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Wang L, Xu C, Hu M, Wang J, Qiao J, Chen W, Zhu Q, Wang Z. Modeling tuberculosis transmission flow in China, 2010-2012. BMC Infect Dis 2024; 24:784. [PMID: 39103752 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-024-09649-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2022] [Accepted: 07/23/2024] [Indexed: 08/07/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND China has the third largest number of TB cases in the world, and the average annual floating population in China is more than 200 million, the increasing floating population across regions has a tremendous potential for spreading infectious diseases, however, the role of increasing massive floating population in tuberculosis transmission is yet unclear in China. METHODS 29,667 tuberculosis flow data were derived from the new smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis cases in China. Spatial variation of TB transmission was measured by geodetector q-statistic and spatial interaction model was used to model the tuberculosis flow and the regional socioeconomic factors. RESULTS Tuberculosis transmission flow presented spatial heterogeneity. The Pearl River Delta in southern China and the Yangtze River Delta along China's east coast presented as the largest destination and concentration areas of tuberculosis inflows. Socioeconomic factors were determinants of tuberculosis flow. Some impact factors showed different spatial associations with tuberculosis transmission flow. A 10% increase in per capita GDP was associated with 10.2% in 2010 or 2.1% in 2012 decrease in tuberculosis outflows from the provinces of origin, and 1.2% in 2010 or 0.5% increase in tuberculosis inflows to the destinations and 18.9% increase in intraprovincial flow in 2012. Per capita net income of rural households and per capita disposable income of urban households were positively associated with tuberculosis flows. A 10% increase in per capita net income corresponded to 14.0% in 2010 or 3.6% in 2012 increase in outflows from the origin, 44.2% in 2010 or 12.8% increase in inflows to the destinations and 47.9% increase in intraprovincial flows in 2012. Tuberculosis incidence had positive impacts on tuberculosis flows. A 10% increase in the number of tuberculosis cases corresponded to 2.2% in 2010 or 1.1% in 2012 increase in tuberculosis inflows to the destinations, 5.2% in 2010 or 2.0% in 2012 increase in outflows from the origins, 11.5% in 2010 or 2.2% in 2012 increase in intraprovincial flows. CONCLUSIONS Tuberculosis flows had clear spatial stratified heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation, regional socio-economic characteristics had diverse and statistically significant effects on tuberculosis flows in the origin and destination, and income factor played an important role among the determinants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Li Wang
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Henan University, KaiFeng, 475001, China
- Key Laboratory of Geospatial Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River Regions, Henan University, Ministry of Education, KaiFeng, 475001, China
| | - Chengdong Xu
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Maogui Hu
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Jinfeng Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Science and Natural Resource Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China.
| | - Jiajun Qiao
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Henan University, KaiFeng, 475001, China.
- Key Laboratory of Geospatial Technology for the Middle and Lower Yellow River Regions, Henan University, Ministry of Education, KaiFeng, 475001, China.
| | - Wei Chen
- Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, China
| | - Qiankun Zhu
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Henan University, KaiFeng, 475001, China
| | - Zhipeng Wang
- College of Geography and Environmental Science, Henan University, KaiFeng, 475001, China
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de Almeida Soares D, Placeres A, Arcêncio RA, Fronteira I. Evidence on tuberculosis in migrants at Brazil's international borders: A scoping review. J Migr Health 2023; 7:100167. [PMID: 36846810 PMCID: PMC9945690 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmh.2023.100167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/25/2022] [Revised: 06/24/2022] [Accepted: 01/25/2023] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
