Predictors of hydrocephalus as a complication of non-traumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective observational cohort study in 107 patients

A predictive model in patients with chronic hydrocephalus following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: a retrospective cohort study

Objective

Our aim was to develop a nomogram that integrates clinical and radiological data obtained from computed tomography (CT) scans, enabling the prediction of chronic hydrocephalus in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Method

A total of 318 patients diagnosed with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) and admitted to the Department of Neurosurgery at the Affiliated People's Hospital of Jiangsu University between January 2020 and December 2022 were enrolled in our study. We collected clinical characteristics from the hospital's medical record system. To identify risk factors associated with chronic hydrocephalus, we conducted both univariate and LASSO regression models on these clinical characteristics and radiological features, accompanied with penalty parameter adjustments conducted through tenfold cross-validation. All features were then incorporated into multivariate logistic regression analyses. Based on these findings, we developed a clinical-radiological nomogram. To evaluate its discrimination performance, we conducted Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calculated the Area Under the Curve (AUC). Additionally, we employed calibration curves, and utilized Brier scores as an indicator of concordance. Additionally, Decision Curve Analysis (DCA) was performed to determine the clinical utility of our models by estimating net benefits at various threshold probabilities for both training and testing groups.

Results

The study included 181 patients, with a determined chronic hydrocephalus prevalence of 17.7%. Univariate logistic regression analysis identified 11 potential risk factors, while LASSO regression identified 7 significant risk factors associated with chronic hydrocephalus. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed three independent predictors for chronic hydrocephalus following aSAH: Periventricular white matter changes, External lumbar drainage, and Modified Fisher Grade. A nomogram incorporating these factors accurately predicted the risk of chronic hydrocephalus in both the training and testing cohorts. The AUC values were calculated as 0.810 and 0.811 for each cohort respectively, indicating good discriminative ability of the nomogram model. Calibration curves along with Hosmer-Lemeshow tests demonstrated excellent agreement between predicted probabilities and observed outcomes in both cohorts. Furthermore, Brier scores (0.127 for the training and 0.09 for testing groups) further validated the predictive performance of our nomogram model. The DCA confirmed that this nomogram provides superior net benefit across various risk thresholds when predicting chronic hydrocephalus. The decision curve demonstrated that when an individual's threshold probability ranged from 5 to 62%, this model is more effective in predicting the occurrence of chronic hydrocephalus after aSAH.

Conclusion

A clinical-radiological nomogram was developed to combine clinical characteristics and radiological features from CT scans, aiming to enhance the accuracy of predicting chronic hydrocephalus in patients with aSAH. This innovative nomogram shows promising potential in assisting clinicians to create personalized and optimal treatment plans by providing precise predictions of chronic hydrocephalus among aSAH patients.

Pretreatment and Posttreatment Factors Associated with Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Hydrocephalus is a common complication after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). This study aimed to evaluate novel preoperative and postoperative risk factors for shunt-dependent hydrocephalus (SDHC) after aSAH via a systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted using PubMed and Embase databases for studies pertaining to aSAH and SDHC. Articles were assessed by meta-analysis if the number of risk factors for SDHC was reported by >4 studies and could be extracted separately for patients who did or did not develop SDHC.

RESULTS

Thirty-seven studies were included, comprising 12,667 patients with aSAH (SDHC 2214 vs. non-SDHC 10,453). In a primary analysis of 15 novel potential risk factors, 8 were identified to be significantly associated with increased prevalence of SDHC after aSAH, including high World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grades (odds ratio [OR], 2.43), hypertension (OR, 1.33), anterior cerebral artery (OR, 1.36), middle cerebral artery (OR, 0.65), and vertebrobasilar artery (2.21) involvement, decompressive craniectomy (OR, 3.27), delayed cerebral ischemia (OR, 1.65), and intracerebral hematoma (OR, 3.91).

