Positive predictive value estimates for noninvasive prenatal testing from data of a prenatal diagnosis laboratory and literature review

The performance evaluation of NIPT for fetal chromosome microdeletion/microduplication detection: a retrospective analysis of 68,588 Chinese cases

Background

Chromosomal abnormalities are the main cause of birth defects in newborns. Since the inception of noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT) technology, it has primarily been applied to the detection of common trisomy (T21, T18, T13). However, the application of NIPT in microdeletion and microduplication detection is still controversial.

Methods

This study retrospectively analyzed the data of 68,588 cases that underwent NIPT at Ganzhou Maternal and Child Health Hospital in China. These data were used to evaluate the performance of NIPT in fetal chromosome microdeletion/microduplication detection and to investigate the key factors affecting the NIPT performance.

Results

A total of 281 cases (0.41%) had positive NIPT results with copy number variants (CNVs), of which 161 were validated by karyotyping and chromosome microarray analysis (CMA). Among the 161 cases, 92 were confirmed as true positives through karyotyping or CMA, including 61 microdeletion cases and 31 microduplication cases, resulting in a positive predictive value (PPV) of 57.14%. Improvements in library construction methods increased the fraction of cell-free fetal DNA (cffDNA) from 13.76% to 18.44%, leading to a significant improvement in the detection rate (0.47% vs. 0.15%) and PPV (59.86% vs. 28.57%) of NIPT for CNVs.

Conclusion

This study proved the robust performance of NIPT for fetal chromosome microdeletion/microduplication detection. In addition, the cffDNA fraction is a key factor influencing NIPT, with increased cffDNA fraction improving the performance of NIPT.

Comparison of the performance of NIPT and NIPT-plus for fetal chromosomal aneuploidy and high Z-score increases the positive predictive value

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) and expanded non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT-plus) for detecting aneuploidies at different sequencing depths and assess Z-score accuracy in predicting trisomies 21, 18, 13, 45X, and 47XXX.

METHODS

Pregnancies with positive NIPT or NIPT-plus results detected at the prenatal diagnosis center of Nanfang Hospital were included in this retrospective study, between January 2017 and December 2022. Invasive prenatal diagnostic results were collected. Logistic regression analyses were used to study the relationship between Z-score and positive predictive value (PPV). Optimal cut-off values were obtained based on receiver operating characteristic analysis, and PPVs were calculated in different groups.

RESULTS

We evaluated 1348 pregnant women with positive results, including 930 reported by NIPT and 418 reported by NIPT-plus. NIPT reported significantly more rare chromosomal aneuploidies (RCAs), and NIPT-plus had a significantly higher PPV for trisomy 21 (T21). Logistic regression analyses showed a significant association (P < 0.001) between Z-score and PPVs for T21 and trisomy 18 (T18). A linear relationship was observed between fetal fraction (FF) and Z-values in the true positive cases of T21 and T18.The high Z-score group had significantly higher PPVs than the low Z-score group for T21, T18, trisomy 13, and 47XXX, but not for 45X.

CONCLUSION

The Z-score is helpful in assessing NIPT or NIPT-plus results. Therefore, we suggest including the Z-score and FF in the results. By combining the Z-score, FF, and maternal age, clinicians can interpret NIPT results more accurately and improve personal counsel to reduce patients' anxiety.

Clinical evaluation of noninvasive prenatal testing for sex chromosome aneuploidies in 9,176 Korean pregnant women: a single-center retrospective study

BACKGROUND

To evaluate the clinical significance of noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for detecting fetal sex chromosome aneuploidies (SCAs) in Korean pregnant women.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed NIPT data from 9,176 women with singleton pregnancies referred to the CHA Biotech genome diagnostics center. Cell-free fetal DNA (cffDNA) was extracted from maternal peripheral blood, and high-throughput massively parallel sequencing was conducted. Subsequently, the positive NIPT results for SCA were validated via karyotype and chromosomal microarray analyses.

