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Liu Y, Liu J, Shen H. Machine learning model-based preterm birth prediction and clinical nomogram: A big retrospective cohort study. Int J Gynaecol Obstet 2024. [PMID: 39552525 DOI: 10.1002/ijgo.16036] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/18/2024] [Revised: 10/23/2024] [Accepted: 10/29/2024] [Indexed: 11/19/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study sought to develop a multifactorial predictive model for preterm birth risk, with the goal of providing clinical practitioners with early prevention. METHODS This retrospective cohort study utilized 2022 and 2018 National Vital Statistics System (NVSS) birth data, with the 2022 cohort arbitrarily split into training (70%) and internal verification (30%) subsets, and the 2018 cohort for external validation. Four machine learning algorithms-logistic regression, adaptive lasso regression, bootstrap forest, and boosted trees-identified features associated with preterm birth. The study then integrated the consensus features identified across the four models to construct a logistic regression-based preterm birth prediction nomogram. To evaluate the model's efficacy, calibration, receiver operating characteristic (ROC), and decision curve analysis were applied to both the internal and external validation sets. RESULTS The study included 2 567 040 mother-infant pairs from the 2022 cohort and 2 688 568 mother-infant pairs from the 2018 cohort. All four machine learning models demonstrated high accuracy (area under the curve [AUC] >0.7) in predicting preterm birth, and the internal validation results indicated good model generalizability. Feature selection identified nine common risk factors associated with preterm birth. The prediction nomogram based on these nine common features achieved AUCs of 0.701, 0.702, and 0.704 in the training, internal validation, and external validation sets, respectively. The calibration curves showed good agreement, and the decision curve analysis confirmed the model's net clinical benefits. CONCLUSION This study developed a reliable preterm birth prediction tool using large-scale birth cohort data, filling the gap of lacking external validation for existing preterm birth prediction models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ya Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory and State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Jiangling Liu
- State Key Laboratory of Vaccines for Infectious Diseases, Xiang An Biomedicine Laboratory and State Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
| | - Heqing Shen
- Department of Obstetrics, Women and Children's Hospital, School of Medicine, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
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Ren J, Wang Y, Zhang Y, Jin H, Cheng J, Tao F, Zhu Y. Placental Transcriptomic Signatures of Prenatal Phthalate Exposure and Identification of Placenta-Brain Genes Associated with the Effects of Phthalate Exposure on Neurodevelopment in Children. ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY 2024; 58:19141-19151. [PMID: 39392919 DOI: 10.1021/acs.est.4c04082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/13/2024]
Abstract
Prenatal exposure to phthalates may affect placental function and fetal development, but the underlying mechanisms are unclear. The aim of our study was to explore the alterations in the placental transcriptome associated with prenatal phthalate exposure and to further analyze whether the placental-brain axis (PBA) genes play a mediating role in the association between prenatal phthalate exposure and children's neurodevelopment. We included 172 participants from the Ma'anshan Birth Cohort and collected data on seven phthalate metabolites in urine during pregnancy, placental tissue RNA-seq, and neurodevelopment of offspring. Bioinformatics analysis revealed that aberrant regulation of the placental transcriptome was associated with prenatal phthalate exposure. Exposure to phthalates during pregnancy was found to be associated with neurodevelopmental delay in children aged 6, 18, and 48 months using the multiple linear regression model. Meanwhile, employing mediation analysis, nine PBA genes were identified that mediate the association between exposure to phthalates during pregnancy and the neurodevelopment of children. Our study will provide a basis for potential mechanisms by which prenatal exposure to phthalates affects placental function and children's neurodevelopment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiawen Ren
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Yifan Wang
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Yimin Zhang
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Heyue Jin
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Jingjing Cheng
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Fangbiao Tao
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
| | - Yumin Zhu
- Department of Maternal, Child and Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- MOE Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle, Anhui Provincial Key Laboratory of Environment and Population Health across the Life Course, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230032, Anhui, China
- Medical School, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, Jiangsu, China
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Shao M, Tian M, Chen K, Jiang H, Zhang S, Li Z, Shen Y, Chen F, Shen B, Cao C, Gu N. Leveraging Random Effects in Cistrome-Wide Association Studies for Decoding the Genetic Determinants of Prostate Cancer. ADVANCED SCIENCE (WEINHEIM, BADEN-WURTTEMBERG, GERMANY) 2024; 11:e2400815. [PMID: 39099406 PMCID: PMC11423091 DOI: 10.1002/advs.202400815] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2024] [Revised: 07/09/2024] [Indexed: 08/06/2024]