CONCLUSIONS

Several new factors associated with increased odds of developing SDHC after aSAH were found to be significant. By providing evidence-based risk factors for shunt dependency, we describe an identifiable list of preoperative and postoperative prognosticators that may influence how surgeons recognize, treat, and manage patients with aSAH at high risk for developing SDHC.

[Surgical treatment of intracranial aneurysms in acute period of hemorrhage in Hunt-Hess grade IV-V patients at Burdenko Neurosurgical Center between 2006 and 2020]

BACKGROUND

Management of patients in acute period of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage Hunt-Hess grade IV-V is still a complex and unsolved problem, especially regarding surgical treatment and various complications.

OBJECTIVE

To analyze postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing surgery in acute period of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage Hunt-Hess grade IV-V between 2006 and 2020, as well as to assess various factors influencing treatment outcomes.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We analyzed 163 patients who underwent surgery within 21 days after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage Hunt-Hess grade IV-V. All patients were divided into 2 groups depending on the period: 2006-2011 (group 1) and 2012-2020 (group 2).

RESULTS

Mortality reduced from 28.6% in group 1 to 8.3% in group 2. At the same time, incidence of vegetative state (GOS grade 2) increased from 4.8% to 17.4%. Incidence of outcomes GOS grade 3 - 5 was similar.

CONCLUSION

Large or giant aneurysm, repeated preoperative subarachnoid hemorrhage, intraoperative aneurysm rupture and prolonged temporary clipping can impair postoperative outcomes in patients with hemorrhage Hunt-Hess grade IV-V. External ventricular drainage, intraarterial injection of verapamil, intracisternal administration of calcium channel blockers and active surgical tactics improve postoperative outcomes and reduce mortality.

Acute hydrocephalus and delayed cerebral infarction after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Delayed cerebral infarction (DCIn) following aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) is a major cause of morbi-mortality; yet, the causes for DCIn remain incompletely understood.

OBJECTIVE

We tested the hypothesis that acute hydrocephalus could be related to the occurrence of DCIn, independently of the occurrence and severity of vasospasm.

METHODS

Radiological and clinical data of patients treated at a single large volume academic center for aSAH between 2017 and 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. DCIn was defined as imaging stigma of cerebral infarction visible on 6-week imaging follow-up after aSAH. Hydrocephalus was defined on baseline imaging as a relative bicaudate index above 1. Cerebral vasospasm was defined by reduction of artery diameter in comparison with initial diameter. We used uni- and multivariable models to test the associations between these variables, hydrocephalus and DCIn.

RESULTS

Of 164 included patients, vasospasm occurred in 58 patients (35.4%), and DCIn in 47 (28.7%). Acute hydrocephalus was present in 85 patients (51.8%) on baseline CT. No relation was found between acute hydrocephalus and delayed cerebral infarction in our multivariate analysis (adjusted OR: 1.20 95% CI [0.43-3.37]; p = 0.732). Only vasospasm occurrence was independently associated with DCIn (adjusted OR: 10.97 95% CI [4.60-26.01]).

CONCLUSION

Our study did not show an association between acute hydrocephalus and DCIn after aSAH, after adjustment for the presence and severity of cerebral vasospasm.

Non-aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage: Is the deep venous system the hidden culprit?

AIM

The exact cause of bleeding in non-aneurysmal sub-arachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) is yet to be established. The present study intends to evaluate the morphological variants of deep cerebral venous drainage, especially basal veins of Rosenthal (BVR), and to correlate if such a venous anomaly is associated with increased incidence of non-aneurysmal SAH.

METHODS

A prospective analysis of all the patients of age more than 12 years with spontaneous non-aneurysmal SAH and undergone 4-vessel DSA for the diagnosis of the source of bleeding was included in the study (n = 59). The anatomy of the basal venous distribution was evaluated and was divided into 3 different types, namely normal (Type A), normal variant (Type B), and primitive (Type C), based on DSA findings. The follow-up of these cases was noted. The three groups were compared with one another.

