External validation of the 2020 ERC/ESICM prognostication strategy algorithm after cardiac arrest

Standardised and automated assessment of head computed tomography reliably predicts poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest: a prospective multicentre study

PURPOSE

Application of standardised and automated assessments of head computed tomography (CT) for neuroprognostication after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

METHODS

Prospective, international, multicentre, observational study within the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Routine CTs from adult unconscious patients obtained > 48 h ≤ 7 days post-arrest were assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by seven international raters blinded to clinical information using a pre-published protocol. Grey-white-matter ratio (GWR) was calculated from four (GWR-4) and eight (GWR-8) regions of interest manually placed at the basal ganglia level. Additionally, GWR was obtained using an automated atlas-based approach. Prognostic accuracies for prediction of poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) for the qualitative assessment and for the pre-defined GWR cutoff < 1.10 were calculated.

RESULTS

140 unconscious patients were included; median age was 68 years (interquartile range [IQR] 59-76), 76% were male, and 75% had poor outcome. Standardised qualitative assessment and all GWR models predicted poor outcome with 100% specificity (95% confidence interval [CI] 90-100). Sensitivity in median was 37% for the standardised qualitative assessment, 39% for GWR-8, 30% for GWR-4 and 41% for automated GWR. GWR-8 was superior to GWR-4 regarding prognostic accuracies, intra- and interrater agreement. Overall prognostic accuracy for automated GWR (area under the curve [AUC] 0.84, 95% CI 0.77-0.91) did not significantly differ from manually obtained GWR.

CONCLUSION

Standardised qualitative and quantitative assessments of CT are reliable and feasible methods to predict poor functional outcome after cardiac arrest. Automated GWR has the potential to make CT quantification for neuroprognostication accessible to all centres treating cardiac arrest patients.

Good outcome prediction after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A prospective multicenter observational study in Korea (the KORHN-PRO registry)

AIM

To assess the ability of clinical examination, biomarkers, electrophysiology and brain imaging, individually or in combination to predict good neurological outcomes at 6 months after CA.

METHODS

This was a retrospective analysis of the Korean Hypothermia Network Prospective Registry 1.0, which included adult out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients (≥18 years). Good outcome predictors were defined as both pupillary light reflex (PLR) and corneal reflex (CR) at admission, Glasgow Coma Scale Motor score (GCS-M) >3 at admission, neuron-specific enolase (NSE) <17 µg/L at 24-72 h, a median nerve somatosensory evoked potential (SSEP) N20/P25 amplitude >4 µV, continuous background without discharges on electroencephalogram (EEG), and absence of anoxic injury on brain CT and diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI).

RESULTS

A total of 1327 subjects were included in the final analysis, and their median age was 59 years; among them, 412 subjects had a good neurological outcome at 6 months. GCS-M >3 at admission had the highest specificity of 96.7% (95% CI 95.3-97.8), and normal brain DWI had the highest sensitivity of 96.3% (95% CI 92.9-98.4). When the two predictors were combined, the sensitivities tended to decrease (ranging from 2.7-81.1%), and the specificities tended to increase, ranging from81.3-100%. Through the explorative variation of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) prognostication strategy algorithms, good outcomes were predicted, with a specificity of 83.2% and a sensitivity of 83.5% in patients by the algorithm.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical examination, biomarker, electrophysiology, and brain imaging predicted good outcomes at 6 months after CA. When the two predictors were combined, the specificity further improved. With the 2021 ERC/ESICM guidelines, the number of indeterminate patients and the uncertainty of prognostication can be reduced by using a good outcome prediction algorithm.

Quantitative analysis of apparent diffusion coefficients to predict neurological prognosis in cardiac arrest survivors: an observational derivation and internal-external validation study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to validate apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) values and thresholds to predict poor neurological outcomes in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors by quantitatively analysing the ADC values via brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI).

METHODS

This observational study used prospectively collected data from two tertiary academic hospitals. The derivation cohort comprised 70% of the patients randomly selected from one hospital, whereas the internal validation cohort comprised the remaining 30%. The external validation cohort used the data from another hospital, and the MRI data were restricted to scans conducted at 3 T within 72-96 h after an OHCA experience. We analysed the percentage of brain volume below a specific ADC value at 50-step intervals ranging from 200 to 1200 × 10-6 mm2/s, identifying thresholds that differentiate between good and poor outcomes. Poor neurological outcomes were defined as cerebral performance categories 3-5, 6 months after experiencing an OHCA.

