Improving lung cancer risk stratification leveraging whole transcriptome RNA sequencing and machine learning across multiple cohorts

A Nasal Swab Classifier to Evaluate the Probability of Lung Cancer in Patients With Pulmonary Nodules

BACKGROUND

Accurate assessment of the probability of lung cancer (pCA) is critical in patients with pulmonary nodules (PNs) to help guide decision-making. We sought to validate a clinical-genomic classifier developed using whole-transcriptome sequencing of nasal epithelial cells from patients with a PN ≤ 30 mm who smoke or have previously smoked.

RESEARCH QUESTION

Can the pCA in individuals with a PN and a history of smoking be predicted by a classifier that uses clinical factors and genomic data from nasal epithelial cells obtained by cytologic brushing?

STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS

Machine learning was used to train a classifier using genomic and clinical features on 1,120 patients with PNs labeled as benign or malignant established by a final diagnosis or a minimum of 12 months of radiographic surveillance. The classifier was designed to yield low-, intermediate-, and high-risk categories. The classifier was validated in an independent set of 312 patients, including 63 patients with a prior history of cancer (other than lung cancer), comparing the classifier prediction with the known clinical outcome.

RESULTS

In the primary validation set, sensitivity and specificity for low-risk classification were 96% and 42%, whereas sensitivity and specificity for high-risk classification was 58% and 90%, respectively. Sensitivity was similar across stages of non-small cell lung cancer, independent of subtype. Performance compared favorably with clinical-only risk models. Analysis of 63 patients with prior cancer showed similar performance as did subanalyses of patients with light vs heavy smoking burden and those eligible for lung cancer screening vs those who were not.

INTERPRETATION

The nasal classifier provides an accurate assessment of pCA in individuals with a PN ≤ 30 mm who smoke or have previously smoked. Classifier-guided decision-making could lead to fewer diagnostic procedures in patients without cancer and more timely treatment in patients with lung cancer.

Applications of Machine Learning (ML) and Mathematical Modeling (MM) in Healthcare with Special Focus on Cancer Prognosis and Anticancer Therapy: Current Status and Challenges

The use of data-driven high-throughput analytical techniques, which has given rise to computational oncology, is undisputed. The widespread use of machine learning (ML) and mathematical modeling (MM)-based techniques is widely acknowledged. These two approaches have fueled the advancement in cancer research and eventually led to the uptake of telemedicine in cancer care. For diagnostic, prognostic, and treatment purposes concerning different types of cancer research, vast databases of varied information with manifold dimensions are required, and indeed, all this information can only be managed by an automated system developed utilizing ML and MM. In addition, MM is being used to probe the relationship between the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics (PK/PD interactions) of anti-cancer substances to improve cancer treatment, and also to refine the quality of existing treatment models by being incorporated at all steps of research and development related to cancer and in routine patient care. This review will serve as a consolidation of the advancement and benefits of ML and MM techniques with a special focus on the area of cancer prognosis and anticancer therapy, leading to the identification of challenges (data quantity, ethical consideration, and data privacy) which are yet to be fully addressed in current studies.

Transcriptomes of the tumor-adjacent normal tissues are more informative than tumors in predicting recurrence in colorectal cancer patients

BACKGROUND

Previous investigations of transcriptomic signatures of cancer patient survival and post-therapy relapse have focused on tumor tissue. In contrast, here we show that in colorectal cancer (CRC) transcriptomes derived from normal tissues adjacent to tumors (NATs) are better predictors of relapse.

RESULTS

Using the transcriptomes of paired tumor and NAT specimens from 80 Korean CRC patients retrospectively determined to be in recurrence or nonrecurrence states, we found that, when comparing recurrent with nonrecurrent samples, NATs exhibit a greater number of differentially expressed genes (DEGs) than tumors. Training two prognostic elastic net-based machine learning models-NAT-based and tumor-based in our Samsung Medical Center (SMC) cohort, we found that NAT-based model performed better in predicting the survival when the model was applied to the tumor-derived transcriptomes of an independent cohort of 450 COAD patients in TCGA. Furthermore, compositions of tumor-infiltrating immune cells in NATs were found to have better prognostic capability than in tumors. We also confirmed through Cox regression analysis that in both SMC-CRC as well as in TCGA-COAD cohorts, a greater proportion of genes exhibited significant hazard ratio when NAT-derived transcriptome was used compared to when tumor-derived transcriptome was used.

CONCLUSIONS

Taken together, our results strongly suggest that NAT-derived transcriptomes and immune cell composition of CRC are better predictors of patient survival and tumor recurrence than the primary tumor.

