Thyroid V50 is a risk factor for hypothyroidism in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy: a retrospective study

A machine learning approach for predicting radiation-induced hypothyroidism in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma undergoing tomotherapy

The purpose of this study was to establish an integrated predictive model that combines clinical features, DVH, radiomics, and dosiomics features to predict RIHT in patients receiving tomotherapy for nasopharyngeal carcinoma. Data from 219 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 175) and a test cohort (n = 44) in an 8:2 ratio. RIHT is defined as serum thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) greater than 5.6 μU/mL, with or without a decrease in free thyroxine (FT4). Clinical features, 27 DVH features, 107 radiomics features and 107 dosiomics features were extracted for each case and included in the model construction. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression method was used to select the most relevant features. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) was then employed to train separate models using the selected features from clinical, DVH, radiomics and dosiomics data. Finally, a combined model incorporating all features was developed. The models were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and decision curve analysis. In the test cohort, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the clinical, DVH, radiomics, dosiomics and combined models were 0.798 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.656-0.941), 0.673 (0.512-0.834), 0.714 (0.555-0.873), 0.698 (0.530-0.848) and 0.842 (0.724-0.960), respectively. The combined model exhibited higher AUC values compared to other models. The decision curve analysis demonstrated that the combined model had superior clinical utility within the threshold probability range of 1% to 79% when compared to the other models. This study has successfully developed a predictive model that combines multiple features. The performance of the combined model is superior to that of single-feature models, allowing for early prediction of RIHT in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma after tomotherapy.

Analysis of correlative risk factors for radiation-induced hypothyroidism in head and neck tumors

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study is to identify clinical and dosimetric factors that could predict the risk of radiation-induced hypothyroidism(RIHT) in head and neck cancer(HNC) patients following intensity-modulated radiotherapy(IMRT).

METHODS

A total of 103 HNC patients were included in our study. General clinical characteristic and dosimetric data of all recruited patients were analyzed, respectively. The univariate and multivariate logistic regression anlalysis were successively conducted to identify optimal predictors, which aim to construct the nomogram. And the joint prediction was performed.

RESULTS

The incidence of patients with HNC was 36.9% (38/103). Among the clinical factors, gender, N stage, chemotherapy, frequency of chemotherapy and surgery involving the thyroid were related to RIHT. Logistic regression analysis showed that thyroid volume, Dmean, VS45, VS50, VS60 and V30,60 were independent predictors of RIHT, which were also incorporated in the nomogram. An AUC of 0.937 (95%CI, 0.888-0.958) also was showed outstanding resolving ability of the nomogram. When the volume of the thyroid was greater than 10.6 cm3, the incidence of RIHT was 14.8%, and when the volume of the thyroid was equal to or smaller than 10.6 cm3, the incidence was 72.5%. The incidence rates of RIHT in the group with VS60≦8.4cm3 and VS60 > 8.4cm3 were 61.4% and 19.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Thyroid volume and thyroid VS60 are independent predictors of RIHT in patients with HNC. Moreover, more attention should be paid to patients with thyroid volume ≤ 10.6cm3. Thyroid VS60 > 8.4cm3 may be a useful threshold for predicting the development of RIHT. The nomogram conducted by the research may become a potential and valuable tool that could individually predict the risk of RIHT for HNC patients.

Radiomics and dosiomics for predicting radiation-induced hypothyroidism and guiding intensity-modulated radiotherapy

To guide individualized intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), we developed and prospectively validated a multiview radiomics risk model for predicting radiation-induced hypothyroidism in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma. And simulated radiotherapy plans with same dose-volume-histogram (DVH) but different dose distributions were redesigned to explore the clinical application of the multiview radiomics risk model. The radiomics and dosiomics were built based on selected radiomics and dosiomics features from planning computed tomography and dose distribution, respectively. The multiview radiomics risk model that integrated radiomics, dosiomics, DVH parameters, and clinical factors had better performance than traditional normal tissue complication probability models. And multiview radiomics risk model could identify differences of patient hypothyroidism-free survival that cannot be stratified by traditional models. Besides, two redesigned simulated plans further verified the clinical application and advantage of the multiview radiomics risk model. The multiview radiomics risk model was a promising method to predict radiation-induced hypothyroidism and guide individualized IMRT.