RESULTS

A total of 448 brain MRI scans were evaluated, including a derivation cohort (n = 224) and internal/external validation cohorts (n = 96/128, respectively). The proportion of brain volume with ADC values below 450, 500, 550, 600, and 650 × 10-6 mm2/s demonstrated good to excellent performance in predicting poor neurological outcomes in the derivation group (area under the curve [AUC] 0.89-0.91), and there were no statistically significant differences in performances among the derivation, internal validation, and external validation groups (all P > 0.5). Among these, the proportion of brain volume with an ADC below 600 × 10-6 mm2/s predicted a poor outcome with a 0% false-positive rate (FPR) and 76% (95% confidence interval [CI] 68-83) sensitivity at a threshold of > 13.2% in the derivation cohort. In both the internal and external validation cohorts, when using the same threshold, a specificity of 100% corresponded to sensitivities of 71% (95% CI 58-81) and 78% (95% CI 66-87), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In this validation study, by consistently restricting the MRI types and timing during quantitative analysis of ADC values in brain MRI, we observed high reproducibility and sensitivity at a 0% FPR. Prospective multicentre studies are necessary to validate these findings.

2021 European Resuscitation Council/European Society of Intensive Care Medicine Algorithm for Prognostication of Poor Neurological Outcome After Cardiac Arrest-Can Entry Criteria Be Broadened?

OBJECTIVES

To explore broadened entry criteria of the 2021 European Resuscitation Council/European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ERC/ESICM) algorithm for neuroprognostication including patients with ongoing sedation and Glasgow Coma Scale-Motor score (GCS-M) scores 4-5.

DESIGN

Retrospective multicenter observational study.

SETTING

Four ICUs, Skane, Sweden.

PATIENTS

Postcardiac arrest patients managed at targeted temperature 36°C, 2014-2018. Neurologic outcome was assessed after 2-6 months according to the Cerebral Performance Category scale.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

In 794 included patients, median age was 69.5 years (interquartile range, 60.6-77.0 yr), 241 (30.4%) were female, 550 (69.3%) had an out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, and 314 (41.3%) had a shockable rhythm. Four hundred ninety-five patients were dead at follow-up, 330 of 495 died after a decision on withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies. At 72 hours after cardiac arrest 218 patients remained unconscious. The entry criteria of the original algorithm (GCS-M 1-3) was fulfilled by 163 patients and 115 patients with poor outcome were identified, with false positive rate (FPR) of 0% (95% CI, 0-79.4%) and sensitivity of 71.0% (95% CI, 63.6-77.4%). Inclusion of patients with ongoing sedation identified another 13 patients with poor outcome, generating FPR of 0% (95% CI, 0-65.8%) and sensitivity of 69.6% (95% CI, 62.6-75.8%). Inclusion of all unconscious patients (GCS-M 1-5), regardless of sedation, identified one additional patient, generating FPR of 0% (95% CI, 0-22.8) and sensitivity of 62.9% (95% CI, 56.1-69.2). The few patients with true negative prediction (patients with good outcome not fulfilling guideline criteria of a poor outcome) generated wide 95% CI for FPR.

CONCLUSION

The 2021 ERC/ESICM algorithm for neuroprognostication predicted poor neurologic outcome with a FPR of 0%. Broadening inclusion criteria to include all unconscious patients regardless of ongoing sedation identified an additional small number of patients with poor outcome but did not affect the FPR. Results are limited by high rate of withdrawal of life-sustaining therapies and few patients with true negative prediction.

The predictive value of highly malignant EEG patterns after cardiac arrest: evaluation of the ERC-ESICM recommendations

PURPOSE

The 2021 guidelines endorsed by the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) and the European Society of Intensive Care Medicine (ESICM) recommend using highly malignant electroencephalogram (EEG) patterns (HMEP; suppression or burst-suppression) at > 24 h after cardiac arrest (CA) in combination with at least one other concordant predictor to prognosticate poor neurological outcome. We evaluated the prognostic accuracy of HMEP in a large multicentre cohort and investigated the added value of absent EEG reactivity.

METHODS

This is a pre-planned prognostic substudy of the Targeted Temperature Management trial 2. The presence of HMEP and background reactivity to external stimuli on EEG recorded > 24 h after CA was prospectively reported. Poor outcome was measured at 6 months and defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 4-6. Prognostication was multimodal, and withdrawal of life-sustaining therapy (WLST) was not allowed before 96 h after CA.