RESULTS

The median age of presentation was 51 years with slight male predominance (52%). Primitive venous drainage was associated with a poorer grade at presentation (p = 0.002), more severe bleed (p = 0.001), vasospasm (p = 0.045), and a poorer outcome at 6 months (p = 0.019). Hydrocephalous and vasospasm were seen in patients with primitive venous drainage. On multivariate regression analysis for poorer outcome, it was observed that a worse grade at presentation, extensive bleed, primitive venous drainage are independent predictors of an adverse outcome.

CONCLUSION

The presence of primitive venous drainage has a linear relationship with the development of non-aneurysmal SAH with multi-cisternal hemorrhage, worse grade at presentation, and unfavorable outcome.

Application of patient-centered care using guidelines of the Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations in patients with acute subarachnoid hemorrhage

OBJECTIVE

This study was designed to explore the feasibility and effectiveness of patient-centered care (PCC) on basis of guidelines of Joint Commission on Accreditation of Healthcare Organizations (JCI) in patients with acute subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH).

METHODS

A total of 180 SAH patients who received treatment in our hospital were selected as prospective research objects, and were divided into a study group (n=90) and a control group (n=90) by convenience sampling. Patients in the control group received conventional SAH-targeted care, and patients in the study group were additionally nursed with PCC on the basis of conventional SAH-targeted care. The general indicators, including Mini-Mental State Exam (MMSE) scores before and after intervention, activities of daily living (ADL), mental state, general self-efficacy scale (GSES), health knowledge, and incidence of complications were compared between the two groups.

RESULTS

The length of hospital stay, the time in bed, and the expenses of hospitalization in the study group were lower than those of the control group (P<0.05). The scores of MMSE, ADL, GSES, and health knowledge in the study group were higher than those in the control group (P<0.05), and the scores of each dimension of Symptom Checklist-90 (SCL-90) and the incidence of complications in the study group were lower than those in the control group (P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

PCC for SAH patients based on the guidelines of JCI can not only improve the outcomes, cognitive function, self-efficacy, negative emotions and ADL of patients, but also help enhance their awareness of the disease and reduce the incidence of complications.

Prognostic Model for Chronic Shunt-Dependent Hydrocephalus After Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

BACKGROUND

Patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) are at risk of the development of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. However, identification of shunt-dependent patients remains challenging. We sought to develop a prognostic model to identify patients with aSAH at risk of chronic shunt-dependent hydrocephalus. In addition to the well-known prognostic variables, blood clearance in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) spaces was considered.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed the data from 227 patients treated at our institution from January 2012 to January 2016. The outcome was ventriculoperitoneal shunt placement within 30 days after aSAH. The candidate prognostic variables were patient age, World Federation of Neurological Surgeons grade and Fisher grade, external ventricular drainage, ventricular and intracerebral hemorrhage, and interval to blood clearance in the peripheral/basal CSF spaces. Adjustment for multiple testing was performed. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used for model development. Bootstrapping was applied for internal validation. The model performance measures included indexes for explained variance (R²), calibration (graphic plot, Hosmer-Lemeshow test), and discrimination (c-statistic).

RESULTS

Of the 227 patients, 90 (39.6%) required a ventriculoperitoneal shunt. The constructed prognostic model combined external ventricular drainage placement, the presence of ventricular blood, and the duration of blood clearance in the basal cisterns. The model performance was promising, with an R² of 33% (20% after bootstrapping), the calibration plot was adequate, the Hosmer-Lemeshow test result was not significant, and the c-statistic was 0.85 (0.84 as assessed after bootstrapping) indicating a good discriminating prognostic model.

CONCLUSIONS

Our prognostic model could help identify patients requiring permanent CSF diversion after aSAH, although additional modification and external validation are needed. Interventions aimed at accelerating the clearance of blood in the basal cisterns might have the potential to prevent the development of chronic hydrocephalus after aSAH.