Development and validation of a machine learning model of radiation-induced hypothyroidism with clinical and dose-volume features

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Radiation-induced hypothyroidism (RIHT) is a common but underestimated late effect in head and neck cancers. However, no consensus exists regarding risk prediction or dose constraints in RIHT. We aimed to develop a machine learning model for the accurate risk prediction of RIHT based on clinical and dose-volume features and to evaluate its performance internally and externally.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We retrospectively searched two institutions for patients aged >20 years treated with definitive radiotherapy for nasopharyngeal or oropharyngeal cancer, and extracted their clinical information and dose-volume features. One was designated the developmental cohort, the other as the external validation cohort. We compared the performances of machine learning models with those of published normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models.

RESULTS

The developmental and external validation cohorts consisted of 378 and 49 patients, respectively. The estimated cumulative incidence rates of grade ≥1 hypothyroidism were 53.5% and 61.3% in the developmental and external validation cohorts, respectively. Machine learning models outperformed traditional NTCP models by having lower Brier scores at every time point and a lower integrated Brier score, while demonstrating a comparable calibration index and mean area under the curve. Even simplified machine learning models using only thyroid features performed better than did traditional NTCP algorithms. The machine learning models showed consistent performance between folds. The performance in a previously unseen external validation cohort was comparable to that of the cross-validation.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model outperformed traditional NTCP models, with additional capabilities of predicting the RIHT risk at individual time points. A simplified model using only thyroid dose-volume features still outperforms traditional NTCP models and can be incorporated into future treatment planning systems for biological optimization.

Risk factors of early thyroid dysfunction after definitive radiotherapy in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients

BACKGROUND

To explore the patterns and risk factors of early thyroid dysfunction in nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients within 1 year after intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT).

METHODS

Patients with NPC who received definitive IMRT between April 2016 and April 2020 were included. All patients had normal thyroid function before definitive IMRT. The chi-square test, Student's T-test, Mann-Whitney U test, Kaplan-Meier method, receiver operating characteristics curve, and Cox proportional hazard analysis were used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 132 NPC patients were identified. Of these patients, 56 (42.4%) had hypothyroidism and 17 (12.9%) had hyperthyroidism. The median time to hypothyroidism and hyperthyroidism was 9 months (range, 1-12 months) and 1 month (range, 1-6 months) after definitive IMRT, respectively. In patients with hypothyroidism, 41 (73.2%) had subclinical hypothyroidism and 15 (26.8%) had clinical hypothyroidism. In those with hyperthyroidism, 12 patients (70.6%) had subclinical hyperthyroidism, and five patients (29.4%) had clinical hyperthyroidism. Age, clinical stage, thyroid volume, and V45 were independent risk factors for early radiation-induced hypothyroidism within 1 year after IMRT. Patients aged <47 years, stage III/IV disease, or pre-irradiation thyroid volume < 14 cm3 had higher risks of developing hypothyroidism.

CONCLUSION

Primary subclinical hypothyroidism was the most common subtype of early thyroid dysfunction in NPC patients within 1 year after IMRT. Age, clinical stage, thyroid volume, and V45 were independent risk factors for early radiation-induced hypothyroidism in NPC patients.