RESULTS

845 patients at 59 sites were included. Of these, 579 (69%) had poor outcome, including 304 (36%) with WLST due to poor neurological prognosis. EEG was recorded at a median of 71 h (interquartile range [IQR] 52-93) after CA. HMEP at > 24 h from CA had 50% [95% confidence interval [CI] 46-54] sensitivity and 93% [90-96] specificity to predict poor outcome. Specificity was similar (93%) in 541 patients without WLST. When HMEP were unreactive, specificity improved to 97% [94-99] (p = 0.008).

CONCLUSION

The specificity of the ERC-ESICM-recommended EEG patterns for predicting poor outcome after CA exceeds 90% but is lower than in previous studies, suggesting that large-scale implementation may reduce their accuracy. Combining HMEP with an unreactive EEG background significantly improved specificity. As in other prognostication studies, a self-fulfilling prophecy bias may have contributed to observed results.

Combination strategy for prognostication in patients undergoing post-resuscitation care after cardiac arrest

This study investigated the prognostic performance of combination strategies using a multimodal approach in patients treated after cardiac arrest. Prospectively collected registry data were used for this retrospective analysis. Poor outcome was defined as a cerebral performance category of 3-5 at 6 months. Predictors of poor outcome were absence of ocular reflexes (PR/CR) without confounding factors, a highly malignant pattern on the most recent electroencephalography, defined as suppressed background with or without periodic discharges and burst-suppression, high neuron-specific enolase (NSE) after 48 h, and diffuse injury on imaging studies (computed tomography or diffusion-weighted imaging [DWI]) at 72-96 h. The prognostic performances for poor outcomes were analyzed for sensitivity and specificity. A total of 130 patients were included in the analysis. Of these, 68 (52.3%) patients had poor outcomes. The best prognostic performance was observed with the combination of absent PR/CR, high NSE, and diffuse injury on DWI [91.2%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 80.7-97.1], whereas the combination strategy of all available predictors did not improve prognostic performance (87.8%, 95% CI 73.8-95.9). Combining three of the predictors may improve prognostic performance and be more efficient than adding all tests indiscriminately, given limited medical resources.

Cortical somatosensory evoked potential amplitudes and clinical outcome after cardiac arrest: a retrospective multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

Bilaterally absent cortical somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEPs) reliably predict poor outcome in comatose cardiac arrest (CA) patients. Cortical SSEP amplitudes are a recent prognostic extension; however, amplitude thresholds, inter-recording, and inter-rater agreement remain uncertain.

METHODS

In a retrospective multicenter cohort study, we determined cortical SSEP amplitudes of comatose CA patients using a standardized evaluation pathway. We studied inter-recording agreement in repeated SSEPs and inter-rater agreement by four raters independently determining 100 cortical SSEP amplitudes. Primary outcome was assessed using the cerebral performance category (CPC) upon intensive care unit discharge dichotomized into good (CPC 1-3) and poor outcome (CPC 4-5).

RESULTS

Of 706 patients with SSEPs with median 3 days after CA, 277 (39.2%) had good and 429 (60.8%) poor outcome. Of patients with bilaterally absent cortical SSEPs, one (0.8%) survived with CPC 3 and 130 (99.2%) had poor outcome. Otherwise, the lowest cortical SSEP amplitude in good outcome patients was 0.5 µV. 184 (42.9%) of 429 poor outcome patients had lower cortical SSEP amplitudes. In 106 repeated SSEPs, there were 6 (5.7%) with prognostication-relevant changes in SSEP categories. Following a standardized evaluation pathway, inter-rater agreement was almost perfect with a Fleiss' kappa of 0.88.

INTERPRETATION

Bilaterally absent and cortical SSEP amplitudes below 0.5 µV predicted poor outcome with high specificity. A standardized evaluation pathway provided high inter-rater and inter-recording agreement. Regain of consciousness in patients with bilaterally absent cortical SSEPs rarely occurs. High-amplitude cortical SSEP amplitudes likely indicate the absence of severe brain injury.

Quantitative pupillometry for neuroprognostication in comatose post-cardiac arrest patients: A protocol for a predefined sub-study of the Blood pressure and Oxygenations Targets after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (BOX)-trial

Background

Resuscitation guidelines propose a multimodal prognostication strategy algorithm at ≥72 hours after the return of spontaneous circulation to evaluate neurological outcome for unconscious cardiac arrest survivors. Even though guidelines suggest quantitative pupillometry for assessing pupillary light reflex, threshold values are not yet validated.This study aims to validate pre-specified thresholds of quantitative pupillometry by quantitatively assessing the percentage reduction of pupillary size (qPLR) <4% and Neurological Pupil index (NPi) ≤2 and in predicting unfavorable neurological outcome. Both as an isolated predictor and combined with guideline-suggested neuron-specific enolase (NSE) threshold >60 μg L-1 in the current prognostication strategy algorithm.

