore, infants born to mothers who experienced premature rupture of membranes or meconium-stained amniotic fluid during parturition are more susceptible to infectious conditions, which may necessitate hospitalization within the first 72 h postpartum. We recommend that stimulation be used as the core procedure for resuscitation, whereas suctioning should be used with caution and only when it is essential. Infection prevention measures should always be adhered to during all procedures on neonates. We recommend intensifying HIV and syphilis testing and treating during the antenatal period to reduce neonatal infection.

Identifying determinants of under-five child mortality in northern Togo

Background

Although global rates of under-five mortality have declined, many low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), including Togo, have not achieved sufficient progress. We aimed to identify the structural and intermediary determinants associated with under-five mortality in northern Togo.

Methods

We collected population-representative cross-sectional household surveys adapted from the Demographic Household Survey (DHS) and Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey from women of reproductive age in northern Togo in 2018. The primary outcome was under-five mortality for children born to respondents in the 10-year period prior to the survey. We selected structural and intermediary determinants of health from the World Health Organization Conceptual Framework for Action on the Social Determinants of Health. We estimated associations between determinants and under-five mortality for births in the last 10 years (model 1 and 2) and two years (model 3) using Cox proportional hazards models.

Results

Of the 20 121 live births in the last 10 years, 982 (4.80%) children died prior to five years of age. Prior death of a sibling (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 5.02; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 4.23-5.97), maternal ethnicity (i.e. Konkomba, Temberma, Lamba, Losso, or Peul), multiple birth status (aHR = 2.27; 95% CI = 1.78-2.90), maternal age under 25 years (women <19 years: aHR = 2.05; 95% CI = 1.75-2.39; women 20-24 years: aHR = 1.48; 95% CI = 1.29-1.68), lower birth interval (aHR = 1.51; 95% CI = 1.31-1.74), and higher birth order (second or third born: aHR = 1.45; 95% CI = 1.32-1.60; third or later born: aHR = 2.14; 95% CI = 1.74-2.63) were associated with higher hazard of under-five mortality. Female children had lower hazards of under-five mortality (aHR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.73-0.89). Under-five mortality was also lower for children born in the last two years (n = 4852) whose mothers received any (aHR = 0.48; 95% CI = 0.30-0.78) or high quality (aHR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.29-0.88) prenatal care.

Conclusion

Compared to previous DHS estimates, under-five mortality has decreased in Togo, but remains higher than other LMICs. Prior death of a sibling and several intermediary determinants were associated with a higher risk of mortality, while receipt of prenatal care reduced that risk. These findings have significant implications on reducing disparities related to mortality through strengthening maternal and child health care delivery.

Infant mortality in Ghana: investing in health care infrastructure and systems

Child and infant mortality is a global problem. Almost half of deaths of children under age 5 years occur in the neonatal period, the first 28 days of life, with 2.4 million neonatal deaths globally in 2020. Sub-Saharan Africa has disproportionately high numbers of neonatal deaths. Ghana's neonatal mortality rate is 22.8 per 1000 live births and remains behind targets set by the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals. Quality antenatal care, postnatal monitoring, breastfeeding support, and postnatal family planning are important in preventing neonatal deaths. While Ghana has made progress in making care more financially accessible, it has not been matched with the improvements in the critical infrastructure required to ensure quality health care. The improvements have also not eliminated out-of-pocket costs for care, which have hindered progress in decreasing infant mortality. Policymakers should consider investments in health care infrastructure, including expanding public-private partnerships. Policies that improve workforce development programs, transportation infrastructure, and health insurance systems improvements are needed.

Predictors of mortality among under-five children in rural Ethiopia: a cross sectional study

BACKGROUND

Under-five child mortality (UFCM) is one of the major significant and sensitive indicators of the health status of the public. Although the world has seen a remarkable and substantial decrease in UFCM since 1990, its progression rate still remains alarmingly high in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries, particularly in Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to assess associations between mortality and under-five children in rural Ethiopia.

METHODS

This study used a secondary data analysis of the 2019 Ethiopia Mini Demographic and Health Survey (EMDHS) report. A total of 4,425 under-five children were included in the final analysis. The Kaplan-Meier (K-M) and Cox proportional hazard (PH) model analyses were utilized to estimate survival time and investigate the major predictors of mortality in under-five children, respectively. An adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) along with a 95% confidence interval (CI) was employed to measure the association size and direction of the association (STATA 12).

