Are prognostic indices for brain metastases of melanoma still valid in the stereotactic era?

Systematic literature review and meta-analysis of clinical outcomes and prognostic factors for melanoma brain metastases

Background

More than 60% of all stage IV melanoma patients develop brain metastases, while melanoma brain metastases (MBM) is historically difficult to treat with poor prognosis.

Objectives

To summarize clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in MBM patients.

Methods

A systematic review with meta-analysis was conducted, and a literature search for relevant studies was performed on November 1, 2020. Weighted average of median overall survival (OS) was calculated by treatments. The random-effects model in conducting meta-analyses was applied.

Results

A total of 41 observational studies and 12 clinical trials with our clinical outcomes of interest, and 31 observational studies addressing prognostic factors were selected. The most common treatments for MBM were immunotherapy (IO), MAP kinase inhibitor (MAPKi), stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS), SRS+MAPKi, and SRS+IO, with median OS from treatment start of 7.2, 8.6, 7.3, 7.3, and 14.1 months, respectively. Improved OS was observed for IO and SRS with the addition of IO and/or MAPKi, compared to no IO and SRS alone, respectively. Several prognostic factors were found to be significantly associated with OS in MBM.

Conclusion

This study summarizes pertinent information regarding clinical outcomes and the association between patient characteristics and MBM prognosis.

The Analysis of Trends in Survival for Patients with Melanoma Brain Metastases with Introduction of Novel Therapeutic Options before the Era of Combined Immunotherapy-Multicenter Italian-Polish Report

Stage IV melanoma patients develop melanoma brain metastases (MBM) in 50% of cases. Their prognosis is improving, and its understanding outside the context of clinical trials is relevant. We have retrospectively analyzed the clinical data, course of treatment, and outcomes of 531 subsequent stage IV melanoma patients with BM treated in five reference Italian and Polish melanoma centers between 2014 and 2021. Patients with MBM after 2017 had a better prognosis, with a significantly improved median of overall survival (OS) after 2017 in the worst mol-GPA prognostic groups (mol-GPA ≤ 2): a median OS >6 months and HR 0.76 vs. those treated before 2017 (CI: 0.60−0.97, p = 0.027). In our prognostic model, mol-GPA was highly predictive for survival, and symptoms without steroid use did not have prognostic significance. Local therapy significantly improved survival regardless of the year of diagnosis (treated before or after 2017), with median survival >12 months. Systemic therapy improved outcomes when it was combined with local therapy. Local surgery was associated with improved OS regardless of the timing related to treatment start (i.e., before or after 30 days from MBM diagnosis). Local and systemic treatment significantly prolong survival for the poorest mol-GPA prognosis. Use of modern treatment modalities is justified in all mol-GPA prognostic groups.

Role of Ultrasound Imaging in the Prediction of TRIM67 in Brain Metastases From Breast Cancer

Objectives

Ultrasound (US) imaging is a relatively novel strategy to monitor the activity of the blood–brain barrier, which can facilitate the diagnosis and treatment of neurovascular-related metastatic tumors. The purpose of this study was to investigate the clinical significance of applying a combination of US imaging outcomes and the associated genes. This was performed to construct line drawings to facilitate the prediction of brain metastases arising from breast cancer.

Methods

The RNA transcript data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) database was obtained for breast cancer, and the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) associated with tumor and brain tumor metastases were identified. Subsequently, key genes associated with survival prognosis were subsequently identified from the DEGs.

Results

Tripartite motif-containing protein 67 (TRIM67) was identified and the differential; in addition, the survival analyses of the TCGA database revealed that it was associated with brain tumor metastases and overall survival prognosis. Applying independent clinical cohort data, US-related features (microcalcification and lymph node metastasis) were associated with breast cancer tumor metastasis. Furthermore, ultrasonographic findings of microcalcifications showed correlations with TRIM67 expression. The study results revealed that six variables [stage, TRIM67, tumor size, regional lymph node staging (N), age, and HER2 status] were suitable predictors of tumor metastasis by applying support vector machine–recursive feature elimination. Among these, US-predicted tumor size correlated with tumor size classification, whereas US-predicted lymph node metastasis correlated with tumor N classification. The TRIM67 upregulation was accompanied by upregulation of the integrated breast cancer pathway; however, it leads to the downregulation of the miRNA targets in ECM and membrane receptors and the miRNAs involved in DNA damage response pathways.