Methods

We conduct this pre-planned diagnostic sub-study in the randomized, controlled, multicenter clinical trial "Blood Pressure and Oxygenation Targets after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest-trial". Blinded to treating physicians and outcome assessors, measurements of qPLR and NPi are obtained from cardiac arrest survivors at time points (±6 hours) of admission, after 24, 48, and 72 hours, or until the time of awakening or death.

Discussion

This study will be the largest prospective study investigating the predictive performance of automated quantitative pupillometry in unconscious patients resuscitated from cardiac arrest. We will test specific threshold values of NPi ≤2 and qPLR <4% to predict unfavorable outcome following cardiac arrest. The validation of pupillometry alone and combined with NSE with the criteria of the current prognostication strategy algorithm will hopefully increase the level of evidence and support clinical neuroprognostication with automated quantitative pupillometry in unconscious post-cardiac arrest patients.

Trial registration

Registered March 30, 2017, at ClinicalTrials.gov (Identifier: NCT03141099).

Confounders for prognostic accuracy of neuron-specific enolase after cardiac arrest: A retrospective cohort study

AIM

To evaluate neuron-specific enolase (NSE) thresholds for prediction of neurological outcome after cardiac arrest and to analyze the influence of hemolysis and confounders.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis from a cardiac arrest registry. Determination of NSE serum concentration and hemolysis-index (h-index) 48-96 hours after cardiac arrest. Evaluation of neurological outcome using the Cerebral Performance Category score (CPC) at hospital discharge. Separate analyses considering CPC 1-3 and CPC 1-2 as good neurological outcome. Analysis of specificity and sensitivity for poor and good neurological outcome prediction with and without exclusion of hemolytic samples (h-index larger than 50).

RESULTS

Among 356 survivors three days after cardiac arrest, hemolysis was detected in 28 samples (7.9%). At a threshold of 60 µg/L, NSE predicted poor neurological outcome (CPC 4-5) in all samples with a specificity of 92% (86-95%) and sensitivity of 73% (66-79%). In non-hemolytic samples, specificity was 94% (89-97%) and sensitivity 70% (62-76%). At a threshold of 100 µg/L, specificity was 98% (95-100%, all samples) and 99% (95-100%, non-hemolytic samples), and sensitivity 58% (51-65%) and 55% (47-63%), respectively. Possible confounders for elevated NSE in patients with good neurological outcome were ECMO, malignancies, blood transfusions and acute brain diseases. Nine patients with NSE below 17 µg/L had CPC 5, all had plausible death causes other than hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy.

CONCLUSIONS

NSE concentrations higher than 100 µg/L predicted poor neurological outcome with high specificity. An NSE less than 17 µg/L indicated absence of severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy. Hemolysis and other confounders need to be considered.

INSTITUTIONAL PROTOCOL NUMBER

The local ethics committee (board name: Ethikkommission der Charité) approved this study by the number: EA2/066/23, approval date: 28th June 2023, study title "'ROSC' - Resuscitation Outcome Study."

Quantitative analysis of early apparent diffusion coefficient values from MRIs for predicting neurological prognosis in survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: an observational study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to quantitatively analyse ultra-early brain diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) findings to determine the apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) threshold associated with neurological outcomes in comatose survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA).

METHODS

This retrospective study included adult survivors of comatose OHCA who underwent DW-MRI imaging scans using a 3-T MRI scanner within 6 h of the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). We investigated the association between neurological outcomes and ADC values obtained through voxel-based analysis on DW-MRI. Additionally, we constructed multivariable logistic regression models with pupillary light reflex (PLR), serum neuron-specific enolase (NSE), and ADC values as independent variables to predict poor neurological outcomes. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome 6 months after ROSC, determined by the Cerebral Performance Category 3-5.

