Predicting conversion of brain β-amyloid positivity in amyloid-negative individuals

Quantifying natural amyloid plaque accumulation in the continuum of Alzheimer's disease using ADNI

Brain amyloid beta neuritic plaque accumulation is associated with an increased risk of progression to Alzheimer's disease (AD) [Pfeil, J., et al. in Neurobiol Aging 106: 119-129, 2021]. Several studies estimate rates of change in amyloid plaque over time in clinically heterogeneous cohorts with different factors impacting amyloid plaque accumulation from ADNI and AIBL [Laccarino, L., et al. in Annals Clin and Trans Neurol 6: 1113 1120, 2019, Vos, S.J., et al. in Brain 138: 1327-1338, 2015, Lim, Y.Y., et al. in Alzheimer's Dementia 9: 538-545, 2013], but there are no reports using non-linear mixed effect model for amyloid plaque progression over time similar to that existing of disease-modifying biomarkers for other diseases [Cook, S.F. and R.R. Bies in Current Pharmacol Rep 2: 221-230, 2016, Gueorguieva, I., et al. in Alzheimer's Dementia 19: 2253-2264, 2023]. This study describes the natural progression of amyloid accumulation with population mean and between-participant variability for baseline and intrinsic progression rates quantified across the AD spectrum. 1340 ADNI participants were followed over a 10-year period with 18F-florbetapir PET scans used for amyloid plaque detection. Non-linear mixed effect with stepwise covariate modelling (scm) was used. Change in natural amyloid plaque levels over 10 year period followed an exponential growth model with an intrinsic rate of approx. 3 centiloid units/year. Age, gender, APOE4 genotype and disease stage were important factors on the baseline in the natural amyloid model. In APOE4 homozygous carriers mean baseline amyloid was increased compared to APOE4 non carriers. These results demonstrate natural progression of amyloid plaque in the continuum of AD.

Deep learning-based quantification of brain atrophy using 2D T1-weighted MRI for Alzheimer's disease classification

Background

Determining brain atrophy is crucial for the diagnosis of neurodegenerative diseases. Despite detailed brain atrophy assessments using three-dimensional (3D) T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging, their practical utility is limited by cost and time. This study introduces deep learning algorithms for quantifying brain atrophy using a more accessible two-dimensional (2D) T1, aiming to achieve cost-effective differentiation of dementia of the Alzheimer's type (DAT) from cognitively unimpaired (CU), while maintaining or exceeding the performance obtained with T1-3D individuals and to accurately predict AD-specific atrophy similarity and atrophic changes [W-scores and Brain Age Index (BAI)].

Methods

Involving 924 participants (478 CU and 446 DAT), our deep learning models were trained on cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) volumes from 2D T1 images and compared with 3D T1 images. The performance of the models in differentiating DAT from CU was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Pearson's correlation analyses were used to evaluate the relations between 3D T1 and 2D T1 measurements of cortical thickness and CSF volumes, AD-specific atrophy similarity, W-scores, and BAIs.

Results

Our deep learning models demonstrated strong correlations between 2D and 3D T1-derived CSF volumes, with correlation coefficients r ranging from 0.805 to 0.971. The algorithms based on 2D T1 accurately distinguished DAT from CU with high accuracy (area under the curve values of 0.873), which were comparable to those of algorithms based on 3D T1. Algorithms based on 2D T1 image-derived CSF volumes showed high correlations in AD-specific atrophy similarity (r = 0.915), W-scores for brain atrophy (0.732 ≤ r ≤ 0.976), and BAIs (r = 0.821) compared with those based on 3D T1 images.

Conclusion

Deep learning-based analysis of 2D T1 images is a feasible and accurate alternative for assessing brain atrophy, offering diagnostic precision comparable to that of 3D T1 imaging. This approach offers the advantage of the availability of T1-2D imaging, as well as reduced time and cost, while maintaining diagnostic precision comparable to T1-3D.