Objective to map scientific evidence on the extent of tuberculosis in migrants from the international borders between Brazil and the countries of South America. Design Scoping review of quantitative, qualitative and mixed studies. The research was conducted between February and April 2021. The terms "migrants", "tuberculosis", "Brazil", "Uruguay", "Paraguay", "Bolivia", "Peru", "British Guiana" "English Guiana", "French Guiana", "Suriname", "Venezuela", "Argentina", "Colombia" combined with Boolean operators "AND" and "OR" to identified relevant documents. Studies addressing tuberculosis on migrants from international borders of Brazil were included. Pubmed Central (PMC), LILACS (Scientific and technical literature of Latin America and the Caribbean/BVS), Scopus (Elsevier), Scielo (Scientific Electronic Library Online) and gray literature CAPES thesis database were searched. The study was carried out in three stages where the data was selected and extracted by two independent reviewers for full reading. Results A total of 705 articles were extracted from the databases chosen for the search, 04 master's dissertations and 01 doctoral thesis. Of these 456 were excluded because they did not meet at least one of the eligibility criteria for this SR and 4 were further excluded because they were duplicates who had not been previously identified. A total of 58 documents were, thus, selected for assessment of the full text. Of these, 40 were further excluded for not meeting at least one of the eligibility criteria. A total of 18 studies were included for data collection: 15 articles, 2 master's dissertations and 1 doctoral thesis, produced between 2002 and 2021. Conclusion This scoping review mapped the existing evidence on tuberculosis at the international borders of Brazil and on access of immigrants with tuberculosis to health services in Brazil. Descriptors tuberculosis; immigrants; public health surveillance; epidemiological surveillance; sanitary control of borders; health services accessibility.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Aline Placeres
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine Institute, Lisbon NOVA University, Portugal
| | | | - Inês Fronteira
- Global Health and Tropical Medicine Institute, Lisbon NOVA University, Portugal
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High SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence in persons experiencing homelessness and shelter workers from a day-shelter in São Paulo, Brazil. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2021; 15:e0009754. [PMID: 34665803 PMCID: PMC8525740 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009754] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2021] [Accepted: 08/23/2021] [Indexed: 12/29/2022] Open
Abstract
Brazil presents one of the highest COVID-19 death tolls in the world. The initial SARS-CoV-2 epicenter was São Paulo city. As of 2019, the homeless population of São Paulo city was estimated at 24,344 individuals, the largest national homeless population. The present study aimed to concomitantly assess the molecular and serological prevalence and associated risk factors of SARS-CoV-2 infection in a homeless population and related shelter workers from a day-shelter. Serum samples, nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs of persons who are homeless and shelter workers collected from August 25th to 27th, 2020 were tested for the presence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgM and IgG antibodies by ELISA and SARS-CoV-2 RNA by RT-qPCR, respectively. All swab samples tested negative by RT-qPCR. Seropositivity of IgM and IgG was 5/203 (2.5%) and 111/203 (54.7%) in persons who are homeless, and 5/87 (5.7%) and 41/87 (47.1%) in shelter workers, respectively, with no statistical differences between groups. The high seroprevalence found herein indicates early environmental and urban spreading of SARS-CoV-2, associated with sociodemographic and economic vulnerability. Brazil is one of the world’s most social-economically unequal countries, with a rising homeless population potentialized by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, particularly in its largest city, São Paulo. While few studies, mostly in high-income countries, have addressed the impact of the coronavirus pandemic on homeless populations, none has been carried out in Brazil. Herein, we report a high SARS-CoV-2 IgG seroprevalence in a homeless population, with 111/203 (54.7%) seropositive individuals. At the time of the study (August 25th- 27th 2020), both homeless and social worker populations showed no active SARS-CoV-2 infection, indicating that they were likely exposed sometime within the pandemic’s first peak in the city. Our study has also shown significant risk and protective factors for SARS-CoV-2 infection, including that Black shelter workers were at higher risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection when compared with the white shelter workers.