RESULTS

Overall, 131 patients (26% female) were analysed, of whom 74 (57%) showed poor neurological outcomes. The group with a poor neurological outcome had lower mean whole brain ADC values (739.1 vs. 787.1 × 10-6 mm/s) and higher percentages of voxels with ADC below threshold in all ranges (250-1150) (all P < 0.001). The mean whole brain ADC values (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUC] 0.83) and the percentage of voxels with ADC below 600 (AUC 0.81) had the highest sensitivity of 51% (95% confidence interval [CI] 39.4-63.1; cut-off value ≤ 739.2 × 10-6 mm2/s and > 17.2%, respectively) when the false positive rate (FPR) was 0%. In the multivariable model, which also included PLR, NSE, and mean whole brain ADC values, poor neurological outcome was predicted with the highest accuracy (AUC 0.91; 51% sensitivity). This model showed more accurate prediction and sensitivity at an FPR of 0% than did the combination of PLR and NSE (AUC 0.86; 30% sensitivity; P = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort study, early voxel-based quantitative ADC analysis after ROSC was associated with poor neurological outcomes 6 months after cardiac arrest. The mean whole brain ADC value demonstrated the highest sensitivity when the FPR was 0%, and including it in the multivariable model improved the prediction of poor neurological outcomes.

Sex Difference on Neurological Outcomes and Post-Cardiac Arrest Care in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients Treated with Targeted Temperature Management: Post-Hoc Study of a Prospective, Multicenter, Observational Cohort Study

Conflicting results regarding sex-based differences in the outcomes of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients have been reported. We aimed to evaluate the association between sex and neurological outcome as well as various in-hospital process in OHCA patients treated with targeted temperature management. We retrospectively analyzed a prospective registry data collected between October 2015 and December 2018. To evaluate the effect of sex on patient outcomes, we created various multivariable logistic regression models. When the results were adjusted using resuscitation variables and in-hospital variables, there was no significant difference (OR = 1.22, 95% CI: 0.85-1.74; OR = 1.13, 95 CI: 0.76-1.68, respectively). Regarding the in-hospital course, the daily total SOFA score was similar in both sexes, whereas cardiovascular scores were higher in women on days 2 and 3. The adjusted effect of sex was not associated with the clinician's decision to perform early cardiac interventions, except for those men that had more extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (OR = 2.51, 95% CI: 1.11-5.66). The findings seems that men had more favorable 6-month neurological outcomes. However, after adjusting for confounders, there was no difference between the sexes. The results regarding in-hospital course were similar in men and women.

Prognosis of Cardiac Arrest-Peri-arrest and Post-arrest Considerations

There has been only a small improvement in survival and neurologic outcomes in patients with cardiac arrest in recent decades. Type of arrest, length of total arrest time, and location of arrest alter the trajectory of survival and neurologic outcome. In the post-arrest phase, clinical markers such as blood markers, pupillary light response, corneal reflex, myoclonic jerking, somatosensory evoked potential, and electroencephalography testing can be used to help guide neurological prognostication. Most of the testing should be performed 72 hours post-arrest with special considerations for longer observation periods in patients who underwent TTM or who had prolonged sedation and/or neuromuscular blockade.

Use of Prognostication Instruments in Prognostication Procedures of Postanoxic Coma Patients over Time: A Retrospective Study

BACKGROUND

Many survivors of cardiovascular arrest remain in a postanoxic coma. The neurologist's task is to provide the most accurate assessment of the patient's neurologic prognosis through a multimodal approach of clinical and technical tests. The aim of this study is to analyze differences and developments in the concept of neurological prognosis assessment and in-hospital outcome of patients over a five year-period.

METHODS

This retrospective observational study included 227 patients with postanoxic coma treated in the medical intensive care unit of the University Hospital, Mannheim from January 2016 to May 2021. We retrospectively analyzed patient characteristics, post-cardiac arrest care, and the use of clinical and technical tests for neurological prognosis assessment and patient outcome.

RESULTS

Over the observation period, 215 patients received a completed neurological prognosis assessment. Regarding the multimodal prognostic assessment, patients with poor prognosis (54%) received significantly fewer diagnostic modalities than patients with very likely poor (20.5%), indeterminate (24.2%), or good prognosis (1.4%; p = 0.001). The update of the DGN guidelines in 2017 had no effect on the number of performed prognostic parameters per patient. The finding of bilaterally absent pupillary light reflexes or severe anoxic injury on CT contributed most to a poor prognosis category (OR 8.38, 95%CI 4.01-7.51 and 12.93, 95%CI 5.55-30.13, respectively), whereas a malignant EEG pattern and NSE > 90 µg/L at 72 h resulted in the lowest OR (5.11, 95%CI 2.32-11.25, and 5.89, 95%CI 3.14-11.06, respectively) for a poor prognosis category. Assessment of baseline NSE significantly increased over the years (OR 1.76, 95%CI 1.4-2.22, p < 0.001), and assessment of follow-up NSE at 72 h trended to increase (OR 1.19, 95%CI 0.99-1.43, p = 0.06). In-hospital mortality was high (82.8%), remained unchanged over the observation period, and corresponded to the number of patients in whom life-sustaining measures were discontinued.

