A prognostic CpG score derived from epigenome-wide profiling of tumor tissue was independently associated with colorectal cancer survival

CpG-biomarkers in tumor tissue and prediction models for the survival of colorectal cancer: A systematic review and external validation study

The research aimed to identify previously published CpG-methylation-based prognostic biomarkers and prediction models for colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis and validate them in a large external cohort. A systematic search was conducted, analyzing 298 unique CpGs and 12 CpG-based prognostic models from 28 studies. After adjustment for clinical variables, 48 CpGs and five prognostic models were confirmed to be associated with survival. However, the discrimination ability of the models was insufficient, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.53 to 0.62. Calibration accuracy was mostly poor, and no significant added prognostic value beyond traditional clinical variables was observed. All prognostic models were rated at high risk of bias. While a fraction of CpGs showed potential clinical utility and generalizability, the CpG-based prognostic models performed poorly and lacked clinical relevance.

A novel CpG-methylation-based nomogram predicts survival in colorectal cancer

Aberrant DNA methylation is significantly associated with the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Therefore, the aim of this study was to develop a CpG-methylation-based nomogram for prognostic prediction in CRC. First, 378 CRC patients with methylation data from The Cancer Genome Atlas were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 249) and test cohort (n = 129). A multistep screening strategy was performed to identify six CpG sites that were significantly associated with overall survival in the training cohort. Then, Cox regression modelling was performed to construct a prognostic signature based on the candidate CpG sites. The six-CpG signature successfully separated patients into high-risk and low-risk groups in both training and test cohorts, and its performance was superior to that of previously published methylation markers (P < 0.05). Furthermore, we established a prognostic nomogram incorporating this signature, TNM stage, and age. The nomogram exhibited better prediction for overall survival in comparison with the three independent prognostic factors in the training cohort (C-index: 0.798 vs 0.620 to 0.737; P < 0.001). In the test cohort, the performance of nomogram was also superior to that of the three independent prognostic factors (C-index: 0.715 vs 0.590 to 0.665; P < 0.05). Meanwhile, the calibration curves for survival probability showed good agreement between prediction by nomogram and actual observation in both training and test cohorts. Together, the present study provides a novel CpG-methylation-based nomogram as a promising predictor for overall survival of CRC patients, which may help improve decision-making regarding the personalized treatments of patients with CRC.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of B4GALT1 Hypermethylation and Its Clinical Significance as a Novel Circulating Cell-Free DNA Biomarker in Colorectal Cancer

Epigenetic modifications of glyco-genes have been documented in different types of cancer and are tightly linked to proliferation, invasiveness, metastasis, and drug resistance. This study aims to investigate the diagnostic, prognostic, and therapy-response predictive value of the glyco-gene B4GALT1 in colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. A Kaplan–Meier analysis was conducted in 1418 CRC patients (GEO and TCGA datasets) to assess the prognostic and therapy-response predictive values of the aberrant expression and methylation status of B4GALT1. Quantitative methylation-specific PCR (QMSP) and droplet digital quantitative methylation-specific PCR (dd-QMSP) were respectively used to detect hypermethylated B4GALT1 in metastasis and plasma in four cohorts of metastatic CRC cases (mCRC). Both the downregulated expression and promoter hypermethylation of B4GALT1 have a negative prognostic impact on CRC. Interestingly a low expression level of B4GALT1 was significantly associated with poor cetuximab response (progression-free survival (PFS) p = 0.01) particularly in wild-type (WT)-KRAS patients (p = 0.03). B4GALT1 promoter was aberrantly methylated in liver and lung metastases. The detection of hypermethylated B4GALT1 in plasma of mCRC patients showed a highly discriminative receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve profile (area under curve (AUC) value 0.750; 95% CI: 0.592–0.908, p = 0.008), clearly distinguishing mCRC patients from healthy controls. Based on an optimal cut-off value defined by the ROC analysis, B4GALT1 yield a 100% specificity and a 50% sensitivity. These data support the potential value of B4GALT1 as an additional novel biomarker for the prediction of cetuximab response, and as a specific and sensitive diagnostic circulating biomarker that can be detected in CRC.