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Wang X, Ma H, Chen W, Wen D, You C, Ma L. Serum sodium concentration predicting mortality in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage. J Clin Neurosci 2024; 129:110874. [PMID: 39418884 DOI: 10.1016/j.jocn.2024.110874] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2024] [Revised: 09/15/2024] [Accepted: 10/11/2024] [Indexed: 10/19/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND To date, inconsistent evidence exists on the role of hypernatremia in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) who underwent surgical clipping. We aimed to investigate the association between serum sodium and mortality in these patients. METHODS A cohort study was performed to include adult patients with aSAH who underwent surgical clipping in a university hospital. The primary outcome was follow-up mortality. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used for matching patients' baseline characteristics. Net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were calculated to assess and compare the reclassification and discrimination capacity of different models. Trends in serum sodium over time were detected by the ordinary least squares model. RESULTS Of 618 aSAH patients with surgical clipping during the study period, normal serum sodium was observed in 467 patients (75.6 %), and admission hypernatremia was noted in 151 patients (24.4 %). After adjustment with multivariate regression analysis, patients with hypernatremia had significantly higher odds for follow-up mortality (aOR: 2.86, 95 % CI: 1.54 to 5.30; P = 0.001). PSM analysis observed similar results (aOR: 2.38, 95 % CI: 1.29 to 4.55; P = 0.009). The incorporation of serum sodium during hospitalization markedly enhanced the IDI (P < 0.001) and NRI (P < 0.001) for the prediction of mortality. CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, the findings from this cohort study of aSAH patients with surgical clipping indicated that serum sodium can be an independent predictive factor of all-cause mortality, and inferior sequelae in aSAH patients. These findings endorsed the importance of managing hypernatremia and monitoring serum sodium in patients with aSAH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xing Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Hui Ma
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China
| | - Wuqian Chen
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Dingke Wen
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China
| | - Chao You
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
| | - Lu Ma
- Department of Neurosurgery, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, Sichuan, China.
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Mao B, Ling L, Pan Y, Zhang R, Zheng W, Shen Y, Lu W, Lu Y, Xu S, Wu J, Wang M, Wan S. Machine learning for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage in intensive care unit. Sci Rep 2024; 14:14195. [PMID: 38902304 PMCID: PMC11190185 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-65128-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2023] [Accepted: 06/17/2024] [Indexed: 06/22/2024] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to develop a machine learning (ML)-based tool for early and accurate prediction of in-hospital mortality risk in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (sICH) in the intensive care unit (ICU). We did a retrospective study in our study and identified cases of sICH from the MIMIC IV (n = 1486) and Zhejiang Hospital databases (n = 110). The model was constructed using features selected through LASSO regression. Among five well-known models, the selection of the best model was based on the area under the curve (AUC) in the validation cohort. We further analyzed calibration and decision curves to assess prediction results and visualized the impact of each variable on the model through SHapley Additive exPlanations. To facilitate accessibility, we also created a visual online calculation page for the model. The XGBoost exhibited high accuracy in both internal validation (AUC = 0.907) and external validation (AUC = 0.787) sets. Calibration curve and decision curve analyses showed that the model had no significant bias as well as being useful for supporting clinical decisions. XGBoost is an effective algorithm for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with sICH, indicating its potential significance in the development of early warning systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Baojie Mao
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
| | - Lichao Ling
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
| | - Yuhang Pan
- Urology Department, Lin'an Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, 311321, China
| | - Rui Zhang
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
- The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China
| | - Wanning Zheng
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
- The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China
| | - Yanfei Shen
- Department of Intensive Care, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, 310030, China
| | - Wei Lu
- ArteryFlow Technology Co., Ltd., Hangzhou, 310051, China
| | - Yuning Lu
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
- The Second School of Clinical Medicine, Zhejiang Chinese Medical University, Hangzhou, 310053, China
| | - Shanhu Xu
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
| | - Jiong Wu
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China
| | - Ming Wang
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China.
| | - Shu Wan
- Brain center, Affiliated Zhejiang Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 1229 Gudun Road, Hangzhou, 310030, China.
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Hypertonic saline buffered with sodium acetate for intracranial pressure management. Clin Neurol Neurosurg 2020; 201:106435. [PMID: 33373834 DOI: 10.1016/j.clineuro.2020.106435] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/24/2020] [Revised: 12/10/2020] [Accepted: 12/11/2020] [Indexed: 11/21/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND 3 % hypertonic saline (HS) is a hyperosmolar agent often used to treat elevated intracranial pressure (ICP). However, the resultant hyperchloremia is associated with adverse outcomes in certain patient populations. In this study, HS solution buffered with sodium acetate (HSwSA) is used as an alternative to standard 3 % formulations to reduce overall chloride exposure. Our objectives are to establish whether this alternative agent - with reduced chloride content - is similar to standard 3 % HS in maintaining hyperosmolarity and investigate its effects on hyperchloremia. METHODS A retrospective chart review was conducted from August 1, 2014 to August 1, 2017 on patients receiving hypertonic therapies for ICP management. Patients were categorized into three groups, those that received: (1) 3 % HS for at least 72 h, (2) HSwSA for at least 72 h, or (3) were switched from 3 % HS within 72 h of initiating therapy to HSwSA for at least 72 h. RESULTS The average increase in serum osmolality after 72 h of therapy was 21.1 moSm/kg for those only on 3 % HS and 20.3 mOsm/kg for those only on HSwSA. Serum chloride levels after 24 h decreased on average by 2.5 mEq/L after switching from 3% HS to HSwSA and stayed below baseline, whereas matched patients only receiving 3% HS on average had serum chloride levels increase 4.3 mEq/L after 24 h and continued to rise. CONCLUSIONS Hyperchloremia has been associated with decreased renal perfusion, increasing the risk of acute kidney injury and hyperchloremic metabolic acidosis. Compared to standard 3% HS, our findings suggest an alternative hyperosmolar therapy with less chloride maintains similar hyperosmolarity while reducing overall chloride exposure.