RESULTS

Overall, 46 cases were SCA positive after NIPT, including 20, 12, 8, and 6 for Turner, triple X, Klinefelter, and Jacob syndromes, respectively. Among 37 women with invasive prenatal diagnosis, 19 had true positive NIPT results. The overall positive predictive value (PPV) of NIPT for detecting SCAs was 51.35%. The PPV was 18.75% for Turner, 88.89% for triple X, 71.43% for Klinefelter, and 60.00% for Jacob's syndromes. NIPT accuracy for detecting sex chromosome trisomies was higher than that for sex chromosome monosomy (P = 0.002). No significant correlation was observed between fetal SCA incidence and maternal age (P = 0.914), except for the borderline significance of Jacob's syndrome (P = 0.048). No significant differences were observed when comparing NIPT and karyotyping validation for fetal SCA according to pregnancy characteristics.

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that NIPT can reliably screen for SCAs, and it performed better in predicting sex chromosome trisomies compared with monosomy X. No correlation was observed between maternal age and fetal SCA incidence, and no association was observed between different pregnancy characteristics. The accuracy of these findings requires improvements; however, our study provides an important reference for clinical genetic counseling and further management. Larger scale studies, considering confounding factors, are required for accurate evaluation.

Non-invasive prenatal test findings in 41,819 pregnant women: results from a clinical laboratory in southern China

BACKGROUND

This paper evaluated the clinical utility of massively parallel sequencing-based non-invasive prenatal testing (NIPT) for detecting trisomy 21 (T21), T18, T13, sex chromosome aneuploidies (SCA), and rare chromosome aneuploidies (RCA) among the data collected by a clinical laboratory in southern China.

METHODS

In a 3-year period between January 2017 and December 2019, over 40,000 pregnant women underwent NIPT clinical screening test for fetal T21, T18, T13, SCA, and RCA in our laboratory. NIPT samples were processed using the NextSeq CN500 platform. The positive results were confirmed by karyotyping, and chromosomal microarray analysis (CMA) or copy number variants (CNV) sequencing. Details of the pregnancy outcomes were collected via telephone interview.

RESULTS

NIPT results were available for 41,819 cases; 691 positive cases were reported. The overall sensitivity for detection of T21, T18, T13, SCA, and RCA was 99.21, 100.00, 100.00, 98.55, and 100.00%, and the specificity was 99.95, 99.94, 99.98, 99.69, and 99.92%, respectively. The positive predictive values (PPVs) for detection of T21, T18, T13, SCA, and RCA were 85.62, 45.24, 40.00, 34.17, and 13.51%, respectively, and those for detection of 45,X, 47,XXY, 47,XXX, 47,XYY, and 46,XY(delX) 20.00, 59.18, 28.95, 61.54, and 25.00%, respectively. Regarding pregnancy outcomes, 92.38% of the pregnancies with confirmed aneuploidies were terminated, and 91.20% of those identified as having a false-positive result were carried to term. Among 252 unconfirmed cases, 24.60% of the pregnancies were terminated and 38.10% carried to term, while 37.30% declined interview.

CONCLUSIONS

NIPT is widely used to screen fetal aneuploidies based on its high sensitivity and specificity. However, in this study, the PPVs of NIPT in terms of detecting T18, T13, XO, XXX and RCA were < 50%. In addition, more than one-third of NIPT-positive women did not accept invasive prenatal diagnosis. Confirmatory diagnosis is strongly recommended for women with positive NIPT outcomes before any further decision is made.

Invasive Prenatal Diagnostic Testing for Aneuploidies in Singleton Pregnancies: A Comparative Review of Major Guidelines

Sophisticated screening protocols for genetic abnormalities constitute an important component of current prenatal care, aiming to identify high-risk pregnancies and offer appropriate counseling to parents regarding their options. Definite prenatal diagnosis is only possible by invasive prenatal diagnostic testing (IPDT), mainly including amniocentesis and chorionic villous sampling (CVS). The aim of this comparative review was to summarize and compare the existing recommendations on IPDT from the most influential guidelines. All the reviewed guidelines highlight that IPDT is indicated based on a positive screening test rather than maternal age alone. Other indications arise from medical history and sonography, with significant variations identified between the guidelines. The earlier time for amniocentesis is unequivocally set at ≥15 gestational weeks, whereas for CVS, the earlier limit varies from ≥10 to ≥11 weeks. Certain technical aspects and the overall approach demonstrate significant differences. Periprocedural management regarding Rhesus alloimmunization, virologic status and use of anesthesia or antibiotics are either inconsistent or insufficiently addressed. The synthesis of an evidence-based algorithm for IPDT is of crucial importance to healthcare professionals implicated in prenatal care to avoid unnecessary interventions without compromising optimal prenatal care.