CONCLUSIONS

Among comatose survivors of cardiac arrest, the prognosis remains poor. Prognostication of a poor outcome led nearly exclusively to withdrawal of care. Prognostic modalities varied considerably with regard to their contribution to a poor prognosis category. Increasing enforcement of a standardized prognosis assessment and standardized evaluation of diagnostic modalities are needed to avoid false-positive prognostication of poor outcomes.

Association of ultra-early diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging with neurological outcomes after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the association between ultra-early (within 6 h after return of spontaneous circulation [ROSC]) brain diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) and neurological outcomes in comatose survivors after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

METHODS

We conducted a registry-based observational study from May 2018 to February 2022 at a Chungnam national university hospital in Daejeon, Korea. Presence of high-signal intensity (HSI) (P_HSI) was defined as a HSI on DW-MRI with corresponding hypoattenuation on the apparent diffusion coefficient map irrespective of volume after hypoxic ischemic brain injury; absence of HSI was defined as A_HSI. The primary outcome was the dichotomized cerebral performance category (CPC) at 6 months, defined as good (CPC 1-2) or poor (CPC 3-5).

RESULTS

Of the 110 patients (30 women [27.3%]; median (interquartile range [IQR]) age, 58 [38-69] years), 48 (43.6%) had a good neurological outcome, time from ROSC to MRI scan was 2.8 h (IQR 2.0-4.0 h), and the P_HSI on DW-MRI was observed in 46 (41.8%) patients. No patients in the P_HSI group had a good neurological outcome compared with 48 (75%) patients in the A_HSI group. In the A_HSI group, cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) neuron-specific enolase (NSE) levels were significantly lower in the group with good neurological outcome compared to the group with poor neurological outcome (20.1 [14.4-30.7] ng/mL vs. 84.3 [32.4-167.0] ng/mL, P < 0.001). The area under the curve for P_HSI on DW-MRI was 0.87 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.80-0.93), and the specificity and sensitivity for predicting a poor neurological outcome were 100% (95% CI 91.2%-100%) and 74.2% (95% CI 62.0-83.5%), respectively. A higher sensitivity was observed when CSF NSE levels were combined (88.7% [95% CI 77.1-95.1%]; 100% specificity).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort study, P_HSI findings on ultra-early DW-MRI were associated with poor neurological outcomes 6 months following the cardiac arrest. The combined CSF NSE levels showed higher sensitivity at 100% specificity than on DW-MRI alone. Prospective multicenter studies are required to confirm these results.

Prognostic accuracy of head computed tomography for prediction of functional outcome after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: Rationale and design of the prospective TTM2-CT-substudy

Background

Head computed tomography (CT) is a guideline recommended method to predict functional outcome after cardiac arrest (CA), but standardized criteria for evaluation are lacking. To date, no prospective trial has systematically validated methods for diagnosing hypoxic-ischaemic encephalopathy (HIE) on CT after CA. We present a protocol for validation of pre-specified radiological criteria for assessment of HIE on CT for neuroprognostication after CA.

Methods/design

This is a prospective observational international multicentre substudy of the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (TTM2) trial. Patients still unconscious 48 hours post-arrest at 13 participating hospitals were routinely examined with CT. Original images will be evaluated by examiners blinded to clinical data using a standardized protocol. Qualitative assessment will include evaluation of absence/presence of "severe HIE". Radiodensities will be quantified in pre-specified regions of interest for calculation of grey-white matter ratios (GWR) at the basal ganglia level. Functional outcome will be dichotomized into good (modified Rankin Scale 0-3) and poor (modified Rankin Scale 4-6) at six months post-arrest. Prognostic accuracies for good and poor outcome will be presented as sensitivities and specificities with 95% confidence intervals (using pre-specified cut-offs for quantitative analysis), descriptive statistics (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve), inter- and intra-rater reliabilities according to STARD guidelines.

Conclusions

The results from this prospective trial will validate a standardized approach to radiological evaluations of HIE on CT for prediction of functional outcome in comatose CA patients.The TTM2 trial and the TTM2 CT substudy are registered at ClinicalTrials.gov NCT02908308 and NCT03913065.