Maximizing Small Biopsy Patient Samples: Unified RNA-Seq Platform Assessment of over 120,000 Patient Biopsies

Despite its wide-ranging benefits, whole-transcriptome or RNA exome profiling is challenging to implement in a clinical diagnostic setting. The Unified Assay is a comprehensive workflow wherein exome-enriched RNA-sequencing (RNA-Seq) assays are performed on clinical samples and analyzed by a series of advanced machine learning-based classifiers. Gene expression signatures and rare and/or novel genomic events, including fusions, mitochondrial variants, and loss of heterozygosity were assessed using RNA-Seq data generated from 120,313 clinical samples across three clinical indications (thyroid cancer, lung cancer, and interstitial lung disease). Since its implementation, the data derived from the Unified Assay have allowed significantly more patients to avoid unnecessary diagnostic surgery and have played an important role in guiding follow-up decisions regarding treatment. Collectively, data from the Unified Assay show the utility of RNA-Seq and RNA expression signatures in the clinical laboratory, and their importance to the future of precision medicine.

Machine Learning for Lung Cancer Diagnosis, Treatment, and Prognosis

The recent development of imaging and sequencing technologies enables systematic advances in the clinical study of lung cancer. Meanwhile, the human mind is limited in effectively handling and fully utilizing the accumulation of such enormous amounts of data. Machine learning-based approaches play a critical role in integrating and analyzing these large and complex datasets, which have extensively characterized lung cancer through the use of different perspectives from these accrued data. In this review, we provide an overview of machine learning-based approaches that strengthen the varying aspects of lung cancer diagnosis and therapy, including early detection, auxiliary diagnosis, prognosis prediction, and immunotherapy practice. Moreover, we highlight the challenges and opportunities for future applications of machine learning in lung cancer.

Clinical validation and utility of Percepta GSC for the evaluation of lung cancer

The Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) was developed to up-classify as well as down-classify the risk of malignancy for lung lesions when bronchoscopy is non-diagnostic. We evaluated the performance of Percepta GSC in risk re-classification of indeterminate lung lesions. This multicenter study included individuals who currently or formerly smoked undergoing bronchoscopy for suspected lung cancer from the AEGIS I/ II cohorts and the Percepta Registry. The classifier was measured in normal-appearing bronchial epithelium from bronchial brushings. The sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values were calculated using predefined thresholds. The ability of the classifier to decrease unnecessary invasive procedures was estimated. A set of 412 patients were included in the validation (prevalence of malignancy was 39.6%). Overall, 29% of intermediate-risk lung lesions were down-classified to low-risk with a 91.0% negative predictive value (NPV) and 12.2% of intermediate-risk lesions were up-classified to high-risk with a 65.4% positive predictive value (PPV). In addition, 54.5% of low-risk lesions were down-classified to very low risk with >99% NPV and 27.3% of high-risk lesions were up-classified to very high risk with a 91.5% PPV. If the classifier results were used in nodule management, 50% of patients with benign lesions and 29% of patients with malignant lesions undergoing additional invasive procedures could have avoided these procedures. The Percepta GSC is highly accurate as both a rule-out and rule-in test. This high accuracy of risk re-classification may lead to improved management of lung lesions.

Role of biomarkers in lung nodule evaluation

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Worldwide, lung cancer is the leading cause of cancer mortality. Much of this mortality is thought to be secondary to detection in later stages, where treatment options and survivability are limited. The goals of lung nodule evaluation are to expedite the diagnosis and treatment of patients with malignant nodules and to minimize unnecessary diagnostic procedures in those with benign nodules. However, the differentiation between benign and malignant has been challenging and is further complicated by the benefits of early diagnosis competing with potential morbidity of invasive diagnostic procedures.

RECENT FINDINGS

Biomarkers have the potential to improve estimates of pretest probability of malignancy in pulmonary nodules, especially in the intermediate-risk subgroup. Four biomarkers have undergone extensive validation and are available for clinical use, and we will discuss each in this review.

SUMMARY

The application of biomarkers to lung cancer risk assessment has the potential to improve cancer probability assessments, which in turn can reduce unnecessary invasive testing and/or reduce delays in diagnosis and treatment.

Application of Artificial Intelligence in Lung Cancer

Lung cancer is the leading cause of malignancy-related mortality worldwide due to its heterogeneous features and diagnosis at a late stage. Artificial intelligence (AI) is good at handling a large volume of computational and repeated labor work and is suitable for assisting doctors in analyzing image-dominant diseases like lung cancer. Scientists have shown long-standing efforts to apply AI in lung cancer screening via CXR and chest CT since the 1960s. Several grand challenges were held to find the best AI model. Currently, the FDA have approved several AI programs in CXR and chest CT reading, which enables AI systems to take part in lung cancer detection. Following the success of AI application in the radiology field, AI was applied to digitalized whole slide imaging (WSI) annotation. Integrating with more information, like demographics and clinical data, the AI systems could play a role in decision-making by classifying EGFR mutations and PD-L1 expression. AI systems also help clinicians to estimate the patient's prognosis by predicting drug response, the tumor recurrence rate after surgery, radiotherapy response, and side effects. Though there are still some obstacles, deploying AI systems in the clinical workflow is vital for the foreseeable future.

Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier and decision-making in patients with high-risk lung nodules: a decision impact study

BACKGROUND

Incidental and screening-identified lung nodules are common, and a bronchoscopic evaluation is frequently nondiagnostic. The Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) is a genomic classifier developed in current and former smokers which can be used for further risk stratification in these patients. Percepta GSC has the capability of up-classifying patients with a pre-bronchoscopy risk that is high (> 60%) to "very high risk" with a positive predictive value of 91.5%. This prospective, randomized decision impact survey was designed to test the hypothesis that an up-classification of risk of malignancy from high to very high will increase the rate of referral for surgical or ablative therapy without additional intervening procedures while increasing physician confidence.

METHODS

Data were collected from 37 cases from the Percepta GSC validation cohort in which the pre-bronchoscopy risk of malignancy was high (> 60%), the bronchoscopy was nondiagnostic, and the patient was up-classified to very high risk by Percepta GSC. The cases were randomly presented to U.S pulmonologists in three formats: a pre-post cohort where each case is presented initially without and then with a GSG result, and two independent cohorts where each case is presented either with or without with a GSC result. Physicians were surveyed with respect to subsequent management steps and confidence in that decision.

RESULTS

One hundred and one survey takers provided a total of 1341 evaluations of the 37 patient cases across the three different cohorts. The rate of recommendation for surgical resection was significantly higher in the independent cohort with a GSC result compared to the independent cohort without a GSC result (45% vs. 17%, p < 0.001) In the pre-post cross-over cohort, the rate increased from 17 to 56% (p < 0.001) following the review of the GSC result. A GSC up-classification from high to very high risk of malignancy increased Pulmonologists' confidence in decision-making following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of the Percepta GSC classifier will allow more patients with early lung cancer to proceed more rapidly to potentially curative therapy while decreasing unnecessary intervening diagnostic procedures following a nondiagnostic bronchoscopy.

Analytical validation of the Percepta genomic sequencing classifier; an RNA next generation sequencing assay for the assessment of Lung Cancer risk of suspicious pulmonary nodules

BACKGROUND

Bronchoscopy is a common procedure used for evaluation of suspicious lung nodules, but the low diagnostic sensitivity of bronchoscopy often results in inconclusive results and delays in treatment. Percepta Genomic Sequencing Classifier (GSC) was developed to assist with patient management in cases where bronchoscopy is inconclusive. Studies have shown that exposure to tobacco smoke alters gene expression in airway epithelial cells in a way that indicates an increased risk of developing lung cancer. Percepta GSC leverages this idea of a molecular "field of injury" from smoking and was developed using RNA sequencing data generated from lung bronchial brushings of the upper airway. A Percepta GSC score is calculated from an ensemble of machine learning algorithms utilizing clinical and genomic features and is used to refine a patient's risk stratification.

METHODS

The objective of the analysis described and reported here is to validate the analytical performance of Percepta GSC. Analytical performance studies characterized the sensitivity of Percepta GSC test results to input RNA quantity, the potentially interfering agents of blood and genomic DNA, and the reproducibility of test results within and between processing runs and between laboratories.

RESULTS

Varying the amount of input RNA into the assay across a nominal range had no significant impact on Percepta GSC classifier results. Bronchial brushing RNA contaminated with up to 10% genomic DNA by nucleic acid mass also showed no significant difference on classifier results. The addition of blood RNA, a potential contaminant in the bronchial brushing sample, caused no change to classifier results at up to 11% contamination by RNA proportion. Percepta GSC scores were reproducible between runs, within runs, and between laboratories, varying within less than 4% of the total score range (standard deviation of 0.169 for scores on 4.57 scale).

CONCLUSIONS

The analytical sensitivity, analytical specificity, and reproducibility of Percepta GSC laboratory results were successfully demonstrated under conditions of expected day to day variation in testing. Percepta GSC test results are analytically robust and suitable for routine clinical use.

Artificial intelligence and pathology: From principles to practice and future applications in histomorphology and molecular profiling

The complexity of diagnostic (surgical) pathology has increased substantially over the last decades with respect to histomorphological and molecular profiling. Pathology has steadily expanded its role in tumor diagnostics and beyond from disease entity identification via prognosis estimation to precision therapy prediction. It is therefore not surprising that pathology is among the disciplines in medicine with high expectations in the application of artificial intelligence (AI) or machine learning approaches given their capabilities to analyze complex data in a quantitative and standardized manner to further enhance scope and precision of diagnostics. While an obvious application is the analysis of histological images, recent applications for the analysis of molecular profiling data from different sources and clinical data support the notion that AI will enhance both histopathology and molecular pathology in the future. At the same time, current literature should not be misunderstood in a way that pathologists will likely be replaced by AI applications in the foreseeable future. Although AI will transform pathology in the coming years, recent studies reporting AI algorithms to diagnose cancer or predict certain molecular properties deal with relatively simple diagnostic problems that fall short of the diagnostic complexity pathologists face in clinical routine. Here, we review the pertinent literature of AI methods and their applications to pathology, and put the current achievements and what can be expected in the future in the context of the requirements for research and routine diagnostics.