Association Between Thyroid Radiation Dose and Hypothyroidism in Breast Cancer Patients Undergoing Volumetric Modulated Arc Therapy for Regional Nodal Irradiation

BACKGROUND/AIM

To investigate the association between the thyroid dysfunction and thyroid radiation dose in regional nodal irradiation (RNI) using volumetric modulated arc therapy (VMAT) for breast cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We reviewed medical data of 67 patients with breast cancer who underwent curative surgery followed by adjuvant radiotherapy, including RNI using VMAT, between 2018 and 2021. All patients had normal thyroid functional test results, including thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), T3, and free-T4. We defined subclinical hypothyroidism as increased TSH with or without decreased levels of free-T4 and T3 after the completion of VMAT. We calculated dose-volume histogram parameters (DVHPs), including the mean dose and relative thyroid volume receiving at least 10, 20, 30, and 40 Gy.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 23.2 months. The 3-year locoregional failure-free survival, progression-free survival, and overall survival rates were 96.3%, 94.7%, and 96.2%, respectively. The mean thyroid dose was 21.4 Gy (range=11.5-29.4 Gy). Subclinical hypothyroidism was noted in 14 patients (20.9%) and the median time to the event was 4.1 months. Among the DVHPs, the relative volume receiving ≥20 Gy (V20Gy) was associated with subclinical hypothyroidism. The 2-year rates of subclinical hypothyroidism were 24.8% and 59.1% in patients with V20Gy ≤46.3% and >46.3%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

A significant proportion of patients with breast cancer developed subclinical hypothyroidism after undergoing VMAT for RNI. Our findings highlight the importance of considering the thyroid as an organ at risk for VMAT planning, and suggest that V20Gy could be a useful dose-volume constraint.

Hypothyroidism following Radiotherapy for Head and Neck Cancer: A Systematic Review of the Literature and Opportunities to Improve the Therapeutic Ratio

(1) Background: Radiotherapy (RT) is a central component for the treatment of many head and neck cancers. In this systematic review of the literature, we aimed to characterize and quantify the published evidence on RT-related hypothyroidism, including estimated incidence, clinical risk factors, and dosimetric parameters that may be used to guide clinical decision making. Furthermore, we aimed to identify potential areas of improvement in the prevention and clinical management of RT-induced hypothyroidism, including the role of modern advanced therapeutic techniques. (2) Methods: We conducted a systemic review of the literature in accordance with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) guidelines. PubMed and Google Scholar were searched to identify original research articles describing the incidence, mechanism, dosimetry, treatment, or prevention of radiation-related hypothyroidism for adults receiving RT for the treatment of head and neck cancers. The snowball method was used to identify additional articles. For identified articles, we tabulated several datapoints, including publication date, patient sample size, estimated hypothyroidism incidence, cancer site/type, follow-up period, radiation modality and technique, use of multimodality therapy, method of thyroid function evaluation, and proposed dosimetric predictors of hypothyroidism. (3) Results: One hundred and eleven articles met inclusion criteria, reflecting a range of head and neck cancer subtypes. There was a large variation in the estimated incidence of RT-related hypothyroidism, with a median estimate of 36% (range 3% to 79%). Reported incidence increased in later publication dates, which was likely related to improved screening and longer follow up. There were a wide variety of predictive metrics used to identify patients at high risk of hypothyroidism, the most common of which were volumetric and mean dosimetrics related to the thyroid gland (Vxx%, Dmean). More recently, there has been increasing evidence to suggest that the thyroid gland volume itself and the volume of the thyroid gland spared from high-dose radiation (VSxx) may better predict thyroid function after RT. There were no identified studies investigating the role of advanced radiotherapeutic techniques such as MRI-guided RT or particle therapy to decrease RT-related hypothyroidism. Conclusions: Hypothyroidism is a common toxicity resulting from therapeutic radiation for head and neck cancer with recent estimates suggesting 40-50% of patients may experience hypothyroidism after treatment. Dosimetric predictive models are increasingly able to accurately identify patients at risk of hypothyroidism, especially those utilizing thyroid VS metrics. Further investigation regarding the potential for advanced radiotherapeutic therapies to decrease RT-induced thyroid dysfunction is needed.

Thyroid volume changes following adjuvant radiation therapy for breast cancer

Background and purpose

Incidental thyroid gland irradiation frequently occurs in breast cancer patients who receive regional nodal irradiation (RNI) to the supraclavicular (SCV) region. Recent studies suggest hypothyroidism (HT) is a complication of radiation therapy (RT) that includes SCV fields. We retrospectively analyzed patients who received RNI to evaluate thyroid gland evolution following RT as well as its association with the development of HT.