Conclusions

The TRIM67 is a risk factor associated with brain metastases from breast cancer and it is considered a prognostic survival factor. The nomogram constructed from six variables—stage, TRIM67, tumor size, N, age, HER2 status—is an appropriate predictor to estimate the occurrence of breast cancer metastasis.

Intracranial Treatment in Melanoma Patients with Brain Metastasis Is Associated with Improved Survival in the Era of Immunotherapy and Anti-BRAF Therapy

Metastatic melanoma patients are at high risk of brain metastases (BM). Although intracranial control is a prognostic factor for survival, impact of local (intracranial) treatment (LT), surgery and/or radiotherapy (stereotactic or whole brain) in the era of novel therapies remains unknown. We evaluated BM incidence in melanoma patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) or anti-BRAF therapy and identified prognostic factors for overall survival (OS). Clinical data and treatment patterns were retrospectively collected from all patients treated for newly diagnosed locally advanced or metastatic melanoma between May 2014 and December 2017 with available BRAF mutation status and receiving systemic therapy. Prognostic factors for OS were analyzed with univariable and multivariable survival analyses. BMs occurred in 106 of 250 eligible patients (42.4%), 64 of whom received LT. Median OS in patients with BM was 7.8 months (95% CI [5.4-10.4]). In multivariable analyses, LT was significantly correlated with improved OS (HR 0.21, p < 0.01). Median OS was 17.3 months (95% CI [8.3-22.3]) versus 3.6 months (95% CI [1.4-4.8]) in patients with or without LT. LT correlates with improved OS in melanoma patients with BM in the era of ICI and anti-BRAF therapy. The use of LT should be addressed at diagnosis of BM while introducing systemic treatment.

Predicting survival in melanoma patients treated with concurrent targeted- or immunotherapy and stereotactic radiotherapy : Melanoma brain metastases prognostic score

Background

Melanoma patients frequently develop brain metastases. The most widely used score to predict survival is the molGPA based on a mixed treatment of stereotactic radiotherapy (SRT) and whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT). In addition, systemic therapy was not considered. We therefore aimed to evaluate the performance of the molGPA score in patients homogeneously treated with SRT and concurrent targeted therapy or immunotherapy (TT/IT).

Methods

This retrospective analysis is based on an international multicenter database (TOaSTT) of melanoma patients treated with TT/IT and concurrent (≤30 days) SRT for brain metastases between May 2011 and May 2018. Overall survival (OS) was studied using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and log-rank testing. Uni- and multivariate analysis was performed to analyze prognostic factors for OS.

Results

One hundred ten patients were analyzed. 61, 31 and 8% were treated with IT, TT and with a simultaneous combination, respectively. A median of two brain metastases were treated per patient. After a median follow-up of 8 months, median OS was 8.4 months (0–40 months). The molGPA score was not associated with OS. Instead, cumulative brain metastases volume, timing of metastases (syn- vs. metachronous) and systemic therapy with concurrent IT vs. TT influenced OS significantly. Based on these parameters, the VTS score (volume-timing-systemic therapy) was established that stratified patients into three groups with a median OS of 5.1, 18.9 and 34.5 months, respectively (p = 0.001 and 0.03).

Conclusion

The molGPA score was not useful for this cohort of melanoma patients undergoing local therapy for brain metastases taking into account systemic TT/IT. For these patients, we propose a prognostic VTS score, which needs to be validated prospectively.

Incidence and prognosis of brain metastases in cutaneous melanoma patients: a population-based study

Brain metastases (BM) from cutaneous melanoma are associated with poor prognosis. Population-based data describing the associated factors of incidence and prognosis of BM from melanoma are still lacking. We identified 121 255 melanoma patients diagnosed during 2010-2015 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program, and identified predictive factors for incidence and survival of BM patients by using multivariable logistic and Cox's proportional hazard regression, respectively. We identified 1547 patients with BM at the time of diagnosis of malignant cutaneous melanoma, representing 1.3% of the entire cohort and 35.4% of the subset with metastatic disease. The characteristics associated with higher BM incidence were male sex, age 40-60 years, melanoma location of face/head/neck, histologic type of nodular, higher T-stage, ulceration and extracranial metastases. The median overall survival and median cutaneous melanoma specific survival of patients with BM was 5 and 6 months, respectively. The relative factors of poor survival were older age and more extracranial metastatic sites. In summary, we provided insight into the epidemiology of BM from cutaneous melanoma. These results may provide significant help to improve the screening strategy of BM strategy and update the existing prognosis evaluation system.