A Comparative Analysis of Two Automated Quantification Methods for Regional Cerebral Amyloid Retention: PET-Only and PET-and-MRI-Based Methods

Accurate quantification of amyloid positron emission tomography (PET) is essential for early detection of and intervention in Alzheimer's disease (AD) but there is still a lack of studies comparing the performance of various automated methods. This study compared the PET-only method and PET-and-MRI-based method with a pre-trained deep learning segmentation model. A large sample of 1180 participants in the Catholic Aging Brain Imaging (CABI) database was analyzed to calculate the regional standardized uptake value ratio (SUVR) using both methods. The logistic regression models were employed to assess the discriminability of amyloid-positive and negative groups through 10-fold cross-validation and area under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) metrics. The two methods showed a high correlation in calculating SUVRs but the PET-MRI method, incorporating MRI data for anatomical accuracy, demonstrated superior performance in predicting amyloid-positivity. The parietal, frontal, and cingulate importantly contributed to the prediction. The PET-MRI method with a pre-trained deep learning model approach provides an efficient and precise method for earlier diagnosis and intervention in the AD continuum.

Machine learning prediction of future amyloid beta positivity in amyloid-negative individuals

BACKGROUND

The pathophysiology of Alzheimer's disease (AD) involves β -amyloid (A β ) accumulation. Early identification of individuals with abnormal β -amyloid levels is crucial, but A β quantification with positron emission tomography (PET) and cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) is invasive and expensive.

METHODS

We propose a machine learning framework using standard non-invasive (MRI, demographics, APOE, neuropsychology) measures to predict future A β -positivity in A β -negative individuals. We separately study A β -positivity defined by PET and CSF.

RESULTS

Cross-validated AUC for 4-year A β conversion prediction was 0.78 for the CSF-based and 0.68 for the PET-based A β definitions. Although not trained for the clinical status-change prediction, the CSF-based model excelled in predicting future mild cognitive impairment (MCI)/dementia conversion in cognitively normal/MCI individuals (AUCs, respectively, 0.76 and 0.89 with a separate dataset).

CONCLUSION

Standard measures have potential in detecting future A β -positivity and assessing conversion risk, even in cognitively normal individuals. The CSF-based definition led to better predictions than the PET-based definition.

Identification of preclinical dementia according to ATN classification for stratified trial recruitment: A machine learning approach

INTRODUCTION

The Amyloid/Tau/Neurodegeneration (ATN) framework was proposed to identify the preclinical biological state of Alzheimer's disease (AD). We investigated whether ATN phenotype can be predicted using routinely collected research cohort data.

METHODS

927 EPAD LCS cohort participants free of dementia or Mild Cognitive Impairment were separated into 5 ATN categories. We used machine learning (ML) methods to identify a set of significant features separating each neurodegeneration-related group from controls (A-T-(N)-). Random Forest and linear-kernel SVM with stratified 5-fold cross validations were used to optimize model whose performance was then tested in the ADNI database.

RESULTS

Our optimal results outperformed ATN cross-validated logistic regression models by between 2.2% and 8.3%. The optimal feature sets were not consistent across the 4 models with the AD pathologic change vs controls set differing the most from the rest. Because of that we have identified a subset of 10 features that yield results very close or identical to the optimal.

DISCUSSION

Our study demonstrates the gains offered by ML in generating ATN risk prediction over logistic regression models among pre-dementia individuals.

Advanced brain imaging for the diagnosis of Alzheimer disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The purpose is to review the latest advances of brain imaging for the diagnosis of Alzheimer disease (AD).

RECENT FINDINGS

Brain imaging techniques provide valuable and complementary information to support the diagnosis of Alzheimer disease in clinical and research settings. The recent FDA accelerated approvals of aducanumab, lecanemab and donanemab made amyloid-PET critical in helping determine the optimal window for anti-amyloid therapeutic interventions. Tau-PET, on the other hand, is considered of key importance for the tracking of disease progression and for monitoring therapeutic interventions in clinical trials. PET imaging for microglial activation, astrocyte reactivity and synaptic degeneration are still new techniques only used in the research field, and more studies are needed to validate their use in the clinical diagnosis of AD. Finally, artificial intelligence has opened new prospective in the early detection of AD using MRI modalities.

SUMMARY

Brain imaging techniques using PET improve our understanding of the different AD-related pathologies and their relationship with each other along the course of disease. With more robust validation, machine learning and deep learning algorithms could be integrated with neuroimaging modalities to serve as valuable tools for clinicians to make early diagnosis and prognosis of AD.