Prognostic factors in patients with HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma following hepatic resection

Association between statin use and the prognosis of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection: a nationwide cohort study

Background

The majority of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) following hepatic resection experience tumor recurrence. Statin use is associated with a reduced risk of HCC development; however, the association between statin use and the prognosis of HCC after resection remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the effect of statin use on the prognosis after hepatic resection among patients with HCC.

Methods

A nationwide cohort study was performed with data from the National Health Insurance Service Database in Korea. Among 65,101 HCC patients who underwent hepatic resection between January 2002 and December 2017, we included 21,470 patients. For validation, a hospital-based cohort of 3366 patients with very early or early-stage HCC who received curative-intent hepatic resection between January 2010 and December 2018 was analyzed. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was compared between statin users and non-users.

Findings

Among the nationwide cohort of 21,470 patients, 2399 (11.2%) used statins and 19,071 (88.8%) did not. Among the hospital cohort of 3366 patients, 363 (10.8%) used statins and 3003 (89.2%) did not. In the propensity score-matched nationwide cohort, statin users had better RFS (hazard ratio [HR], 0.60; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.64; P < 0.001) and OS (HR, 0.49; 95% CI, 0.45-0.53; P < 0.001), with a duration-response relationship. In the propensity score-matched validation hospital cohort, statin treatment was significantly associated with better RFS (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.59-0.90; P = 0.003) and OS (HR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.32-0.72; P < 0.001). The beneficial effects of statins were more prominent in non-cirrhotics, tumors sized ≥3 cm, tumors with microscopic vascular invasion, or early HCC recurrence (<2 years after resection).

Interpretation

Statin use was associated with a better prognosis in a population-based cohort of patients with HCC after hepatic resection, which was further validated in a large hospital-based cohort.

Funding

Asan Institute for Life Sciences and Corporate Relations; Korean Association for the Study of the Liver.

The role of antiplatelet therapies on incidence and mortality of hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

To evaluate the impact of antiplatelet therapy (APT)on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality following its treatment.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials Databases. Two HCC clinical settings were explored: (i) incidence, and (ii) death after any HCC treatment. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated to compare the pooled data between patients who received or did not receive APT.

RESULTS

A total of 20 studies were identified, of whom 15 focused on HCC incidence, including 2,685,009 patients, and five on post-treatment death, including 3281 patients. APT was associated with an overall reduced risk of HCC incidence (OR: 0.63; 95%CI = 0.51-0.79; p < 0.001) as well as of post-treatment mortality (OR: 0.54; 95%CI = 0.35-0.83; p = 0.006).

CONCLUSIONS

Current data suggest that APT correlated with higher HCC incidence and poor overall survival following tumour treatment.

Influence of aspirin use on clinical outcomes of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Aspirin use has been suggested to reduce cancer risk. However, previous studies showed inconsistent results as for the association between aspirin use and mortality in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The aim of the study was to evaluate the influence of aspirin use on clinical outcomes of patients with HCC in a meta-analysis.

MATERIALS

Studies were obtained via systematic search of PubMed, Cochrane's Library, and Embase databases. A random-effect model, which incorporated the potential heterogeneity, was used to pool the results.

RESULTS

Six retrospective cohort studies including 18,855 HCC patients that underwent liver resection or transarterial chemoembolization were included. Pooled results showed that compared to the non-users, aspirin users of HCC had significantly reduced risk of HCC recurrence (risk ratio [RR]: 0.74, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.59-0.93, p = 0.01; I² = 34%) and all-cause mortality (RR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.47-0.73, p < 0.001; I² = 0%) after controlling of potential confounding factors. In addition, pooled results showed that aspirin use was not associated with a significantly increased risk of major bleeding events (RR: 1.42, 95% CI: 0.81-2.51, p = 0.22; I² = 29%) in patients with HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Evidence from retrospective studies suggests that aspirin use is associated with reduced recurrence and all-cause mortality of HCC. These results should be validated in prospective cohort studies and randomized controlled trials.

Probabilistic ratiocination of hepatocellular carcinoma after resection: evaluation of expected to be promising approaches

Background

Precise prediction of survival after treatment is of great importance for patients with diseases with high mortality. RNA sequencing data and deep learning (DL) methods are expected to become promising approaches in the development of prediction models in the future. We aimed to evaluate the optimal covariates and methodology for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing surgical resection.