Materials and methods

61 breast cancer patients received SCV-directed RT between 2007 and 2019 and met inclusion criteria. Thyroid glands were retrospectively contoured on CT simulation and follow-up images. Individual dose-volume histograms were analyzed to determine thyroid volume within and outside specific isodose lines. Relative thyroid volume changes based on different radiation doses were estimated by fusing post-RT scans with CT simulation. Logistic regression was performed to assess thyroid volume changes as a factor in the development of HT.

Results

Median pre-treatment thyroid volume was 11.8 cc (range: 6.3-74.1 cc) with a median of 42.2 % within the 20 Gy and 23.2 % within the 40 Gy isodose lines. A significant decrease in thyroid volume was noted by 1-year post-treatment (p < 0.0001) and thereafter. By 4 years post-treatment, average thyroid volume was decreased by 29.7 % (range: 2.3-64.4 %). Thyroid volume receiving 40 Gy or higher demonstrated a greater decrease compared to those receiving lower irradiation dosage. HT occurred in 17 patients (27.9 %). Patients who developed HT displayed a larger decrease in the thyroid volume receiving between 20 and 40 Gy at 12 months (p = 0.033).

Conclusion

Our study demonstrates for the first time that a reduction in thyroid volume may be seen as early as 6 months after SCV-directed RT for breast cancer, which correlates with development of clinical and subclinical HT. Furthermore, a dose-dependent correlation exists between thyroid subvolume reduction and SCV-directed RT in breast cancer patients. As feasible, efforts should be made to reduce the dose to the thyroid in patients who undergo RNI for breast cancer.

Post-radiation primary hypothyroidism in patients with head and neck cancer: External validation of thyroid gland dose-volume constraints with long-term endocrine outcomes

BACKGROUND

Post-radiation primary hypothyroidism is a common late complication in head and neck cancer (HNC) survivors. No radiation dose-volume constraint of the thyroid gland has been externally validated for predicting long-term thyroid function outcomes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This external validation study evaluated the diagnostic properties of 22 radiation dose-volume constraints of the thyroid gland proposed in the literature. Radiation dosimetric data from 488 HNC patients who underwent neck irradiation from January 2013 to December 2015 at two tertiary oncology centers were reviewed. The diagnostic metrics of candidate constraints were computed by inverse probability of censoring weighting and compared using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves with death designated as a competing event. Multivariable regression analyses were performed using the Fine-Gray sub-distribution hazard model.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up period of 6.8 years, 205 (42.0 %) patients developed post-radiation primary hypothyroidism. The thyroid volume spared from 60 Gy (VS60) had the largest area under ROC curve of 0.698 at 5 years after radiotherapy. Of all evaluated constraints, VS60 at a cutoff value of 10 cc had the highest F-score of 0.53. The 5-year hypothyroidism risks of patients with thyroid VS60 ≥ 10 cc and < 10 cc were 14.7 % and 38.2 %, respectively (p < 0.001). The adjusted sub-hazard ratio for post-radiation primary hypothyroidism for VS60 < 10 cc was 1.87 (95 % confidence interval, 1.22-2.87; p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Thyroid VS60 is the best radiation dose-volume parameter to predict the long-term risk of primary hypothyroidism in patients with HNC who underwent neck irradiation. VS60 ≥ 10 cc is a robust constraint that limits the 5-year primary hypothyroidism risk to less than 15 % and should be routinely employed during radiotherapy optimization.

Organs-at-risk dose constraints in head and neck intensity-modulated radiation therapy using a dataset from a multi-institutional clinical trial (JCOG1015A1)

Background

JCOG1015A1 is an ancillary research study to determine the organ-specific dose constraints in head and neck carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) using data from JCOG1015.

Methods

Individual patient data and dose-volume histograms of organs at risk (OAR) were collected from 74 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with IMRT who enrolled in JCOG1015. The incidence of late toxicities was evaluated using the cumulative incidence method or prevalence proportion. ROC analysis was used to estimate the optimal DVH cut-off value that predicted toxicities.

