A mortality prediction rule for non-elderly patients with community-acquired pneumonia

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adult pneumococcal conjugate vaccines for pneumococcal disease in Japan

BACKGROUND

The 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is used in the Japanese National Immunization Program for older adults and adults with increased risk for pneumococcal disease, however, disease incidence and associated burden remain high. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Using a Markov model, we evaluated lifetime costs using societal and healthcare payer perspectives and estimated quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and number of prevented cases and deaths caused by invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and non-IPD. The base case analysis used a societal perspective.

RESULTS

In comparison with PPSV23, the 20-valent PCV (PCV20) prevented 127 IPD cases 10,813 non-IPD cases (inpatients: 2,461, outpatients: 8,352) and 226 deaths, and gained more QALYs (+0.0015 per person) with less cost (-JPY22,513 per person). All sensitivity and scenario analyses including a payer perspective analysis indicated that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were below the cost-effectiveness threshold value in Japan (JPY5 million/QALY).

CONCLUSIONS

PCV20 is both cost saving and more effective than PPSV23 for adults aged 65 years and high-risk adults aged 60-64 years in Japan.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of pediatric immunization program with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in Japan

BACKGROUND

The 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15 or V114) has recently been approved for pediatric vaccination against pneumococcal diseases (PDs) in Japan. The study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pediatric vaccination with V114 versus 13-valent PCV (PCV13) in Japan.

METHODS

The study used a decision analytical Markov model to estimate the cost and effectiveness outcomes for a birth cohort in Japan over a 10-year time horizon. The model tracked the occurrences of acute PD events, including invasive PD (IPD), non-bacteremic pneumococcal pneumonia (NBPP) and pneumococcal acute otitis media (AOM) and the long-term impact of post-meningitis sequalae. Vaccine effectiveness was estimated based on literature and assumptions, and accounted for indirect effects and vaccine waning. The base case took the societal perspective, including both direct and indirect costs, while a healthcare payer perspective was modeled in a scenario analysis. Additional scenario analyses and sensitivity analyses were conducted.

RESULTS

In the base case, V114 was associated with an incremental gain of 24 quality-adjusted life years and a reduction of ¥365,610,955 in total costs compared to PCV13. It was expected to reduce the number of pneumococcal AOM, NBPP, and IPD cases by 1,832, 1,333 and 25, respectively. All scenario analyses and most sensitivity analyses showed that V114 was a dominant strategy compared to PCV13.

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric vaccination with V114 is expected to lead to cost savings and more health benefits compared to PCV13 in Japan from both societal and healthcare payer perspectives. The findings are robust under plausible assumptions and inputs.

Effects of additive corticosteroid therapy on 90-day survival in patients with community-onset pneumonia

INTRODUCTION

Systemic corticosteroid therapy is occasionally used as an additive therapy, especially for patients with severe pneumonia. However, its recommendation for use in patients with pneumonia varies worldwide, and its efficacy is unclear.

METHODS

Adult Japanese patients hospitalized with community-onset pneumonia between January and December 2012 were analyzed using the Diagnostic Procedure Combination database. The patients were classified into mild-to-moderate and severe groups using the A-DROP (age, dehydration, respiration, orientation, and blood pressure) system. The 90-day survival rate was evaluated between the presence or absence of corticosteroid treatment using the Kaplan-Meier method in the overall, mild-to-moderate and severe groups, respectively. The patients' clinical characteristics were adjusted between the two groups using the inverse probability of treatment weighting method.

RESULTS

Among 123,811, 110,534 patients were classified as mild-to-moderate grade (corticosteroid group: 8,465, non-corticosteroid group: 102,069) and 13,277 patients were classified as severe grade (corticosteroid group: 1,338, non-corticosteroid group: 11,939). The 90-day survival rate was higher in the non-corticosteroid group than in the corticosteroid group in patients with pneumonia of overall grade (weighted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.36; P < 0.001) and those with mild-to-moderate grade (weighted HR: 1.46; P < 0.001). However, there were no significant differences in the outcomes between the two groups in those with severe grade (weighted HR: 1.08; P = 0.38).

CONCLUSIONS

Additive systemic corticosteroid therapy may be related to poor 90-day prognosis in patients with mild-to-moderate grade community-onset pneumonia, although it may not be positively associated with its prognosis in those with severe grade.

The effect of comorbidities for the prognosis of community-acquired pneumonia: an epidemiologic study using a hospital surveillance in Japan

Objective

Pneumonia is a common but serious illness that continues to present significant morbidity and mortality. Although the effect of severity at admission on outcome has been well reported, the role of comorbidity is still not widely understood. The Charlson Comorbidity Index measures comorbidity with a well-established history of predicting long-term outcome but its utility in pneumonia prognosis is still limited. Here, we use the Charlson Comorbidity Index and hospital surveillance data to investigate associations between comorbidities and in-hospital mortality due to community-acquired pneumonia.