RESULTS

The study showed that 6.2% (95% CI: 5.43, 6.86) of children died beforehand celebrating their fifth birthday in rural Ethiopia. The multivariable Cox PH regression model analysis revealed associations of large spacing preceding birth interval (16-26 months) (AHR = 0.61; 95% CI: (0.402-0.920)), 27-38 months (AHR = 0.72; 95% CI: (0.496-1.03)), and ≥ 39 months, multiple births (AHR = 3.9; 95% CI: (2.77-5.62)), being breastfeeding (AHR = 0.13; 95% CI: (0.099-0.162)), and unvaccinated child (AHR = 11.6; 95% CI: (1.62-83.1)) were significant associations of under-five children mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, the UFCM rate was present, with 6.2% in the rural areas of Ethiopia. The birth type, preceding birth interval, vaccination of the child, and breastfeeding are identified as significant associations with under-five child mortality in rural Ethiopia. Therefore, public health interventions should be given attention to multiple births, unvaccinated, and non-breastfeeding children, as well as mothers' better encouragement to have a large spacing preceding the birth interval. Moreover, investigators should conduct continuous research on UFCM, which is imperative to provide current information and inform interventions in a timely manner.

Time to Death and Its Predictors Among Infants in Ethiopia: Multilevel Mixed-Effects Parametric Survival Analysis Using the 2019 Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey

Introduction

Three years ahead of the plan, Ethiopia has met Millennium Development Goal 4 of reducing under-five mortality. Additionally, the nation is on track to achieve the Sustainable Development Goal of putting an end to preventable child mortality. Despite this, recent data from the nation showed that there were 43 infant deaths for every 1000 live births. Moreover, the country has fallen short of the 2015 Health Sector Transformation Plan goal, with an anticipated infant mortality rate of 35 deaths per 1000 live births in 2020. Thus, this study aims to identify the time to death and its predictors among Ethiopian infants.

Methods

This study used the 2019 Mini-Ethiopian Demographic and Health Survey data set to conduct a retrospective study. The analysis used survival curves and descriptive statistics. Multilevel mixed-effects parametric survival analysis was applied to identify the predictors of infant mortality.

Results

The estimated mean survival time of infants was 11.3 months (95% CI: 11.1, 11.4). Women's current pregnancy status, family size, age of women, previous birth interval, place of delivery, and mode of delivery were significant individual-level predictors of infant mortality. Infants born with less than 24 months' birth interval had a 2.29 times higher estimated risk of death (AHR = 2.29, 95% CI: 1.05, 5.02). Infants born at home were 2.48 times more likely to die than those born in a health facility (AHR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.03, 5.98). At the community level, women's education was the only statistically significant predictor of infant death.

Conclusion

The risk of infant death was higher before the first month of life, typically shortly after birth. Healthcare programs should put a strong emphasis on efforts to space out births and make institutional delivery services more readily accessible to mothers in Ethiopia to address the infant mortality challenges.

Epidemiological Profile and Spatio-Temporal Pattern of Infant Deaths in a District of North India during 2016-2019

Background

Infant mortality is an important health indicator of a population given its strong link to socioeconomic status, health service access, and quality and maternal health. The declining trend of Infant Mortality Rate has been observed in India where it reduced from 89 deaths per 1000 live births in 1990 to 28 deaths per 1000d live births in 2019. Most of the studies regarding the trend of infant mortality are state-based, however, state-level infant mortality has masked the intradistrict clustering of individual infant deaths. Hence, this study was planned with an objective to study the trend of infant mortality at the district level.

Material and Methods

A retrospective study was conducted in the district Rohtak of Haryana using the data collected regarding infant deaths. The collected data regarding addresses were geocoded. The resulting layer was then analyzed using QGIS v3.10. The descriptive data was analyzed using SPSS v20.0.

Result

In total, 1336 infant deaths during the study period were included. A declining trend of infant mortality was observed over the study period. The number of grids (25 km2) reduced from 18 in 2016 to 10 in 2019 depicting a reduction in the areas with more than expected count.

Conclusion

This study emphasizes on the importance of using the geographic information science technique in identifying local hotspots within the district so as to find areas that need more support and observation.