Results

The 5-year cumulative incidences of Grade (G) 1 myelitis, ≥ G1 central nervous system (CNS) necrosis, G2 optic nerve disorder, ≥ G2 dysphagia, ≥ G2 laryngeal edema, ≥ G2 hearing impaired, ≥ G2 middle ear inflammation, and ≥ G1 hypothyroidism were 10%, 5%, 2%, 11%, 5%, 26%, 34%, and 34%, respectively. Significant associations between DVH parameters and incidences of toxicities were observed in the brainstem for myelitis (D1cc ≥ 55.8 Gy), in the brain for CNS necrosis (D1cc ≥ 72.1 Gy), in the eyeball for optic nerve disorder (Dmax ≥ 36.6 Gy), and in the ipsilateral inner ear for hearing impaired (Dmean ≥ 44 Gy). The optic nerve, pharyngeal constrictor muscle (PCM), and thyroid showed tendencies between DVH parameters and toxicity incidence. The prevalence proportion of G2 xerostomia at 2 years was 17 versus 6% (contralateral parotid gland Dmean ≥ 25.8 Gy vs less).

Conclusions

The dose constraint criteria were appropriate for most OAR in this study, although more strict dose constraints might be necessary for the inner ear, PCM, and brainstem.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s13014-022-02105-3.

Association between Cervical Lymph Node Metastasis and the Incidence of Radiation-Induced Hypothyroidism in Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Background

It is controversial and unclear how N-stage would increase the risk of incidence of hypothyroidism (HT) for patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) after radiotherapy. Our study aimed to explore the correlation between cervical lymph node metastasis and the incidence of HT in NPC.

Materials and Methods

A total of 206 patients with NPC treated at the Cancer Hospital of University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, and their clinical information were retrospectively collected. A series of univariate logistic regression models were performed to explore the association of clinical and lymph node indices with the development of HT. Significant features in univariate analysis were then used to construct three prediction models, for HT prediction using multivariate logistic regression based on Bayesian information criterion. Prediction performance of those models was measured by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) using 10-fold cross-validation.

Results

A total of 111 patients developed HT, and the incidence of HT in N_2–3 and N_0–1 patients was 58.82% and 44.29%, respectively. Compared to Model 1 (consisted of pretreatment TSH concentration, thyroid volume, and N-stage) whose AUCs were 0.801 and 0.766 in training and validation sets, with N-stage be replaced by shortest distance from thyroid, Model 2 achieved more stable AUCs of 0.824 and 0.801. While with numbers of positive lymph nodes in Level IIb additionally added, Model 3 improved its AUCs to 0.841 and 0.813.

Conclusion

The shortest distance between the lymph nodes and thyroid gland and the number of lymph nodes in IIb are better predictors of radiation-induced HT than the N-stage.

Dose-volume predictors of post-radiation primary hypothyroidism in head and neck cancer: a systematic review

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This systematic review included 29 studies (n = 4,530 patients) on dosimetric predictors of primary hypothyroidism in HNC.

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Average crude incidence of primary hypothyroidism after HNC radiotherapy was 41.4%.

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Thyroid Dmean and V50 were the most widely reported dosimetric predictors for hypothyroidism.

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Thyroid volume is a predictor of hypothyroidism (pooled aOR 0.89 per 1 cc increment) independent of radiation dosimetry.

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Thyroid gland constraints individualized for thyroid volume are crucial in HNC radiotherapy.

Background and Purpose

This systematic review aims to identify radiation dose-volume predictors of primary hypothyroidism after radiotherapy in patients with head and neck cancer (HNC).

Materials and methods

We performed a systematic literature search of Medline, EMBASE and Web of Science from database inception to July 1, 2021 for articles that discuss radiation dose-volume predictors of post-radiation primary hypothyroidism in patients with HNC. Data on the incidence, clinical risk factors and radiation dose-volume parameters were extracted. A meta-analysis was performed using the random-effects model to estimate the pooled odds ratio (OR) of thyroid volume as a predictor of the risk of post-radiation hypothyroidism, adjusted for thyroid radiation dosimetry.