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Arcêncio RA, Berra TZ, Terena NDFM, Rocha MP, Ferraz de Araújo Alecrim T, de Souza Kihara FM, Mascarello KC, Martins Sales CM, Maciel ELN. Spatial clustering and temporal trend analysis of international migrants diagnosed with tuberculosis in Brazil. PLoS One 2021; 16:e0252712. [PMID: 34106968 PMCID: PMC8189475 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0252712] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2021] [Accepted: 05/20/2021] [Indexed: 11/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Tuberculosis (TB) in migrants is of concern to health authorities worldwide and is even more critical in Brazil, considering the country´s size and long land borders. The aim of the study was to identify critical areas in Brazil for migrants diagnosed with TB and to describe the temporal trend in this phenomenon in recent years. Methods This is an ecological study that used spatial analysis and time series analysis. As the study population, all cases of migrants diagnosed with TB from 2014 to 2019 were included, and Brazilian municipalities were considered as the unit of ecological analysis. The Getis-Ord Gi* technique was applied to identify critical areas, and based on the identified clusters, seasonal-trend decomposition based on loess (STL) and Prais-Winsten autoregression were used, respectively, to trace and classify temporal trend in the analyzed series. In addition, several municipal socioeconomic indicators were selected to verify the association between the identified clusters and social vulnerability. Results 2,471 TB cases were reported in migrants. Gi* analysis showed that areas with spatial association with TB in immigrants coincide with critical areas for TB in the general population (coast of the Southeast and North regions). Four TB clusters were identified in immigrants in the states of Amazonas, Roraima, São Paulo, and Rio de Janeiro, with an upward trend in most of these clusters. The temporal trend in TB in immigrants was classified as increasing in Brazil (+ 60.66% per year [95% CI: 27.21–91.85]) and in the clusters in the states of Amazonas, Roraima, and Rio de Janeiro (+1.01, +2.15, and + 2.90% per year, respectively). The cluster in the state of São Paulo was the only one classified as stationary. The descriptive data on the municipalities belonging to the clusters showed evidence of the association between TB incidence and conditions of social vulnerability. Conclusions The study revealed the critical situation of TB among migrants in the country. Based on the findings, health authorities might focus on actions in regions identified, stablishing an intensive monitoring and following up, ensuring that these cases concluded their treatment and avoiding that they could spread the disease to the other regions or scenarios. The population of migrants are very dynamic, therefore strategies for following up them across Brazil are really urgent to manage the tuberculosis among international migrants in an efficient and proper way.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ricardo Alexandre Arcêncio
- Department of Maternal-Infant and Public Health Nursing, University of São Paulo at Ribeirão Preto School of Nursing, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brazil
- * E-mail:
| | - Thaís Zamboni Berra
- Department of Maternal-Infant and Public Health Nursing, University of São Paulo at Ribeirão Preto School of Nursing, Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo, Brazil
| | | | - Matheus Piumbini Rocha
- Epidemiology Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo, Vitoria, Brazil
| | | | | | - Keila Cristina Mascarello
- Department of Health Sciences, Centro Universitário Norte do Espírito Santo, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo, Vitoria, Brazil
| | | | - Ethel Leonor Noia Maciel
- Epidemiology Laboratory, Health Sciences Center, Universidade Federal do Espírito Santo, Vitoria, Brazil
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Conceição EC, Salvato RS, Gomes KM, Guimarães AEDS, da Conceição ML, Souza e Guimarães RJDP, Sharma A, Furlaneto IP, Barcellos RB, Bollela VR, Anselmo LMP, Sisco MC, Niero CV, Ferrazoli L, Refrégier G, Lourenço MCDS, Gomes HM, de Brito AC, Catanho M, Duarte RS, Suffys PN, Lima KVB. Molecular epidemiology of Mycobacterium tuberculosis in Brazil before the whole genome sequencing era: a literature review. Mem Inst Oswaldo Cruz 2021; 116:e200517. [PMID: 33729319 PMCID: PMC7976556 DOI: 10.1590/0074-02760200517] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/01/2020] [Accepted: 02/11/2021] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Molecular-typing can help in unraveling epidemiological scenarios and improvement for disease control strategies. A literature review of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission in Brazil through genotyping on 56 studies published from 1996-2019 was performed. The clustering rate for mycobacterial interspersed repetitive units - variable tandem repeats (MIRU-VNTR) of 1,613 isolates were: 73%, 33% and 28% based on 12, 15 and 24-loci, respectively; while for RFLP-IS6110 were: 84% among prison population in Rio de Janeiro, 69% among multidrug-resistant isolates in Rio Grande do Sul, and 56.2% in general population in São Paulo. These findings could improve tuberculosis (TB) surveillance and set up a solid basis to build a database of Mycobacterium genomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emilyn Costa Conceição
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Nacional de Infectologia
Evandro Chagas, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Pesquisa Clínica e Doenças Infecciosas,
Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Nacional de Infectologia
Evandro Chagas, Laboratório de Bacteriologia e Bioensaios em Micobactérias, Rio de
Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Laboratório
de Biologia Molecular Aplicada a Micobactérias, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Richard Steiner Salvato
- Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul, Programa de Pós-Graduação
em Biologia Celular e Molecular, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
- Secretaria Estadual de Saúde do Rio Grande do Sul, Centro Estadual
de Vigilância em Saúde, Centro de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Porto
Alegre, RS, Brasil
| | - Karen Machado Gomes
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública
Sergio Arouca, Centro de Referência Professor Hélio Fraga, Laboratório de Referência
Nacional para Tuberculose e outras Micobacterioses, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Arthur Emil dos Santos Guimarães
- Universidade do Estado do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas e
da Saúde, Pós-Graduação Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Belém, PA, Brasil
- Instituto Evandro Chagas, Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia,
Ananindeua, PA, Brasil
| | - Marília Lima da Conceição
- Universidade do Estado do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas e
da Saúde, Pós-Graduação Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Belém, PA, Brasil
- Instituto Evandro Chagas, Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia,
Ananindeua, PA, Brasil
| | | | - Abhinav Sharma
- International Institute of Information Technology, Department of
Data Science, Bangalore, India
| | | | - Regina Bones Barcellos
- Secretaria Estadual de Saúde do Rio Grande do Sul, Centro Estadual
de Vigilância em Saúde, Centro de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico, Porto
Alegre, RS, Brasil
| | - Valdes Roberto Bollela
- Universidade de São Paulo, Departamento de Clínica Médica da
Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil
| | - Lívia Maria Pala Anselmo
- Universidade de São Paulo, Departamento de Clínica Médica da
Faculdade de Medicina de Ribeirão Preto, Ribeirão Preto, SP, Brasil
| | - Maria Carolina Sisco
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Laboratório
de Biologia Molecular Aplicada a Micobactérias, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Microbiologia
Paulo de Góes, Laboratório de Micobactérias, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Cristina Viana Niero
- Universidade Federal de São Paulo, Departamento de Microbiologia,
Imunologia e Parasitologia, São Paulo, SP, Brasil
| | - Lucilaine Ferrazoli
- Instituto Adolfo Lutz, Centro de Bacteriologia, Núcleo de
Tuberculose e Micobacterioses, São Paulo, SP, Brasil
| | - Guislaine Refrégier
- Universit e Paris-Saclay, Ecologie Systematique Evolution, Centre
National de la Recherche Scientifique, AgroParisTech, Orsay, France
| | - Maria Cristina da Silva Lourenço
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Nacional de Infectologia
Evandro Chagas, Laboratório de Bacteriologia e Bioensaios em Micobactérias, Rio de
Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Harrison Magdinier Gomes
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Laboratório
de Biologia Molecular Aplicada a Micobactérias, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Artemir Coelho de Brito
- Coordenação Geral de Vigilância das Doenças de Transmissão
Respiratória de Condições Crônicas, Brasília, DF, Brasil
| | - Marcos Catanho
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Laboratório
de Genética Molecular de Microrganismos, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Rafael Silva Duarte
- Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, Instituto de Microbiologia
Paulo de Góes, Laboratório de Micobactérias, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Philip Noel Suffys
- Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Instituto Oswaldo Cruz, Laboratório
de Biologia Molecular Aplicada a Micobactérias, Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil
| | - Karla Valéria Batista Lima
- Universidade do Estado do Pará, Instituto de Ciências Biológicas e
da Saúde, Pós-Graduação Biologia Parasitária na Amazônia, Belém, PA, Brasil
- Instituto Evandro Chagas, Seção de Bacteriologia e Micologia,
Ananindeua, PA, Brasil
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Refugees and Rehabilitation: Our Fight Against the "Globalization of Indifference". Arch Phys Med Rehabil 2019; 101:168-170. [PMID: 31672239 DOI: 10.1016/j.apmr.2019.09.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2019] [Revised: 09/03/2019] [Accepted: 09/04/2019] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
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Zumla A, Abubakar I. Improving access to multi-drug resistant tuberculosis diagnostic and health services for refugees and migrants. BMC Med 2018; 16:221. [PMID: 30497477 PMCID: PMC6267830 DOI: 10.1186/s12916-018-1218-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/22/2018] [Accepted: 11/13/2018] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
By the end of 2017, an estimated 68.5 million people were displaced from their homes worldwide, of whom 25.4 million were refugees. The transmission and globalization of multi-drug resistant tuberculosis during refugee migration is a now priority issue in the public health agenda. Political and scientific commitment at the highest national and international levels will be critical to intensifying action in promoting improved health services for migrants and refugees.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alimuddin Zumla
- Division of Infection and Immunity, Centre for Clinical Microbiology, University College London, London, UK.,NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Ibrahim Abubakar
- UCL Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
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