Abstract
Cistrome-wide association studies (CWAS) are pivotal for identifying genetic determinants of diseases by correlating genetically regulated cistrome states with phenotypes. Traditional CWAS typically develops a model based on cistrome and genotype data to associate predicted cistrome states with phenotypes. The random effect cistrome-wide association study (RECWAS), reevaluates the necessity of cistrome state prediction in CWAS. RECWAS utilizes either a linear model or marginal effect for initial feature selection, followed by kernel-based feature aggregation for association testing is introduced. Through simulations and analysis of prostate cancer data, a thorough evaluation of CWAS and RECWAS is conducted. The results suggest that RECWAS offers improved power compared to traditional CWAS, identifying additional genomic regions associated with prostate cancer. CWAS identified 102 significant regions, while RECWAS found 50 additional significant regions compared to CWAS, many of which are validated. Validation encompassed a range of biological evidence, including risk signals from the GWAS catalog, susceptibility genes from the DisGeNET database, and enhancer-domain scores. RECWAS consistently demonstrated improved performance over traditional CWAS in identifying genomic regions associated with prostate cancer. These findings demonstrate the benefits of incorporating kernel methods into CWAS and provide new insights for genetic discovery in complex diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mengting Shao
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Min Tian
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Kaiyang Chen
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Hangjin Jiang
- Center for Data ScienceZhejiang UniversityHangzhou310058P. R. China
| | - Shuting Zhang
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Zhenghui Li
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Yan Shen
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Feng Chen
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
| | - Baixin Shen
- Department of UrologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical UniversityNanjing210011P. R. China
| | - Chen Cao
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
- Department of UrologyThe Second Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical UniversityNanjing210011P. R. China
| | - Ning Gu
- Key Laboratory for Bio‐Electromagnetic Environment and Advanced Medical TheranosticsSchool of Biomedical Engineering and InformaticsNanjing Medical UniversityNanjing211166P. R. China
- Nanjing Key Laboratory for Cardiovascular Information and Health Engineering MedicineInstitute of Clinical MedicineNanjing Drum Tower HospitalMedical SchoolNanjing UniversityNanjing210093P. R. China
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Denomme MM, McCallie BR, Haywood ME, Parks JC, Schoolcraft WB, Katz-Jaffe MG. Paternal aging impacts expression and epigenetic markers as early as the first embryonic tissue lineage differentiation. Hum Genomics 2024; 18:32. [PMID: 38532526 PMCID: PMC10964547 DOI: 10.1186/s40246-024-00599-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2023] [Accepted: 03/14/2024] [Indexed: 03/28/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Advanced paternal age (APA) is associated with adverse outcomes to offspring health, including increased risk for neurodevelopmental disorders. The aim of this study was to investigate the methylome and transcriptome of the first two early embryonic tissue lineages, the inner cell mass (ICM) and the trophectoderm (TE), from human blastocysts in association with paternal age and disease risk. High quality human blastocysts were donated with patient consent from donor oocyte IVF cycles from either APA (≥ 50 years) or young fathers. Blastocysts were mechanically separated into ICM and TE lineage samples for both methylome and transcriptome analyses. RESULTS Significant differential methylation and transcription was observed concurrently in ICM and TE lineages of APA-derived blastocysts compared to those from young fathers. The methylome revealed significant enrichment for neuronal signaling pathways, as well as an association with neurodevelopmental disorders and imprinted genes, largely overlapping within both the ICM and TE lineages. Significant enrichment of neurodevelopmental signaling pathways was also observed for differentially expressed genes, but only in the ICM. In stark contrast, no significant signaling pathways or gene ontology terms were identified in the trophectoderm. Despite normal semen parameters in aged fathers, these significant molecular alterations can adversely contribute to downstream impacts on offspring health, in particular neurodevelopmental disorders like autism spectrum disorder and schizophrenia. CONCLUSIONS An increased risk for neurodevelopmental disorders is well described in children conceived by aged fathers. Using blastocysts derived from donor oocyte IVF cycles to strategically control for maternal age, our data reveals evidence of methylation dysregulation in both tissue lineages, as well as transcription dysregulation in neurodevelopmental signaling pathways associated with APA fathers. This data also reveals that embryos derived from APA fathers do not appear to be compromised for initial implantation potential with no significant pathway signaling disruption in trophectoderm transcription. Collectively, our work provides insights into the complex molecular mechanisms that occur upon paternal aging during the first lineage differentiation in the preimplantation embryo. Early expression and epigenetic markers of APA-derived preimplantation embryos highlight the susceptibility of the future fetus to adverse health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Blair R McCallie