Results

Our search identified 29 observational studies involving 4,530 patients. With median follow-up durations ranging from 1.0 to 5.3 years, the average crude incidence of post-radiation primary hypothyroidism was 41.4 % (range, 10 %–57 %). Multiple radiation dose-volume parameters were associated with post-radiation primary hypothyroidism, including the thyroid mean dose (Dmean), minimum dose, V25, V30, V35, V45, V50, V30–60, VS45 and VS60. Thyroid Dmean and V50 were the most frequently proposed dosimetric predictors. The pooled adjusted OR of thyroid volume on the risk of post-radiation primary hypothyroidism was 0.89 (95 % confidence interval, 0.85–0.93; p < 0.001) per 1 cc increment.

Conclusion

Post-radiation primary hypothyroidism is a common late complication after radiotherapy for HNC. Minimizing inadvertent exposure of the thyroid gland to radiation is crucial to prevent this late complication. Radiation dose-volume constraints individualized for thyroid volume should be considered in HNC radiotherapy planning.

Multivariate NTCP Model of Hypothyroidism After Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy for Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma

Objective

To evaluate the incidence of hypothyroidism in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma after intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), analyze its correlation with multiple influencing factors such as thyroid exposure dose, thyroid volume, and gender, and construct a multivariate-based normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) model for the occurrence of hypothyroidism after IMRT.

Materials and Methods

The thyroid hormone levels of patients at different points in time before and after radiotherapy were tested, and statistics on the incidence of hypothyroidism after treatment were obtained. The dose-volume data of patients’ thyroids were converted into EQD2 equivalent dose values. The correlation between hypothyroidism after radiotherapy and thyroid exposure dose, thyroid volume, gender, and other factors was analyzed, and an NTCP model was constructed.

Results

A total of 69 patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma were enrolled in this study. Twelve months after radiotherapy, a total of 24 patients (34.8%) developed hypothyroidism. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis revealed that the average thyroid dose and thyroid volume are the most important factors affecting hypothyroidism after radiotherapy. The NTCP model constructed based on the average dose and thyroid volume has a good degree of fit.

Conclusion

The volume and average dose of the thyroid gland are the key factors affecting the occurrence of hypothyroidism in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma after radiotherapy. The NTCP model constructed based on multivariate construction suggests that reducing the average dose of the thyroid to the greatest extent is an effective way to protect thyroid functions.

Radiation-induced hypothyroidism in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy with or without chemotherapy: Development of a nomogram based on the equivalent dose

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to establish a nomogram for predicting radiation-induced hypothyroidism (RHT) based on an equivalent dose at 2 Gy per fraction (EQD₂) in patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) treated with intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) with or without chemotherapy.

METHODS

Two hundred forty-four eligible patients with NPC were recruited for this study. Patients' clinical factors and dose-volume parameters of the thyroid gland were retrieved from medical records and the IMRT treatment planning system, respectively. The irradiation doses were converted into EQD₂ for analysis. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to identify optimal predictors of RHT for constructing the nomogram.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 63.0 months, the cumulative incidence rates of RHT at 3 months and 1-, 2-, 3-, 4- and 5- year after IMRT were 10.2%, 36.2%, 47.6%, 54.2%, 58.8% and 69.4%, respectively. Four independent factors for predicting RHT, including gender, age, pretreatment volume of the thyroid gland and V_35Gy(3Gy) of the thyroid gland, were identified and incorporated into the nomogram. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was 0.747 (95% confidence interval 0.685 - 0.809). Calibration curves and DCA curves showed that the nomogram was in good agreement with the actual observations and clinical usefulness.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram proposed in this study provides a reliable estimate of RHT risk in patients with NPC after IMRT and appears to have the potential to be a useful tool for widespread clinical applications.