Methods

The Cox proportional hazards regression model and the DL approach were used to develop prediction models incorporating clinical, genetic, and combined clinical and genetic variables for survival prediction in patients with HCC after resection. A total of 1,114 patients and 184 patients were enrolled in the present study from 2,163 and 601 patients from Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital and Renji Hospital, respectively. The models were internally validated through random sampling and externally validated in clinical cohorts. Between-model comparisons were carried out in terms of the integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification index.

Results

The Cox and DL clinical models were developed by adopting 7 independent prognostic factors (total bilirubin, prothrombin time, tumor size, tumor number, lymph node metastasis, and vascular invasion) and 22 clinical factors, respectively. Both the Cox clinical model and the DL clinical model showed excellent performances in the derivation [area under the curve (AUC): 0.75 vs. 0.77] and validation (AUC: 0.83 vs. 0.80) sets. The derived Cox genetic model with 6 significant prognostic genes was not as effective as the DL approach involving 686 genes. A combined clinical and genetic approach modified the performances of both the Cox and DL models. The integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification index of the DL clinical model were generally better than those of the Cox clinical model.

Conclusions

Our Cox clinical model sufficiently provided precise survival prediction in patients with HCC after resection. It may serve as an accurate and cost-effective tool for predicting survival in such patients.

Aspirin in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Preclinical and clinical studies provide evidence for aspirin as a preventative agent for cancer. Compelling direct evidence supports a chemopreventive effect of aspirin in individuals at high risk of developing colorectal cancer due to Lynch syndrome, while indirect evidence indicates that aspirin may reduce the risk of and mortality from sporadic colorectal cancer. There is weaker evidence for a protective effect of aspirin against all cancers taken as a group. Nevertheless, the results of recent retrospective cohort studies consistently indicate a beneficial effect of aspirin as a chemopreventive or adjuvant chemotherapeutic agent in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Epidemiologic studies conducted in the general population or in selected populations at higher risk for HCC reveal that regular aspirin use is associated with reduced HCC incidence. In addition, aspirin may act as an adjuvant to other therapies in reducing HCC recurrence. According to studies in animal models, the cancer-preventative effect of aspirin may be related to its antiplatelet and anti-inflammatory activities. Prospective studies are warranted to determine whether aspirin should be recommended to diverse populations of patients at risk for HCC.

Comparison of Hepatic Resection Combined with Intraoperative Radiofrequency Ablation, or Hepatic Resection Alone, for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients with Multifocal Tumors Meeting the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) Criteria: A Propensity Score-Matched Analysis

BACKGROUND

Whether hepatic resection (HR) combined with radiofrequency ablation (RFA) or HR alone is the treatment of choice for early or moderately advanced multifocal hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) is a matter of debate. This study compared the short- and long-term outcomes of patients with multifocal tumors meeting the University of California San Francisco (UCSF) criteria after HR plus intraoperative RFA or HR alone.

METHODS

A total of 261 consecutive patients with multifocal HCCs meeting the UCSF criteria from January 2010 to January 2018, who underwent combined treatment (n = 51) or HR (n = 210), were included. Propensity score matching was performed to adjust for baseline differences. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were calculated, and subgroup analysis, along with univariate and multivariate analyses, were performed.

RESULTS

The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates after combined treatment or HR alone were 86.3%, 66.6%, and 34.2%, and 92.8%, 67.1%, and 37%, respectively (p = 0.423); combined treatment provided similar RFS rates as HR at 1, 3, and 5 years (78.4%, 35.8% and 20.9% vs. 82.6%, 50.4% and 24.5%, respectively; p = 0.076). The propensity matching model showed similar results. Subgroup analysis showed that HR was associated with better RFS than HR plus RFA for patients with two tumors or major tumors ≤ 3 cm. Multivariate analysis revealed that portal hypertension and three tumors are independent risk factors.

CONCLUSIONS

For multifocal HCC patients meeting the UCSF criteria, combined treatment may offer similar OS and RFS as HR; however, HR may be more suitable than combined treatment for patients with two tumors or major tumors ≤ 3 cm.