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Yamane DP, Maghami S, Graham A, Vaziri K, Davison D. Association of Hyperchloremia and Acute Kidney Injury in Patients With Traumatic Brain Injury. J Intensive Care Med 2020; 37:128-133. [DOI: 10.1177/0885066620978735] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
Introduction: Hypertonic saline is often used to treat patients with traumatic brain injury. It carries the undesired side effect of hyperchloremia, which has been linked to acute kidney injury (AKI). We sought to evaluate the relationship of hyperchloremia and AKI in this population and whether the absolute exposure to hyperchloremia, including maximal hyperchloremia and duration of hyperchloremia were associated with AKI. Methods: A retrospective study of severe traumatic brain injury patients who received hypertonic saline at a single academic institution. Demographics, head abbreviated injury scale, development of hyperchloremia (Cl ≥ 115), duration of hyperchloremia, highest chloride level, duration of hypertonic saline use, admission GFR, and administration of nephrotoxic medications were abstracted. The outcome of interest was the association between renal function and hyperchloremia. Results: A total of 123 patients were included in the study. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that only duration of hyperchloremia ( p = 0.014) and GFR on admission ( p = 0.004) were independently associated with development of AKI. The number of days of hypertonic saline infusion ( p = 0.79) without the persistence of hyperchloremia and highest serum chloride levels ( p = 0.23) were not predictive of AKI development. Discussion: In patients with traumatic brain injury, admission GFR and prolonged hyperchloremia rather than the highest chloride level or the duration of hypertonic saline infusion were associated with the development of AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- David P. Yamane
- Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
- Department of Emergency Medicine, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Sam Maghami
- Department of Surgery, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Ada Graham
- Department of Surgery, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Khashayar Vaziri
- Department of Surgery, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
| | - Danielle Davison
- Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care Medicine, The George Washington University School of Medicine and Health Sciences, Washington, DC, USA
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Sadan O, Singbartl K, Kraft J, Plancher JM, Greven ACM, Kandiah P, Pimentel C, Hall CL, Papangelou A, Asbury WH, Hanfelt JJ, Samuels O. Low-chloride- versus high-chloride-containing hypertonic solution for the treatment of subarachnoid hemorrhage-related complications: The ACETatE (A low ChloriE hyperTonic solution for brain Edema) randomized trial. J Intensive Care 2020; 8:32. [PMID: 32391156 PMCID: PMC7197130 DOI: 10.1186/s40560-020-00449-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/16/2020] [Accepted: 04/17/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Recent reports have demonstrated that among patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) treated with hypertonic NaCl, resultant hyperchloremia has been associated with the development of acute kidney injury (AKI). We report a trial comparing the effect of two hypertonic solutions with different chloride contents on the resultant serum chloride concentrations in SAH patients, with a primary outcome aimed at limiting chloride elevation. METHODS A low ChloridE hyperTonic solution for brain Edema (ACETatE) trial is a single-center, double-blinded, double-dummy, randomized pilot trial comparing bolus infusions of 23.4% NaCl and 16.4% NaCl/Na-acetate for the treatment of cerebral edema in patients with SAH. Randomization occurred when patients developed hyperchloremia (serum Cl- ≥ 109 mmol/L) and required hyperosmolar treatment. RESULTS We enrolled 59 patients, of which 32 developed hyperchloremia and required hyperosmolar treatment. 15 patients were randomized to the 23.4% NaCl group, and 17 patients were randomized to the 16.4% NaCl/Na-acetate group. Although serum chloride levels increased similarly in both groups, the NaCl/Acetate group showed a significantly lower Cl- load at the end of the study period (978mEq vs. 2,464mEq, p < 0.01). Secondary outcome analysis revealed a reduced rate of AKI in the Na-acetate group (53.3% in the NaCl group vs. 11.8% in the Na-acetate group, p = 0.01). Both solutions had similar effects on ICP reduction, but NaCl/Acetate treatment had a more prominent effect on immediate post-infusion Na+ concentrations (increase of 2.2 ± 2.8 vs. 1.4 ± 2.6, (p < 0.01)). Proximal tubule renal biomarkers differed in concentration between the two groups. CONCLUSIONS Our pilot trial showed the feasibility and safety of replacing 23.4% NaCl infusions with 16.4% NaCl/Na-acetate infusions to treat cerebral edema in patients with SAH. The degree of hyperchloremia was similar in the two groups. 16.4% NaCl/Na-acetate infusions led to lower Cl- load and AKI rates than 23.4% NaCl infusions. Further multi-center studies are needed to corroborate these results. TRIAL REGISTRATION clinicaltrials.gov # NCT03204955, registered on 6/28/2017.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ofer Sadan
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Kai Singbartl
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Mayo Clinic, 5777 E Mayo Blvd, Phoenix, AZ 85054 USA
| | - Jacqueline Kraft
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Joao McONeil Plancher
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | | | - Prem Kandiah
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Cederic Pimentel
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - C. L. Hall
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Alexander Papangelou
- Department of Anesthesiology, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - William H. Asbury
- Department of Pharmacy, Emory University Hospital, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - John J. Hanfelt
- Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Emory University, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
| | - Owen Samuels
- Department of Neurology and Neurosurgery, Division of Neurocritical Care, Emory University Hospital and Emory University School of Medicine, 1364 Clifton Rd. NE, Atlanta, GA 30322 USA
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