- CCRM Genetics, 10290 Ridgegate Circle, Lone Tree, CO, 80124, USA
| | - Mary E Haywood
- CCRM Genetics, 10290 Ridgegate Circle, Lone Tree, CO, 80124, USA
| | - Jason C Parks
- CCRM Genetics, 10290 Ridgegate Circle, Lone Tree, CO, 80124, USA
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Dou L, Sun S, Chen L, Lv L, Chen C, Huang Z, Zhang A, He H, Tao H, Yu M, Zhu M, Zhang C, Hao J. The association between prenatal bisphenol F exposure and infant neurodevelopment: The mediating role of placental estradiol. ECOTOXICOLOGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SAFETY 2024; 271:116009. [PMID: 38277971 DOI: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2024.116009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2023] [Revised: 01/19/2024] [Accepted: 01/21/2024] [Indexed: 01/28/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND There are limited population studies on the neurodevelopmental effects of bisphenol F (BPF), a substitute for bisphenol A. Furthermore, the role of placental estradiol as a potential mediator linking these two factors remains unclear. OBJECTIVE To examine the association between maternal prenatal BPF exposure and infant neurodevelopment in a prospective cohort study and to explore the mediating effects of placental estradiol between BPF exposure and neurodevelopment in a nested case-control study. METHODS The prospective cohort study included 1077 mother-neonate pairs from the Wuhu city cohort study in China. Maternal BPF was determined using the liquid/liquid extraction and Ultra-performance liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry method. Children's neurodevelopment was assessed at ages 3, 6, and 12 months using Ages and Stages Questionnaires. The nested case-control study included 150 neurodevelopmental delay cases and 150 healthy controls. Placental estradiol levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay kits. Generalized estimating equation models and robust Poisson regression models were used to examine the associations between BPF exposure and children's neurodevelopment. In the nested case-control study, causal mediation analysis was conducted to assess the role of placental estradiol as a mediator in multivariate models. RESULTS In the prospective cohort study, the pregnancy-average BPF concentration was positively associated with developmental delays in gross-motor, fine-motor, and problem-solving ( ORtotal ASQ: 1.14(1.05, 1.25), ORgross-motor: 1.22(1.10, 1.36), ORfine-motor: 1.19(1.07, 1.31), ORproblem-solving: 1.11(1.01, 1.23)). After sex-stratified analyses, pregnancy-average BPF concentration was associated with an increased risk of neurodevelopmental delays in the gross-motor (ORgross-motor:1.30(1.12, 1.51)) and fine-motor (ORfine-motor: 1.22(1.06, 1.40)) domains in boys. In the nested case-control study, placental estradiol mediated 16.6% (95%CI: 4.4%, 35.0%) of the effects of prenatal BPF exposure on developmental delay. CONCLUSIONS Our study supports an inverse relationship between prenatal BPF exposure and child neurodevelopment in infancy, particularly in boys. Decreased placental estradiol may be an underlying biological pathway linking prenatal BPF exposure to neurodevelopmental delay in offspring.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lianjie Dou
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China
| | - Shu Sun
- Department of Maternal, Child & Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China
| | - Lan Chen
- Department of Maternal, Child & Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China
| | - Lanxing Lv
- Department of Maternal, Child & Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China
| | - Chen Chen
- Department of Maternal, Child & Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China
| | - Zhaohui Huang
- Anhui Provincial Center for Women and Children's Health, Hefei, Anhui Province, China
| | - Anhui Zhang
- Wuhu Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Center, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
| | - Haiyan He
- Wuhu Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Center, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
| | - Hong Tao
- Wuhu Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Center, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
| | - Min Yu
- Wuhu Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Center, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
| | - Min Zhu
- Wuhu Maternal and Child Health (MCH) Center, Wuhu, Anhui Province, China
| | - Chao Zhang
- Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle (Anhui Medical University),Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China; Department of Health Promotion and Behavioral Sciences, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
| | - Jiahu Hao
- Department of Epidemiology and Health Statistics, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China; Department of Maternal, Child & Adolescent Health, School of Public Health, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, Anhui Province, China; Key Laboratory of Population Health Across Life Cycle (Anhui Medical University),Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China, Hefei, Anhui Province, China; NHC Key Laboratory of Study on Abnormal Gametes and Reproductive Tract, Hefei, Anhui Province, China.
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