Results

Among the 535 eligible adult patients (69.0% male, median [IQR] age, 79 [70–84] years), 100 (18.7%) acquired severe to extremely severe pneumonia. The median [IQR] CCI was 1 [1–3]. Malignancy (129 of 535, 24.1%), chronic pulmonary diseases (113 of 535, 21.1%) and congestive heart failure (103 of 535, 19.3%) were frequent. Higher Charlson Comorbidity Index scores were associated with higher risk of in-hospital mortality (OR 1.28; 95% CI 1.07–1.53). These results support the inclusion of comorbid burden in predicting community-acquired pneumonia outcome.

Comparison of Efficacy of Antimicrobial Agents Among Hospitalized Patients With Mycoplasma pneumoniae Pneumonia in Japan During Large Epidemics of Macrolide-Resistant M. pneumoniae Infections: A Nationwide Observational Study

Background

Mycoplasma pneumoniae strains with resistance to macrolides have been spreading worldwide. Here, we aimed to clarify which antimicrobial agent is a better treatment for patients with M. pneumoniae pneumonia in a setting with large epidemics of macrolide resistance.

Methods

Adult patients hospitalized with laboratory-confirmed M. pneumoniae pneumonia from 2010 to 2013 were identified from the Japanese Diagnosis Procedure Combination national database. Drug switching, length of stay (LOS), 30-day mortality, and total costs for patients who underwent macrolide, quinolone, and tetracycline therapy were compared using propensity score analyses.

Results

Eligible patients (N = 1650) from 602 hospitals were divided into the macrolide group (n = 508), quinolone group (n = 569), or tetracycline group (n = 573). We found that 52.8%, 21.8%, and 38.6% of patients in the macrolide, quinolone, and tetracycline groups, respectively, had to switch drugs (P < .0001). There was no significant difference in the LOS and the 30-day mortality rates among these 3 groups. Cost was highest in the quinolone group (P = .0062). The propensity score-matched pairs (n = 487×2) generated from the quinolone and tetracycline groups also showed a lower proportion of patients who require switches in the quinolone group than in the tetracycline group (21.2% vs 39.6%, P < .0001) but not in the LOS, mortality, and cost.

Conclusions

There were no significant differences in the LOS and mortality among any antimycoplasmal drugs as initial treatment for hospitalized M. pneumoniae pneumonia patients despite the lower switching rate in the quinolone group.

Prognostic factors in hospitalized community-acquired pneumonia: a retrospective study of a prospective observational cohort

Background

To date, only few studies have examined the prognostic factors of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) defined according to the latest criteria, which excludes healthcare-associated pneumonia (HCAP). Therefore, we aimed to investigate the factors that affect prognosis, and evaluate the usefulness of existing pneumonia severity scores for predicting the prognosis of CAP.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed patients with CAP, excluding HCAP, who were enrolled prospectively between April 2007 and February 2016. Four patients who used macrolides other than azithromycin (AZM) were excluded. We used age, sex, comorbidities, laboratory findings and antimicrobial therapy as prognostic variables. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality and secondary outcome was ICU admission. We also performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis of Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI), Infectious Diseases Society of America (IDSA)/American Thoracic Society (ATS) severe criteria, CURB-65 and A-DROP pneumonia severity scores.

Results

Among 1834 CAP patients, mean age was 73.5 ± 14.3 years; 1281 (69.8%) were men; and 30-day mortality was 6.7% (122/1834). In total, 1830 patients were analyzed. Multivariate analysis identified age [Odds Ratio (OR): 1.04, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.02–1.07], chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) [OR: 1.77, 95% CI: 1.13–2.76], malignancy (OR: 2.25, 95% CI: 1.25–4.06), body temperature (OR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.67–0.99), respiratory rate (OR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.01–1.07), PaO₂/FiO₂ ≤ 250 (OR: 3.15, 95% CI: 1.93–5.14), Alb (OR: 0.27, 95% CI: 0.19–0.39), BUN (OR: 1.01, 95% CI: 1.00–1.02), and mechanical ventilation (OR: 2.99, 95% CI: 1.75–5.12) as prognostic factors. AZM and β-lactam combination therapy significantly reduced 30-day mortality (OR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.26–0.97). Areas under the curve of PSI, IDSA/ATS severe criteria, CURB-65 and A-DROP were 0.759, 0.746, 0.754 and 0.764, respectively.

Conclusions

Increasing age, presence of COPD and malignancy as comorbidities, hypothermia, tachypnea, PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio ≤250 mmHg, low Alb level, high BUN level and mechanical ventilatory support predict a worse prognosis; AZM combination therapy should be considered for CAP, excluding HCAP. All four pneumonia severity scores are useful for assessing the severity of CAP defined by the latest criteria.

Trial registration

UMIN-CTR UMIN000004353. Registered 7 October 2010. Retrospectively registered.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12890-017-0424-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.